e8vk
 

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 19, 2004

Federal National Mortgage Association
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Fannie Mae

         
Federally chartered corporation   000-50231   52-0883107
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
  (Commission
File Number)
  (IRS Employer
Identification Number)
     
3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW   20016
Washington, DC   (Zip Code)
(Address of principal executive offices)    

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: 202-752-7000

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report):                                       

     Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

     o   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
     o   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
     o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
     o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 


 

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

     On November 19, 2004, Fannie Mae (formally, the Federal National Mortgage Association) issued its monthly financial summary release for the month of October 2004, along with a statement by Jayne Shontell, Fannie Mae’s Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, on the monthly summary data. The statement by Ms. Shontell, a copy of which is filed as Exhibit 99.2 to this report, is incorporated herein by reference.

     The information in this item and in Exhibit 99.2 shall be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

     Fannie Mae’s monthly financial summary release for the month of October 2004, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report, is incorporated herein by reference.

     The information in this item, including Exhibit 99.1 submitted herewith, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any disclosure document of Fannie Mae, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such document.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

     (c) Exhibits.

The following exhibits are submitted herewith:

         
Exhibit Number   Description of Exhibit
       
 
  99.1    
Monthly summary release for October 2004 issued by Fannie Mae on November 19, 2004.
       
 
  99.2    
November 19, 2004 statement by Jayne Shontell on October 2004 monthly summary data.

     Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Exhibit 99.2 shall be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

- 2 -


 

SIGNATURE

     Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, hereunto duly authorized.

             
    FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION  
 
           
  By   /s/ Leanne G. Spencer    
     
 
   
      Leanne G. Spencer    
      Senior Vice President and Controller    
Date: November 19, 2004
           

- 3 -


 

EXHIBIT INDEX

The following exhibits are submitted herewith:

         
Exhibit Number   Description of Exhibit
       
 
  99.1    
Monthly summary release for October 2004 issued by Fannie Mae on November 19, 2004.
       
 
  99.2    
November 19, 2004 statement by Jayne Shontell on October 2004 monthly summary data.

- 4 -

exv99w1
 

EXHIBIT 99.1

FANNIE MAE
MONTHLY SUMMARY

October 2004

HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER INCLUDE:

  Fannie Mae’s book of business grew at an annual rate of 9.5 percent in October compared with 9.9 percent in September.
 
  The mortgage portfolio grew at a 12.2 percent annual rate in October.
 
  October mortgage portfolio purchases were $27.1 billion. Portfolio purchases included a higher proportion of hybrid ARMs and Aaa Libor floaters, reflecting a continued shift in the mix of mortgage originations.
 
  Retained commitments were $19.4 billion in October.
 
  Outstanding MBS grew at a 7.7 percent annual rate in October. October growth in outstanding MBS was affected by a high ARM share and strong private label issuance. Private label issuance continued to be driven by sub-prime and Alt-A product, and also included an increasing proportion of ARM, IO ARM and investor product.
 
  The duration gap on Fannie Mae’s mortgage portfolio averaged zero months in October.
 
  The conventional single-family delinquency rate rose one basis point to 0.59 percent in September, while the multifamily delinquency rate fell one basis point to 0.12 percent.

MORTGAGE MARKET HIGHLIGHTS:

  According to the MBA Survey, October’s ARM share rose to 35.6 percent from 34.1 percent in September.


 

(FANNIE MAE LOGO)


BUSINESS BALANCES AND GROWTH ($ in Millions) 1/
                                                 
    Mortgage Portfolio, Gross 2/   Outstanding MBS 3/   Book of Business
    End Balance   Growth Rate 4/   End Balance   Growth Rate 4/   End Balance   Growth Rate 4/
November 2003
  $ 906,387       (7.9 %)   $ 1,264,673       26.8 %   $ 2,171,060       10.8 %
December 2003
    898,445       (10.0 %)     1,300,166       39.4 %     2,198,611       16.3 %
Full year 2003
  $ 898,445       13.1 %   $ 1,300,166       26.3 %   $ 2,198,611       20.6 %
 
