Federally chartered corporation | 000-50231 | 52-0883107 | ||
(State or other jurisdiction | (Commission | (IRS Employer | ||
of incorporation) | File Number) | Identification Number) |
3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW | 20016 | |
Washington, DC | (Zip Code) | |
(Address of principal executive offices) |
Item 2.02 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition |
Item 7.01 | Regulation FD Disclosure |
Item 9.01 | Financial Statements and Exhibits. |
2
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION |
||||
By /s/ Stephen M. Swad | ||||
Stephen M. Swad | ||||
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer | ||||
3
Exhibit Number | Description of Exhibit | |||
99.1 | News release, dated August 8, 2008 |
|||
99.2 | 2008 Q2 10-Q Investor Summary presentation, dated August 8, 2008 |
4
news release | [Fannie Mae logo] |
Contact:
|
Janis Smith 202-752-6673 |
Brian Faith 202-752-6720 |
||
Number:
|
4444a | |||
Date:
|
August 8, 2008 |
| $2.3 billion net loss, compared with a net loss of $2.2 billion in the first quarter | |
| $5.3 billion in credit-related expenses, including $3.7 billion added to combined loss reserves; company expects 2008 will be peak year for credit-related expenses | |
| $883 million in net investment losses, including $507 million in securities impairments | |
| $4 billion in revenue, up 5 percent from first quarter and 46 percent from second quarter 2007 | |
| $3 trillion book of business, up 2.3 percent from first quarter | |
| Core capital of $47.0 billion on June 30, up from $42.7 billion on March 31, after $7.4 billion capital issuance in May 2008. Capital remains in excess of regulatory requirements |
1. | Reducing the common stock dividend from $0.35 per share to $0.05 per share, effective for the third quarter, to preserve $1.9 billion in capital through 2009. | ||
2. | Reducing annual operating costs 10 percent by year end 2009 as the company drives the strategic priorities of credit risk management and revenue generation. Administrative expenses will have already been reduced approximately 35 percent, from $3.1 billion in 2006 to an estimated $2.0 billion in 2008. | ||
3. | Increasing our guaranty fees, including a 25 basis point increase in our adverse market delivery charge, as well as other risk-based pricing changes, announced this week. | ||
4. | Managing the balance sheet to ensure the most efficient use of capital. Providing market liquidity will be the priority for our portfolio activities, and purchases will be concentrated in high-spread assets to generate the maximum amount of revenue per dollar of risk capital. As a result, the company will balance profitable portfolio growth opportunities in the near term with prudent capital conservation through the current housing cycle. |
1. | Improving underwriting guidelines to eliminate higher-risk loans. Over 60 percent of our losses have come from a small number of products, but especially Alt-A loans. Through our recent underwriting changes, the volume of these products has declined more than 80 percent from their peak levels. We have already made underwriting changes to mitigate risk characteristics that drove those losses. After considered analysis, we will eliminate newly originated Alt-A acquisitions by year end. | ||
2. | Increasing our workout ratio from approximately 50 percent in 2007 to 56 percent in the first half of the year. The company has set a workout ratio goal of 60 percent by year end, reflecting a substantial expansion of its loss mitigation activities, personnel and initiatives. |
3. | Ramping up defaulted loan reviews to pursue recoveries from lenders, focusing especially on our Alt-A book. The objective is to expand loan reviews where the company incurred a loss or could incur a loss due to fraud or improper lending practices. To achieve this, we are increasing post-foreclosure loan reviews from 900 a month in January to 4,000 a month by the end of the year, expanding our quality-control reviews for targeted products and practices, and are on track to double our anti-fraud investigations this year. We expect this effort to increase our credit loss recoveries in 2008 and 2009. | ||
4. | Augmenting our foreclosed property strategy, including the opening of offices in Florida and California to closely manage the sales of our properties in these states. We have expanded our network of firms to assist in property disposition to ensure we have adequate capacity to sell the additional properties we expect. To date, under this approach we have been able to process the increased volume of foreclosed property sales without an increase in cycle times or excessive price concessions. Finally, we are evaluating various proposals we have received from third parties involving the sale of properties in bulk transactions. |
(dollars in millions) | Q2 2008 | Q1 2008 | Variance | Q2 2007(1) | Variance | |||||||||||||||
Net interest income |
$ | 2,057 | $ | 1,690 | $ | 367 | $ | 1,193 | $ | 864 | ||||||||||
Guaranty fee income |
1,608 | 1,752 | (144 | ) | 1,120 | 488 | ||||||||||||||
Trust management income |
75 | 107 | (32 | ) | 150 | (75 | ) | |||||||||||||
Fee and other income |
225 | 227 | (2 | ) | 257 | (32 | ) | |||||||||||||
Net revenues |
3,965 | 3,776 | 189 | 2,720 | 1,245 | |||||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses), net |
517 | (4,377 | ) | 4,894 | 1,424 | (907 | ) | |||||||||||||
Investment losses, net |
(883 | ) | (111 | ) | (772 | ) | (93 | ) | (790 | ) | ||||||||||
Losses from partnership investments |
(195 | ) | (141 | ) | (54 | ) | (215 | ) | 20 | |||||||||||
Losses on certain guaranty contracts(2) |
| | | (461 | ) | 461 | ||||||||||||||
Credit-related expenses |
(5,349 | ) | (3,243 | ) | (2,106 | ) | (518 | ) | (4,831 | ) | ||||||||||
Administrative expenses |
(512 | ) | (512 | ) | | (660 | ) | 148 | ||||||||||||
Other non-interest expenses |
(286 | ) | (505 | ) | 219 | (60 | ) | (226 | ) | |||||||||||
Net losses and expenses |
(6,708 | ) | (8,889 | ) | 2,181 | (583 | ) | (6,125 | ) | |||||||||||
Income (loss) before federal income taxes
and extraordinary losses |
(2,743 | ) | (5,113 | ) | 2,370 | 2,137 | (4,880 | ) | ||||||||||||
Benefit (provision) for federal income taxes |
476 | 2,928 | (2,452 | ) | (187 | ) | 663 | |||||||||||||
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect |
(33 | ) | (1 | ) | (32 | ) | (3 | ) | (30 | ) | ||||||||||
Net income (loss) |
$ | (2,300 | ) | $ | (2,186 | ) | $ | (114 | ) | $ | 1,947 | $ | (4,247 | ) | ||||||
Diluted earnings (loss) per common share |
$ | (2.54 | ) | $ | (2.57 | ) | $ | 0.03 | $ | 1.86 | $ | (4.40 | ) | |||||||
| Net revenues rose 5 percent to $4.0 billion from $3.8 billion in the first quarter. |
| Net interest income increased 22 percent to $2.1 billion due to lower funding costs. | ||
| Guaranty fee income was $1.6 billion, down from $1.8 billion in the first quarter. The decline was due to the higher amortization rate of guaranty fee income in first quarter. As interest rates increased in the second quarter, the expected amortization rate slowed. |
| Credit-related expenses, which are the total provision for credit losses plus foreclosed property expense, rose to $5.3 billion from $3.2 billion in the first quarter. The main driver was a $3.7 billion addition to our combined loss reserves as well as higher charge-offs. | |
| Combined loss reserves were $8.9 billion as of June 30, up from $5.2 billion as of March 31, as the company substantially increased its combined loss reserves to reflect losses it believes will be recorded over time in charge-offs. | |
| Net fair value gains were $517 million in the second quarter, compared with fair value losses of $4.4 billion in the first quarter. The primary drivers were derivatives gains, partially offset by losses on trading securities and hedged mortgage assets. Additionally, a lower level of trading losses was incurred in the second quarter due to a tightening of spreads. | |
| Total mortgage credit book of business grew by 2.3 percent to $3.0 trillion as of June 30. | |
| Other-than-temporary impairments of $507 million were recorded primarily on private-label securities backed by Alt-A and subprime mortgages, reflecting a reduction in expected cash flows for a portion of our private-label securities portfolio. This drove net investment losses of $883 million in the quarter, compared to losses of $111 million, including $55 million in other-than-temporary impairments, in the first quarter. | |
| The benefit for federal income taxes decreased to $476 million from $2.9 billion in the first quarter. The decline was due in part to the lower pre-tax loss for the period and a revision of our forecasted annual effective tax rate from 57 percent in the first quarter of 2008 to 43 percent in the second quarter. |
| Single-Family Credit Guaranty book of business grew by 2.3 percent during the quarter to $2.7 trillion as of June 30. Fannie Maes market share of new single-family mortgage-related securities issued declined to an estimated 45.4 percent for the second quarter, compared to 50.1 percent for the first quarter. The average charged guaranty fee rate on new single-family flow business increased to 27.8 basis points in the second quarter, from 25.0 basis points in the first quarter. The average effective guaranty fee rate was 26.9 basis points for the second quarter, down from 29.5 basis points in the first quarter, due to slower amortization of deferred guaranty fee items quarter-over-quarter as interest rates increased. Single-family lost $2.4 billion in the quarter, driven by a 64.1 percent increase in credit-related expenses from the previous quarter to $5.3 billion, as noted above. | |
| Housing and Community Developments multifamily guaranty book of business grew by 5.9 percent in the second quarter to $163.0 billion, compared with $153.9 billion as of March 31. Multifamily credit-related expenses were $10 million in the second quarter, compared to income of $11 million in the first quarter. The segment earned $72 million in the quarter. | |
