Federally chartered corporation (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
000-50231 (Commission File Number) |
52-0883107 (IRS Employer Identification Number) |
3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW Washington, DC (Address of principal executive offices) |
20016 (Zip Code) |
o | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) | |
o | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) | |
o | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) | |
o | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION |
||||
By | /s/ David M. Johnson | |||
David M. Johnson | ||||
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer | ||||
Exhibit Number | Description of Exhibit | |
99.1
|
News release, dated May 8, 2009 | |
99.2
|
2009 First Quarter Credit Supplement presentation, dated May 8, 2009 |
Contact:
|
Brian Faith 202-752-6720 |
|
Number:
|
4697a | |
Date:
|
May 8, 2009 |
(dollars in millions) | 1Q09 | 4Q08 | Variance | 1Q09 | 1Q08 | Variance | ||||||||||||||||||
Net interest income |
$ | 3,248 | $ | 2,680 | $ | 568 | $ | 3,248 | $ | 1,690 | $ | 1,558 | ||||||||||||
Guaranty fee income |
1,752 | 2,786 | (1,034 | ) | 1,752 | 1,752 | | |||||||||||||||||
Trust management income |
11 | 14 | (3 | ) | 11 | 107 | (96 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Fee and other income |
181 | 156 | 25 | 181 | 227 | (46 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Net revenues |
5,192 | 5,636 | (444 | ) | 5,192 | 3,776 | 1,416 | |||||||||||||||||
Fair value losses, net (1) |
(1,460 | ) | (12,322 | ) | 10,862 | (1,460 | ) | (4,377 | ) | 2,917 | ||||||||||||||
Investment losses, net |
(5,430 | ) | (4,602 | ) | (828 | ) | (5,430 | ) | (111 | ) | (5,319 | ) | ||||||||||||
Losses from partnership investments |
(357 | ) | (631 | ) | 274 | (357 | ) | (141 | ) | (216 | ) | |||||||||||||
Credit-related expenses (2) |
(20,872 | ) | (11,976 | ) | (8,896 | ) | (20,872 | ) | (3,243 | ) | (17,629 | ) | ||||||||||||
Administrative expenses |
(523 | ) | (554 | ) | 31 | (523 | ) | (512 | ) | (11 | ) | |||||||||||||
Other non-interest expenses (3) |
(358 | ) | (356 | ) | (2 | ) | (358 | ) | (505 | ) | 147 | |||||||||||||
Net losses and expenses |
(29,000 | ) | (30,441 | ) | 1,441 | (29,000 | ) | (8,889 | ) | (20,111 | ) | |||||||||||||
Loss before federal income taxes
and extraordinary losses |
(23,808 | ) | (24,805 | ) | 997 | (23,808 | ) | (5,113 | ) | (18,695 | ) | |||||||||||||
(Provision) benefit for federal income taxes |
623 | (142 | ) | 765 | 623 | 2,928 | (2,305 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect |
| (280 | ) | 280 | | (1 | ) | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Net loss |
(23,185 | ) | (25,227 | ) | 2,042 | (23,185 | ) | (2,186 | ) | (20,999 | ) | |||||||||||||
Less: net loss attributable to the noncontrolling interest |
17 | | 17 | 17 | | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net loss attributable to Fannie Mae |
$ | (23,168 | ) | $ | (25,227 | ) | $ | 2,059 | $ | (23,168 | ) | $ | (2,186 | ) | $ | (20,982 | ) | |||||||
Diluted loss per common share |
$ | (4.09 | ) | $ | (4.47 | ) | $ | 0.38 | $ | (4.09 | ) | $ | (2.57 | ) | $ | (1.52 | ) | |||||||
(1) | Consists of the following: (a) derivatives fair value gains (losses), net; (b) trading securities gains (losses), net; (c) hedged mortgage assets gains (losses), net; (d) debt foreign exchange gains (losses), net; and (e) debt fair value gains (losses), net. | |
(2) | Consists of provision for credit losses and foreclosed property expense. | |
(3) | Consists of the following: (a) debt extinguishment gains (losses), net; and (b) other expenses. | |
| Net interest income was $3.2 billion, up 21 percent from $2.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 2008, due to lower funding costs, which more than offset a decline in the average yield on our interest-earning assets. | |
| Guaranty fee income was $1.8 billion, down 37 percent from $2.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2008, reflecting a slower rate of recognition of deferred guaranty amounts into income in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the fourth quarter of 2008. The rate at which we recognize deferred guaranty amounts into income fluctuates with changes in expected mortgage prepayment rates. Although mortgage interest rates declined during the first quarter of 2009, the decrease was not as significant as the decrease in mortgage interest rates during the fourth quarter of 2008. |
| HomeSaver Advance loans of 20,424, compared with 25,783 in the fourth quarter of 2008. |
| Loan modifications of 12,418, compared with 6,276 in the fourth quarter of 2008. |
| Repayment plans/forbearances of 7,445, compared with 4,896 in the fourth quarter of 2008. Fourth-quarter repayment plans, which previously reflected those plans associated with loans that were 90 days or more delinquent, have been adjusted to reflect repayment plans associated with loans that were 60 days or more delinquent. |
| Preforeclosure sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure of 5,971, compared with 4,668 in the fourth quarter of 2008. |
As of | ||||||||
March 31, |
December 31, |
|||||||
2009 | 2008 | |||||||
ASSETS
|
||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents
|
$ | 23,246 | $ | 17,933 | ||||
Restricted cash
|
1,907 | 529 | ||||||
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
53,195 | 57,418 | ||||||
Investments in securities:
|
||||||||
Trading, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of $56,254 and
$58,006, respectively)
|
86,278 | 90,806 | ||||||
Available-for-sale,
at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of $175,222 and $176,244,
respectively)
|
261,041 | 266,488 | ||||||
Total investments in securities
|
347,319 | 357,294 | ||||||
Mortgage loans:
|
||||||||
Loans held for sale, at lower of cost or fair value
|
22,915 | 13,270 | ||||||
Loans held for investment, at amortized cost
|
410,978 | 415,065 | ||||||
Allowance for loan losses
|
(4,830 | ) | (2,923 | ) | ||||
Total loans held for investment, net of allowance
|
406,148 | 412,142 | ||||||
Total mortgage loans
|
429,063 | 425,412 | ||||||
Advances to lenders
|
14,721 | 5,766 | ||||||
Accrued interest receivable
|
3,690 | 3,816 | ||||||
Acquired property, net
|
6,630 | 6,918 | ||||||
Derivative assets at fair value
|
1,369 | 869 | ||||||
Guaranty assets
|
6,782 | 7,043 | ||||||
Deferred tax assets, net
|
1,658 | 3,926 | ||||||
Partnership investments
|
8,869 | 9,314 | ||||||
Servicer and MBS trust receivable
|
10,736 | 6,482 | ||||||
Other assets
|
10,453 | 9,684 | ||||||
Total assets
|
$ | 919,638 | $ | 912,404 | ||||
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY (DEFICIT)
|
||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||
Accrued interest payable
|
$ | 5,710 | $ | 5,947 | ||||
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
12 | 77 | ||||||
Short-term debt (includes debt at fair value of $ and
$4,500, respectively)
|
274,682 | 330,991 | ||||||
Long-term debt (includes debt at fair value of $20,271 and
$21,565, respectively)
|
579,319 | 539,402 | ||||||
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
3,169 | 2,715 | ||||||
Reserve for guaranty losses (includes $3,253 and $1,946,
respectively, related to Fannie Mae MBS included in Investments
in securities)
|
36,876 | 21,830 | ||||||
Guaranty obligations (includes $707 and $755, respectively,
related to Fannie Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
