e10vq
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND
EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.
20549
Form 10-Q
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þ
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QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO
SECTION 13 OR 15(d)
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OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT
OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2007
OR
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o |
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO
SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF
1934
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For the transition period
from
to
Commission File No.: 0-50231
Federal National Mortgage
Association
(Exact name of registrant as
specified in its charter)
Fannie Mae
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Federally chartered corporation
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52-0883107
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(State or other jurisdiction
of
incorporation or organization)
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(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
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3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW
Washington, DC
(Address of principal
executive offices)
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20016
(Zip Code)
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Registrants telephone number, including area code:
(202) 752-7000
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed
all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding
12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant
was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past
90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large
accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated
filer. See definition of accelerated filer and large
accelerated filer in
Rule 12b-2
of the Exchange Act. (Check one ):
Large accelerated
filer þ Accelerated
filer o Non-accelerated
filer o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company
(as defined in
Rule 12b-2
of the Exchange
Act). Yes o No þ
APPLICABLE
ONLY TO CORPORATE ISSUERS:
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the
issuers classes of common stock, as of the latest
practicable date.
As of October 22, 2007, there were 978,167,971 shares
of common stock outstanding.
PART IFINANCIAL
INFORMATION
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Item 2.
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Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations
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You should read this Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(MD&A) in conjunction with our unaudited
condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes,
and the more detailed information contained in our Annual Report
on
Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2006 (2006
Form 10-K).
The results of operations presented in our interim financial
statements and discussed in MD&A are not necessarily
indicative of the results that may be expected for the full
year. Please refer to Glossary of Terms Used in This
Report in our 2006
Form 10-K
for an explanation of key terms used throughout this
discussion.
EXPLANATORY
NOTE ABOUT THIS REPORT
We are filing this Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q
for the third quarter of 2007 concurrently with the filing of
our Quarterly Reports on
Form 10-Q
for the first and second quarters of 2007.
We filed our 2006
Form 10-K
on August 16, 2007, after filing our Annual Report on
Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2005 (2005
Form 10-K)
on May 2, 2007 and our Annual Report on
Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2004 (2004
Form 10-K)
on December 6, 2006. Our 2004
Form 10-K
contained our consolidated financial statements and related
notes for the year ended December 31, 2004, as well as a
restatement of our previously issued consolidated financial
statements and related notes for the years ended
December 31, 2003 and 2002, and for the quarters ended
June 30, 2004 and March 31, 2004. The filing of the
2004
Form 10-K,
the 2005
Form 10-K
and the 2006
Form 10-K
were delayed significantly as a result of the substantial time
and effort devoted to ongoing controls remediation, and systems
reengineering and development in order to complete the
restatement of our financial results for 2003 and 2002, as
presented in our 2004
Form 10-K.
We have made significant progress in our efforts to remediate
material weaknesses that have prevented us from reporting our
financial results on a timely basis.
With the filing of our Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q
for the third quarter of 2007 on a timely basis, we have
accomplished our goal of returning to current filing status. On
June 8, 2007, we announced that we plan to file our Annual
Report on
Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2007 (2007
Form 10-K)
with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) on a timely basis. At this time, we are
confirming our expectation that we will file our 2007
Form 10-K
on a timely basis.
Fannie Mae is a mission-driven company, owned by private
shareholders (NYSE: FNM) and chartered by Congress to support
liquidity and stability in the secondary mortgage market. Our
business includes three integrated business
segmentsSingle-Family Credit Guaranty, Housing and
Community Development, and Capital Marketsthat work
together to provide services, products and solutions to our
lender customers and a broad range of housing partners.
Together, our business segments contribute to our chartered
mission objectives, helping to increase the total amount of
funds available to finance housing in the United States and to
make homeownership more available and affordable for low-,
moderate- and middle-income Americans. We also work with our
customers and partners to increase the availability and
affordability of rental housing.
Our Single-Family Credit Guaranty
(Single-Family) business works with our lender
customers to securitize single-family mortgage loans into Fannie
Mae mortgage-backed securities (Fannie Mae MBS) and
to facilitate the purchase of single-family mortgage loans for
our mortgage portfolio. Revenues in the segment are derived
primarily from the guaranty fees the segment receives as
compensation for assuming the credit risk on the mortgage loans
underlying single-family Fannie Mae MBS and on the single-family
mortgage loans held in our portfolio.
Our Housing and Community Development (HCD)
business works with our lender customers to securitize
multifamily mortgage loans into Fannie Mae MBS and to facilitate
the purchase of multifamily mortgage
1
loans for our mortgage portfolio. Our HCD business also helps to
expand the supply of affordable housing by investing in rental
and for-sale housing projects, including rental housing that is
eligible for federal low-income housing tax credits. Revenues in
the segment are derived from a variety of sources, including the
guaranty fees the segment receives as compensation for assuming
the credit risk on the mortgage loans underlying multifamily
Fannie Mae MBS and on the multifamily mortgage loans held in our
portfolio, transaction fees associated with the multifamily
business and bond credit enhancement fees. In addition,
HCDs investments in rental housing projects eligible for
the federal low-income housing tax credit generate both tax
credits and net operating losses that reduce our federal income
tax liability. Other investments in rental and for-sale housing
generate revenue from operations and the eventual sale of the
assets.
Our Capital Markets group manages our investment activity
in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities, and has
responsibility for managing our assets and liabilities and our
liquidity and capital positions. Through the issuance of debt
securities in the capital markets, our Capital Markets group
attracts capital from investors globally that the company uses
to finance housing in the United States. Our Capital Markets
group generates income primarily from the difference, or spread,
between the yield on the mortgage assets we own and the cost of
the debt we issue in the global capital markets to fund these
assets.
Although we are a corporation chartered by the
U.S. Congress, the U.S. government does not guarantee,
directly or indirectly, our securities or other obligations. Our
business is self-sustaining and funded exclusively with private
capital.
2
The selected consolidated financial data presented below is
summarized from our condensed results of operations for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, as
well as from selected condensed consolidated balance sheet data
as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006. This
data should be read in conjunction with this Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations, as well as with the unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements and related notes included in this report
and with our audited consolidated financial statements and
related notes included in our 2006
Form 10-K.
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For the
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For the
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Three Months Ended
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Nine Months Ended
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September 30,
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September 30,
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2007
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2006
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2007
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2006
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(Dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)
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Income Statement Data:
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Net interest income
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$
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1,058
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$
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1,528
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$
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3,445
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$
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5,407
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Guaranty fee
income(1)
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1,232
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1,084
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3,450
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2,968
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Losses on certain guaranty contracts
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(294
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)
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(103
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)
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(1,038
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(181
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Derivatives fair value losses, net
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(2,244
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(3,381
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(891
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(854
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)
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Other income
(loss)(1)(2)
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242
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659
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449
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(612
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Credit-related
expenses(3)
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(1,200
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(197
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(2,039
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(457
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Net income (loss)
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(1,399
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)
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(629
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1,509
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3,455
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Preferred stock dividends and issuance costs at redemption
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(119
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(131
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(372
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(380
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Net income (loss) available to common stockholders
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(1,518
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(760
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1,137
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3,075
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Common Share Data:
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Earnings (loss) per share:
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Basic
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$
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(1.56
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)
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$
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(0.79
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$
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1.17
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$
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3.17
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Diluted
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(1.56
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(0.79
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1.17
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3.16
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Weighted-average common shares outstanding:
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Basic
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974
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972
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973
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971
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Diluted
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974
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972
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975
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972
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Cash dividends declared per common share
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$
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0.50
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$
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0.26
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$
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1.40
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$
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0.78
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New Business Acquisition Data:
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Fannie Mae MBS issues acquired by third
parties(4)
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$
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148,320
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$
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107,027
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$
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407,962
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$
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308,371
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Mortgage portfolio
purchases(5)
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49,574
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51,576
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134,407
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150,340
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New business acquisitions
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$
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197,894
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$
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158,603
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$
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542,369
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$
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458,711
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As of
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September 30,
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December 31,
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2007
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2006
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(Dollars in millions)
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Balance Sheet Data:
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Investments in securities:
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Trading
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$
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48,683
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$
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11,514
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Available-for-sale
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315,012
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378,598
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Mortgage loans:
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Loans held for sale
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5,053
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4,868
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Loans held for investment, net of allowance
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394,550
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378,687
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Total assets
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839,783
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843,936
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Short-term debt
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153,146
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165,810
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Long-term debt
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608,619
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601,236
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Total liabilities
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799,740
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802,294
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Preferred stock
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9,008
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9,108
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Total stockholders equity
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39,922
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41,506
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3
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As of
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September 30,
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December 31,
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2007
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2006
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(Dollars in millions)
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Regulatory Capital Data:
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Core
capital(6)
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$
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41,713
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$
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41,950
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Total
capital(7)
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43,798
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42,703
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Mortgage Credit Book of Business Data:
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Mortgage
portfolio(8)
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$
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728,578
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$
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728,932
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Fannie Mae MBS held by third
parties(9)
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2,003,382
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1,777,550
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Other credit
guaranties(10)
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35,508
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19,747
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Mortgage credit book of business
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$
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2,767,468
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$
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2,526,229
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For the
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For the
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Three Months Ended
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Nine Months Ended
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September 30,
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September 30,
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2007
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2006
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2007
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2006
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Ratios:
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Return on assets
ratio(11)*
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(0.72
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)%
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(0.36
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)%
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0.18
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%
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0.49
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%
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Return on equity
ratio(12)*
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(19.4
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)
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(9.8
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)
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4.8
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13.1
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Equity to assets
ratio(13)*
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4.7
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4.7
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4.8
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4.8
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Dividend payout
ratio(14)*
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N/A
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N/A
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120.4
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24.7
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Average effective guaranty fee rate (in basis
points)(15)*
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22.8
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bp
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22.5
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bp
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22.0
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bp
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20.9
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bp
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Credit loss ratio (in basis
points)(16)*
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5.0
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bp
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2.3
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bp
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4.0
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bp
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1.8
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bp
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(1) |
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Certain prior period amounts that
previously were included as a component of Fee and other
income have been reclassified to Guaranty fee
income to conform to the current period presentation.