| Capital Markets mortgage portfolio balance rose to $737.5 billion as of June 30, compared to $716.5 billion as of March 31. The increase resulted from purchases of $60.3 billion, liquidations of $25.0 billion, and sales of $9.1 billion. The increase in net interest yield on average interest-earning assets during the quarter drove a significant increase in net interest income. Capital Markets earned $34 million in the quarter. |
| Credit-related expenses. As noted above, the provision for credit losses plus foreclosed property expenses rose to $5.3 billion from $3.2 billion in the first quarter. The main driver was a $3.7 billion addition to our combined loss reserves. Combined loss reserves were $8.9 billion as of June 30, as the company substantially increased these reserves to reflect credit losses it estimates are inherent in its book of business as of June 30, 2008. | |
| Credit loss ratio. Management assesses the companys current credit performance by reviewing the companys credit loss ratio, which consists of net loan charge-offs (which excludes fair value losses on loans purchased from MBS trusts and HomeSaver Advance loans) plus foreclosed property expenses, as a percentage of the average guaranty book of business. For the second quarter, the credit loss ratio was 17.5 basis points, compared with 12.6 basis points for the first quarter. | |
| The serious delinquency rate on Fannie Maes single-family book as of June 30, 2008 was 1.36 percent, up from 0.98 percent as of December 31, 2007 and 0.64 percent as of June 30, 2007. The rise in delinquency rates is a significant factor in the substantial increase in credit loss provisions we have made and expect to make in 2008. | |
| Loan charge-offs, excluding fair value losses on loans purchased from MBS trusts and HomeSaver Advance loans, were $945 million in the second quarter, compared with $630 million in the first quarter, an increase that reflects higher levels of defaults and loss severity. | |
| Foreclosed property expense increased to $264 million for the second quarter, from $170 million for the first quarter. | |
| Quarterly default rate increased from 12 basis points in the first quarter of 2008 to 14 basis points in the second quarter of 2008, with particular acceleration in defaults from states such as California, Arizona, Nevada and Florida, and certain vintages that carry a higher than average unpaid principal balance (UPB). |
| Loan loss severity has increased, with our average initial charge-off severity rate increasing from 19 percent in the first quarter of 2008 to 23 percent in the second quarter of 2008, driven primarily by losses on our Alt-A loans in markets most affected by the steep home price declines. | |
| Losses on loans purchased from MBS trusts decreased to $380 million for the second quarter, from $728 million for the first quarter. Though the average market price of the loans purchased from MBS trusts fell from 60 points in the first quarter to 53 points in the second quarter, the company reduced the number of seriously delinquent loans purchased from MBS trusts as a result of the implementation of several loss mitigation measures, including the introduction of HomeSaver Advance in March 2008. | |
| Performance of higher-risk loans. The deterioration in the credit performance of our higher-risk loans is especially pronounced in our Alt-A mortgage loans, with particular pressure on loans with layered risk, such as loans with subordinate financing and interest-only payment terms. As of June 30, 2008, our Alt-A mortgage loans represented approximately 11 percent of our total mortgage book of business and 50 percent of our second quarter credit losses. |
| the credit performance of the loans in our mortgage credit book of business; | |
| the pace at which we realize credit losses; | |
| the impact of the recently passed housing legislation, and the timing of that impact; | |
| the amount and pace of home price declines; | |
| the impact of other factors, such as unemployment rates and energy prices, on overall economic conditions and borrower behavior; | |
| the amount of impairments we are required to take on our securities; | |
| the impact of credit spreads on mark-to-market values; | |
| changes in state laws and judicial actions with respect to foreclosure; | |
| the cost of our funding; | |
| the amount of mortgage insurance claims that are paid; | |
| the ability to recover our deferred tax asset; | |
| the amount of revenue we generate; and | |
| the inter-relationship among and between these factors in the current mortgage market. |
| A decrease of $23.6 billion in the first quarter of 2008. | ||
| A decrease in the fair value of our net guaranty assets, net of tax, reflecting the significant increase in the fair value of our guaranty obligations as a result of the increase in our guaranty fee pricing in the second quarter. | ||
| Tighter mortgage to debt spreads and our issuance of common and preferred equity in the second quarter. |
| We currently expect the downturn in the housing market and the disruption in the mortgage and credit markets to continue to adversely affect our financial results in 2008 and 2009. | |
| While we continue to expect home price declines in 2008 to be within our estimated 7 to 9 percent range, and peak-to-trough home price declines to be within our estimated 15 to 19 percent range, we see the trend moving toward the high end of those ranges, driven in particular by higher home price declines in certain regions. | |
| In light of our experience during the second quarter and our credit performance in July, we are increasing our forecast for our credit loss ratio to 23 to 26 basis points for 2008, as compared to our previous guidance of 13 to 17 basis points. We continue to anticipate that our credit loss ratio will increase further in 2009 compared with 2008. We also expect significant additions to our combined loss reserves through the remainder of 2008. | |
| We expect that 2008 will be our peak year for credit-related expenses as we build our combined loss reserves in anticipation of charge-offs we expect to incur in 2009 and 2010. The total amount of credit-related expenses will also be significant in 2009. | |
| We believe that our single-family guaranty book of business will continue to grow in 2008 and 2009 at a faster rate than the overall growth in U.S. single-family mortgage debt outstanding. We expect overall growth in U.S. single-family mortgage debt outstanding of just above 2 percent in 2008. We also expect the rate of growth to slow somewhat more in 2009. | |
| We believe that our guaranty fee income will grow in 2008 compared with 2007 due to an increase in volumes and prices in 2008 compared with 2007. | |
| In the second quarter of 2008, our net interest yield benefited from favorable spreads on our new acquisitions and from significant short-term debt repricing, which was driven by both lower LIBOR rates and our favorable spread under LIBOR. During July, our cost of short-term funding as compared with LIBOR was less favorable than it was during the second quarter, which could result in a net interest yield that is flat or lower for the remainder of 2008 depending on future market conditions. |
| Authorize U.S. Treasury to buy Fannie Maes debt, equity and other securities, subject to our agreement; and | ||
| Give the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System a consultative role in our regulators process for setting capital requirements and other safety and soundness standards. |
As of | ||||||||
June 30, |
December 31, |
|||||||
2008 | 2007 | |||||||
ASSETS
|
||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents
|
$ | 13,493 | $ | 3,941 | ||||
Restricted cash
|
188 | 561 | ||||||
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
35,694 | 49,041 | ||||||
Investments in securities:
|
||||||||
Trading, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of $53,853 and
$40,458 as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007,
respectively)
|
99,562 | 63,956 | ||||||
Available-for-sale, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of
$137,929 and $138,943 as of June 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007, respectively)
|
245,226 | 293,557 | ||||||
Total investments in securities
|
344,788 | 357,513 | ||||||
Mortgage loans:
|
||||||||
Loans held for sale, at lower of cost or market
|
6,931 | 7,008 | ||||||
Loans held for investment, at amortized cost
|
412,776 | 397,214 | ||||||
Allowance for loan losses
|
(1,476 | ) | (698 | ) | ||||
Total loans held for investment, net of allowance
|
411,300 | 396,516 | ||||||
Total mortgage loans
|
418,231 | 403,524 | ||||||
Advances to lenders
|
9,459 | 12,377 | ||||||
Accrued interest receivable
|
3,651 | 3,812 | ||||||
Acquired property, net
|
5,995 | 3,602 | ||||||
Derivative assets at fair value
|
1,013 | 885 | ||||||
Guaranty assets
|
10,258 | 9,666 | ||||||
Deferred tax assets
|
20,604 | 12,967 | ||||||
Partnership investments
|
10,113 | 11,000 | ||||||
Other assets
|
12,431 | 10,500 | ||||||
Total assets
|
$ | 885,918 | $ | 879,389 | ||||
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY | ||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||
Accrued interest payable
|
$ | 6,309 | $ | 7,512 | ||||
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
443 | 869 | ||||||
Short-term debt (includes debt at fair value of $4,501 as of
June 30, 2008)
|
240,223 | 234,160 | ||||||
Long-term debt (includes debt at fair value of $22,528 as of
June 30, 2008)
|
559,279 | 562,139 | ||||||
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
1,712 | 2,217 | ||||||
Reserve for guaranty losses (includes $613 and $211 as of
June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively,
related to Fannie Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
|
7,450 | 2,693 | ||||||
Guaranty obligations (includes $731 and $661 as of June 30,
2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively, related to Fannie
Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
|
16,441 | 15,393 | ||||||