|
11,673 | 12,147 | ||||||
Partnership liabilities
|
2,973 | 3,243 | ||||||
Servicer and MBS trust payable
|
11,456 | 6,350 | ||||||
Other liabilities
|
12,697 | 4,859 | ||||||
Total liabilities
|
938,567 | 927,561 | ||||||
Commitments and contingencies (Note 19)
|
| | ||||||
Equity (Deficit):
|
||||||||
Fannie Mae stockholders equity (deficit):
|
||||||||
Senior preferred stock, 1,000,000 shares issued and
outstanding as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008
|
16,200 | 1,000 | ||||||
Preferred stock, 700,000,000 shares are
authorized585,368,895 and 597,071,401 shares issued
and outstanding as of March 31, 2009 and December 31,
2008, respectively
|
20,629 | 21,222 | ||||||
Common stock, no par value, no maximum
authorization1,256,994,774 and 1,238,880,988 shares
issued as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008,
respectively; 1,104,624,801 shares and
1,085,424,213 shares outstanding as of March 31, 2009
and December 31, 2008, respectively
|
660 | 650 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital
|
4,198 | 3,621 | ||||||
Accumulated deficit
|
(49,957 | ) | (26,790 | ) | ||||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
|
(3,418 | ) | (7,673 | ) | ||||
Treasury stock, at cost, 152,369,973 shares and
153,456,775 shares as of March 31, 2009 and
December 31, 2008, respectively
|
(7,378 | ) | (7,344 | ) | ||||
Total Fannie Mae stockholders deficit
|
(19,066 | ) | (15,314 | ) | ||||
Noncontrolling interest
|
137 | 157 | ||||||
Total deficit
|
(18,929 | ) | (15,157 | ) | ||||
Total liabilities and equity (deficit)
|
$ | 919,638 | $ | 912,404 | ||||
For the |
||||||||
Three Months Ended |
||||||||
March 31, | ||||||||
2009 | 2008 | |||||||
Interest income:
|
||||||||
Trading securities
|
$ | 990 | $ | 1,737 | ||||
Available-for-sale
securities
|
3,721 | 3,085 | ||||||
Mortgage loans
|
5,598 | 5,662 | ||||||
Other
|
127 | 458 | ||||||
Total interest income
|
10,436 | 10,942 | ||||||
Interest expense:
|
||||||||
Short-term debt
|
1,107 | 2,561 | ||||||
Long-term debt
|
6,081 | 6,691 | ||||||
Total interest expense
|
7,188 | 9,252 | ||||||
Net interest income
|
3,248 | 1,690 | ||||||
Guaranty fee income (includes imputed interest of $150 and $235,
respectively)
|
1,752 | 1,752 | ||||||
Trust management income
|
11 | 107 | ||||||
Investment losses, net
|
(5,430 | ) | (111 | ) | ||||
Fair value losses, net
|
(1,460 | ) | (4,377 | ) | ||||
Debt extinguishment losses, net
|
(79 | ) | (145 | ) | ||||
Losses from partnership investments
|
(357 | ) | (141 | ) | ||||
Fee and other income
|
181 | 227 | ||||||
Non-interest loss
|
(5,382 | ) | (2,688 | ) | ||||
Administrative expenses:
|
||||||||
Salaries and employee benefits
|
293 | 286 | ||||||
Professional services
|
143 | 136 | ||||||
Occupancy expenses
|
48 | 54 | ||||||
Other administrative expenses
|
39 | 36 | ||||||
Total administrative expenses
|
523 | 512 | ||||||
Provision for credit losses
|
20,334 | 3,073 | ||||||
Foreclosed property expense
|
538 | 170 | ||||||
Other expenses
|
279 | 360 | ||||||
Total expenses
|
21,674 | 4,115 | ||||||
Loss before federal income taxes and extraordinary losses
|
(23,808 | ) | (5,113 | ) | ||||
Benefit for federal income taxes
|
(623 | ) | (2,928 | ) | ||||
Loss before extraordinary losses
|
(23,185 | ) | (2,185 | ) | ||||
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect
|
| (1 | ) | |||||
Net loss
|
(23,185 | ) | (2,186 | ) | ||||
Less: Net loss attributable to the noncontrolling interest
|
17 | | ||||||
Net loss attributable to Fannie Mae
|
(23,168 | ) | (2,186 | ) | ||||
Preferred stock dividends
|
(29 | ) | (322 | ) | ||||
Net loss available to common stockholders
|
$ | (23,197 | ) | $ | (2,508 | ) | ||
Loss per share:
|
||||||||
Basic
|
$ | (4.09 | ) | $ | (2.57 | ) | ||
Diluted
|
(4.09 | ) | (2.57 | ) | ||||
Cash dividends per common share
|
$ | | $ | 0.35 | ||||
Weighted-average common shares outstanding:
|
||||||||
Basic and Diluted
|
5,666 | 975 |
For the |
||||||||
Three Months |
||||||||
Ended March 31, | ||||||||
2009 | 2008 | |||||||
Cash flows (used in) provided by operating activities:
|
||||||||
Net loss
|
$ | (23,185 | ) | $ | (2,186 | ) | ||
Amortization of debt cost basis adjustments
|
1,324 | 2,731 | ||||||
Provision for credit losses
|
20,334 | 3,073 | ||||||
Valuation losses
|
5,403 | 1,202 | ||||||
Derivatives fair value adjustments
|
(3 | ) | 1,971 | |||||
Current and deferred federal income taxes
|
(1,713 | ) | (3,148 | ) | ||||
Purchases of loans held for sale
|
(33,332 | ) | (15,103 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for sale
|
295 | 132 | ||||||
Net change in trading securities
|
1,949 | 42,483 | ||||||
Other, net
|
(1,417 | ) | (1,037 | ) | ||||
Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities
|
(30,345 | ) | 30,118 | |||||
Cash flows provided by investing activities:
|
||||||||
Purchases of trading securities held for investment
|
| (389 | ) | |||||
Proceeds from maturities of trading securities held for
investment
|
2,656 | 2,461 | ||||||
Proceeds from sales of trading securities held for investment
|
38 | 2,443 | ||||||
Purchases of
available-for-sale
securities
|
(22,697 | ) | (5,318 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from maturities of
available-for-sale
securities
|
9,731 | 8,291 | ||||||
Proceeds from sales of
available-for-sale
securities
|
53,972 | 3,055 | ||||||
Purchases of loans held for investment
|
(9,859 | ) | (14,712 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for investment
|
13,994 | 12,655 | ||||||
Advances to lenders
|
(22,877 | ) | (29,778 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from disposition of acquired property
|
4,554 | 1,734 | ||||||
Reimbursements to servicers for loan advances
|
(4,434 | ) | (2,061 | ) | ||||
Net change in federal funds sold and securities purchased under
agreements to resell
|
13,405 | 29,194 | ||||||
Other, net
|
(195 | ) | 162 | |||||
Net cash provided by investing activities
|
38,288 | 7,737 | ||||||
Cash flows used in financing activities:
|
||||||||
Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt
|
360,173 | 505,103 | ||||||
Payments to redeem short-term debt
|
(417,553 | ) | (525,882 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
|
105,057 | 87,972 | ||||||
Payments to redeem long-term debt
|
(65,417 | ) | (106,179 | ) | ||||
Proceeds from senior preferred stock agreement with U.S. Treasury
|
15,200 | | ||||||
Net change in federal funds purchased and securities sold under
agreements to repurchase
|
(65 | ) | (149 | ) | ||||
Other, net
|
(25 | ) | (664 | ) | ||||
Net cash used in financing activities
|
(2,630 | ) | (39,799 | ) | ||||
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
|
5,313 | (1,944 | ) | |||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
|
17,933 | 3,941 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
|
$ | 23,246 | $ | 1,997 | ||||
Cash paid during the period for:
|
||||||||
Interest
|
$ | 7,806 | $ | 10,187 | ||||
Income taxes
|
848 | 220 | ||||||
Non-cash activities:
|
||||||||
Securitization-related transfers from mortgage loans held for
sale to investments in securities
|
$ | 22,933 | $ | 10,445 | ||||
Net transfers of loans held for sale to loans held for investment
|
705 | 3,275 | ||||||
Net consolidation transfers from investments in securities to
mortgage loans held for sale
|
113 | 83 | ||||||
Net transfers from
available-for-sale
securities to mortgage loans held for sale
|