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(2) |
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Consists of trust management
income; investment gains (losses), net; debt extinguishment
gains, net; losses from partnership investments; and fee and
other income.
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(3) |
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Consists of provision for credit
losses and foreclosed property expense.
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(4) |
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Unpaid principal balance of Fannie
Mae MBS issued and guaranteed by us and acquired by third-party
investors during the reporting period. Excludes securitizations
of mortgage loans held in our portfolio.
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(5) |
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Unpaid principal balance of
mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities we purchased for
our investment portfolio during the reporting period. Includes
advances to lenders and mortgage-related securities acquired
through the extinguishment of debt.
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(6) |
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The sum of (a) the stated
value of outstanding common stock (common stock less treasury
stock); (b) the stated value of outstanding non-cumulative
perpetual preferred stock;
(c) paid-in-capital;
and (d) our retained earnings. Core capital excludes
accumulated other comprehensive loss.
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(7) |
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The sum of (a) core capital
and (b) the total allowance for loan losses and reserve for
guaranty losses, less (c) the specific loss allowance (that
is, the allowance required on individually impaired loans).
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(8) |
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Unpaid principal balance of
mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities held in our
portfolio.
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(9) |
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Unpaid principal balance of Fannie
Mae MBS held by third-party investors. The principal balance of
resecuritized Fannie Mae MBS is included only once in the
reported amount.
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(10) |
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Includes single-family and
multifamily credit enhancements that we have provided and that
are not otherwise reflected in the table.
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(11) |
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Annualized net income available to
common stockholders divided by average total assets during the
period.
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(12) |
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Annualized net income available to
common stockholders divided by average outstanding common equity
during the period.
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(13) |
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Average stockholders equity
divided by average total assets during the period.
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(14) |
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Common dividends declared during
the period divided by net income available to common
stockholders for the period. Because we experienced a loss for
the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006,
earnings for each of those periods were insufficient to cover
dividends declared during those periods.
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4
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(15) |
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Annualized guaranty fee income as a
percentage of average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other
guaranties during the period.
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(16) |
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Annualized charge-offs, net of
recoveries and annualized foreclosed property expense, as a
percentage of the average total mortgage credit book of business
during the period. Effective January 1, 2007, we have
excluded any initial losses recorded pursuant to Statement of
Position
No. 03-3,
Accounting for Certain Loans or Debt Securities Acquired in a
Transfer, on loans purchased from trusts from our credit
losses when the purchase price of delinquent loans that we
purchase from Fannie Mae MBS trusts exceeds the fair value of
the loans at the time of purchase. We have revised our
presentation of credit losses for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2006 to conform to the current period
presentation. Refer to Risk ManagementCredit Risk
ManagementMortgage Credit Risk ManagementCredit
Losses for more information regarding this change in
presentation.
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Note:
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* |
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Average balances for purposes of
the ratio calculations are based on beginning and end of period
balances.
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Overview
We are in the midst of a significant correction in the housing
and mortgage markets. The market downturn that began in 2006 has
continued through the first three quarters of 2007, with
substantial declines in new and existing home sales, housing
starts, mortgage originations, and home prices, as well as
significant increases in inventories of unsold homes, mortgage
delinquencies, and foreclosures. In recent months, the capital
markets also have been characterized by high levels of
volatility, reduced levels of liquidity in the mortgage and
corporate credit markets, significantly wider credit spreads,
and rating agency downgrades on a growing number of
mortgage-related securities. Beginning with the third quarter of
2007, these factors have had a significant effect on our
business. We expect these factors will continue to affect our
financial condition and results of operations through the end of
2007 and into 2008.
Management believes that some factors in this correction may
benefit our business in the short or long term, and that other
factors in the correction may have a material adverse effect on
our business. In particular, the reduced liquidity accompanying
this correction has affected observable market pricing data,
causing disruptions of historical pricing relationships and
pricing gaps. This has had a negative impact on our estimates of
the fair value of our assets and obligations. Given this pricing
disruption and the complexity of our accounting policies and
estimates, the amounts that we actually realize could vary
significantly from our fair value estimates.
Like other participants in the U.S. residential mortgage
market, we have experienced and expect to continue to experience
adverse effects from this market correction, which are reflected
in our financial results. These include:
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Our credit losses and credit-related expenses have increased
significantly due to national home price declines and economic
weakness in some regional markets.
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|
Our Losses on certain guaranty contracts have
increased significantly. As conditions in the housing market
have deteriorated and market liquidity has declined, our
estimates of the compensation required by market participants to
assume our guaranty obligations, which is the basis we are
required to use to estimate these losses, have increased
significantly. Because of the manner in which we account for
these contracts, we recognize an immediate loss in earnings at
the time we issue MBS if our guaranty obligation exceeds the
fair value of our guaranty asset. We expect to recover that loss
over time as the associated MBS liquidates, while our credit
losses over time will reflect our actual loss experience on
these transactions.
|
|
|
|
Because of the significant disruption in the housing and
mortgage markets during the third quarter of 2007, the
indicative market prices we obtained from third parties in
connection with our purchases of delinquent loans from our MBS
trusts have decreased significantly. This has caused us to
reduce our estimates of the fair value of these loans, resulting
in a significant increase in our initial recorded losses from
these purchases.
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
Increasing credit spreads and estimates of declines in future
home prices have resulted in declines in the fair value of our
net assets.
|
These challenging market conditions have had a negative impact
on our earnings, which has reduced the amount of capital we hold
to satisfy our regulatory capital requirements. We continue to
maintain a strong capital position, and our access to sources of
liquidity has been adequate to meet our funding needs. If these
market and economic conditions continue, we may take actions to
ensure that we meet our regulatory capital requirements,
including forgoing some business opportunities, selling assets
or issuing additional preferred equity securities.
We believe that some benefits from the market correction may
enhance our strategic position in our market. These include:
|
|
|
|
|
The market for Alt-A, subprime and other nontraditional
mortgages has declined significantly. As that market has
declined, the demand for more traditional mortgage products,
such as
30-year
fixed-rate conforming loans, has increased significantly. These
products represent our core business and have historically
accounted for the majority of our new business volume and
profitability. Due to the higher mix of mortgage-related
securities backed by more traditional products and reduced
competition from private-label issuers of mortgage-related
securities, our estimated market share of new single-family
mortgage-related securities issuances increased to approximately
41.2% for the third quarter of 2007, from approximately 24.3%
for the third quarter of 2006.
|
|
|
|
We also have increased the guaranty fees we charge on new
business. This increased pricing compensates us for the added
risk that we assume as a result of current market conditions.
|
|
|
|
As a result of the growing need for credit and liquidity in the
multifamily market beginning in the third quarter of 2007, our
HCD business produced higher guaranty fee rates on new
multifamily business and faster growth in our multifamily
guaranty book of business.
|
|
|
|
Our total mortgage credit book of business has increased by 10%
during the first nine months of 2007, from $2.5 trillion
outstanding at December 31, 2006 to $2.8 trillion
outstanding at September 30, 2007.
|
In addition, following a thorough review of our costs, we
implemented a broad reengineering initiative that we expect will
reduce our total administrative expenses by more than
$200 million in 2007 as compared with 2006. With the filing
of our Forms 10-Q today, we have become current in our SEC
periodic financial reporting.
Our business is also significantly affected by general
conditions in the financial markets. During the first nine
months of 2007, conditions in the financial markets contributed
to the following financial results, compared with the first nine
months of 2006:
|
|
|
|
|
A decrease in our net interest income and net interest yield due
to the higher cost of debt.
|
|
|
|
An increase in losses on trading securities and unrealized
losses on available-for-sale securities.
|
|
|
|
An increased level of period-to-period volatility in the fair
value of our derivatives and securities.
|
During the first nine months of 2007, our ability to issue debt
and equity at rates we consider attractive has not been
impaired. In addition, we have experienced a lower level of
impairments on investment securities during the first nine
months of 2007 than we experienced during the same period in
2006.
Summary
of Our Financial Results
We recorded a net loss and a diluted loss per share of
$1.4 billion and $1.56, respectively, for the third quarter
of 2007, compared with a net loss and a diluted loss per share
of $629 million and $0.79, respectively, for the third
quarter of 2006.
Net income for the first nine months of 2007 was
$1.5 billion, a decrease of $1.9 billion, or 56%, from
the first nine months of 2006. Diluted earnings per share
decreased by 63% to $1.17 for the first nine months of 2007,
from $3.16 for the first nine months of 2006.
6
Refer to Consolidated Results of Operations below
for a more detailed discussion of our financial results for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared
with the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.
Market
and Economic Factors Affecting Our Business
Mortgage and housing market conditions, which significantly
affect our business and our financial performance, have worsened
since the end of 2006. The housing market downturn that began in
the second half of 2006 continued through the first three
quarters of 2007 and into the fourth quarter of 2007. The most
recent available data for the quarter ended September 30,
2007 show substantial declines in new and existing home sales,
housing starts and mortgage originations compared with prior
year levels. Moreover, home prices declined on a national basis
during the first three quarters of 2007. Additionally, overall
housing demand decreased over the past year because of a
slowdown in the overall economy, affordability constraints, and
declines in demand for investor properties and second homes,
which had been a key driver of overall housing activity. Housing
market conditions have deteriorated significantly in some
Midwestern states, particularly in Michigan, Ohio and Indiana,
which have experienced weak economic conditions and job losses.
Additionally, in recent quarters, housing market weakness has
expanded to other states, including Arizona, California, Florida
and Nevada, where home prices had risen most dramatically and
investor demand had been the highest in recent years.
Inventories of unsold homes have risen dramatically over the
past year, putting additional downward pressure on home prices.