Partnership liabilities
|
3,507 | 3,824 | ||||||
Other liabilities
|
9,164 | 6,464 | ||||||
Total liabilities
|
844,528 | 835,271 | ||||||
Minority interests in consolidated subsidiaries
|
164 | 107 | ||||||
Commitments and contingencies (Note 18)
|
| | ||||||
Stockholders Equity:
|
||||||||
Preferred stock, 700,000,000 shares
authorized607,125,000 and 466,375,000 shares issued
and outstanding as of June 30, 2008 and December 31,
2007, respectively
|
21,725 | 16,913 | ||||||
Common stock, no par value, no maximum
authorization1,223,390,420 and 1,129,090,420 shares
issued as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007,
respectively; 1,069,815,676 shares and
974,104,578 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007, respectively
|
642 | 593 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital
|
3,994 | 1,831 | ||||||
Retained earnings
|
27,898 | 33,548 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
|
(5,738 | ) | (1,362 | ) | ||||
Treasury stock, at cost, 153,574,744 shares and
154,985,842 shares as of June 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007, respectively
|
(7,295 | ) | (7,512 | ) | ||||
Total stockholders equity
|
41,226 | 44,011 | ||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
$ | 885,918 | $ | 879,389 | ||||
For the |
||||||||||||||||
For the |
Six Months |
|||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended |
Ended |
|||||||||||||||
June 30, | June 30, | |||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
Interest income:
|
||||||||||||||||
Trading securities
|
$ | 1,376 | $ | 387 | $ | 3,113 | $ | 578 | ||||||||
Available-for-sale securities
|
3,087 | 5,001 | 6,172 | 10,213 | ||||||||||||
Mortgage loans
|
5,769 | 5,625 | 11,431 | 11,010 | ||||||||||||
Other
|
232 | 253 | 690 | 471 | ||||||||||||
Total interest income
|
10,464 | 11,266 | 21,406 | 22,272 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense:
|
||||||||||||||||
Short-term debt
|
1,687 | 2,194 | 4,248 | 4,410 | ||||||||||||
Long-term debt
|
6,720 | 7,879 | 13,411 | 15,475 | ||||||||||||
Total interest expense
|
8,407 | 10,073 | 17,659 | 19,885 | ||||||||||||
Net interest income
|
2,057 | 1,193 | 3,747 | 2,387 | ||||||||||||
Guaranty fee income (includes imputed interest of $319 and $304
for the three months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007,
respectively and $554 and $583 for the six months ended
June 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively)
|
1,608 | 1,120 | 3,360 | 2,218 | ||||||||||||
Losses on certain guaranty contracts
|
| (461 | ) | | (744 | ) | ||||||||||
Trust management income
|
75 | 150 | 182 | 314 | ||||||||||||
Investment gains (losses), net
|
(883 | ) | (93 | ) | (994 | ) | 202 | |||||||||
Fair value gains (losses), net
|
517 | 1,424 | (3,860 | ) | 858 | |||||||||||
Debt extinguishment gains (losses), net
|
(36 | ) | 48 | (181 | ) | 41 | ||||||||||
Losses from partnership investments
|
(195 | ) | (215 | ) | (336 | ) | (380 | ) | ||||||||
Fee and other income
|
225 | 257 | 452 | 534 | ||||||||||||
Non-interest income (loss)
|
1,311 | 2,230 | (1,377 | ) | 3,043 | |||||||||||
Administrative expenses:
|
||||||||||||||||
Salaries and employee benefits
|
304 | 349 | 590 | 705 | ||||||||||||
Professional services
|
114 | 216 | 250 | 462 | ||||||||||||
Occupancy expenses
|
55 | 57 | 109 | 116 | ||||||||||||
Other administrative expenses
|
39 | 38 | 75 | 75 | ||||||||||||
Total administrative expenses
|
512 | 660 | 1,024 | 1,358 | ||||||||||||
Minority interest in earnings of consolidated subsidiaries
|
3 | | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Provision for credit losses
|
5,085 | 434 | 8,158 | 683 | ||||||||||||
Foreclosed property expense
|
264 | 84 | 434 | 156 | ||||||||||||
Other expenses
|
247 | 108 | 607 | 204 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses
|
6,111 | 1,286 | 10,226 | 2,402 | ||||||||||||
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and extraordinary
losses
|
(2,743 | ) | 2,137 | (7,856 | ) | 3,028 | ||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for federal income taxes
|
(476 | ) | 187 | (3,404 | ) | 114 | ||||||||||
Income (loss) before extraordinary losses
|
(2,267 | ) | 1,950 | (4,452 | ) | 2,914 | ||||||||||
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect
|
(33 | ) | (3 | ) | (34 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
$ | (2,300 | ) | $ | 1,947 | $ | (4,486 | ) | $ | 2,908 | ||||||
Preferred stock dividends and issuance costs at redemption
|
(303 | ) | (118 | ) | (625 | ) | (253 | ) | ||||||||
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders
|
$ | (2,603 | ) | $ | 1,829 | $ | (5,111 | ) | $ | 2,655 | ||||||
Basic earnings (loss) per share:
|
||||||||||||||||
Earnings (loss) before extraordinary losses
|
$ | (2.51 | ) | $ | 1.88 | $ | (5.08 | ) | $ | 2.74 | ||||||
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect
|
(0.03 | ) | | (0.03 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |||||||||
Basic earnings (loss) per share
|
$ | (2.54 | ) | $ | 1.88 | $ | (5.11 | ) | $ | 2.73 | ||||||
Diluted earnings (loss) per share:
|
||||||||||||||||
Earnings (loss) before extraordinary losses
|
$ | (2.51 | ) | $ | 1.86 | $ | (5.08 | ) | $ | 2.73 | ||||||
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect
|
(0.03 | ) | | (0.03 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |||||||||
Diluted earnings (loss) per share
|
$ | (2.54 | ) | $ | 1.86 | $ | (5.11 | ) | $ | 2.72 | ||||||
Cash dividends per common share
|
$ | 0.35 | $ | 0.50 | $ | 0.70 | $ | 0.90 | ||||||||
Weighted-average common shares outstanding:
|
||||||||||||||||
Basic
|
1,025 | 973 | 1,000 | 973 | ||||||||||||
Diluted
|
1,025 | 1,001 | 1,000 | 1,001 |
For the |
||||||||
Six Months |
||||||||
Ended |
||||||||
June 30, | ||||||||
2008 | 2007 | |||||||
Cash flows provided by (used in) operating activities:
|
||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
$ | (4,486 | ) | $ | 2,908 | |||
Amortization of debt cost basis adjustments
|
4,609 | 4,763 | ||||||
Provision for credit losses
|
8,158 | 683 | ||||||
Derivatives fair value adjustments
|
399 | (1,587 | ) | |||||
Purchases of loans held for sale
|
(27,426 | ) | (15,157 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for sale
|
288 | 307 | ||||||
Net change in trading securities
|
50,952 | 3,193 | ||||||
Other, net
|
(2,561 | ) | 1,810 | |||||
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities
|
29,933 | (3,080 | ) | |||||
Cash flows (used in) provided by investing activities:
|
||||||||
Purchases of trading securities held for investment
|
(833 | ) | | |||||
Proceeds from maturities of trading securities held for
investment
|
5,069 | | ||||||
Proceeds from sales of trading securities held for investment
|
2,481 | | ||||||
Purchases of available-for-sale securities
|
(79,331 | ) | (86,254 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from maturities of available-for-sale securities
|
17,689 | 81,292 | ||||||
Proceeds from sales of available-for-sale securities
|
76,937 | 34,085 | ||||||
Purchases of loans held for investment
|
(37,645 | ) | (30,779 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for investment
|
30,997 | 30,901 | ||||||
Advances to lenders
|
(51,573 | ) | (24,337 | ) | ||||
Net proceeds from disposition of acquired property
|
(1,397 | ) | 801 | |||||
Net change in federal funds sold and securities purchased under
agreements to resell
|
13,315 | (3,781 | ) | |||||
Other, net
|
222 | (433 | ) | |||||
Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities
|
(24,069 | ) | 1,495 | |||||
Cash flows provided by financing activities:
|
||||||||
Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt
|
1,009,691 | 865,950 | ||||||
Payments to redeem short-term debt
|
(1,007,819 | ) | (874,401 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
|
168,545 | 112,296 | ||||||
Payments to redeem long-term debt
|
(172,191 | ) | (97,327 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from issuance of common and preferred stock
|
7,211 | | ||||||
Net change in federal funds purchased and securities sold under
agreements to repurchase
|
(442 | ) | (102 | ) | ||||
Other, net
|
(1,307 | ) | (2,222 | ) | ||||
Net cash provided by financing activities
|
3,688 | 4,194 | ||||||
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
|
9,552 | 2,609 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
|
3,941 | 3,239 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
|
$ | 13,493 | $ | 5,848 | ||||
Cash paid during the period for:
|
||||||||
Interest
|
$ | 19,371 | $ | 19,336 | ||||
Income taxes
|
845 | 1,888 | ||||||
Non-cash activities:
|
||||||||
Securitization-related transfers from mortgage loans held for
sale to investments in securities
|
$ | 23,551 | $ | 12,391 | ||||
Net transfers of loans held for sale to loans held for investment
|
4,441 | 967 | ||||||
Net deconsolidation transfers from mortgage loans held for sale
to investments in securities
|
(671 | ) | 139 | |||||
Transfers from advances to lenders to investments in securities
(including transfers to trading securities of $28,877 and
$20,364 for the six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007,
respectively)
|
52,114 | 20,379 | ||||||
Net consolidation-related transfers from investments in
securities to mortgage loans held for investment
|
5,628 | 5,018 | ||||||
Transfers to trading securities from the effect of adopting
SFAS 159
|
56,217 | |
Accumulated |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Additional |
Other |
Total |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares Outstanding |
Preferred |
Common |
Paid-In |
Retained |
Comprehensive |
Treasury |
Stockholders |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred | Common | Stock | Stock | Capital | Earnings | Income (Loss) | Stock | Equity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of December 31, 2006
|
132 | 972 | $ | 9,108 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,942 | $ | 37,955 | $ | (445 | ) | $ | (7,647 | ) | $ | 41,506 | ||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative effect from the adoption of FIN 48, net of tax