292 | 272 | ||||||
Transfers from advances to lenders to investments in securities
(including transfers to trading securities of $ and
$28,333 for the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2008,
respectively)
|
13,131 | 28,841 | ||||||
Net consolidation-related transfers from investments in
securities to mortgage loans held for investment
|
1,647 | 655 | ||||||
Net transfers from mortgage loans to acquired property
|
916 | 1,053 | ||||||
Transfers to trading securities from the effect of adopting
SFAS 159
|
| 56,217 |
Fannie Mae Stockholders Equity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained |
Accumulated |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares Outstanding |
Additional |
Earnings |
Other |
Non |
Total |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Senior |
Senior |
Preferred |
Common |
Paid-In |
(Accumulated |
Comprehensive |
Treasury |
Controlling |
Equity |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred | Preferred | Common | Preferred | Stock | Stock | Capital | Deficit) | Loss(1) | Stock | Interest | (Deficit) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of December 31, 2007
|
| 466 | 974 | $ | | $ | 16,913 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,831 | $ | 33,548 | $ | (1,362 | ) | $ | (7,512 | ) | $ | 107 | $ | 44,118 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative effect from the adoption of SFAS 157 and
SFAS 159, net of tax
|
| | | | | | | 148 | (93 | ) | | | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of January 1, 2008, adjusted
|
| 466 | 974 | | 16,913 | 593 | 1,831 | 33,696 | (1,455 | ) | (7,512 | ) | 107 | 44,173 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in investment in noncontrolling interest
|
| | | | | | | | | | 51 | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive loss:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss
|
| | | | | | | (2,186 | ) | | | | (2,186 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on
available-for-sale
securities (net of tax of $1,260)
|
| | | | | | | | (2,339 | ) | | | (2,339 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net loss (net
of tax of $5)
|
| | | | | | | | (9 | ) | | | (9 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups (net
of tax of $20)
|
| | | | | | | | (38 | ) | | | (38 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive loss
|
(4,572 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock dividends ($0.35 per share)
|
| | | | | | | (344 | ) | | | | (344 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock dividends declared
|
| | | | | | | (322 | ) | | | (322 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other, employee benefit plans
|
| | 1 | | | | (209 | ) | | | 217 | | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of March 31, 2008
|
| 466 | 975 | $ | | $ | 16,913 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,622 | $ | 30,844 | $ | (3,841 | ) | $ | (7,295 | ) | 158 | $ | 38,994 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of January 1, 2009
|
1 | 597 | 1,085 | $ | 1,000 | $ | 21,222 | $ | 650 | $ | 3,621 | $ | (26,790 | ) | $ | (7,673 | ) | $ | (7,344 | ) | $ | 157 | $ | (15,157 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in investment in noncontrolling interest
|
| | | | | | | | | | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive loss:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss
|
| | | | | | | (23,168 | ) | | | (17 | ) | (23,185 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on
available-for-sale
securities (net of tax of $2,250)
|
| | | | | | | | 4,179 | | | 4,179 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net loss (net
of tax of $17)
|
| | | | | | | | 32 | | | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups
|
| | | | | | | | 29 | | | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior service cost and actuarial gains, net of amortization for
defined benefit plans
|
| | | | | | | | 15 | | | 15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive loss
|
(18,930 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Senior preferred stock dividends
|
| | | | | | (25 | ) | | | | | (25 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Increase to Senior Preferred liquidation preference
|
| | | 15,200 | | | | | | | 15,200 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Conversion of convertible preferred stock into common stock
|
| (12 | ) | 19 | | (593 | ) | 10 | 583 | | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other, employee benefit plans
|
| | 1 | | | | 19 | 1 | | (34 | ) | | (14 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of March 31, 2009
|
1 | 585 | 1,105 | $ | 16,200 | $ | 20,629 | $ | 660 | $ | 4,198 | $ | (49,957 | ) | $ | (3,418 | ) | $ | (7,378 | ) | $ | 137 | $ | (18,929 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(1) | Accumulated other comprehensive loss is comprised of $3.1 billion, and $4.1 billion in net unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities, net of tax, and $(338) million, and $244 million in net unrealized gains (losses) on all other components, net of tax, as of March 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively. |
As of March 31, 2009 | As of December 31, 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP |
GAAP |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
Carrying |
Fair Value |
Estimated |
Carrying |
Fair Value |
Estimated |
|||||||||||||||||||
Value | Adjustment(1) | Fair Value | Value | Adjustment(1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assets:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents
|
$ | 25,153 | $ | | $ | 25,153 | (2) | $ | 18,462 | $ | | $ | 18,462 | (2) | ||||||||||
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
53,195 | 45 | 53,240 | (2) | 57,418 | 2 | 57,420 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Trading securities
|
86,278 | | 86,278 | (2) | 90,806 | | 90,806 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Available-for-sale securities
|
261,041 | | 261,041 | (2) | 266,488 | | 266,488 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale
|
22,915 | 581 | 23,496 | (3) | 13,270 | 351 | 13,621 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan
losses
|
406,148 | 8,835 | 414,983 | (3) | 412,142 | 3,069 | 415,211 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
| 2,381 | 2,381 | (3)(4) | | 2,255 | 2,255 | (3)(4) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
| (14,701 | ) | (14,701 | )(3)(4) | | (11,396 | ) | (11,396 | )(3)(4) | ||||||||||||||
Total mortgage loans
|
429,063 | (2,904 | ) | 426,159 | (2)(3) | 425,412 | (5,721 | ) | 419,691 | (2)(3) | ||||||||||||||
Advances to lenders
|
14,721 | (336 | ) | 14,385 | (2) | 5,766 | (354 | ) | 5,412 | (2) | ||||||||||||||
Derivative assets at fair value
|
1,369 | | 1,369 | (2) | 869 | | 869 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty assets and
buy-ups, net
|
7,419 | 1,682 | 9,101 | (2)(4) | 7,688 | 1,336 | 9,024 | (2)(4) | ||||||||||||||||
Total financial assets
|
878,239 | (1,513 | ) | 876,726 | (2) | 872,909 | (4,737 | ) | 868,172 | (2) | ||||||||||||||
Master servicing assets and credit enhancements
|
1,060 | 6,656 | 7,716 | (4)(5) | 1,232 | 7,035 | 8,267 | (4)(5) | ||||||||||||||||
Other assets
|
40,339 | 70 | 40,409 | (5)(6) | 38,263 | (2 | ) | 38,261 | (5)(6) | |||||||||||||||
Total assets
|
$ | 919,638 | $ | 5,213 | $ | 924,851 | $ | 912,404 | $ | 2,296 | $ | 914,700 | ||||||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