                                               
January 2004
  $ 886,730       (14.6 %)   $ 1,318,711       18.5 %   $ 2,205,441       3.8 %
February 2004
    882,124       (6.1 %)     1,335,714       16.6 %     2,217,838       7.0 %
March 2004
    880,911       (1.6 %)     1,345,892       9.5 %     2,226,803       5.0 %
April 2004
    880,481       (.6 %)     1,353,399       6.9 %     2,233,880       3.9 %
May 2004
    878,386       (2.8 %)     1,354,160       0.7 %     2,232,546       (.7 %)
June 2004
    891,210       19.0 %     1,360,045       5.3 %     2,251,255       10.5 %
July 2004
    892,724       2.1 %     1,363,317       2.9 %     2,256,041       2.6 %
August 2004
    895,428       3.7 %     1,368,918       5.0 %     2,264,345       4.5 %
September 2004
    904,543       12.9 %     1,377,680       8.0 %     2,282,223       9.9 %
October 2004
    913,246       12.2 %     1,386,272       7.7 %     2,299,518       9.5 %
YTD 2004
  $ 913,246       2.0 %   $ 1,386,272       8.0 %   $ 2,299,518       5.5 %


BUSINESS VOLUMES ($ in Millions) 1/
                                                         
    MBS        
                    Total   Fannie Mae   MBS Issues        
    Single-family   Multifamily   Lender-originated   MBS   Acquired   Portfolio   Business
    Issues   Issues   Issues 5/   Purchases 6/   by Others   Purchases   Volume
November 2003
  $ 56,840     $ 3,657     $ 60,497     $ 2,888     $ 57,609     $ 17,596     $ 75,205  
December 2003
    56,598       4,265       60,863       1,226       59,637       13,775       73,412  
Full year 2003
  $ 1,175,599     $ 23,018     $ 1,198,617     $ 348,413     $ 850,204     $ 572,852     $ 1,423,056  
 
                                                       
January 2004
  $ 44,289     $ 505     $ 44,794     $ 268     $ 44,527     $ 8,573     $ 53,100  
February 2004
    38,605       200       38,804       181       38,624       12,170       50,794  
March 2004
    44,345       1,019       45,365       6,507       38,858       20,260       59,118  
April 2004
    56,117       424       56,541       10,198       46,344       27,448       73,792  
May 2004
    57,629       931       58,559       10,670       47,889       26,686       74,575  
June 2004
    52,981       711       53,692       13,330       40,362       37,164       77,526  
July 2004
    38,719       916       39,636       5,676       33,960       21,618       55,578  
August 2004
    34,685       276       34,961       4,676       30,285       21,787       52,072  
September 2004
    40,647       224       40,870       5,074       35,796       27,661       63,457  
October 2004
    37,594       694       38,289       3,665       34,623       27,142       61,766  
YTD 2004
  $ 445,611     $ 5,901     $ 451,512     $ 60,244     $ 391,268     $ 230,511     $ 621,779  


MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO COMMITMENTS, PURCHASES, AND SALES ($ in Millions) 1/
                                                 
            Purchases   Mortgage
    Retained   Single-           Total           Portfolio
    Commitments   family   Multifamily   Purchases   Net Yield 7/   Sales
November 2003
  $ 13,104     $ 16,540     $ 1,056     $ 17,596       4.20 %   $ 1,452  
December 2003
    8,057       12,249       1,526       13,775       4.96 %     2,875  
Full year 2003
  $ 489,073     $ 559,669     $ 13,183     $ 572,852       5.00 %   $ 13,727  
 