|
| | | | | 4 | | | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of January 1, 2007, adjusted
|
132 | 972 | 9,108 | 593 | 1,942 | 37,959 | (445 | ) | (7,647 | ) | 41,510 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income
|
| | | | | 2,908 | | | 2,908 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on
available-for-sale
securities (net of tax of $1,283)
|
| | | | | | (2,382 | ) | | (2,382 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net income
(net of tax of $147)
|
| | | | | | (273 | ) | | (273 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups (net
of tax of $43)
|
| | | | | | 79 | | 79 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net cash flow hedging losses (net of tax of $1)
|
| | | | | | (2 | ) | | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior service cost and actuarial gains, net of amortization for
defined benefit plans (net of tax of $1)
|
| | | | | | 2 | | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive income
|
332 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock dividends ($0.90 per share)
|
| | | | | (880 | ) | | | (880 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock dividends
|
| | | | | (243 | ) | | | (243 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock redeemed
|
(22 | ) | | (1,100 | ) | | | | | | (1,100 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury stock issued for stock options and benefit plans
|
| 1 | | | (79 | ) | | | 130 | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of June 30, 2007
|
110 | 973 | $ | 8,008 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,863 | $ | 39,744 | $ | (3,021 | ) | $ | (7,517 | ) | $ | 39,670 | ||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of December 31, 2007
|
466 | 974 | $ | 16,913 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,831 | $ | 33,548 | $ | (1,362 | ) | $ | (7,512 | ) | $ | 44,011 | ||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative effect from the adoption of SFAS 157 and
SFAS 159, net of tax
|
| | | | | 148 | (93 | ) | | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of January 1, 2008, adjusted
|
466 | 974 | 16,913 | 593 | 1,831 | 33,696 | (1,455 | ) | (7,512 | ) | 44,066 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive loss:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss
|
| | | | | (4,486 | ) | | | (4,486 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on
available-for-sale
securities (net of tax of $2,299)
|
| | | | | | (4,270 | ) | | (4,270 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net loss (net
of tax of $11)
|
| | | | | | (21 | ) | | (21 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups (net
of tax of $4)
|
| | | | | | 7 | | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net cash flow hedging gains (net of tax of $1)
|
| | | | | | 1 | | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive loss
|
(8,769 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock dividends ($0.70 per share)
|
| | | | | (687 | ) | | | (687 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock issued
|
| 94 | | 49 | 2,477 | | | | 2,526 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock dividends
|
| | | | | (625 | ) | | | (625 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock issued
|
141 | | 4,812 | | (127 | ) | | | | 4,685 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury stock issued for stock options and benefit plans
|
| 2 | | | (187 | ) | | | 217 | 30 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of June 30, 2008
|
607 | 1,070 | $ | 21,725 | $ | 642 | $ | 3,994 | $ | 27,898 | $ | (5,738 | ) | $ | (7,295 | ) | $ | 41,226 | ||||||||||||||||||
As of June 30, 2008 | As of December 31, 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP |
GAAP |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
Carrying |
Fair Value |
Estimated |
Carrying |
Fair Value |
Estimated |
|||||||||||||||||||
Value | Adjustment(1) | Fair Value | Value | Adjustment(1) | Fair Value(2) | |||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assets:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents
|
$ | 13,681 | $ | | $ | 13,681 | (3) | $ | 4,502 | $ | | $ | 4,502 | (3) | ||||||||||
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
35,694 | | 35,694 | (3) | 49,041 | | 49,041 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Trading securities
|
99,562 | | 99,562 | (3) | 63,956 | | 63,956 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Available-for-sale securities
|
245,226 | | 245,226 | (3) | 293,557 | | 293,557 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale
|
6,931 | 79 | 7,010 | (4) | 7,008 | 75 | 7,083 | (4) | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan
losses
|
411,300 | (2,526 | ) | 408,774 | (4) | 396,516 | 70 | 396,586 | (4) | |||||||||||||||
Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
| 3,925 | 3,925 | (4)(5) | | 3,983 | 3,983 | (4)(5) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
| (9,074 | ) | (9,074 | )(4)(5) | | (4,747 | ) | (4,747 | )(4)(5) | ||||||||||||||
Total mortgage loans
|
418,231 | (7,596 | ) | 410,635 | (3)(4) | 403,524 | (619 | ) | 402,905 | (3)(4) | ||||||||||||||
Advances to lenders
|
9,459 | (223 | ) | 9,236 | (3) | 12,377 | (328 | ) | 12,049 | (3) | ||||||||||||||
Derivative assets at fair value
|
1,013 | | 1,013 | (3) | 885 | | 885 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty assets and
buy-ups, net
|
11,402 | 5,167 | 16,569 | (3)(5) | 10,610 | 3,648 | 14,258 | (3)(5) | ||||||||||||||||
Total financial assets
|
834,268 | (2,652 | ) | 831,616 | (3) | 838,452 | 2,701 | 841,153 | (3) | |||||||||||||||
Master servicing assets and credit enhancements
|
1,561 | 5,607 | 7,168 | (5)(6) | 1,783 | 2,844 | 4,627 | (5)(6) | ||||||||||||||||
Other assets
|
50,089 | 16,121 | 66,210 | (6)(7) | 39,154 | 5,418 | 44,572 | (6)(7) | ||||||||||||||||
Total assets
|
$ | 885,918 | $ | 19,076 | $ | 904,994 | $ | 879,389 | $ | 10,963 | $ | 890,352 | ||||||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
$ | 443 | $ | (5 | ) | $ | 438 | (3) | $ | 869 | $ | | $ | 869 | (3) | |||||||||
Short-term debt
|
240,223 | (8) | 33 | 240,256 | (3) | 234,160 | 208 | 234,368 | (3) | |||||||||||||||
Long-term debt
|
559,279 | (8) | 13,267 | 572,546 | (3) | 562,139 | 18,194 | 580,333 | (3) | |||||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
1,712 | | 1,712 | (3) | 2,217 | | 2,217 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty obligations
|
16,441 | 43,336 | 59,777 | (3) | 15,393 | 5,156 | 20,549 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Total financial liabilities
|
818,098 | 56,631 | 874,729 | (3) | 814,778 | 23,558 | 838,336 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities
|
26,430 | (8,781 | ) | 17,649 | (9) | 20,493 | (4,383 | ) | 16,110 | (9) | ||||||||||||||
Total liabilities
|
844,528 | 47,850 | 892,378 | 835,271 | 19,175 | 854,446 | ||||||||||||||||||
Minority interests in consolidated subsidiaries
|
164 | | 164 | 107 | | 107 | ||||||||||||||||||
Stockholders Equity (Deficit):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred
|
21,725 | (3,883 | ) | 17,842 | (10) | 16,913 | (1,565 | ) | 15,348 | (10) | ||||||||||||||
Common
|
19,501 | (24,891 | ) | (5,390 | )(11) | 27,098 | (6,647 | ) | 20,451 | (11) | ||||||||||||||
Total stockholders equity/non-GAAP
fair value of net assets |
$ | 41,226 | $ | (28,774 | ) | $ | 12,452 | $ | 44,011 | $ | (8,212 | ) | $ | 35,799 | ||||||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
$ | 885,918 | $ | 19,076 | $ | 904,994 | $ | 879,389 | $ | 10,963 | $ | 890,352 | ||||||||||||
(1) | Each of the amounts listed as a fair value adjustment represents the difference between the carrying value included in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets and our best judgment of the estimated fair value of the listed item. | |
(2) | Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation. | |
(3) | We determined the estimated fair value of these financial instruments in accordance with the fair value guidelines outlined in SFAS No. 157, as described in Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 17, Fair Value of Financial Instruments. In Note 17, we also disclose the carrying value and estimated fair value of our total financial assets and total financial liabilities as well as discuss the methodologies and assumptions we use in estimating the fair value of our financial instruments. | |
(4) | We have separately presented the estimated fair value of Mortgage loans held for sale, Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses, Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio and Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio, which, taken together, represent total mortgage loans reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets. In order to present the fair value of our guarantees in these non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets, we have separated (i) the embedded fair value of the guaranty assets, based on the terms of our intra-company guaranty fee allocation arrangement, and the embedded fair value of the obligation from (ii) the fair value of the mortgage loans held for sale and the mortgage loans held for investment. We believe this presentation provides transparency into the components of the fair value of the mortgage loans associated with the activities of our guaranty businesses and the components of the activities of our capital markets business, which is consistent with the way we manage risks and allocate revenues and expenses for segment reporting purposes. While the carrying values and estimated fair values of the individual line items may differ from the amounts presented in Note 17 of the condensed consolidated financial statements, the combined amounts together equal the carrying value and estimated fair value amounts of total mortgage loans in Note 17. | |