$ | 12 | $ | | $ | 12 | (2) | $ | 77 | $ | | $ | 77 | (2) | ||||||||||
Short-term debt
|
274,682 | (7) | 581 | 275,263 | (2) | 330,991 | (7) | 1,299 | 332,290 | (2) | ||||||||||||||
Long-term debt
|
579,319 | (7) | 29,463 | 608,782 | (2) | 539,402 | (7) | 34,879 | 574,281 | (2) | ||||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
3,169 | | 3,169 | (2) | 2,715 | | 2,715 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty obligations
|
11,673 | 104,093 | 115,766 | (2) | 12,147 | 78,728 | 90,875 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Total financial liabilities
|
868,855 | 134,137 | 1,002,992 | (2) | 885,332 | 114,906 | 1,000,238 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities
|
69,712 | (37,676 | ) | 32,036 | (8) | 42,229 | (22,774 | ) | 19,455 | (8) | ||||||||||||||
Total liabilities
|
938,567 | 96,461 | 1,035,028 | 927,561 | 92,132 | 1,019,693 | ||||||||||||||||||
Equity (deficit):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fannie Mae stockholders equity (deficit):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Senior preferred
|
16,200 | | 16,200 | 1,000 | | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||||||
Preferred
|
20,629 | (20,160 | ) | 469 | 21,222 | (20,674 | ) | 548 | ||||||||||||||||
Common
|
(55,895 | ) | (71,088 | ) | (126,983 | ) | (37,536 | ) | (69,162 | ) | (106,698 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total Fannie Mae stockholders deficit/non-GAAP fair
value of net assets
|
$ | (19,066 | ) | $ | (91,248 | ) | $ | (110,314 | ) | $ | (15,314 | ) | $ | (89,836 | ) | $ | (105,150 | ) | ||||||
Noncontrolling interests
|
137 | | 137 | 157 | | 157 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total deficit
|
(18,929 | ) | (91,248 | ) | (110,177 | ) | (15,157 | ) | (89,836 | ) | (104,993 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
$ | 919,638 | $ | 5,213 | $ | 924,851 | $ | 912,404 | $ | 2,296 | $ | 914,700 | ||||||||||||
|
(1) | Each of the amounts listed as a fair value adjustment represents the difference between the carrying value included in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets and our best judgment of the estimated fair value of the listed item. | |
(2) | We determined the estimated fair value of these financial instruments in accordance with the fair value guidelines outlined in SFAS 157, as described in Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 18, Fair Value of Financial Instruments. | |
(3) | For business segment reporting purposes, we allocate intra-company guaranty fee income to our Single-Family and HCD businesses for managing the credit risk on mortgage loans held in portfolio by our Capital Markets group and |
charge a corresponding fee to our Capital Markets group. In computing this intra-company allocation, we disaggregate the total mortgage loans reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets, which consists of Mortgage loans held for sale and Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses into components that separately reflect the value associated with credit risk, which is managed by our guaranty businesses, and the interest rate risk, which is managed by our Capital Markets group. We report the estimated fair value of the credit risk components separately in our supplemental non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets as Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio and Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio. We report the estimated fair value of the interest rate risk components in our supplemental non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets as Mortgage loans held for sale and Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses. Taken together, these four components represent the estimated fair value of the total mortgage loans reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets. We believe this presentation provides transparency into the components of the fair value of the mortgage loans associated with the activities of our guaranty businesses and the components of the activities of our Capital Markets group, which is consistent with the way we manage risks and allocate revenues and expenses for segment reporting purposes. While the carrying values and estimated fair values of the individual line items may differ from the amounts presented in Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 18, Fair Value of Financial Instruments of the condensed consolidated financial statements in this report, the combined amounts together equal the carrying value and estimated fair value amounts of total mortgage loans in Note 18. | ||
(4) | In our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets, we report the guaranty assets associated with our outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other guarantees as a separate line item and include buy-ups, master servicing assets and credit enhancements associated with our guaranty assets in Other assets. On a GAAP basis, our guaranty assets totaled $6.8 billion and $7.0 billion as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. The associated buy-ups totaled $637 million and $645 million as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. In our non-GAAP fair value balance sheets, we also disclose the estimated guaranty assets and obligations related to mortgage loans held in our portfolio. The aggregate estimated fair value of the guaranty asset-related components totaled $4.5 billion and $8.2 billion as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. These components represent the sum of the following line items in this table: (i) Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio; (ii) Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio, (iii) Guaranty assets and buy-ups; and (iv) Master servicing assets and credit enhancements. See Part IIItem 7MD&ACritical Accounting Policies and EstimatesFair Value of Financial InstrumentsFair Value of Guaranty Obligations of our 2008 Form 10-K. | |
(5) | The line items Master servicing assets and credit enhancements and Other assets together consist of the assets presented on the following six line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest receivable; (ii) Acquired property, net; (iii) Deferred tax assets, net; (iv) Partnership investments; (v) Servicer and MBS trust receivable and (vi) Other assets. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets together totaled $42.0 billion and $40.1 billion as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. We deduct the carrying value of the buy-ups associated with our guaranty obligation, which totaled $637 million and $645 million as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, from Other assets reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets because buy-ups are a financial instrument that we combine with guaranty assets in our disclosure in Note 18. We have estimated the fair value of master servicing assets and credit enhancements based on our fair value methodologies described in Notes to Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 20, Fair Value of Financial Instruments of our 2008 Form 10-K. | |
(6) | With the exception of LIHTC partnership investments, the GAAP carrying values of other assets generally approximate fair value. Our LIHTC partnership investments had a carrying value of $6.1 billion and $6.3 billion and an estimated fair value of $6.3 billion and $6.5 billion as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. We assume that certain other assets, consisting primarily of prepaid expenses, have no fair value. | |