                                               
January 2004
  $ 11,696     $ 7,996     $ 577     $ 8,573       4.77 %   $ 2,025  
February 2004
    12,576       11,834       337       12,170       3.68 %     1,326  
March 2004
    29,411       19,406       854       20,260       4.53 %     1,023  
April 2004
    28,860       25,997       1,451       27,448       4.37 %     1,583  
May 2004
    28,389       25,461       1,226       26,686       4.55 %     885  
June 2004
    29,668       34,775       2,389       37,164       4.44 %     1,695  
July 2004
    19,504       20,667       950       21,618       4.44 %     681  
August 2004
    24,683       20,747       1,040       21,787       4.14 %     1,932  
September 2004
    30,783       24,193       3,468       27,661       3.61 %     1,195  
October 2004
    19,356       23,109       4,034       27,142       3.59 %     941  
YTD 2004
  $ 234,927     $ 214,186     $ 16,325     $ 230,511       4.20 %   $ 13,286  


1/   Represents unpaid principal balance.
2/   Excludes mark-to-market adjustments, deferred balances and allowance for losses. Includes $509 billion of Fannie Mae MBS as of October 31, 2004.
3/   MBS held by investors other than Fannie Mae’s portfolio.
4/   Growth rates are compounded.
5/   Excludes MBS issued from Fannie Mae’s portfolio, which was $939 million in October 2004.
6/   Included in total portfolio purchases.
7/   Yields shown on a taxable-equivalent basis.
 
    Numbers may not foot due to rounding.

1


 

                                                                         
             

         
LIQUIDATIONS ($ in Millions) 1/
          DELINQUENCY RATES
    Mortgage Portfolio
Liquidations
  Outstanding MBS
Liquidations
          Single-family Conventional 2/
   
   
 
          Non-Credit   Credit           Multifamily
    Amount
  Annual Rate
  Amount
  Annual Rate
          Enhancement 3/
  Enhancement 4/
  Total 5/
  Total 6/
November 2003
  $ 22,438       29.60 %   $ 34,214       32.78 %             0.30 %     1.63 %     0.59 %     0.13 %
December 2003
    18,859       25.08 %     26,301       24.61 %             0.30 %     1.65 %     0.60 %     0.27 %
Full year 2003
  $ 451,487       53.29 %   $ 591,351       50.15 %                                        
 
                                                                       
January 2004
  $ 18,274       24.57 %   $ 27,717       25.40 %             0.31 %     1.70 %     0.61 %     0.24 %
February 2004
    15,419       20.92 %     22,948       20.75 %             0.31 %     1.70 %     0.61 %     0.24 %
March 2004
    20,444       27.83 %     29,702       26.58 %             0.30 %     1.62 %     0.58 %     0.17 %
April 2004
    26,086       35.54 %     40,419       35.94 %             0.29 %     1.58 %     0.56 %     0.16 %
May 2004
    27,917       38.09 %     48,013       42.56 %             0.29 %     1.61 %     0.57 %     0.14 %
June 2004
    22,783       30.90 %     36,063       31.89 %             0.29 %     1.62 %     0.57 %     0.14 %
July 2004
    19,467       26.19 %     31,363       27.64 %             0.29 %     1.65 %     0.57 %     0.13 %
August 2004
    17,179       23.06 %     26,442       23.23 %             0.30 %     1.67 %     0.58 %     0.13 %
September 2004
    17,361       23.15 %     27,168       23.74 %             0.30 %     1.72 %     0.59 %     0.12 %
October 2004
    17,529       23.14 %     26,970       23.42 %                                        
YTD 2004
  $ 202,457       27.26 %   $ 316,805       28.13 %                                        


AVERAGE INVESTMENT BALANCES ($ in Millions)
                         
    Net   Liquid   Total Net
    Mortgages
  Investments
  Investments
November 2003
  $ 902,601     $ 63,262     $ 965,863  
December 2003
    898,858       65,966       964,824  
Full year 2003
  $ 839,171     $ 75,114     $ 914,286  
 
                       
January 2004
  $ 888,908     $ 68,830     $ 957,738  
February 2004
    883,892       63,749       947,641  
March 2004
    876,205       66,996       943,201  
April 2004
    870,446       75,787       946,232  
May 2004
    866,855       82,711       949,567  
June 2004
    873,386       71,698       945,084  
July 2004
    883,135       63,078       946,213  
August 2004
    887,471       64,853       952,324  
September 2004
    895,590       69,256       964,846  
October 2004
    903,065       61,445       964,510  
YTD 2004
  $ 882,895     $ 68,840     $ 951,736  