(5) | In our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets, we report the guaranty assets associated with our outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other guarantees as a separate line item and include buy-ups, master servicing assets and credit enhancements associated with our guaranty assets in Other assets. The GAAP carrying value of our guaranty assets reflects only those guaranty arrangements entered into subsequent to our adoption of FIN No. 45, Guarantors Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others (an interpretation of FASB Statements No. 5, 57, and 107 and rescission of FIN No. 34) (FIN 45), on January 1, 2003. On a GAAP basis, our guaranty assets totaled $10.3 billion and $9.7 billion as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. The associated buy-ups totaled $1.1 billion and $944 million as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. In our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets, we also disclose the estimated guaranty assets and obligations related to mortgage loans held in our portfolio. The aggregate estimated fair value of the guaranty asset-related components totaled $18.6 billion and $18.1 billion as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. These components represent the sum of the following line items in this table: (i) Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio; (ii) Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio, (iii) Guaranty assets and buy-ups; and (iv) Master servicing assets and credit enhancements. See Critical Accounting Policies and EstimatesChange in Measuring the Fair Value of Guaranty Obligations. | |
(6) | The line items Master servicing assets and credit enhancements and Other assets together consist of the assets presented on the following five line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest receivable; (ii) Acquired property, net; (iii) Deferred tax assets; (iv) Partnership investments; and (v) Other assets. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets together totaled $52.8 billion and $41.9 billion as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. We deduct the carrying value of the buy-ups associated with our guaranty obligation, which totaled $1.1 billion and $944 million as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively, from Other assets reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets because buy-ups are a financial instrument that we combine with guaranty assets in our SFAS 107 disclosure in Note 17. We have estimated the fair value of master servicing assets and credit enhancements based on our fair value methodologies discussed in Note 17. | |
(7) | With the exception of partnership investments and deferred tax assets, the GAAP carrying values of other assets generally approximate fair value. While we have included partnership investments at their carrying value in each of the non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets, the fair values of these items are generally different from their GAAP carrying values, potentially materially. Our LIHTC partnership investments had a carrying value of $7.0 billion and $8.1 billion and an estimated fair value of $7.9 billion and $9.3 billion as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. We assume that certain other assets, consisting primarily of prepaid expenses, have no fair value. Our GAAP-basis deferred tax assets are described in Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 10, Income Taxes. In addition to the GAAP-basis deferred income tax amounts included in Other assets, we include in our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets the estimated income tax effect related to the fair value adjustments made to derive the fair value of our net assets. Because our adjusted deferred income taxes are a net asset in each year, the amounts are included in our non-GAAP fair value balance sheets as a component of other assets. | |
(8) | Includes certain short-term debt and long-term debt instruments reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheet at fair value as of June 30, 2008 of $4.5 billion and $22.5 billion, respectively. | |
(9) | The line item Other liabilities consists of the liabilities presented on the following four line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest payable; (ii) Reserve for guaranty losses; (iii) Partnership liabilities; and (iv) Other liabilities. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets together totaled $26.4 billion and $20.5 billion as of June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively. The GAAP carrying values of these other liabilities generally approximate fair value. We assume that certain other liabilities, such as deferred revenues, have no fair value. Although we report the Reserve for guaranty losses as a separate line item on our condensed consolidated balance sheets, it is incorporated into and reported as part of the fair value of our guaranty obligations in our non-GAAP supplemental condensed consolidated fair value balance sheets. | |
(10) | Preferred stockholders equity is reflected in our non-GAAP supplemental condensed consolidated fair value balance sheets at the estimated fair value amount. | |
(11) | Common stockholders equity consists of the stockholders equity components presented on the following five line items in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets: (i) Common stock; (ii) Additional paid-in capital; (iii) Retained earnings; (iv) Accumulated other comprehensive loss; and (v) Treasury stock, at cost. Common stockholders equity is the residual of the excess of the estimated fair value of total assets over the estimated fair value of total liabilities, after taking into consideration preferred stockholders equity and minority interest in consolidated subsidiaries. |
August 8, 2008 Fannie Mae 2008 Q2 10-Q Investor Summary Exhibit 99.2 |
These materials present tables and other information about Fannie Mae, including information contained in Fannie Mae's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2008 ("2008 Q2 Form 10-Q"). These materials should be reviewed together with the 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q, copies of which are available on the company's Web site at www.fanniemae.com under the "Investor Relations" section of the Web site. More complete information about Fannie Mae, its business, business segments, financial condition and results of operations is contained in its 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q, which also includes additional information relating to the information contained in this presentation. Footnotes to certain included tables have been omitted but are included in the 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q. |
Forward Looking Statements/Risk Factors This presentation includes forward-looking statements, including statements relating to our future capital position and liquidity, financial performance and condition, ability to take advantage of business opportunities, loss reserves, and credit losses; the fair value of our net assets; our expectations regarding the housing, credit and mortgage markets; volatility in our results; and our future credit loss ratio. Future results may differ materially from what is indicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to, our results of operations for the remainder of 2008; further disruptions in the housing, mortgage and capital markets; greater than expected delinquencies, defaults and credit losses on the mortgages we hold or guaranty; changes to U.S. generally accepted accounting principles or practices, including changes that may result in our consolidating more assets and liabilities onto our consolidated balance sheets; any significant limitation on our ability to issue debt at attractive rates; continued or increased impairments, delinquencies and losses on subprime and Alt-A mortgage loans that back our private-label mortgage-related securities investments; a default by one or more of our significant institutional counterparties on its obligations to us; any significant limitation on our ability to realize our deferred tax assets in future periods; the effect on our business of legislation and other regulatory actions; actions taken by our regulators pursuant to the recently-enacted Federal Housing Finance Regulatory Reform Act of 2008; changes in the public's perception of the risks to and financial prospects of our business or industry; the level and volatility of interest rates and credit spreads; further declines in home prices in excess of our current expectations; a recession or other economic downturn; the loss of business volume from any of our key lender customers; and significant events relating to our business or industry, as well as others described in the "Risk Factors" sections in Fannie Mae's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 ("2007 Form 10-K") and 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q and in its reports on Form 8-K. Other terms used but not defined in this presentation may be defined in our 2007 Form 10-K or 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q. |
Table of Contents |