(7) | Includes certain short-term debt and long-term debt instruments that we elected to report at fair value under SFAS No. 159, The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial LiabilitiesIncluding an amendment of FASB Statement No. 115, in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets. The fair value of the long-term debt instruments was $20.3 billion, as of March 31, 2009. The fair value of these short-term and long-term debt instruments were $4.5 billion and $21.6 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2008. | |
(8) | The line item Other liabilities consists of the liabilities presented on the following five line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest payable; (ii) Reserve for guaranty losses; (iii) Partnership liabilities; (iv) Servicer and MBS trust payable; and (v) Other liabilities. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets together totaled $69.7 billion and $42.2 billion as of March 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. The GAAP carrying values of these other liabilities generally approximate fair value. We assume that certain other liabilities, such as deferred revenues, have no fair value. Although we report the Reserve for guaranty losses as a separate line item on our condensed consolidated balance sheets, it is incorporated into and reported as part of the fair value of our guaranty obligations in our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets. |
Exhibit 99.2 Fannie Mae 2009 First Quarter Credit Supplement May 8, 2009 |
These materials present tables and other information about Fannie Mae, including information contained in Fannie Maes Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2009, the 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q. Some of the terms used in these materials are defined and discussed more fully in the 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q and Fannie Maes Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, 2008 Form 10-K. These materials should be reviewed together with the 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K, copies of which are available on Fannie Maes Web site at www.fanniemae.com under the Investor Relations section of the Web site. |
This presentation includes forward-looking statements relating to future home price declines. These statements are based on our opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts and other views on a variety of economic and other information, and changes in the assumptions and other information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The impact of future home price declines on our business, results or financial condition will depend on many other factors. 1 |
Table of Contents |
Slide |
Home Price Growth/Decline Rates in the U.S. 3 |
Home Price Declines Peak-to-Current (by State) as of 2009 Q1 4 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Key Product Features 5 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Vintage and Key Product Features 6 |
Single-Family Cumulative Default Rate 7 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by State 8 |
Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rates by State and Region 9 |
Home Price Growth/Decline and Fannie Mae Real Estate Owned (REO) in Selected States 10 |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Credit Profile by Key Product Features 11 |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Loans Versus Loans Underlying Private-Label Alt-A Securities 12 |
Workouts by Type 13 |
Fannie Mae Multifamily Credit Profile 14 2 |
Home Price Growth/Decline Rates in the U.S. Fannie Mae Home Price Index |
15% |
11.4% |
10.5% 10% 8.1% 7.4% 6.7% 5.7% 5% |
2.7% |
0% |
-5% -3.7% Forecast -10% -9.8% -7% to -12% |
-15% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 |
S&P/Case-Shiller Index 9.8% 7.7% 10.6% 10.7% 14.6% 14.7% -0.3% -8.7% - -18.2% |
Growth rates are from period-end to period-end. |
· We expect 2009 home price declines to be in the 7% to 12% range, based upon the Fannie Mae Home Price Index. This 7% to 12% range is comparable to a 12% to 18% range using the S&P/Case-Shiller index method. |
· We expect peak-to-trough declines in home prices to be in the 20% to 30% range (33% to 46% using the S&P/Case-Shiller index method). |
Note: Our estimates differ from the S&P/Case-Shiller index in two principal ways: (1) our estimates weight expectations for each individual property by number of properties, whereas the S&P/Case-Shiller index weights expectations of home price declines based on property value, causing declines in home prices on higher priced homes to have a greater effect on the overall result; and (2) our estimates do not include sales of foreclosed homes because we believe that differing maintenance practices and the forced nature of the sales make foreclosed home prices less representative of market values, whereas the S&P/Case-Shiller index includes sales of foreclosed homes. The S&P/Case Shiller comparison numbers shown above are calculated using our models and assumptions, but modified to use these two factors (weighting of expectations based on property value and the inclusion of foreclosed property sales). In addition to these differences, our estimates are based on our own internally available data combined with publicly available data, and are therefore based on data collected nationwide, whereas the S&P/Case-Shiller index is based only on publicly available data, which may be limited in certain geographic areas of the country. Our comparative calculations to the S&P/Case-Shiller index provided above are not modified to account for this data pool difference. 3 |
Home Price Declines Peak-to-Current (by State) as of 2009 Q1 |
Percentage of Fannie Maes Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business |
United States -16.5% Mountain - -24.7% West North Central East North Central AK 9.2% -8.8% -15.8% New England - -4.1% 13.0% 0.2% WA 5.3% -15.4% - -15.3% NH 3.4% -20.8% 5.9% MT VT 0.6% - -5.2% ND -5.9% ME 0.3% -4.4% -7.9% 0.2% 0.4% OR 0.1% - -16.5% M N 1.7% ID -18.8% M A 1.9% WI - -14.8% SD -17.2% -8.0% NY 0.5% -3.3% -9.4% 3.0% 1.6% WY 0.1% MI 5.1% RI - -6.1% -30.9% - -24.9% 0.2% 2.9% IA 0.4% N E PA CT NV -3.1% NJ - -5.5% OH -5.2% -16.8% -47.7% 0.6% -16.5% 0.4% 3.0% 1.4% 1.3% UT IL IN -10.3% 3.8% Middle Atlantic - -13.3% -17.5% -6.0% 2.7% DE CA CO 4.5% 1.3% -10.0% -8.5% Pacific -40.4% 1.0% WV D C - -15.9% KS 0.4% 16.3% MO -2.9% VA -18.7% 11.9% 2.5% -3.2% -9.0% - -33.3% 0.6% KY 0.2% -20.6% MD 0.3% 1.5% -3.5% 3.4% -20.4% 22.3% 0.7% 2.8% |
AZ NC TN -3.9% -41.7% OK -6.1% 2.6% |
NM 2.8% -8.5% -3.0% 1.4% |
AR SC 0.6% 0.6% -3.6% -5.6% 0.5% 1.3% AL GA MS - -4.3% -10.6% - -4.8% South Atlantic 1.1% 3.0% LA 0.5% -22.0% State Home Price Decline TX -1.9% - -2.9% 0.9% 21.3% Below -15% HI 4.9% - -15% to -10% -20.2% FL 0.8% - -10% to -5% -43.9% 7.3% - -5% to 0% |
West South Central East South Central -2.7% -4.7% Top %: State/Region Home Price Decline Rate % from applicable peak in that state through March 31, 2009 7.0% 3.7% Bottom %: % of single-family conventional mortgage credit book of business by unpaid principal balance as of March 31, 2009 |