These challenging market and economic conditions caused a
material increase in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures
during 2007. The resetting of a substantial number of
adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) to higher interest
rates has also contributed to the increase in mortgage
delinquencies and foreclosures. A mortgage loan foreclosure may
occur when the borrower on an ARM is unable to make the higher
payments required after an interest-rate adjustment, and is
unable to either refinance the loan or sell the home for an
amount sufficient to pay off the mortgage. Based on data
provided by LoanPerformance, an independent provider of mortgage
market data, as of the end of 2006, we estimate that there were
approximately $150 billion in ARMs backing private-label
subprime mortgage-related securities that were scheduled to
reset for the first time at some point during 2007, subjecting
those borrowers to significant payment shock. In addition, as of
the end of July 2007, we estimate that there were approximately
$185 billion in ARMs backing private-label subprime
mortgage-related securities with payments that were scheduled to
reset initially sometime in 2008. These resets could result in a
further sharp increase in delinquency and foreclosure rates. The
rising number of mortgage defaults and foreclosures, combined
with declining home prices on a national basis and weak economic
conditions in some regions, has resulted in significant
increases in credit losses.
The credit performance of subprime and Alt-A loans, as well as
other higher risk loans, has deteriorated sharply during the
past year, and even the prime conventional portion of the
mortgage market has seen signs of credit distress. Concerns
about the potential for even higher delinquency rates and more
severe credit losses have resulted in increases in mortgage
rates in the non-conforming and subprime portions of the market.
Many lenders have tightened lending standards or elected to stop
originating subprime and other higher risk loans completely,
which has adversely affected many borrowers seeking alternative
financing to refinance out of ARMs resetting to higher rates.
The reduction in liquidity and funding sources in the mortgage
credit market has led to a substantial shift in mortgage
originations. The share of traditional fixed-rate conforming
mortgages has increased substantially, while the share of Alt-A
and subprime mortgages has dropped significantly. Moreover,
credit concerns and the resulting liquidity issues have affected
the general financial markets. In recent months, the financial
markets have been characterized by high levels of volatility,
reduced levels of liquidity in the mortgage and corporate credit
markets, significantly wider credit spreads and rating agency
downgrades on a growing number of mortgage-related securities.
In response to concerns over liquidity in the financial markets,
the Federal Reserve reduced its discount rate in August,
September and October 2007 by a total of 125 basis points
to 5.00% and lowered the federal funds rate in September and
October 2007 by a total of 75 basis points to 4.50%. After
rising in the first half of the year, long-term bond yields
declined during the third quarter of
7
2007. As short-term interest rates decreased in the third
quarter of 2007, the spread between long- and short-term
interest rates widened, resulting in a steepening of the yield
curve.
Outlook
We expect housing market weakness to continue in 2007 and 2008.
We believe the continued downturn in housing will lead to
further declines in mortgage originations in 2007 and 2008, and
contribute to slower growth in U.S. residential mortgage
debt outstanding (MDO) in 2007 and 2008. Based on
our current market outlook, we expect:
|
|
|
|
|
A relatively stable net interest yield for the remainder of 2007.
|
|
|
|
Growth in our single-family guaranty book of business at a
faster rate than the rate of overall MDO growth.
|
|
|
|
A continued increase in our guaranty fee income for 2007.
|
|
|
|
A significant increase in losses on certain guaranty contracts
for 2007 as compared with 2006, due to the continued weakening
in the housing and mortgage market.
|
|
|
|
A significant increase in credit-related expenses and credit
losses for both 2007 and 2008 as compared with the previous
years, due to continued home price declines.
|
|
|
|
Continued volatility in our net income, stockholders
equity and regulatory capital due to market conditions and the
effects of the manner in which we account for changes in the
fair value of our derivatives and trading securities.
|
We provide additional detail on trends that may affect our
result of operations, financial condition and regulatory capital
position in future periods in Consolidated Results of
Operations below.
CRITICAL
ACCOUNTING POLICIES
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with
U.S. generally accepted accounting principles
(GAAP) requires management to make a number of
judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported
amount of assets, liabilities, income and expenses in the
consolidated financial statements. Understanding our accounting
policies and the extent to which we use management judgment and
estimates in applying these policies is integral to
understanding our financial statements. In our 2006
Form 10-K,
we identified the following as our critical accounting polices:
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Value of Financial Instruments
|
|
|
|
Amortization of Cost Basis Adjustments on Mortgage Loans and
Mortgage-Related Securities
|
|
|
|
Allowance for Loan Losses and Reserve for Guaranty Losses
|
|
|
|
Assessment of Variable Interest Entities
|
Our 2006
Form 10-K
contains a discussion of the judgments and assumptions made in
applying these policies and how changes in assumptions may
impact our consolidated financial statements. Refer to
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial
StatementsNote 1, Summary of Significant Accounting
Policies for updated information regarding our significant
accounting policies, including the expected impact on our
consolidated financial statements of recently issued accounting
pronouncements.
As noted in our 2006
Form 10-K,
we evaluate our critical accounting estimates and judgments
required by our policies on an ongoing basis and update them as
necessary based on changing conditions. We consider the
estimation of fair value of our financial instruments to be our
most critical accounting estimate because a substantial portion
of our assets and liabilities are recorded at estimated fair
value, and, in certain circumstances, our valuation techniques
involve a high degree of management judgment. The downturn in
the housing market and reduced liquidity in the credit markets,
along with the uncertainty in the financial markets arising from
these conditions, resulted in significant market volatility and
a disruption of historical pricing
8
relationships between certain financial instruments during the
third quarter of 2007. This significant change in market
conditions has had widespread implications on how companies
measure the fair value of certain financial instruments.
Accordingly, we have provided an update to our critical
accounting policy on fair value to discuss how these recent
market conditions have affected the determination of fair value
for some of our financial instruments, most notably our guaranty
assets and guaranty obligations, and delinquent loans purchased
from securitization trusts.
Fair
Value of Financial Instruments
Fair value is defined as the amount at which a financial
instrument could be exchanged in a current transaction between
willing, unrelated parties, other than in a forced or
liquidation sale. We use one of the following three practices
for estimating fair value, the selection of which is based on
the availability and reliability of relevant market data:
(1) actual, observable market prices or market prices
obtained from multiple third parties when available;
(2) market data and model-based interpolations using
standard models widely accepted within the industry if market
prices are not available; or (3) internally developed
models that employ techniques such as a discounted cash flow
approach and that include market-based assumptions, such as
prepayment speeds and default and severity rates, derived from
internally developed models. Price transparency tends to be
limited in less liquid markets where quoted market prices or
observable market data may not be available. We regularly refine
and enhance our valuation methodologies to correlate more
closely to observable market data. When observable market prices
or data are not readily available or do not exist, the
estimation of fair value may require significant management
judgment and assumptions. See Part IIItem
1ARisk Factors for a discussion of the risks and
uncertainties related to our use of valuation models.
Guaranty
Assets and Guaranty Obligations
The recent changes in market conditions have had a significant
impact on the estimation of the net fair value of our guaranty
assets and guaranty obligations. As guarantor of our Fannie Mae
MBS issuances, at inception we recognize a non-contingent
liability for the fair value of our obligation to stand ready to
perform over the term of the guaranty as a component of
Guaranty obligations in our consolidated balance
sheets. The fair value of this obligation represents
managements estimate of the amount that we would expect to
pay a third party of similar credit standing to assume our
obligation.
Our guaranty business volume is generated through either our
flow or bulk transaction channels. The contract terms and level
of pricing flexibility for loans guaranteed through these
channels differ and may adversely impact the estimated fair
value of our guaranty obligations and losses on certain guaranty
contracts. In our flow business, we enter into agreements that
generally set base guaranty fee pricing for a lenders
future delivery of individual loans to us over a specified time
period. Because we have established the base guaranty fee
pricing for a specified time period, we may be limited in our
ability to renegotiate the pricing on our flow transactions with
individual lenders to reflect changes in market conditions and
the credit risk of mortgage loans that meet our eligibility
standards. As a result, the estimated amount that we would be
required to pay a third party of similar credit standing to
assume our obligation may be higher than our contractual price.
Our bulk business consists of transactions in which a defined
set of loans are to be delivered to us in bulk, and we have the
opportunity to review the loans for eligibility and pricing
prior to delivery in accordance with the terms of the specific
contract for such transactions. We generally have greater
ability to select risks in the bulk transaction channel and to
adjust our pricing more rapidly to reflect changes in market
conditions and the credit risk of the specific transactions.
Our guaranty obligations consist of future expected credit
losses, including any unrecoverable principal and interest over
the expected life of the underlying mortgages of our Fannie Mae
MBS and foreclosure costs, estimated administrative and other
costs related to our guaranty, and any deferred profit amounts.
We base the fair value of the guaranty obligations that we
record when we issue Fannie Mae MBS on market information
obtained from spot transaction prices, when available. In the
absence of spot transaction data, which is the case for the
substantial majority of our Fannie Mae MBS issuances, we
estimate the fair value using simulation models that estimate
our potential future credit losses and calculate the present
value of the
9
expected cash flows associated with our guaranty obligations
under various economic scenarios. The key inputs and assumptions
for our models include default and severity rates. We also
incorporate a market rate of return that we derive from
observable market data. The objective of our valuation models is
to estimate the amount that we would expect to pay a third party
of similar credit standing to assume our guaranty obligation
under current market conditions. Because of the recent
significant reduction in liquidity in the mortgage and credit
markets and increased volatility, estimating the fair value of
our guaranty obligations has become more difficult in some cases
and the degree of management judgment involved has increased.
Although we review the reasonableness of the results of our
simulation models by comparing those results with available
market information, it is possible that different assumptions
and inputs could produce a materially different estimate of the
fair value of our guaranty obligations, particularly in the
current market environment.
The fair value of our guaranty obligations is highly sensitive
to changes in the markets expectation for future levels of
home price appreciation. When there is a market expectation of a
decline in home prices, the level of credit risk for a mortgage
loan tends to increase because the market anticipates a
likelihood of higher credit losses. Incorporating this
expectation of higher credit losses into our simulation models
results in a significant increase in the estimated fair value of
our guaranty obligations and increases the losses recognized at
inception on certain guaranty contracts. Based on our
experience, however, we expect our actual future credit losses
to be significantly less than the estimated increase in the fair
value of our guaranty obligations, as the fair value of our
guaranty obligations includes not only future expected credit
losses but also the economic return that we believe a third
party would require to assume that credit risk. Our combined
allowance for loan losses and reserve for guaranty losses
reflects our estimate of the probable credit losses inherent in
our mortgage credit book of business. We disclose on a quarterly
basis the estimated impact on our expected credit losses from an
immediate 5% decline in single-family home prices for the entire
United States. See Risk ManagementCredit Risk
ManagementMortgage Credit Risk Management for our
credit loss sensitivity disclosures.