2008 Q2 Executive Summary Net loss increased $114 million from ($2.2 billion) in 2008 Q1 to ($2.3 billion) in 2008 Q2. Loss per share decreased $0.03 from ($2.57) in 2008 Q1 to ($2.54) in 2008 Q2 as a result of issuing additional shares of common stock during 2008 Q2. Net revenues were $4.0 billion, up $189 million, or 5.0%, driven by an increase in net interest income. Fair value gains of $517 million for 2008 Q2 include derivatives gains, partially offset by losses on trading securities and hedged mortgage assets. Additionally, a lower level of trading losses was incurred in 2008 Q2 due to a tightening of spreads. Investment losses, net of $883 million included impairments of AFS securities of $507 million reflecting a reduction in expected cash flows for primarily Alt-A and subprime private-label securities, driven by higher expected defaults and loss severities on the underlying mortgages. Credit-related expenses (provision for credit losses plus foreclosed property expense) increased to $5.3 billion in 2008 Q2 from $3.2 billion in 2008 Q1, primarily driven by higher charge-offs and an increase in our combined loss reserves of $3.7 billion. This reflects higher delinquencies, defaults and average loan loss severities, driven by home price declines and overall economic weakness. For 2008 Q2, the average default rate and average initial charge-off severity rate were 14% and 23%, respectively, compared to 12% and 19% for 2008 Q1, respectively. Tax benefit of $476 million decreased $2.5 billion from prior quarter, due in part to a lower pre-tax loss and a revision of our forecasted annual effective tax rate from 57% in 2008 Q1 to 43% in 2008 Q2. Fannie Mae issued $7.4 billion in new capital during 2008 Q2. Public offerings of common stock, non-cumulative mandatory convertible preferred stock, and non-cumulative, non-convertible preferred stock. Core capital of $47.0 billion at end of 2008 Q2 is above both our statutory minimum capital requirement, a surplus of $14.3 billion, and the OFHEO-directed minimum capital requirement, a surplus of $9.4 billion. Updated credit expectations Currently forecasting a credit loss ratio of 23 to 26 basis points for 2008, as compared to our previous guidance of 13 to 17 bps. Anticipate that our credit loss ratio will increase in 2009 relative to 2008. We expect that 2008 will be our peak year for credit-related expenses as we build our combined loss reserves in anticipation of charge-offs that we expect to incur in 2009 and 2010. We also expect that the total amount of our credit-related expenses will be significant in 2009. Credit and capital management remain a top focus of the company. Announced additional guaranty fee price increase effective October 1, 2008. Addressing market-related volatility impact on earnings and capital. In mid-April 2008, we implemented hedge accounting, which decreased the interest rate volatility in our earnings from derivative mark-to-market changes. 4 |
Management Actions on Capital and Credit Reduction in Quarterly Common Stock Dividend Reduced from 35 cents per share to 5 cents per share, effective for the third quarter to preserve $1.9 billion in capital through 2009 Cost Reductions Reduced administrative expenses from $3.1 billion in 2006 to an expected approximately $2.0 billion in 2008 Ongoing operating expenses to be reduced by 10% by year end 2009 Guaranty Fee Increase Four increases in last twelve months, including a 25 basis point increase in our adverse market delivery charge and other risk-based pricing changes announced August 4, 2008 Balance Sheet Activities Providing market liquidity will be the priority. Purchases to be concentrated in high-spread assets to generate the maximum amount of revenue per dollar of capital Balancing profitable portfolio growth opportunities in the near term with prudent capital conservation through the current housing cycle Credit Risk Management New underwriting guidelines will eliminate newly originated Alt-A loans Substantial expansion of loss mitigation activities, personnel and initiatives to further increase workouts of problem loans Increase in reviews of defaulted loans to pursue recoveries from lenders, focusing especially on our Alt-A book Opening offices in Florida and California to manage the sales of REO properties in those states 5 |
Federal Housing Finance Regulatory Reform Act of 2008 Creates an independent agency, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), to regulate Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FHLBs, which is responsible for mission and safety and soundness oversight. New Regulatory Authorities Capital: FHFA may increase Fannie Mae's minimum and risk-based capital requirements. Portfolio: FHFA must set standards for oversight of our portfolio holdings, and may require us to dispose of or acquire assets. Products: Fannie Mae must obtain FHFA's approval before initially offering a product. Affordable Housing Mission Goals: For 2010 and thereafter, FHFA will establish three single-family home purchase goals, one single- family refinance goal, and one multifamily goal for low-income families. For 2009, the 2008 goals will remain in effect, except that FHFA may make adjustments consistent with market conditions. Duty to Serve: For 2010 and thereafter, Fannie Mae must provide market leadership in developing loan products and flexible underwriting guidelines for manufactured housing, affordable housing preservation, and rural housing. Allocations: Fannie Mae must allocate an amount each year equal to 4.2 bps for each dollar of UPB of our total new business purchases, to fund certain government programs. Other Provisions Loan Limits: Fannie Mae's loan limit in high cost areas is permanently increased to the lower of 115% of the area median house price or 150% of the conforming loan limit, currently $625,500. This permanent increase becomes effective on January 1, 2009, when the temporary high cost area loan limits set by the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 expire. Treasury Authority: Until December 31, 2009, the U.S. Treasury may buy Fannie Mae obligations and other securities, on such terms and in such amounts as Treasury may determine, subject to Fannie Mae's agreement. |
Consolidated Financial Results |
Taxable-Equivalent Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Yield (NIY) 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2008 Q1 2008 Q2 Average Interest-Earning Assets 805.2 826.9 804.5 833.205 824.6 Taxable-Equivalent Net Interest Yield 64 57 62 86 104 Taxable-Equivalent Net Interest Yield Excl Step-Rate Debt and Incl Swaps 66 61 60 68 85 (Avg Balance in billions) (NIY in basis points) Increase in taxable-equivalent net interest yield reflects the benefits of lower short-term interest rates. We recognize net contractual interest income (expense) on interest rate swaps, which has an economic effect on our funding costs. However, this interest is not reflected in net interest income or in the net interest yield, but instead is recorded as a component of fair value gains (losses). SOP 03-3 accretion increased net interest income and the net interest yield by $53 million and 3 bps in 2008 Q2, $35 million and 2 bps in 2008 Q1, $38 million and 2 bps in 2007 Q4, $21 million and 1 bp in 2007 Q3, and $14 million and 1 bp in 2007 Q2, respectively. |
Guaranty Fee Income Guaranty Fee Income ($M) $1,120 $1,232 $1,621 $1,752 $1,608 (Avg O/S MBS in trillions) (Avg Gfee in basis points) Decrease in average effective guaranty fee rate for 2008 Q2 reflects a reduction in amortization of deferred income due to the increase in interest rates and slower prepayment assumptions in the quarter. Price changes went into effect on March 1, 2008 and June 1, 2008. The impact of price increases was partially offset by a significant decline in acquisitions of higher-risk, higher-priced product, such as Alt-A. On August 4, 2008, we announced additional price increases, including a 25 basis point increase in our adverse market delivery charge and other risk-based pricing changes effective October 1, 2008. Accretion of deferred amounts on guaranty contracts where we previously recognized losses at the inception of the contract increased guaranty fee income by $127 million in 2008 Q2, $297 million in 2008 Q1, $276 million in 2007 Q4, $144 million in 2007 Q3, and $91 million in 2007 Q2. Net guaranty obligation at the end of 2008 Q2 of $6.2 billion will effectively accrete into guaranty fee income over time. Lower amortization income due to interest rate increase resulted in lower guaranty fee income in 2008 Q2. 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2008 Q1 2008 Q2 Avg Outstanding MBS and Other Guaranties 2.081 2.163 2.273 2.374 2.443 Avg Effective Guaranty Fee Rate on MBS Book of Business 21.5 22.8 28.5 29.5 26.3 Avg Charged Guaranty Fee Rate on MBS Book of Business 21.5 21.8 22.3 22.6 22.8 (contractual guaranty fee rate with upfront cash amortized over four years ) 9 |
Single-Family Pricing and Credit - Flow Business Weighted Average FICO 2007 718 2008 Q1 727 2008 Q2 737 June 2008 744 Weighted Average Original LTV 2007 0.76 2008 Q1 0.74 2008 Q2 0.72 June 2008 0.71 Average Charged Guaranty Fee Rate on New Flow Business Credit Score - All Conventional Products LTV Ratio - All Conventional Products Data in each chart includes Fannie Mae's "flow" business only. Average charged fee in June 2008 reflects the reduction in higher risk, higher fee loan products. Improved credit and pricing metrics on new acquisitions. Note: Average charged guaranty fee rate includes contractual guaranty fee with upfront cash amortized over four years. |
Fair Value Items Reduced market-related volatility impact of fair value items on earnings and capital: Implemented hedge accounting in mid-April 2008, which had the effect of reducing the volatility in earnings due to our derivatives mark-to-market associated with changes in interest rates. Net derivatives fair value gains recorded for the quarter were largely offset by net losses on trading securities and hedged mortgage assets, which were driven by an increase in interest rates in the quarter. The lower level of net losses on trading securities reflects the tightening of spreads in 2008 Q2. Losses on certain guaranty contracts were eliminated as a result of adopting SFAS 157 on January 1, 2008. In connection with adoption of SFAS 159 on January 1, 2008, selected agency MBS were moved to mark-to-market accounting to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on derivatives mark-to-market. Effect on 2008 Q2 Results of Operations of Significant Market-Based Valuation Adjustments |
2008 Q2 Estimated Attribution of Fair Value Gains, Net Fair Value Items Hedge accounting and trading assets reduced volatility caused by changes in interest rates during the quarter. Spread risk remains in the trading portfolio. ($14) $739 $517 $0 Interest Rates- Hedge Accounting Spreads Other Total $600 $400 $200 ($400) $19 (dollar in millions) $800 ($200) ($227) Interest Rates/ Volatility-Other |