INTEREST RATE RISK DISCLOSURES
                                                         
                    Rate Level Shock (50bp) 8/
          Rate Slope Shock (25bp) 8/
    Effective           1 Year Portfolio   4 Year Portfolio           1 Year Portfolio   4 Year Portfolio
    Duration Gap 7/           Net Interest   Net Interest           Net Interest   Net Interest
    (in months)
          Income at Risk
  Income at Risk
          Income at Risk
  Income at Risk
November 2003
    -1               3.7 %     2.7 %             3.7 %     6.1 %
December 2003
    -1               2.6 %     2.1 %             3.6 %     6.1 %
January 2004
    -1               0.9 %     3.1 %             3.0 %     6.4 %
February 2004
    -1               1.4 %     3.3 %             3.7 %     6.7 %
March 2004
    0               3.8 %     5.4 %             4.0 %     6.6 %
April 2004
    3               5.0 %     5.3 %             2.9 %     5.4 %
May 2004
    3               2.9 %     2.5 %             2.5 %     4.5 %
June 2004
    2               1.6 %     3.5 %             2.3 %     4.1 %
July 2004
    0               0.8 %     1.9 %             2.3 %     4.6 %
August 2004
    -2               2.8 %     3.2 %             4.0 %     6.6 %
September 2004
    -2               4.2 %     4.5 %             4.5 %     7.7 %
October 2004
    0               3.4 %     3.8 %             4.5 %     7.6 %


1/   Represents unpaid principal balance.
2/   Includes conventional loans three or more months delinquent or in foreclosure process as a percent of the number of loans.
3/   Loans without primary mortgage insurance or any credit enhancements.
4/   Loans with primary mortgage insurance and other credit enhancements.
5/   Total of single-family non-credit enhanced and credit enhanced loans.
6/   Includes loans and securities 60 days or more past due and is calculated based on mortgage credit book of business.
7/   The duration gap is a weighted average for the month.
8/   Expresses projected core net interest income under the more adverse of the interest rate and yield curve scenarios as a percentage of projected net interest income without the rate shocks.
 
    Numbers may not foot due to rounding.
 
    The information presented in this report is unaudited and includes, in the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normally recurring accruals) necessary for a fair presentation. The data should be read in conjunction with audited financial statements and notes to financial statements that are available from the corporation. For more information regarding Fannie Mae, please visit www.fanniemae.com or contact us at (202) 752-7115.

2

exv99w2
 

Exhibit 99.2

Statement by Jayne Shontell, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations
On October 2004 Monthly Summary Data

The business volume data included in our monthly summary release, and unaudited income statement data included in the Form 12b-25 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 15, 2004, reflect the impact of ongoing changes in the dynamics of our competitive environment—including a substantially changed mortgage product mix, the sustained intensity of competition for mortgage assets, and continuing high levels of mortgage-related securities issuance by entities other than Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae (“private label securities”).

Changes in Origination Mix

Home price growth has accelerated in 2004. The 4-quarter growth rate in the OFHEO home price index increased to 9.4 percent at the end of the second quarter of this year (the latest period for which the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (“OFHEO”) has released data). This is the fastest pace since 1979, and estimates of gains through September indicate that this pace has not abated appreciably. With the rise in home prices, many homebuyers have turned from traditional fixed-rate mortgages to alternative mortgage products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages (“ARMs”) and interest-only mortgages, to maintain affordability by lowering their initial monthly payments. The Federal Housing Finance Board reported that ARMs constituted about 38 percent of purchase loans in the third quarter of 2004, up from the 27 percent ARM share in the last quarter of 2003. The recent flattening in the yield curve has not diminished this percentage. In this environment the market share of private-label securities has increased substantially, with private-label mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”) issuances accounting for over 50 percent of total MBS issuances in the third quarter of 2004, the first time that private-label issuances exceeded the combined MBS issuances of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. Approximately 75 percent of mortgages backing private label MBS in the third quarter were ARMs.