Loans
Purchased with Evidence of Credit Deterioration
For securitization trusts that include a Fannie Mae guaranty, we
have the option to purchase loans from those trusts, at par plus
accrued interest, after required payments have not been made in
full for four consecutive months. Under long-term standby
commitments, we also purchase loans from lenders when the loans
subject to these commitments meet certain delinquency criteria.
We record the acquisition of such defaulted loans at the lower
of the loans acquisition price or its fair value.
During the period of reduced liquidity and market volatility
that began in July 2007, we obtained indicative bids for
delinquent loans from brokers. We used these bids to value
delinquent loans that we purchased from trusts during the third
quarter of 2007. The recent change in market conditions has had
a significant impact on our estimate of the fair value of these
delinquent loans. Given that the primary market for delinquent
loans is currently illiquid, there is more limited price
transparency. Therefore, the estimated fair value of defaulted
loans is highly sensitive to changes in market conditions.
10
CONSOLIDATED
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion of our consolidated results of
operations is based on a comparison of our results between the
third quarters of 2007 and 2006 and between the first nine
months of 2007 and 2006. Table 1 presents a summary of our
unaudited condensed consolidated results of operations for these
periods.
Table
1: Summary of Condensed Consolidated Results of
Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
Quarterly
|
|
|
Year-to-Date
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
|
|
|
Net interest income
|
|
$
|
1,058
|
|
|
$
|
1,528
|
|
|
$
|
3,445
|
|
|
$
|
5,407
|
|
|
$
|
(470
|
)
|
|
|
(31
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(1,962
|
)
|
|
|
(36
|
)%
|
Guaranty fee
income(1)
|
|
|
1,232
|
|
|
|
1,084
|
|
|
|
3,450
|
|
|
|
2,968
|
|
|
|
148
|
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
|
482
|
|
|
|
16
|
|
Trust management
income(2)
|
|
|
146
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
460
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
146
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
460
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fee and other
income(1)
|
|
|
76
|
|
|
|
234
|
|
|
|
546
|
|
|
|
567
|
|
|
|
(158
|
)
|
|
|
(68
|
)
|
|
|
(21
|
)
|
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net revenues
|
|
|
2,512
|
|
|
|
2,846
|
|
|
|
7,901
|
|
|
|
8,942
|
|
|
|
(334
|
)
|
|
|
(12
|
)
|
|
|
(1,041
|
)
|
|
|
(12
|
)
|
Losses on certain guaranty contracts
|
|
|
(294
|
)
|
|
|
(103
|
)
|
|
|
(1,038
|
)
|
|
|
(181
|
)
|
|
|
(191
|
)
|
|
|
(185
|
)
|
|
|
(857
|
)
|
|
|
(473
|
)
|
Investment gains (losses), net
|
|
|
136
|
|
|
|
550
|
|
|
|
(102
|
)
|
|
|
(758
|
)
|
|
|
(414
|
)
|
|
|
(75
|
)
|
|
|
656
|
|
|
|
87
|
|
Derivatives fair value losses, net
|
|
|
(2,244
|
)
|
|
|
(3,381
|
)
|
|
|
(891
|
)
|
|
|
(854
|
)
|
|
|
1,137
|
|
|
|
34
|
|
|
|
(37
|
)
|
|
|
(4
|
)
|
Losses from partnership investments
|
|
|
(147
|
)
|
|
|
(197
|
)
|
|
|
(527
|
)
|
|
|
(579
|
)
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
52
|
|
|
|
9
|
|
Administrative expenses
|
|
|
(660
|
)
|
|
|
(761
|
)
|
|
|
(2,018
|
)
|
|
|
(2,249
|
)
|
|
|
101
|
|
|
|
13
|
|
|
|
231
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
Credit-related
expenses(3)
|
|
|
(1,200
|
)
|
|
|
(197
|
)
|
|
|
(2,039
|
)
|
|
|
(457
|
)
|
|
|
(1,003
|
)
|
|
|
(509
|
)
|
|
|
(1,582
|
)
|
|
|
(346
|
)
|
Other non-interest
expenses(4)
|
|
|
(87
|
)
|
|
|
(29
|
)
|
|
|
(242
|
)
|
|
|
(40
|
)
|
|
|
(58
|
)
|
|
|
(200
|
)
|
|
|
(202
|
)
|
|
|
(505
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and extraordinary
gains (losses)
|
|
|
(1,984
|
)
|
|
|
(1,272
|
)
|
|
|
1,044
|
|
|
|
3,824
|
|
|
|
(712
|
)
|
|
|
(56
|
)
|
|
|
(2,780
|
)
|
|
|
(73
|
)
|
Benefit (provision) for federal income taxes
|
|
|
582
|
|
|
|
639
|
|
|
|
468
|
|
|
|
(380
|
)
|
|
|
(57
|
)
|
|
|
(9
|
)
|
|
|
848
|
|
|
|
223
|
|
Extraordinary gains (losses), net of tax effect
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
(25
|
)
|
|
|
(14
|
)
|
|
|
(127
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(1,399
|
)
|
|
$
|
(629
|
)
|
|
$
|
1,509
|
|
|
$
|
3,455
|
|
|
$
|
(770
|
)
|
|
|
(122
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(1,946
|
)
|
|
|
(56
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings (loss) per common share
|
|
$
|
(1.56
|
)
|
|
$
|
(0.79
|
)
|
|
$
|
1.17
|
|
|
$
|
3.16
|
|
|
$
|
(0.77
|
)
|
|
|
(97
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(1.99
|
)
|
|
|
(63
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Certain prior period amounts that
previously were included as a component of Fee and other
income have been reclassified to Guaranty fee
income to conform to the current period presentation.
|
|
(2) |
|
We began separately reporting the
revenues from trust management fees in our condensed
consolidated statements of income effective January 1,
2007. We previously included these revenues, which totaled
approximately $148 million and approximately
$447 million for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2006, respectively, as a component of
interest income.
|
|
(3) |
|
Consists of provision for credit
losses and foreclosed property expense.
|
|
(4) |
|
Consists of debt extinguishment
gains (losses), net, minority interest in earnings of
consolidated subsidiaries and other expenses.
|
Our business generates revenues from four principal sources: net
interest income, guaranty fee income, trust management income,
and fee and other income. Other significant factors affecting
our net income include changes in the fair value of our
derivatives, the timing and size of investment gains and losses,
equity investments, losses on certain guaranty contracts,
credit-related expenses and administrative expenses. We provide
a comparative discussion of the effect of our principal revenue
sources and other listed items on our
11
condensed consolidated results of operations for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 below. We
also discuss other significant items presented in our unaudited
condensed consolidated statements of income.
Net
Interest Income
Table 2 presents analyses of our net interest income and net
interest yield for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2007 and 2006.
Table
2: Analysis of Net Interest Income and
Yield
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
Income/
|
|
|
Rates
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
Income/
|
|
|
Rates
|
|
|
|
Balance(1)
|
|
|
Expense
|
|
|
Earned/Paid
|
|
|
Balance(1)
|
|
|
Expense
|
|
|
Earned/Paid
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Interest-earning assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage
loans(2)
|
|
$
|
397,349
|
|
|
$
|
5,572
|
|
|
|
5.61
|
%
|
|
$
|
376,792
|
|
|
$
|
5,209
|
|
|
|
5.53
|
%
|
Mortgage securities
|
|
|
330,872
|
|
|
|
4,579
|
|
|
|
5.54
|
|
|
|
355,024
|
|
|
|
4,912
|
|
|
|
5.53
|
|
Non-mortgage
securities(3)
|
|
|
72,075
|
|
|
|
999
|
|
|
|
5.43
|
|
|
|
59,464
|
|
|
|
812
|
|
|
|
5.34
|
|
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
|
|
17,994
|
|
|
|
246
|
|
|
|
5.35
|
|
|
|
15,551
|
|
|
|
214
|
|
|
|
5.38
|
|
Advances to lenders
|
|
|
8,561
|
|
|
|
76
|
|
|
|
3.45
|
|
|
|
4,368
|
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
|
3.44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total interest-earning assets
|
|
$
|
826,851
|
|
|
$
|
11,472
|
|
|
|
5.54
|
%
|
|
$
|
811,199
|
|
|
$
|
11,185
|
|
|
|
5.50
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest-bearing liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term debt
|
|
$
|
166,832
|
|
|
$
|
2,400
|
|
|
|
5.63
|
%
|
|
$
|
163,903
|
|
|
$
|
2,121
|
|
|
|
5.07
|
%
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
613,801
|
|
|
|
8,013
|
|
|
|
5.22
|
|
|
|
613,374
|
|
|
|
7,533
|
|
|
|
4.91
|
|
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
|
|
161
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
4.46
|
|
|
|
181
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
4.99
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total interest-bearing liabilities
|
|
$
|
780,794
|
|
|
$
|
10,414
|
|
|
|
5.31
|
%
|
|
$
|
777,458
|
|
|
$
|
9,657
|
|
|
|
4.94
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of net non-interest bearing funding
|
|
$
|
46,057
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.29
|
%
|
|
$
|
33,741
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.21
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income/net interest
yield(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,058
|
|
|
|
0.52
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,528
|
|
|
|
0.77
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
Income/
|
|
|
Rates
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
Income/
|
|
|
Rates
|
|
|
|
Balance(1)
|
|
|
Expense
|
|
|
Earned/Paid
|
|
|
Balance(1)
|
|
|
Expense
|
|
|
Earned/Paid
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest-earning assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage
loans(2)
|
|
$
|
391,318
|
|
|
$
|
16,582
|
|
|
|
5.65
|
%
|
|
$
|
372,798
|
|
|
$
|
15,495
|
|
|
|
5.54
|
%
|
Mortgage securities
|
|
|
329,126
|
|
|
|
13,606
|
|
|
|
5.51
|
|
|
|
360,115
|
|
|
|
14,599
|
|
|
|
5.41
|
|
Non-mortgage
securities(3)
|
|
|
67,595
|
|
|
|
2,763
|
|
|
|
5.39
|
|
|
|
52,531
|
|
|
|
1,983
|
|
|
|
4.98
|
|
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
|
|
15,654
|
|
|
|
633
|
|
|
|
5.33
|
|
|
|
13,294
|
|
|
|
504
|
|
|
|
5.00
|
|
Advances to lenders
|
|
|
6,097
|
|
|
|
160
|
|
|
|
3.45
|
|
|
|
4,063
|
|
|
|
103
|
|
|
|
3.36
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total interest-earning assets
|
|
$
|
809,790
|
|
|
$
|
33,744
|
|
|
|
5.55
|
%
|
|
$
|
802,801
|
|
|
$
|
32,684
|
|
|
|
5.42
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest-bearing liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term debt
|
|
$
|
163,062
|
|
|
$
|
6,806
|
|
|
|
5.50
|
%
|
|
$
|
163,647
|
|
|
$
|
5,671
|
|
|
|
4.57
|
%
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
609,018
|
|
|
|
23,488
|
|
|
|
5.14
|
|
|
|
607,106
|
|
|
|
21,596
|
|
|
|
4.74
|
|
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
|
|
136
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
4.91
|
|
|
|
265
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
4.73
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total interest-bearing liabilities
|
|
$
|
772,216
|
|
|
$
|
30,299
|
|
|
|
5.22
|
%
|
|
$
|
771,018
|
|
|
$
|
27,277
|
|
|
|
4.71
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of net non-interest bearing funding
|
|
$
|
37,574
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.24
|
%
|
|
$
|
31,783
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.19
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income/net interest
yield(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
3,445
|
|
|
|
0.57
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
5,407
|
|
|
|
0.90
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
The average balances for mortgage
loans, advances to lenders and short- and long-term debt have
been calculated based on the average of the amortized cost
amount as of the beginning of each period and the amortized cost
amount as of the end of each month within the respective period.