Spread Sensitivity in Mortgage Securities Trading Portfolio Changes in spreads on trading securities have an impact on income and capital. |
Credit-Related Expenses/Credit Loss Performance Metrics Credit loss ratio (excluding the impact of SOP 03-3 and HomeSaver Advance) increased to 17.5 bps in 2008 Q2 from 12.6 bps in 2008 Q1. Allowance for loan losses and reserve for guaranty losses are influenced by a variety of factors such as delinquency trends, borrower behavior in rapidly declining markets, and the pace and depth of home price declines, particularly pronounced in certain regions. We expect our 2008 credit loss ratio to be within a range of 23 to 26 bps. We expect that our credit loss ratio will increase in 2009 relative to 2008. We expect our credit-related expenses to peak in 2008. We expect that the majority of the credit-related expenses that we will realize from our 2006 and 2007 vintages will be recognized by the end of 2008 through the combination of charge-offs, foreclosed property expense, and increases to our combined loss reserves, although we expect that the total amount of our credit-related expenses will be significant in 2009. Allowance for loan losses and reserve for guaranty losses grew as a result of the continued decline in home prices, which resulted in higher delinquencies, defaults and average loan loss severity. Credit remains a key focus of the company. |
Allowance for Loan Losses and Reserve for Guaranty Losses Substantial increase in combined loss reserves in 2008 Q1 and Q2. (1) Excludes the impact of SOP 03-3 and HSA. (Dollars in millions) |
Single-Family Credit Losses for 2008 Q2 By Vintage/Product Other Core Alt-A Subprime 2008 14 34 50 2 By Product Type Pre-2001 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2007 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.21 0.35 0.24 By Vintage Year The 2006 and 2007 books are performing significantly worse than typical given their age, primarily as a result of loans that were originated at peak home prices. Losses from Alt-A products increased, making up almost 50% of total credit losses. California has surpassed Michigan to represent the largest credit losses in 2008 Q2 due to higher loan balances and representation of Alt-A. Credit Losses by State MI OH CA MN FL VA GA IL AZ NV All Other 2007 161.2 45.6 315 48.3 82.7 49 42.1 27.2 71.7 55.6 225 Credit losses increased due to continued home price declines and overall economic weakness. |
As a result of a reduction in the number of seriously delinquent loans purchased from MBS trusts, SOP 03-3 losses decreased in 2008 Q2 as compared with 2008 Q1 even though the average market price of loans purchased fell from 60% in 2008 Q1 to 53% in 2008 Q2. We expect that HomeSaver AdvanceTM, initiated in March 2008, will continue to reduce the number of loans that we otherwise would have purchased out of MBS trusts in 2008. As of June 30, 2008, we held 17,901 HomeSaver Advance loans for $127 million in total advances provided to these borrowers with a carrying value of $4 million. Although we have decreased the number of our optional loan purchases since the end of 2007, we expect that our SOP 03-3 fair value losses for 2008 will be higher than the losses recorded for 2007 based on the number of required and optional loans we purchased from MBS trusts during the first six months of 2008 and the continued weakness in the housing market, which has reduced the market price of these loans. Losses on Seriously Delinquent Loans Purchased from Trusts/Cure Rates Re-performance Rates of Seriously Delinquent Single-Family Loans Purchased from MBS Trusts Lower level of losses on seriously delinquent loans purchased from MBS trusts was driven by reduced volume of loans acquired. (1) Includes value of primary mortgage insurance 17 |
Proactive Credit Management Underwriting/Pricing Stricter eligibility requirements - increased FICOs, lowered LTVs and increased documentation requirements Eliminating newly originated Alt-A business by year-end; Alt-A accounted for approximately 50% of our credit losses in 2008 Q2 Since last year, our new book of business overall has higher credit scores and lower loan-to-value ratios Increased and continue to increase guaranty pricing - effective October 1, 2008, adverse market delivery charge will be increased from 25 bps to 50 bps Resource Allocation Significantly increasing the number of Fannie Mae staff supporting loss mitigation efforts Deployed Fannie Mae management at all major servicers to support efforts to reduce delinquencies, partnering on borrower outreach campaigns and streamlining workout processes Opening offices in Florida, California and other targeted locations to ensure effective localized default prevention and disposition of foreclosed properties Default Prevention Imposing requirement that all foreclosures be referred to attorneys well versed in Fannie Mae workout options Incenting law firms to pursue loss mitigation activities Expanding use of HomeSaver Advance and other workout options Loss Mitigation - Severity Continue to increase our reviews of defaulted loans to pursue recoveries from lenders pursuant to representations and warranties in our original guaranty contracts Pursuing deficiencies against certain borrowers, particularly those that speculated and "walked-away" from their homes |
Investment Losses, Net 2008 Q2 other-than-temporary impairment of $507 million reflects a reduction in expected cash flows for primarily Alt-A and subprime private-label securities, driven by higher expected defaults and loss severities on the underlying mortgages. 2008 Q2 lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments resulted in losses of $240 million attributable to an increase in interest rates in the quarter. 2007 Q4 other-than-temporary impairment of $736 million was driven by impairment of securities in our liquid investment portfolio. Beginning in 2008 Q1, these securities were re-designated as trading and are marked-to-market through earnings as fair value gains (losses). Higher impairment losses and higher lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments drove the increase in investment losses in 2008 Q2. |
Alt-A and Subprime Private-Label Securities (PLS) in Portfolio Alt-A and subprime AFS securities continue to perform and are credit-enhanced. Since the beginning of 2007, Fannie Mae has recorded through earnings net losses of $3.4 billion on Alt-A and subprime private-label securities, including $2.7 billion in net losses on trading securities and $706 million in impairment of AFS securities. As of the end of 2008 Q2, unrealized losses on AFS securities decreased $371 million from the end of 2008 Q1. In July 2008, prices declined for Alt-A private-label securities, and to a lesser degree, for subprime private-label securities. |
Change in Estimated After-Tax Fair Value of Net Assets (Non-GAAP) (1) The estimated fair value of our net assets (non-GAAP) represents the estimated fair value of total assets less the estimated fair value of total liabilities. We reconcile the estimated fair value of our net assets (non-GAAP) to total stockholders' equity (GAAP) in Appendix II (pg 52) and in Table 32 of our 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q. Issuance of new capital and tightened credit spreads, offset by the increase in fair value of net guaranty obligations increased the fair value of net assets. Estimated fair value of net assets decreased $6.3 billion during 2008 Q2, excluding the effect of capital transactions, driven by an increase in the fair value of net guaranty obligations, offset by tightened credit spreads. Increase in the fair value of net guaranty obligations resulted from an increase in the underlying risk in our guaranty book as delinquencies increased and home prices declined, as well as from the increase in the risk premium required to take mortgage credit risk in the current market, as indicated by the pricing of our new guaranty business. (1) |
2008 Q2 Capital Surplus - Sources and Uses of Excess Capital As of June 30, 2008, Fannie Mae had $47.0 billion of core capital and a $9.4 billion capital surplus over the OFHEO-directed minimum capital requirement. 2008 Q2 capital surplus is a Fannie Mae estimate that has not been certified by OFHEO. As of March 31, 2008, our risk-based capital (RBC) was $24.6 billion in excess of the estimated statutory requirement of $23.1 billion (most recent published capital classification). Under new rules issued by OFHEO in June 2008, to be effective beginning with our 2008 Q3 capital classification, our RBC as of March 31, 2008 would have been $17.3 billion in excess of an estimated statutory requirement of $30.4 billion. ($0.3) ($0.3) ($0.3) ($0.6) Return of Capital Net Investment ($0.7) ($2.3) 2008 Q2 Net Loss |
APPENDIX I - Credit |
Home Price Growth Rates in the U.S. Growth rates are from period-end to period-end. We expect 2008 home price declines to be in the upper end of our estimated 7% to 9% range. We expect peak-to-trough declines in home prices to be in the upper end of our estimated 15% to 19% range. Note: Using the S&P/Case-Shiller weighting method, but excluding the increased impact of foreclosure sales on that index, our 2008 expected home price decline would be 10-13% (vs. 7-9%); our expected peak-to-trough decline would be 20-25% (vs. 15-19%). If we included foreclosed property sales in the index, the S&P/Case-Schiller equivalent to the Fannie Mae Home Price Index would be 12-16% for 2008 and 27-32% peak-to-trough. The S&P/Case-Shiller Index is value-weighted, whereas the Fannie Mae index is unit-weighted; hence the S&P/Case-Shiller index places greater weight on higher cost metropolitan areas. In addition, the S&P/Case Shiller index includes foreclosure sales; foreclosure sales are excluded from the Fannie Mae index and from this forecast. Foreclosure sales tend to depress the S&P/Case Shiller index relative to the Fannie Mae index. S&P/Case Shiller Index 9.8% 7.7% 10.6% 10.7% 14.6% 14.7% 0.2% -8.9% - -7 to -9% Fannie Mae Home Price Index 24 |