Credit Guaranty Business

Outstanding MBS growth in the third quarter and through October continued to reflect lower refinance-driven volume, a substantial increase in the origination of higher-risk forms of hybrid ARMs, and heightened competition from private label issuers. The sustained high level of ARM originations has led to increased retention of whole loans by depository institutions and a reduction in the availability of MBS in the secondary market. Market share gains by private label issuers have been driven by an increased proportion of sub-prime and Alt-A securitized mortgages, including interest-only hybrid ARMs. Generally slower growth in Fannie Mae outstanding MBS since March 2004 reflects both the reduced availability of MBS and Fannie Mae’s belief that current market pricing does not adequately compensate for the level of credit risk in many private label securities.

 


 

Portfolio Investment Business

The changing product mix of originations in our underlying market has resulted in a higher proportion of hybrid ARMs and floating-rate securities purchased for portfolio, which in turn has had a discernable effect on our net interest yield and net interest margin. Lower initial purchase spreads on these securities, together with a flatter yield curve, have caused the portfolio’s net interest yield and net interest margin to decline sequentially in each of the past two quarters.

In conjunction with current levels of portfolio liquidations, lower purchase volumes resulting from historically narrow mortgage-to-debt spreads have restrained the growth in our mortgage portfolio. Moreover, the company’s agreement with OFHEO defined two specific capital surplus requirements: (1) maintaining the surplus capital percentage attained on August 31, 2004, and (2) achieving a capital surplus of 30 percent above the minimum requirement within 270 days from the date of the OFHEO agreement. Fannie Mae has submitted to the Director of OFHEO for approval a capital plan defining our primary strategies for achieving those requirements. With the current spread environment and the need to achieve the 30 percent capital surplus, it now appears likely that growth in the company’s portfolio will be close to zero for 2004.

Forward-Looking Statements

This release includes forward-looking statements, including statements about achieving our capital surplus requirements, statements regarding future growth of Fannie Mae’s portfolio and business, and statements regarding Fannie Mae’s work to expand access to homeownership. These statements are based on management’s estimates and expectations regarding matters that are uncertain and subject to change, such as trends and economic factors in the markets in which Fannie Mae is active; the company’s capital plan and its approval, implementation and consequences; the company’s business plans; and the outcome of OFHEO’s special examination of the company, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Department of Justice investigations and the related litigation. For example, Fannie Mae’s capital plan is based on its existing financial statements, which are under review and may need to be restated, as described in the company’s Form 12b-25 filed with the SEC on November 15, 2004. Future results may vary materially from results described in our forward-looking statements. For a discussion of factors that could cause results to vary from those described, investors should review Fannie Mae’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003, Fannie Mae’s Form 12b-25 filed with the SEC on November 15, 2004 and other documents filed with the SEC, which are or will be available on the company’s Web site at www.fanniemae.com/ir and SEC’s Web site at www.sec.gov under “Federal National Mortgage Association” or CIK number 0000310522. Fannie Mae undertakes no duty to update these forward-looking statements.

 


 

Fannie Mae is a New York Stock Exchange company and the largest non-bank financial services company in the world. It operates pursuant to a federal charter and is the nation’s largest source of financing for home mortgages. Fannie Mae is working to shrink the nation’s “homeownership gaps” through an expansion of our “American Dream Commitment” to expand access to homeownership for 6 million first-time home buyers — including 1.8 million minority families. Since 1968, Fannie Mae has provided over $6.3 trillion of mortgage financing for 63 million families. More information about Fannie Mae can be found on the Internet at http://www.fanniemae.com.

Style Usage: Fannie Mae’s Board of Directors has authorized the company to operate as “Fannie Mae,” and the company’s stock is now listed on the NYSE as “FNM.” In order to facilitate clarity and avoid confusion, news organizations are asked to refer to the company exclusively as “Fannie Mae.”