Note: Regional home price decline percentages are a housing stock unit-weighted average of home price decline percentages of states within each region. Source: Fannie Mae. Initial estimate based on purchase transactions in Fannie-Freddie acquisition and public deed data available through the end of March 2009, supplemented by preliminary data available for home sales scheduled to be settled in April and May 2009. Including subsequent data may lead to materially different results. 4 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business Loans with Loans with FICO < 620 Negative- Interest- Loans Loans with Original and Original Jumbo Overall Amortizing Only with FICO FICO 620 LTV Ratio LTV Ratio > Alt-A Subprime&n bsp; Conforming As of March 31, 2009 Book Loans Loans < 620 and < 660 > 90% 90% Loans (1) Loans (1) Loans (1) Unpaid Principal Balance (billions) * $2,760.7 $16.6 $206.4 $120.1 $251.5 $273.9 $26.5 $283.5 $8.2 $26.0 |
Share of Single-Family Conventional Credit Book(1) 100.0% 0.6% 7.5% 4.3% 9.1% 9.9% 1.0% 9.7% 0.3%0.9% Average Unpaid Principal Balance $149,888 $140,747 $241,888 $125,966 $141,178 $141,547 $119,095 $169,546 $150,233 $567,449 |
Serious Delinquency Rate 3.15% 7.29% 11.86% 10.52% 7.18% 7.78% 17.84% 9.54% 17.95% 0.35% Origination Years 2005-2007 43.8% 61.8% 80.8% 56.0% 54.5% 57.9% 69.7% 72.9% 80.6% 0.9% Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value (Original LTV) Ratio 71.7% 71.2% 75.5% 76.7% 77.4% 97.2% 98.1% 72.7% 77.2% 67.5% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90 9.9% 0.3% 9.1% 22.0% 20.9% 100.0% 100.0% 5.3% 6.8% 0.0% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 73.4% 94.1% 99.4% 79.5% 81.0% 101.0% 101.0% 86.3% 91.4% 71.6% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 100 14.0% 47.9% 42.4% 19.6% 21.3% 45.5% 46.5% 27.9% 29.2% 1.6% Weighted Average FICO 725 699 725 588 641 695 592 719 |
623 763 |
FICO < 620 4.3% 10.0% 1.3% 100.0% 0.0% 9.7% 100.0% 0.7% 47.8% 0.5% FICO 620 and < 660 9.1% 9.9% 7.8% 0.0% 100.0% 19.2% 0.0% 8.8% 27.8% 0.3% Fixed-rate 90.5% 0.1% 39.6% 93.5% 92.2% 94.2% 96.0% 72.2% 73.0% 96.4% Primary Residence 89.8% 70.1% 84.8% 96.7% 94.3% 97.1% 99.4% 77.6% 96.6% 98.0% Condo/Co-op 9.3% 13.6% 16.3% 4.9% 6.6% 9.9% 6.0% 10.8% 4.7% 11.0% Credit Enhanced (2) 20.4% 75.8% 35.3% 34.1% 35.7% 92.0% 93.2% 38.7% 63.4% 9.8% % of 2007 Credit Losses (3) 100.0% 0.9% 15.0% 18.8% 21.9% 17.4% 6.4% 27.8% 1.0% 0.0% % of 2008 Credit Losses (3) 100.0% 2.9% 34.2% 11.8% 17.4% 21.3% 5.4% 45.6% 2.0% 0.4% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (3) 100.0% 3.8% 36.2% 11.3% 16.8% 21.5% 5.4% 47.6% 2.1% 0.2% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (3) 100.0% 2.2% 33.1% 11.5% 17.2% 23.1% 5.2% 43.2% 2.0% 1.1% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (3) 100.0% 1.8% 34.2% 10.7% 16.0% 22.5% 6.5% 39.2% 2.0% 0.0% |
(1) Alt-A, Subprime, and Jumbo Conforming Loans are calculated as a percentage of the single-family mortgage credit book of business, which includes government loans. Government loans are guaranteed or insured by the U.S. Government or its agencies, such as the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) or the Rural Housing and Community Facilities Program of the Department of Agriculture. |
(2) Unpaid principal balance of all loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of single-family conventional mortgage credit book of business. Includes primary mortgage insurance, pool insurance, lender recourse and other credit enhancement. |
(3) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family mortgage credit book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Maes 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. |
Note: Categories are not mutually exclusive; numbers are not additive across columns. FICO scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. |
* Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and Alt-A and subprime wraps, for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. 5 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Vintage and Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business by Vintage Vintages Overall 2004 and As of March 31, 2009 2009 Q1 2008 2007 2006 2005 |
Book Earlier |
Unpaid Principal Balance (billions) * $2,760.7 $127.8 $443.4 $512.9 $355.7 $341.0 $979.9 Share of Single-Family Conventional Credit Book 100.0% 4.6% 16.1% 18.6% 12.9% 12.4% 35.5% Average Unpaid Principal Balance $149,888 $220,062 $207,064 $189,432 $173,490 $161,951 $110,940 Serious Delinquency Rate 3.15% 0.00% 1.19% 6.77% 6.97% 3.94% 1.66% Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 71.7% 66.8% 72.2% 76.5% 74.0% 71.8% 68.8% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90 9.9% 2.3% 9.5% 18.1% 10.8% 8.0% 7.2% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 73.4% 66.7% 77.5% 90.9% 90.8% 80.5% 54.3% |
Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 100 14.0% 0.0% 9.0% 30.0% 29.1% 18.9% 2.6% |
Weighted Average FICO 725 762 740 714 716 723 724 |
FICO < 620 4.3% 0.3% 2.2% 6.5% 5.4% 4.2% 4.4% FICO 620 and < 660 9.1% 1.4% 5.2% 12.2% 11.5% 9.8% 9.1% Interest Only 7.5% 0.1% 5.1% 14.4% 16.4% 10.1% 1.7% Negative-Amortizing 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1.3% 1.5% 0.6% Fixed-rate 90.5% 99.9% 93.3% 91.2% 86.5% 83.6% 91.6% Primary Residence 89.8% 94.6% 89.1% 88.6% 86.9% 87.9% 91.7% Condo/Co-op 9.3% 6.7% 11.0% 11.0% 11.2% 10.1% 7.1% Credit Enhanced (1) 20.4% 8.7% 21.7% 31.0% 28.3% 20.9% 12.8% % of 2007 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 21.3% 23.6% 53.2% % of 2008 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 0.0% 0.5% 27.9% 34.9% 19.3% 17.3% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 0.0% 0.4% 31.3% 35.2% 18.3% 14.9% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 0.0% 1.3% 32.0% 34.2% 17.7% 14.9% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 0.0% 2.6% 34.0% 31.7% 17.6% 14.1% Cumulative Default Rate (3) 0.06% 1.08% 1.80% 1.30% |
(1) Unpaid principal balance of all loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of single-family conventional mortgage credit book of business. Includes primary mortgage insurance, pool insurance, lender recourse and other credit enhancement. |
(2) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family mortgage credit book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Maes 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. |
(3) Default means loans that have been liquidated other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and include loan foreclosures, preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. Cumulative Default Rate is total number of defaulted loans since origination divided by total originated loans. As of March 31, 2009, 2004 vintage cumulative default rate was 0.99% and 2003 vintage cumulative default rate was 0.62%. |
Note: FICO scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. |
* Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and Alt-A and subprime wraps, for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. 6 |
Single-Family Cumulative Default Rate Originations from 2000 through 2008 2.00% 2006 |
1.80% 1.60% 2000 Rate 1.40% 2000 |
2005 2001 |
1.20% 2002 |
2007 2001 |
Default 2004 2003 1.00% |
2002 2004 |
0.80% 2005 Cumulative 0.60% 2003 2006 |
2007 |
0.40% 2008 0.20% 2008 0.00% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 |
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 - - - - - - - - - - - |
Yr1 Yr1 Yr1 Yr1 Yr2 Yr2 Yr2 Yr2 Yr3 Yr3 Yr3 Yr3 Yr4 Yr4 Yr4 Yr4 Yr5 Yr5 Yr5 Yr5 Yr6 Yr6 Yr6 Yr6 Yr7 Yr7 Yr7 Yr7 Yr8 Yr8 Yr8 Yr8 Yr9 Yr9 Yr9 Yr9 Yr10 |