This method was also used to calculate the average balance for
mortgage securities for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2006. The average balances for all other
categories and periods have been calculated based on a daily
average.
|
|
(2) |
|
Includes nonaccrual loans with an
average balance totaling $6.2 billion and $6.1 billion
for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006,
respectively, and $6.0 billion and $7.0 billion for
the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006,
respectively.
|
|
(3) |
|
Includes cash equivalents.
|
|
(4) |
|
We calculate our net interest yield
by dividing our annualized net interest income for the period by
the average balance of our total interest-earning assets during
the period.
|
Table 3 presents the total variance, or change, in our net
interest income between the three months ended
September 30, 2007 and 2006, and the nine months ended
September 30, 2007 and 2006, and the extent to which that
variance is attributable to (1) changes in the volume of
our interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities or
(2) changes in the interest rates of these assets and
liabilities.
13
Table 3: Rate/Volume
Analysis of Net Interest Income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2007 vs.
2006
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 vs. 2006
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Variance Due
to:(1)
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Variance Due
to:(1)
|
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Volume
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Volume
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Interest income:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage loans
|
|
$
|
363
|
|
|
$
|
288
|
|
|
$
|
75
|
|
|
$
|
1,087
|
|
|
$
|
781
|
|
|
$
|
306
|
|
Mortgage securities
|
|
|
(333
|
)
|
|
|
(334
|
)
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
(993
|
)
|
|
|
(1,277
|
)
|
|
|
284
|
|
Non-mortgage
securities(2)
|
|
|
187
|
|
|
|
175
|
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
780
|
|
|
|
605
|
|
|
|
175
|
|
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
|
|
32
|
|
|
|
33
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
129
|
|
|
|
94
|
|
|
|
35
|
|
Advances to lenders
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
|
37
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
57
|
|
|
|
54
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total interest income
|
|
|
287
|
|
|
|
199
|
|
|
|
88
|
|
|
|
1,060
|
|
|
|
257
|
|
|
|
803
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest expense:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term debt
|
|
|
279
|
|
|
|
39
|
|
|
|
240
|
|
|
|
1,135
|
|
|
|
(20
|
)
|
|
|
1,155
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
480
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
475
|
|
|
|
1,892
|
|
|
|
68
|
|
|
|
1,824
|
|
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
(5
|
)
|
|
|
(5
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total interest expense
|
|
|
757
|
|
|
|
43
|
|
|
|
714
|
|
|
|
3,022
|
|
|
|
43
|
|
|
|
2,979
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income
|
|
$
|
(470
|
)
|
|
$
|
156
|
|
|
$
|
(626
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1,962
|
)
|
|
$
|
214
|
|
|
$
|
(2,176
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Combined rate/volume variances are
allocated to both rate and volume based on the relative size of
each variance.
|
|
(2) |
|
Includes cash equivalents.
|
Net interest income of $1.1 billion for the third quarter
of 2007 decreased by 31% from the third quarter of 2006, driven
by a 32% (25 basis points) decline in our net interest
yield to 0.52%. The overall increase of 37 basis points in
the average cost of our debt, to 5.31%, more than offset a
4 basis points increase in the average yield on our
interest-earning assets, to 5.54%.
Net interest income of $3.4 billion for the first nine
months of 2007 decreased by 36% from the first nine months of
2006, driven by a 37% (33 basis points) decline in our net
interest yield to 0.57%. The overall increase of 51 basis
points in the average cost of our debt, to 5.22%, more than
offset a 13 basis points increase in the average yield on
our interest-earning assets, to 5.55%.
We continued to experience compression in our net interest yield
during the first nine months of 2007, largely attributable to
the increase in our short-term and long-term debt costs as we
continued to replace, at higher interest rates, maturing debt
that we had issued at lower interest rates during the past few
years. In addition, as discussed below, effective
January 1, 2007, we reclassified the fees we receive from
the interest earned on cash flows between the date of remittance
by servicers and the date of distribution to MBS
certificateholders, which we refer to as float income, from
Interest income to Trust management
income. The reclassification of these fees contributed to
the decrease in our net interest yield, resulting in a reduction
of approximately 7 and 8 basis points for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2007, respectively.
As discussed below in Derivatives Fair Value Losses,
Net, we consider the net contractual interest accruals on
our interest rate swaps to be part of the cost of funding our
mortgage investments. These amounts, however, are reflected in
our condensed consolidated statements of income as a component
of Derivatives fair value losses, net. Although we
experienced an increase in the average cost of our debt for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, we recorded
net contractual interest income on our interest rate swaps
totaling $95 million and $193 million for the three
and nine months ended September 30, 2007, respectively. In
comparison, we recorded net contractual interest income of
$82 million and net contractual interest expense of
$157 million for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2006, respectively. The economic effect of
the interest accruals on our interest rate swaps, which is not
reflected in the comparative net interest yields
14
presented above, resulted in a reduction in our funding costs of
approximately 5 and 3 basis points for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2007, respectively. The effect
of interest accruals on our interest rate swaps also resulted in
a reduction in our funding costs of approximately 4 basis
points for the three months ended September 30, 2006 and an
increase in our funding costs of approximately 2 basis
points for the nine months ended September 30, 2006.
Based on the current composition of our portfolio, our expected
investment activity for the remainder of the year and the
current interest rate environment, we expect our net interest
yield to remain relatively stable for the remainder of 2007.
Guaranty
Fee Income
Table 4 shows the components of our guaranty fee income, our
average effective guaranty fee rate, and Fannie Mae MBS activity
for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and
2006.
Table 4: Guaranty
Fee Income and Average Effective Guaranty Fee
Rate(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Rate(2)
|
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Rate(2)
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Guaranty fee income/average effective guaranty fee rate,
excluding
buy-up
impairment
|
|
$
|
1,235
|
|
|
|
22.8
|
bp
|
|
$
|
1,092
|
|
|
|
22.6
|
bp
|
|
|
13
|
%
|
Buy-up
impairment
|
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
|
(63
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranty fee income/average effective guaranty fee
rate(4)(5)
|
|
$
|
1,232
|
|
|
|
22.8
|
bp
|
|
$
|
1,084
|
|
|
|
22.5
|
bp
|
|
|
14
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other
guaranties(6)
|
|
$
|
2,163,173
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,929,303
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12
|
%
|
Fannie Mae MBS
issues(7)
|
|
|
171,204
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
124,019
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Rate(2)
|
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Rate(2)
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Guaranty fee income/average effective guaranty fee rate,
excluding certain fair value adjustments and
buy-up
impairment
|
|
$
|
3,439
|
|
|
|
21.9
|
bp
|
|
$
|
2,978
|
|
|
|
21.0
|
bp
|
|
|
15
|
%
|
Net change in fair value of
buy-ups and
guaranty
assets(3)
|
|
|
19
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buy-up
impairment
|
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(10
|
)
|
|
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
|
(20
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranty fee income/average effective guaranty fee
rate(4)(5)
|
|
$
|
3,450
|
|
|
|
22.0
|
bp
|
|
$
|
2,968
|
|
|
|
20.9
|
bp
|
|
|
16
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other
guaranties(6)
|
|
$
|
2,090,322
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,893,843
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
%
|
Fannie Mae MBS
issues(7)
|
|
|
453,506
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
357,480
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Guaranty fee income consists of
contractual guaranty fees related to Fannie Mae MBS held in our
portfolio and held by third-party investors, adjusted for
(1) the amortization of upfront fees and impairment of
guaranty assets, net of a proportionate reduction in the related
guaranty obligation and deferred profit, and (2) impairment
of buy-ups.