Two-Year Home Price Growth 2006 Q2 - 2008 Q2 Source: Fannie Mae. Based on available data as of August 1, 2008. Including subsequent data may produce different results. United States -8.0% West North Central - -2.6% 5.4% Mountain - -11.6% 9.4% West South Central 4.2% 7.0% East South Central 3.1% 3.8% East North Central - -6.8% 13.3% New England - -8.6% 6.0% Middle Atlantic - -3.2% 11.7% South Atlantic - -12.5% 21.5% Pacific - -20.3% 21.5% - - State/Region Growth Rate % - - % of Portfolio in UPB State Growth Below -15% - -15% to -10% - -5% to 0% 0% to 5% Above 5% - -10% to -5% |
Credit Loss Ratios/Delinquency Rates * Credit loss ratio is defined as [Net charge-offs (excluding impact of SOP 03-3 and HomeSaver Advance) + Foreclosed Property Expense (excluding impact of SOP 03-3)]/Average Guaranty Book of Business. Note: As of June 30, 2008, 21% of Fannie Mae's single-family guaranty book of business was credit enhanced. Increase in credit loss ratio reflects higher defaults, and average loan loss severities, driven by home price declines and overall economic weakness. Our credit loss ratio excludes the impact of SOP 03-3 and HomeSaver Advance. We expect a significant increase in our credit-related expenses and credit loss ratio in 2008 relative to 2007. We expect our 2008 credit loss ratio to be within a range of 23 to 26 bps. We also believe that our credit loss ratio will increase in 2009 relative to 2008. |
Includes loans that are 90 days or more past due and loans in the process of foreclosure. Fannie Mae Single-Family Conventional Credit Book SDQ Rate vs. Mortgage Bankers Association Prime Conventional SDQ Rate % of Loans Seriously Delinquent (1) Table includes the most recent available MBA data. (1) |
Characteristics of Fannie Mae Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business Product Types Occupancy June 30, 2008 June 30, 2008 Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business $2.8 trillion Weighted Average FICO 722 Weighted Average Original LTV 72% Weighted Average MTM LTV 65% Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio. Long Term and Intermediate Term Fixed Rate 86% IO ARM 5% Other ARMs 5% IO Fixed 3% Neg Am 1% Investor 5% Second / Vacation Home 5% Primary Residence 90% |
Fannie Mae Alt-A and Subprime Exposure as of June 30, 2008 Total Exposure of $48.3 billion Subprime "Alt-A mortgage loan" generally refers to a mortgage loan that can be underwritten with reduced or alternative documentation than that required for a full documentation mortgage loan but may also include other alternative product features. As a result, Alt-A mortgage loans generally have a higher risk of default than non-Alt-A mortgage loans. In reporting our Alt-A exposure, we have classified mortgage loans as Alt-A if the lenders that deliver the mortgage loans to us have classified the loans as Alt-A based on documentation or other product features. We have classified private-label mortgage-related securities held in our investment portfolio as Alt-A if the securities were labeled as such when issued. "Subprime mortgage loan" generally refers to a mortgage loan made to a borrower with a weaker credit profile than that of a prime borrower. As a result of the weaker credit profile, subprime borrowers have a higher likelihood of default than prime borrowers. Subprime mortgage loans are typically originated by lenders specializing in this type of business or by subprime divisions of large lenders, using processes unique to subprime loans. In reporting our subprime exposure, we have classified mortgage loans as subprime if the mortgage loans are originated by one of these specialty lenders or a subprime division of a large lender. We have classified private-label mortgage-related securities held in our investment portfolio as subprime if the securities were labeled as such when issued. Total Exposure of $340.0 billion Alt-A PLS Wrap $0.6 billion (None Held in Portfolio) Purchased or Guaranteed Loans $309.9 billion PLS Portfolio Investment $29.5 billion PLS Wrap $12.0 billion ($8.0 billion Held in Portfolio) PLS Portfolio Investment $28.3 B Purchased or Guaranteed Loans $8.0 billion |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Key Product Features Note: Categories are not mutually exclusive; numbers are not additive across columns. Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business * Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio. |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Vintage and Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business by Vintage * Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio. |
Data as of June 30, 2008 is not necessarily indicative of the ultimate performance and are likely to change, perhaps materially, in future periods. Consistent with industry trends, 2006 and 2007 vintages performing poorly. Defaults for the 2008 vintage through 2008 Q2 have been negligible. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Note: Cumulative default rates include loans that have been liquidated other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and include loan foreclosures, preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by State Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business by State * Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio. |
Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rates by State and Region |
Home Price Growth/Decline and Fannie Mae Real Estate Owned (REO) in Key States On a national basis, REO net sales prices compared with unpaid principal balances of mortgage loans have decreased as follows, driving increases in loss severities. 93% in 2005, 89% in 2006, 78% in 2007, 74% in 2008 Q1, and 74% in 2008 Q2 Single-Family REO and Home Price Statistics for Selected States (1) |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Credit Profile by Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Mortgage Credit Book of Business by Vintage * Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio. |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Loans Versus Loans Underlying Private-Label Alt-A Securities All data and CDRs (market data and Fannie Mae data) for 2008 Q2 are based on April-08 data. PLS data are from First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance. LoanPerformance estimates it captures 97 percent of Alt-A PLS. The PLS data includes some loans that Fannie Mae holds in its Alt-A securities portfolio. All summary collateral characteristics are weighted averages using current loan balances. Certain amounts have been calculated by Fannie Mae. Fannie Mae's Alt-A guaranteed book of business has more favorable credit characteristics than the loans backing private-label Alt-A securities (PLS) and is performing better across vintages. Source: First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance data. Note: The last data point on each curve is as of April 30, 2008. Private label security data is from Loan Performance. |
Alt-A Risk Management Alt-A Eligibility and Pricing: Alt-A acquisition volume has declined due to several eligibility and pricing increases implemented to date. Effective January 1, 2009, we are discontinuing the purchase of newly originated lender-channel Alt-A loans. UPB ($Bn) Share of Total Quarterly Acquisitions New Business: |
Fannie Mae Alt-A and Subprime Private-Label Security Exposure - Securities/Wraps The percentages of our Alt-A private-label mortgage-related securities rated AAA and AA to BBB- were 96.4% and 3.6%, respectively, as of July 31, 2008, compared with 100.0% and 0.0%, respectively, as of April 30, 2008. None of these securities were rated below investment grade as of July 31, 2008 or April 30, 2008. Approximately $4.1 billion, or 13.8%, of our Alt-A private-label mortgage-related securities had been placed under review for possible credit downgrade or on negative watch as of July 31, 2008. The percentages of our subprime private-label mortgage-related securities rated AAA and AA+ to BBB- were 41.5% and 48.2%, respectively, as of July 31, 2008, compared with 42.3% and 47.9%, respectively, as of April 30, 2008. The percentage of these securities rated below investment grade rose to 10.3% as of July 31, 2008. Approximately $6.2 billion, or 21.8%, of our subprime private-label mortgage-related securities had been placed under review for possible credit downgrade or on negative watch as of July 31, 2008. |
Investments in Alt-A Mortgage-Related Securities (Option ARM) All data as of June 30, 2008 |
Investments in Alt-A Mortgage-Related Securities (Other) All data as of June 30, 2008 |
Investments in Subprime Mortgage-Related Securities All data as of June 30, 2008 |
Investments in Alt-A and Subprime Private-Label Wraps All data as of June 30, 2008 |
Counterparty Exposure |
Counterparty Exposure - Mortgage Insurers |
APPENDIX II - Other |
Economic Environment - Interest Rates Source: Treasury: Federal Reserve H.15 Publication. Swap and Volatility: Bloomberg & LehmanLive.com. Net interest yield increased due to reduced funding costs in 2008 Q2. Swap rates increased, triggering gains on derivatives. Increase in interest rates drove the fair value losses on trading securities and hedged mortgage assets, offsetting the derivatives gains. 1-Year and 10-Year Treasuries Swap Rates Volatility (3x7 Swaption Volatility) |
Statements of Operations by Segment |
Changes in Risk Management Derivative Assets (Liabilities) at Fair Value, Net |
Purchased Options Premiums |
Spreads on Mortgage Investments MBS FNMA 30 Year MBS FNMA 15 Year MBS Hybrid Arm CMBS AAA ABS Flt HEL December 2007 19 32 54 84 292 March 2008 58 83 117 194 552 June 2008 55.9 59.4 73 195.4 598.5 July 2008 79 85 116 240 608 Illustrative Spreads on Select Mortgage Assets Source: LehmanLive Note: Spreads to LIBOR. (bps) |
The following sets forth a reconciliation of the estimated fair value of our net assets (non-GAAP) to total stockholders' equity (GAAP). A more detailed reconciliation is contained in Table 32 of the 2008 Q2 Form 10-Q. 2008 Q1 detailed reconciliation is contained in Table 32 of the 2008 Q1 Form 10-Q. |