Time Since Origination |
Note: Cumulative default rates include loans that have been liquidated other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and include loan foreclosures, |
preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. |
Data as of March 31, 2009 is not necessarily indicative of the ultimate performance and are likely to change, perhaps materially, in future periods. 7 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by State Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business by State Overall As of March 31, 2009 AZ CA FL MI NV OH Book Unpaid Principal Balance (billions) * $2,760.7 $78.2 $448.7 $200.4 $79.4 $35.9 $73.8 |
Share of Single-Family Conventional Credit Book 100.0% 2.8% 16.3% 7.3% 2.9% 1.3% 2.7% |
Average Unpaid Principal Balance $149,888 $160,234 $204,733 $145,396 $117,961 $179,116 $107,025 |
Serious Delinquency Rate 3.15% 5.00% 3.33% 8.07% 3.37% 7.05% 3.17% |
Origination Years 2005-2007 43.8% 58.7% 39.0% 58.0% 36.3% 58.7% 38.5% |
Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 71.7% 73.6% 63.0% 73.3% 73.9% 74.4% 77.1% |
Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90 9.9% 9.7% 2.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.3% 15.2% |
Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 73.4% 95.5% 74.8% 94.6% 85.8% 106.7% 72.6% |
Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio >100 14.0% 42.3% 23.2% 43.1% 28.7% 57.3% 7.2% |
Weighted Average FICO 725 726 733 718 722 724 721 |
FICO < 620 4.3% 3.5% 2.7% 5.3% 5.3% 3.1% 5.5% |
FICO 620 and < 660 9.1% 9.1% 6.8% 10.7% 10.3% 9.1% 10.4% |
Interest Only 7.5% 15.2% 12.4% 11.5% 4.6% 20.4% 2.9% |
Negative Amortizing 0.6% 0.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 1.8% 0.1% |
Fixed-rate 90.5% 85.4% 84.9% 87.2% 90.1% 77.6% 94.1% |
Primary Residence 89.8% 83.5% 88.4% 81.8% 92.7% 80.2% 94.2% |
Condo/Co-op 9.3% 5.5% 11.9% 15.6% 9.4% 7.7% 4.4% Credit Enhanced (1) 20.4% 22.0% 11.8% 23.3% 19.2% 26.9% 26.6% |
% of 2007 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 1.8% 7.2% 4.7% 26.1% 1.2% 13.1% % of 2008 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 8.0% 25.2% 10.9% 12.5% 4.9% 3.7% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 8.6% 31.1% 10.2% 10.9% 4.8% 3.1% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 9.9% 19.5% 15.0% 9.1% 5.8% 3.2% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (2) 100.0% 12.2% 26.3% 12.0% 6.9% 7.2% 2.0% (1) Unpaid principal balance of all loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of single-family conventional mortgage credit book of business. Includes primary mortgage insurance, pool insurance, lender recourse and other credit enhancement. (2) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family mortgage credit book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Maes 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. |
Note: FICO scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. * Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and Alt-A and subprime wraps, for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. 8 |
Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rates by State and Region Serious Delinquency Rates by State March 31, 2008 June 30, 2008 September 30, 2008 December 31, 2008 March 31, 2009 |
Arizona 1.12% 1.51% 2.14% 3.41% 5.00% California 0.76% 1.05% 1.44% 2.30% 3.33% Florida 2.32% 3.21% 4.37% 6.14% 8.07% Michigan 1.46% 1.57% 1.86% 2.64% 3.37% Nevada 1.69% 2.25% 3.08% 4.74% 7.05% Ohio 1.87% 1.95% 2.19% 2.68% 3.17% |
Total conventional single- 1.15% 1.36% 1.72% 2.42% 3.15% |
family loans Serious Delinquency Rates by Region (1) Midwest 1.44% 1.57% 1.86% 2.44% 3.02% Northeast 1.05% 1.21% 1.47% 1.97% 2.53% Southeast 1.44% 1.80% 2.34% 3.27% 4.24% Southwest 0.94% 1.08% 1.35% 1.98% 2.45% West 0.72% 0.97% 1.33% 2.10% 3.06% |
Total conventional single- 1.15% 1.36% 1.72% 2.42% 3.15% family loans (1) For information on which states are contained within each region, refer to Fannie Maes 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q. 9 |
Home Price Growth/Decline and Fannie Mae Real Estate Owned (REO) in Selected States |
REO Acquisitions (Number of Properties) REO REO 5-Year |
1-Year HP |
Inventory Inventory Annualized |
Growth State as of as of HP Growth April 2008 to |
2007 2008 2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009Q1 March 31, March 31, March 2009* April 2004 to |
2008 2009 March 2009* |
Arizona 751 5,532 632 1,315 1,887 1,698 2,526 990 4,826 -26.4% -0.4% California 1,681 10,624 1,477 2,918 4,399 1,830 3,719 2,575 8,207 -22.4% -3.0% Florida 1,714 6,159 966 1,404 1,874 1,915 1,680 1,887 3,840 -25.2% -1.9% Michigan 8,067 11,749 3,259 3,035 3,418 2,037 2,415 9,125 9,551 -13.8% -5.9% Nevada 530 2,906 403 686 1,005 812 1,210 711 2,405 -30.1% -4.6% Ohio 4,433 5,289 1,239 1,424 1,485 1,141 713 3,084 2,578 -4.5% -0.8% All other States 31,945 52,393 12,132 13,181 15,515 11,565 13,111 24,795 30,964 -5.6% 2.3% Total 49,121 94,652 20,108 23,963 29,583 20,998 25,374 43,167 62,371 -9.7% 0.9% |
*Initial estimate based on purchase transactions in Fannie-Freddie acquisition and public deed data available through the end of March 2009, supplemented by preliminary data available for home sales scheduled to be settled in April and May 2009. Including subsequent data may lead to materially different results. Foreclosure levels in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009 were below what they otherwise would have been due to the suspension of foreclosure acquisitions on occupied single-family properties between the periods November 26, 2008 through January 31, 2009 and February 17, 2009 through March 6, 2009. On a national basis, REO net sales prices compared with unpaid principal balances of mortgage loans have |
decreased as follows, driving increases in loss severities: 74% in 2008 Q1 74% in 2008 Q2 70% in 2008 Q3 61% in 2008 Q4 57% in 2009 Q1 10 |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Credit Profile by Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Alt-A Single-Family Mortgage Credit Book of Business by Vintage |
Vintage |
As of March 31, 2009 Alt-A (1) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 and |
Earlier Unpaid principal balance (billions) * $283.5 $6.8 $73.3 $80.0 $53.4 $70.0 |
Share of Alt-A 100.0% 2.4% 25.9% 28.2% 18.8% 24.7% |
Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 72.7% 66.3% 74.9% 74.0% 72.5% 69.7% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90 5.3% 2.2% 8.9% 4.8% 3.2% 4.2% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 86.3% 73.8% 96.3% 98.5% 89.9% 60.1% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 100 27.9% 8.6% 37.3% 38.7% 30.6% 5.6% |
Weighted Average FICO 719 729 713 715 725 723 |
FICO < 620 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% FICO 620 and < 660 8.8% 2.1% 10.7% 10.6% 6.6% 7.2% Adjustable-rate 27.8% 10.3% 22.4% 30.2% 40.3% 22.7% Interest Only 29.7% 7.3% 38.4% 38.9% 30.1% 12.0% Negative Amortizing 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 6.6% 1.9% Investor 17.3% 17.7% 19.5% 17.0% 19.3% 13.7% Condo/Co-op 10.8% 6.7% 10.0% 11.8% 13.1% 9.3% California 21.8% 20.1% 22.0% 19.8% 20.7% 24.9% Florida 11.1% 8.6% 11.8% 12.8% 12.3% 7.7% Credit Enhanced (2) 38.7% 13.1% 35.9% 53.3% 46.7% 21.3% 2008 Q1 Serious Delinquency Rate 2.96% 0.00% 2.85% 4.34% 3.23% 1.79% 2008 Q2 Serious Delinquency Rate 3.79% 0.19% 4.37% 5.60% 3.94% 1.97% 2008 Q3 Serious Delinquency Rate 4.92% 0.94% 6.29% 7.27% 4.79% 2.30% 2008 Q4 Serious Delinquency Rate 7.03% 2.14% 9.61% 10.24% 6.64% 3.06% 2009 Q1 Serious Delinquency Rate 9.54% 4.20% 13.51% 13.67% 8.86% 3.97% % of 2007 Credit Losses (3) 27.8% 0.0% 0.7% 9.8% 9.7% 7.7% % of 2008 Credit Losses (3) 45.6% 0.0% 12.4% 20.2% 9.7% 3.4% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (3) 47.6% 0.0% 14.0% 20.9% 9.7% 3.1% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (3) 43.2% 0.1% 13.1% 18.8% 8.2% 2.9% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (3) 39.2% 0.5% 31.1% 41.3% 19.6% 7.5% Cumulative Default Rate (4) 0.19% 2.52% 3.63% 2.62% |