The average effective guaranty fee rate reflects our average
contractual guaranty fee rate adjusted for the impact of
amortization of deferred amounts and
buy-up
impairment. Losses recognized at inception on certain guaranty
contracts are excluded from guaranty fee income and the average
effective guaranty fee rate, but as described in footnote 5
below, the subsequent recovery of these losses over the life of
the loans underlying the MBS issuances is reflected in our
guaranty fee income and average effective guaranty fee rate.
|
|
(2) |
|
Presented in annualized basis
points and calculated based on guaranty fee income components
divided by average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other
guaranties for each respective period.
|
|
(3) |
|
Consists of the effect of the net
change in fair value of
buy-ups and
guaranty assets from portfolio securitization transactions
subsequent to January 1, 2007. We include the net change in
fair value of
buy-ups and
guaranty assets
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
from portfolio securitization
transactions in guaranty fee income in our condensed
consolidated statements of income pursuant to our adoption of
Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS)
No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial
Instruments, an amendment of SFAS 133 and
SFAS 140 (SFAS 155). We prospectively
adopted SFAS 155 effective January 1, 2007.
Accordingly, we did not record a fair value adjustment in
earnings during 2006.
|
|
(4) |
|
Certain prior period amounts that
previously were included as a component of Fee and other
income have been reclassified to Guaranty fee
income to conform to the current period presentation.
|
|
(5) |
|
Losses recognized at inception on
certain guaranty contracts are recorded as a component of our
guaranty obligation. We amortize a portion of our guaranty
obligation, which includes these losses, into income each period
in proportion to the reduction in the guaranty asset for
payments received. This amortization increases our guaranty fee
income and reduces the related guaranty obligation. The
amortization of the guaranty obligation associated with losses
recognized at inception on certain guaranty contracts totaled
$144 million and $60 million for the three months
ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and
$327 million and $157 million for the nine months
ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
|
|
(6) |
|
Other guaranties includes
$35.5 billion and $19.7 billion as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006,
respectively, and $21.7 billion and $19.2 billion as
of September 30, 2006 and December 31, 2005,
respectively, related to long-term standby commitments we have
issued and credit enhancements we have provided.
|
|
(7) |
|
Reflects unpaid principal balance
of Fannie Mae MBS issued and guaranteed by us, including
mortgage loans held in our portfolio that we securitized during
the period and Fannie Mae MBS issued during the period that we
acquired for our portfolio.
|
The 14% increase in guaranty fee income for the third quarter of
2007 from the third quarter of 2006 resulted from a 12% increase
in average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other guaranties, and
a 1% increase in the average effective guaranty fee rate to
22.8 basis points from 22.5 basis points.
The 16% increase in guaranty fee income for the first nine
months of 2007 from the first nine months of 2006 resulted from
a 10% increase in average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other
guaranties, and a 5% increase in the average effective guaranty
fee rate to 22.0 basis points from 20.9 basis points.
Growth in average outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other
guaranties for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2007 was attributable to an increase in
Fannie Mae MBS issuances and a slower liquidation rate on our
mortgage credit book of business. Although mortgage origination
volumes fell during the first nine months of 2007, our market
share of MBS issuances increased due to the shift in the product
mix of mortgage originations back to more traditional conforming
products, such as
30-year
fixed-rate loans, which represent our core product and
historically have accounted for the majority of our new business
volume, and reduced competition from private-label issuers of
mortgage-related securities.
The increase in our average effective guaranty fee rate, which
excludes the effect of losses recorded at inception on certain
guaranty contracts, was attributable to targeted pricing
increases on new business to reflect the higher risk premium
resulting from the overall market increase in mortgage credit
risk pricing, an increase in our acquisition of
Alt-A
mortgage loans, which generally have higher guaranty fee rates,
and an increase in the accretion of our guaranty obligation and
deferred profit into income.
Because of our increased market share, we expect our
single-family guaranty book of business to grow at a faster rate
than the rate of overall MDO growth in 2007, and our guaranty
fee income to continue to increase for the remainder of 2007.
Trust Management
Income
Trust management income totaled $146 million and
$460 million for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2007, respectively. Trust management income
consists of the fees we earn as master servicer, issuer and
trustee for Fannie Mae MBS. We derive these fees from the
interest earned on cash flows between the date of remittance by
servicers and the date of distribution to MBS
certificateholders, which we refer to as float income. Prior to
November 2006, funds received from servicers were commingled
with our corporate assets. Because our compensation for these
roles could not be segregated, we included these amounts, which
totaled approximately $148 million and approximately
$447 million for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2006, as a component of Interest
income in our condensed consolidated statements of income.
In November 2006, we made operational changes to segregate these
funds from our corporate assets.
16
Accordingly, we began separately reporting this compensation as
Trust management income in our condensed
consolidated statements of income effective January 1, 2007.
Fee and
Other Income
Fee and other income decreased to $76 million for the third
quarter of 2007, from $234 million for the third quarter of
2006. The $158 million decrease in fee and other income in
the third quarter of 2007 resulted from changes in foreign
currency exchange rates. We recorded a foreign currency exchange
loss of $133 million on our foreign-denominated debt in the
third quarter of 2007, due to the weakening of the
U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen during the third
quarter of 2007. In contrast, we recorded a foreign currency
exchange gain of $37 million in the third quarter of 2006.
Our foreign currency exchange gains (losses) are offset in part
by corresponding net losses (gains) on foreign currency swaps,
which are recognized in our condensed consolidated statements of
income as a component of Derivatives fair value losses,
net. We seek to eliminate our exposure to fluctuations in
foreign exchange rates by entering into foreign currency swaps
that effectively convert debt denominated in a foreign currency
to debt denominated in U.S. dollars.
Fee and other income decreased to $546 million for the
first nine months of 2007, from $567 million for the first
nine months of 2006. The $21 million decrease in fee and
other income for the first nine months of 2007 was due in part
to the recognition of a foreign currency exchange loss of
$188 million on our foreign-denominated debt for the first
nine months of 2007, compared with a foreign currency exchange
loss of $123 million for the first nine months of 2006. The
increase in foreign currency exchange losses was due to the
weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen
during the first nine months of 2007. The decrease in fee and
other income was also due to a decrease in certain multifamily
fees related to consolidated loans, partially offset by
increased multifamily loan prepayment and yield maintenance fees.
Losses on
Certain Guaranty Contracts
Losses on certain guaranty contracts increased by
$191 million to $294 million for the third quarter of
2007, from $103 million for the third quarter of 2006.
Losses on certain guaranty contracts increased by
$857 million to $1.0 billion for the first nine months
of 2007, from $181 million for the first nine months of
2006.
We recognize an immediate loss in earnings on new guaranteed
Fannie Mae MBS issuances when our expectation of returns is
below what we believe a market participant would require for
that credit risk inclusive of a reasonable profit margin. We
expect, however, to recover the losses that we recognize at
inception on certain guaranty contracts in our consolidated
income statements over time in proportion to our receipt of
contractual guaranty fees on those guaranties and the decline in
the unpaid principal balance on the mortgage loans underlying
the MBS.
Following is an example to illustrate how losses recorded at
inception on certain guaranty contracts affect our earnings over
time. Assume that within one of our guaranty contracts, we have
an individual Fannie Mae MBS issuance for which the present
value of the guaranty fees we expect to receive over time based
on both a five-year contractual and expected life of the
fixed-rate loans underlying the MBS totals $100. Based on market
expectations, we estimate that a market participant would
require $120 to assume the risk associated with our guaranty of
the principal and interest due to investors in the MBS trust. To
simplify the accounting in our example, we assume that the
expected life of the underlying loans remains the same over the
five-year contractual period and the annual scheduled principal
and interest loan payments are equal over the five-year period.
Accounting
Upon Initial Issuance of
MBS:
|
|
|
|
|
We record a guaranty asset of $100, which represents the present
value of the guaranty fees we expect to receive over time.
|
|
|
|
We record a guaranty obligation of $120, which represents the
estimated amount that a market participant would require to
assume this obligation.
|
17
|
|
|
|
|
We record the difference of $20, or the amount by which the
guaranty obligation exceeds the guaranty asset, in our income
statement as losses on certain guaranty contracts.
|
Accounting
in Each of Years 1 to
5:
|
|
|
|
|
We collect $20 in guaranty fees per year, which represents
one-fifth of the outstanding receivable amount, and record this
amount as a reduction in the guaranty asset.
|
|
|
|
We reduce the guaranty obligation by a proportionate amount, or
one-fifth, and record this amount, which totals $24, in our
income statement as guaranty fee income.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Years Ended
|
|
|
Cumulative
|
|
|
|
0
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
Effect
|
|
|
Losses on certain guaranty contracts
|
|
$
|
(20
|
)
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
(20
|
)
|
Guaranty fee income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24
|
|
|
|
24
|
|
|
|
24
|
|
|
|
24
|
|
|
|
24
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pre-tax income
|
|
$
|
(20
|
)
|
|
$
|
24
|
|
|
$
|
24
|
|
|
$
|
24
|
|
|
$
|
24
|
|
|
$
|
24
|
|
|
$
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As illustrated in the example, the $20 loss recognized at
inception of the guaranty contract will be accreted into
earnings over time as a component of guaranty fee income. For
additional information on our accounting for guaranty
transactions, which is more complex than the example presented,
refer to our 2006
Form 10-K
in Notes to Consolidated Financial
StatementsNote 1, Summary of Significant Accounting
Policies.
As credit conditions deteriorated during the first nine months
of 2007, the markets expectation of future credit risk
increased. This change in market conditions increased the
estimated risk premium or compensation that a market participant
would require to assume our guaranty obligations. As a result,
the estimated fair value of our guaranty obligations related to
MBS issuances increased, contributing to a higher level of
losses at inception on certain of our MBS issuances. Our losses
on certain guaranty contracts also were affected by the
following during the first nine months of 2007:
|
|
|
|
|
Lender Flow Transaction Contracts: We enter
into flow transaction contracts that establish our base guaranty
fee pricing with a lender for a specified period of time.
Because pricing is fixed for a period of time, these contracts
may limit our ability to immediately adjust our base guaranty
fee pricing to reflect changes in market conditions. As the
market risk premium increased during the first nine months of
2007, we experienced an increase in the losses related to some
of these contracts because we had established our base guaranty
fee pricing for a specified time period and could not increase
our prices to reflect the increased market risk. To address this
in part, we have expanded our use of standard risk-based price
adjustments that apply to all deliveries of loans with certain
risk characteristics.
|
|
|
|
Affordability Mission Housing
Goals: Our efforts to increase the amount of
mortgage financing that we make available to target populations
and geographic areas to support our housing goals contributed to
an increase in losses on certain guaranty contracts for the
first nine months of 2007, due to the higher credit risk premium
associated with these MBS issuances. In addition, certain
contracts that support our affordability mission are priced at a
discounted rate.
|
|
|
|
Contract-Level Pricing: We negotiate guaranty
contracts with our customers based upon the overall economics of
the transaction; however, the accounting for our
guaranty-related assets and liabilities is not determined at the
contract level for the substantial majority of our guaranty
transactions. Instead, it is determined separately for each
individual MBS issuance within a contract. Although we determine
losses at an individual MBS issuance level, we largely price our
guaranty business on an overall contract basis and establish a
single price for all loans included in the contract.
Accordingly, a single guaranty transaction may result in some
loan pools for which we recognize a loss immediately in earnings
and other loan pools for which we record deferred profits that
are recognized as a component of guaranty fee income over the
life of the loans underlying the MBS issuance.
|
We expect that the vast majority of our MBS guaranty
transactions will generate positive economic returns over the
lives of the related MBS because we expect our guaranty fees to
exceed our incurred credit losses based on our experience.
Losses on certain guaranty contracts do not reflect our estimate
of incurred credit
18
losses in our mortgage credit book of business. Instead, these
losses are recognized as charges against our allowance for loan
losses or reserve for guaranty losses, and are reflected in our
credit losses. Our combined allowance for loan losses and
reserve for guaranty losses reflects our estimate of the
probable credit losses inherent in our mortgage credit book of
business. See Credit-Related Expenses for a
discussion of our current year provision for credit losses.
We have increased guaranty pricing for some of our loan products
during 2007. Additionally, we have made targeted eligibility
changes during 2007 to enhance the risk profile characteristics
of mortgage loans that we guarantee. We previously disclosed
that we expected losses on certain guaranty contracts to more
than double in 2007 from the $439 million recorded in 2006.
Based on the losses reported for the first nine months of 2007,
we expect our losses on certain guaranty contracts for the full
year 2007 to be significantly higher than previously estimated.
Investment
Gains (Losses), Net
Table 5 summarizes the components of investment gains (losses),
net for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007
and 2006.
Table
5: Investment Gains (Losses), Net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Other-than-temporary impairment on investment
securities(1)
|
|
$
|
(81
|
)
|
|
$
|
(6
|
)
|
|
$
|
(84
|
)
|
|
$
|
(852
|
)
|
Lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments on held-for-sale loans
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
47
|
|
|
|
(115
|
)
|
|
|
(45
|
)
|
Gains (losses) on Fannie Mae portfolio securitizations, net
|
|
|
(65
|
)
|
|
|
45
|
|
|
|
(27
|
)
|
|
|
74
|
|
Gains on sale of investment securities, net
|
|
|
99
|
|
|
|
115
|
|
|
|
414
|
|
|
|
125
|
|
Unrealized gains (losses) on trading securities, net
|
|
|
249
|
|
|
|
364
|
|
|
|
(180
|
)
|
|
|
(25
|
)
|
Other investment losses, net
|
|
|
(69
|
)
|
|
|
(15
|
)
|
|
|
(110
|
)
|
|
|
(35
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment gains (losses), net
|
|
$
|
136
|
|
|
$
|
550
|
|
|
$
|
(102
|
)
|
|
$
|
(758
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Excludes other-than-temporary
impairment on guaranty assets and
buy-ups as
these amounts are recognized as a component of guaranty fee
income.
|
The $414 million decrease in investment gains for the third
quarter of 2007 from the third quarter of 2006 was primarily
attributable to the combined effect of the following:
|
|
|
|
|
A decrease of $115 million in unrealized gains on trading
securities. We recorded $249 million in unrealized gains on
trading securities during the third quarter of 2007, primarily
due to a decline in interest rates during the quarter, which
increased the fair value of our trading securities. This
increase was partially offset by a decline in the fair value of
private-label mortgage-related securities backed by subprime and
Alt-A loans due to a widening of credit spreads on these
securities during the quarter. In contrast, we recorded $364
million in unrealized gains on trading securities during the
third quarter of 2006, due to a decline in interest rates during
the quarter.
|
|
|
|
A net loss of $65 million for the third quarter of 2007 on
Fannie Mae portfolio securitizations, compared with a net gain
of $45 million for the third quarter of 2006. We
securitized some subprime mortgage assets that were in a loss
position during the third quarter of 2007. Cash proceeds related
to portfolio securitizations accounted for as sales totaled
$9.2 billion and $5.7 billion for the third quarter of
2007 and 2006, respectively.
|
|
|
|
An increase of $75 million in other-than-temporary
impairment on investment securities. We recognized
other-than-temporary impairment of $81 million for the
third quarter of 2007, due to credit ratings downgrades and
other credit-related events relating to certain non-mortgage
investments that we had designated as available for sale, which
caused the fair value of these securities to decline below their
|
19
|
|
|
|
|
carrying value, and a deterioration in the credit quality of
some of our mortgage revenue bond investments. In contrast, we
recognized other-than-temporary impairment of $6 million
for the third quarter of 2006.
|
The $656 million decrease in investment losses for the
first nine months of 2007 from the first nine months of 2006 was
primarily attributable to the combined effect of the following:
|
|
|
|
|
A decrease of $768 million in other-than-temporary
impairment on investment securities. We recognized
other-than-temporary impairment of $84 million for the
first nine months of 2007, largely due to the impairments
recorded during the third quarter of 2007. In contrast, we
recognized other-than-temporary impairment of $852 million
for the first nine months of 2006 due to a general increase in
interest rates during the period, which caused the fair value of
certain securities that we designated for sale to decline below
the carrying value of those securities. We expect
other-than-temporary impairment on investment securities for the
full year 2007 to be significantly lower than the amount
recorded in 2006.
|
|
|
|
An increase of $289 million in gains on sale of investment
securities, net. We recorded net gains of $414 million and
$125 million for the first nine months of 2007 and 2006,
respectively, related to the sale of securities totaling
$45.3 billion and $46.3 billion, respectively. The
investment gains recorded during the first nine months of 2007
were attributable to the recovery in value of securities we sold
that we had previously written down due to other-than-temporary
impairment.
|
|
|
|
An increase of $155 million in unrealized losses on trading
securities. As described in Consolidated Balance Sheet
AnalysisTrading Securities, we increased our
portfolio of trading securities during the first nine months of
2007 to approximately $48.7 billion as of
September 30, 2007, from $11.5 billion as of
December 31, 2006. We recorded unrealized losses of $180
million on our trading securities for the first nine months of
2007, reflecting the combined effect of an increase in our
portfolio of mortgage-related securities classified as trading
and a decrease in the fair value of these securities due to the
significant widening of credit spreads during the period.
|
While changes in the fair value of our trading securities
generally move inversely to changes in the fair value of our
derivatives, we recorded losses on both our trading securities
and derivatives for the first nine months of the year, due to
the effect on our trading securities of the significant widening
of credit spreads. Because the fair value of our trading
securities is affected by market fluctuations that cannot be
predicted, we cannot estimate the impact of changes in the fair
value of our trading securities for the full year. We provide
information on the sensitivity of changes in the fair value of
trading securities to changes in interest rates in Risk
ManagementInterest Rate Risk Management and Other Market
RisksMeasuring Interest Rate Risk.
20
Derivatives
Fair Value Losses, Net
Table 6 presents, by type of derivative instrument, the fair
value gains and losses on our derivatives for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006. Table 6 also
includes an analysis of the components of derivatives fair value
gains and losses attributable to net contractual interest income
(expense) on our interest rate swaps, the net change in the fair
value of terminated derivative contracts through the date of
termination and the net change in the fair value of outstanding
derivative contracts. The five-year interest rate swap rate,
which is shown below in Table 6, is a key reference interest
rate affecting the estimated fair value of our derivatives.
Table
6: Derivatives Fair Value Losses, Net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Risk management derivatives:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Swaps:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pay-fixed
|
|
$
|
(7,500
|
)
|
|
$
|
(7,198
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1,780
|
)
|
|
$
|
1,852
|
|
Receive-fixed
|
|
|
3,834
|
|
|
|
3,329
|
|
|
|
956
|
|
|
|
(11
|
)
|
Basis
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
|
(35
|
)
|
|
|
25
|
|
Foreign
currency(1)
|
|
|
140
|
|
|
|
(65
|
)
|
|
|
97
|
|
|
|
32
|
|
Swaptions:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pay-fixed
|
|
|
(237
|
)
|
|
|
(822
|
)
|
|
|
32
|
|
|
|
(925
|
)
|
Receive-fixed
|
|
|
1,460
|
|
|
|
1,405
|
|
|
|
(199
|
)
|
|
|
(1,951
|
)
|
Interest rate caps
|
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
|
(33
|
)
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
92
|
|
Other(2)
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk management derivatives fair value losses, net
|
|
|
(2,213
|
)
|
|
|
(3,344
|
)
|
|
|
(920
|
)
|
|
|
(882
|
)
|
Mortgage commitment derivatives fair value gains (losses), net
|
|
|
(31
|
)
|
|
|
(37
|
)
|
|
|
29
|
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total derivatives fair value losses, net
|
|
$
|
(2,244
|
)
|
|
$
|
(3,381
|
)
|
|
$
|
(891
|
)
|
|
$
|
(854
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses)
attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net contractual interest income (expense) on interest rate swaps
|
|
$
|
95
|
|
|
$
|
82
|
|
|
$
|
193
|
|
|
$
|
(157
|
)
|
Net change in fair value of terminated derivative contracts from
end of prior period to date of termination
|
|
|
(50
|
)
|
|
|
(110
|
)
|
|
|
(187
|
)
|
|
|
(154
|
)
|
Net change in fair value of outstanding derivative contracts,
including derivative contracts entered into during the period
|
|
|
(2,258
|
)
|
|
|
(3,316
|
)
|
|
|
(926
|
)
|
|
|
(571
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk management derivatives fair value losses,
net(3)
|
|
$
|
(2,213
|
)
|
|
$
|
(3,344
|
)
|
|
$
|
(920
|
)
|
|
$
|
(882
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
5-year swap
rate:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of January 1
|
|
|
5.10
|
%
|
|
|
4.88
|
%
|
As of March 31
|
|
|
4.99
|
|
|
|
5.31
|
|
As of June 30
|
|
|
5.50
|
|
|
|
5.65
|
|
As of September 30
|
|
|
4.87
|
|
|
|
5.08
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes the effect of net
contractual interest expense of approximately $16 million
and $20 million for the three months ended
September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and
$50 million and $55 million for the nine months ended
September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The change in
fair value of foreign currency swaps excluding this item
resulted in a net gain of $156 million and a net loss of
$45 million for the three months ended September 30,
2007 and 2006, respectively, and net gains of $147 million
and $87 million for the nine months ended
September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
|
|
(2) |
|
Includes MBS options, forward
starting debt, swap credit enhancements and mortgage insurance
contracts.