(1) Alt-A mortgage loan generally refers to a mortgage loan that can be underwritten with reduced or alternative documentation than that required for a full documentation mortgage loan but may also include other |
alternative product features. In reporting our Alt-A exposure, we have classified mortgage loans as Alt-A if the lenders that deliver the mortgage loans to us have classified the loans as Alt-A based on documentation or |
other product features. We have classified private-label mortgage-related securities held in our investment portfolio as Alt-A if the securities were labeled as such when issued. We omitted the 2009 vintage column |
because only one Alt-A loan originating in 2009 has been acquired as of March 31, 2009. |
(2) Defined as unpaid principal balance of Alt-A loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of all Alt-A loans. At March 31, 2009, 8.7% of unpaid principal balance of Alt-A loans carried |
only primary mortgage insurance (no deductible), 26.3% had only pool insurance (which is generally subject to a deductible), 3.1% had primary mortgage insurance and pool insurance, and 0.6% carried other credit enhancement such as lender recourse. |
(3) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family mortgage credit book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Maes 2009 Q1 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. |
(4) Default loans means loans that have been liquidated other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and include loan foreclosures, preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. |
Note: FICO scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. |
* Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and Alt-A and subprime wraps, for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 96% of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. 11 |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Loans Versus Loans Underlying Private-Label Alt-A Securities Fannie Mae Alt-A Versus Private-Label Security Conforming Alt-A |
Cumulative Default Rates For Fannie Mae Alt-A And Private-Label Alt-A For 2005, 2006 and 2007 Cohorts |
Fannie Mae Alt-A Private-Label Alt-A Outstanding Alt-A loans Outstanding loans in Fannie Maes Single- backing non-agency Family Guaranty Book of Conforming Alt-A MBS Business as of February 2009 as of February 2009 |
FICO 719 710 |
Original Loan-to-Value Ratio73% 75% Combined Loan-to-Value Ratio at Origination (1)77% 81% Geography California 22% 27% Florida 11% 13% Product Type Fixed Rate 72% 51% Adjustable-Rate 28% 49% Interest-Only 20% 25% Negative-Amortizing3% 19% Investor 17% 21% Rates Default Cumulative 9% 2006 PLS 8% 7% 6% 2005 PLS 2007 PLS 5% 4% 3% 2007 FM 2006 FM 2% 2005 FM 1% 0% 1 3 5 7 911 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 3335 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 2005 PLS 2005 FM 2006 PLS 2006 FM 2007 PLS 2007 FM Months After Origination |
(1) Includes first liens and any subordinate liens present at origination. |
Data as of Feb-09 is not necessarily indicative of the ultimate performance and are likely to change, perhaps materially, in future periods. |
Fannie Maes Cumulative Default Rates in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009 reflect the impact of the suspension of foreclosure acquisitions on occupied single-family properties between the periods November 26, 2008 through January 31, 2009 and February 17, 2009 through March 6, 2009. Private-label securities data source: First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance data, which estimates it captures 97% of Alt-A private-label securities. The private-label securities data include some loans that Fannie Mae holds in its Alt-A securities portfolio. 12 |
Number of Loans |
Workouts by Type |
50,000 |
45,000 |
40,000 |
35,000 |
30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 |
10,000 |
5,000 |
0 2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 |
Modifications HomeSaver AdvanceTM Repayment Plans Completed Forbearances Completed Deeds-in-Lieu Preforeclosure Sales |
(1) Modifications involve changes to the original mortgage loan terms, that may include a change to the product type, interest rate, amortization term, maturity date and/or unpaid principal balance. (2) HomeSaver AdvanceTM are unsecured, personal loans to help qualified borrowers bring their delinquent mortgage loans current after a temporary financial difficulty. (3) Repayment plans involve plans to repay past due principal and interest over a reasonable period of time through temporarily higher monthly payments. Loans with repayment plans are included for loans that were at least 60 days delinquent. (4) Forbearances involve an agreement to suspend or reduce borrower payments for a period of time. Loans with forbearance plans are included for loans that were at least 90 days delinquent. (5) In a preforeclosure sale, the borrower, working with the servicer, sells the home and pays off all or part of the outstanding loan, accrued interest and other expenses from the sale proceeds. (6) Deeds in lieu of foreclosure involve the borrower voluntarily signing over title to the property without the added expense of a foreclosure proceeding. 13 |
Fannie Mae Multifamily Credit Profile Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business |
As of March 31, 2009 Unpaid Principal Balance Share of Multifamily % Seriously Delinquent (3) |
(billions) Guaranty Book of Business |
Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business (1) (2) $172.57 100% 0.34% |
By Acquisition Year: 2009 $10.14 6% 0.00% |
2008 $31.36 18% 0.18% 2007 $43.52 25% 0.51% 2006 $19.45 11% 0.44% 2005 $17.57 10% 0.20% 2004 and Earlier $50.53 29% 0.39% Originating loan-to-value ratio: |
Less than or equal to 80% $164.70 95% 0.33% Greater than 80% $7.87 5% 0.69% Loan Size Distribution: |
Less than or equal to $750K $5.48 3% 0.69% |
Greater than $750K or less than or equal to $3M $23.59 14% 0.54% Greater than $3M or less than or equal to $5M $17.10 10% 0.51% Greater than $5M or less than or equal to $25M $69.08 40% 0.49% |
Greater $25M $57.32 33% 0.00% Maturity Dates: |
Loans maturing in 2009 $10.88 6% 0.07% Loans maturing in 2010 $4.31 3% 0.07% Loans maturing in 2011 $8.79 5% 0.32% Loans maturing in 2012 $16.24 9% 0.38% Loans maturing in 2013 $19.55 11% 0.26% |
(1) Excludes loans that have been defeased. Defeasance is prepayment of a loan through substitution of collateral, such as Treasury securities. |
(2) Represents the portion for which Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information. Certain data are based upon information received from third-party sources, and although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. |
(3) Includes multifamily loans and securities that are 60 days or more past due. 14 |