|
|
(3) |
|
Reflects net derivatives fair value
gains (losses) recognized in the condensed consolidated
statements of income, excluding mortgage commitments.
|
21
As shown in Table 6 above, we recorded net contractual interest
income on interest rate swaps for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2007. In comparison, we recorded net
contractual interest income for the three months ended
September 30, 2006 and net contractual interest expense for
the nine months ended September 30, 2006. Although these
amounts are included in the net derivatives fair value losses
recognized in our condensed consolidated statements of income,
we consider the interest accruals on our interest rate swaps to
be part of the cost of funding our mortgage investments.
We recorded derivatives fair value losses totaling
$2.2 billion and $3.4 billion for the third quarter of
2007 and 2006, respectively, due to fair value losses on our
interest rate swaps that were partially offset by fair value
gains on our option-based derivatives. The fair value losses on
our interest rate swaps were attributable to a decrease in swap
rates during each period, which resulted in fair value losses on
our pay-fixed swaps that exceeded the fair value gains on our
receive-fixed swaps. We experienced fair value gains on our
option-based derivatives in each period due to an increase in
fair value resulting from an increase in implied volatility that
more than offset a decrease in fair value resulting from the
combined effect of the decrease in swap rates and the time decay
of these options. Time decay refers to the diminishing value of
an option over time as less time remains to exercise the option.
The less time left on an option, the greater the effects of time
decay.
We recorded derivatives fair value losses totaling
$891 million and $854 million for the first nine
months of 2007 and 2006, respectively. The derivatives fair
value losses recorded in the third quarter of 2007 and 2006 more
than offset the cumulative derivatives fair value gains recorded
for the first six months of each year.
Because the fair value of our derivatives is affected by market
fluctuations that cannot be predicted, we cannot estimate the
impact of changes in the fair value of our derivatives for the
remainder of 2007. We provide information on the sensitivity of
changes in the fair value of our derivatives to changes in
interest rates in Risk ManagementInterest Rate Risk
Management and Other Market RisksMeasuring Interest Rate
Risk.
Losses
from Partnership Investments
Losses from partnership investments decreased to
$147 million for the third quarter of 2007, from
$197 million for the third quarter of 2006. The decrease in
losses for the third quarter of 2007 was attributable to the
recognition of a gain on the sale of investments in federal
low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) partnerships
in July 2007, as well as a lower LIHTC portfolio balance
compared to the third quarter of 2006, which resulted in fewer
net operating losses. LIHTC partnerships generate tax credits
and incur operational losses for which we obtain tax benefits
through tax deductions. See Benefit (Provision) for
Federal Income Taxes for further discussion of LIHTC tax
benefits.
Losses from partnership investments decreased to
$527 million for the first nine months of 2007, from
$579 million for the first nine months of 2006. The
decrease in losses for the first nine months of 2007 was due to
the recognition of gains on sales of investments in LIHTC
partnerships in March 2007 and July 2007, which was partially
offset by an increase in losses from our continuing investments
in LIHTC partnerships.
Administrative
Expenses
Table 7 details the components of our administrative expenses,
which include ongoing operating costs, as well as costs
associated with our efforts to return to timely financial
reporting.
22
Table
7: Administrative Expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Ongoing operating
costs(1)
|
|
$
|
528
|
|
|
$
|
509
|
|
|
|
4
|
%
|
|
$
|
1,563
|
|
|
$
|
1,424
|
|
|
|
10
|
%
|
Restatement and related regulatory
expenses(2)
|
|
|
132
|
|
|
|
252
|
|
|
|
(48
|
)
|
|
|
455
|
|
|
|
825
|
|
|
|
(45
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total administrative expenses
|
|
$
|
660
|
|
|
$
|
761
|
|
|
|
(13
|
)%
|
|
$
|
2,018
|
|
|
$
|
2,249
|
|
|
|
(10
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Excludes costs associated with our
efforts to return to timely financial reporting and also
excludes various costs that we do not expect to incur on a
regular basis.
|
|
(2) |
|
Includes costs of restatement and
related regulatory examinations, investigations and litigation,
and costs associated with our efforts to return to timely
financial reporting.
|
The decreases in administrative expenses for the third quarter
of 2007 from the third quarter of 2006, and for the first nine
months of 2007 from the first nine months of 2006, were due to a
significant reduction in restatement and related regulatory
expenses. This reduction was partially offset by an increase in
our ongoing operating costs, resulting from costs associated
with an early retirement program and various involuntary
severance initiatives implemented in 2007, as well as costs
associated with the significant investment we have made to
remediate material weaknesses in our internal control over
financial reporting by enhancing our organizational structure
and systems. Due to these costs, we expect our ongoing operating
costs for 2007 to exceed those for 2006.
As we have previously disclosed, we undertook a thorough review
of our costs beginning in January 2007 as part of a broad
reengineering initiative to increase productivity and lower
administrative costs. As a result of this effort, we expect to
reduce our total administrative expenses by more than
$200 million in 2007 as compared with 2006, primarily
through a reduction in employee and contract resources. We
estimate that our 2007 productivity and cost reduction
reengineering initiative will reduce our ongoing operating costs
to approximately $2 billion in 2008.
Credit-Related
Expenses
Our credit-related expenses consist of our provision for credit
losses and our foreclosed property expense. Our credit-related
expenses increased to $1.2 billion for the third quarter of
2007, from $197 million for the third quarter of 2006.
Credit-related expenses increased to $2.0 billion for the
first nine months of 2007, from $457 million for the first
nine months of 2006. Following is a discussion of changes in the
components of our credit-related expenses for each comparable
period.
The provision for credit losses increased by $942 million,
or 650%, to $1.1 billion for the third quarter of 2007,
from $145 million for the third quarter of 2006. The
provision for credit losses increased by $1.4 billion, or
381%, to $1.8 billion for the first nine months of 2007,
from $368 million for the first nine months of 2006.
Approximately $670 million and $805 million of the
provision for credit losses for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2007, respectively, relates to charge-offs
recorded when we purchase delinquent loans from MBS trusts and
the purchase price, which is equal to the par amount, exceeds
the fair value at the purchase date. These charges totaled
$37 million and $153 million for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2006, respectively. Accordingly,
$633 million and $652 million of the increase in the
provision for credit losses for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2007, respectively, was attributable
primarily to a substantial decrease in the market value of
delinquent loans we purchased from MBS trusts. The decrease
began in July 2007 as housing and credit market conditions
deteriorated, causing increased credit spread requirements and
decreased liquidity for this type of asset.
Pursuant to our MBS trust agreement, we have the option to
purchase loans from the MBS trust, at par plus accrued interest,
after required payments have not been made in full for four
consecutive months. We record
23
these loans at their estimated fair value at the date of
purchase from the trust and recognize the difference between the
amount paid and the fair value as a component of charge-offs.
Based on our past experience, the majority of the loans we
purchase from MBS trusts cure or pay off; however, our cure rate
has declined in recent periods and may decline further. If a
loan pays off in full, we recover the loss previously recognized
as a component of net interest income. If a loan cures, meaning
that the borrower is no longer past due, we recover the loss
previously recorded as a component of net interest income over
the contractual life of the loan. If we foreclose upon a
mortgage loan purchased from an MBS trust, the charge-off
recognized at the date of foreclosure and the foreclosed
property expense would be reduced because of the loss we
previously recorded when we purchased the loan from the MBS
trust. In some cases, losses that we record when we purchase
loans from MBS trusts may result in our recording gains when we
dispose of the foreclosed properties.
We are required by our MBS trust agreement to purchase loans
from an MBS trust when specified predetermined triggers are met.
Accordingly, we would expect to continue to incur these charges
as part of our provision for credit losses in our consolidated
financial statements. We do not expect the market prices for
these delinquent loans to improve in the reasonably foreseeable
future.
The remaining increase in our provision for credit losses of
$309 million and $750 million for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2007, respectively, is
attributable to an increase in net charge-offs and incremental
additions to the allowance for loan losses and reserve for
guaranty losses during each period. The increase in net
charge-offs in each period reflects higher default rates and an
increase in the average amount of loss per loan, or charge-off
severity, resulting from continued economic weakness in the
Midwest region and the national decline in home prices during
the first nine months of 2007. The higher default rates are, in
part, due to earlier than anticipated defaults on loans
originated in 2006 and 2007. The increase in charge-off severity
is attributable to the combined effect of the national decline
in home prices and the higher unpaid principal balances of loans
going to foreclosure.
Foreclosed property expense increased by $61 million, or
117%, to $113 million for the third quarter of 2007, from
$52 million for the third quarter of 2006. Foreclosed
property expense increased by $180 million, or 202%, to
$269 million for the first nine months of 2007, from
$89 million for the first nine months of 2006. These
increases were driven by an increase in the inventory of
foreclosed properties and rapidly declining sales prices on
foreclosed properties, particularly in the Midwest, which
accounted for the majority of the increase in our foreclosed
property expense in each period. The national decline in home
prices has contributed to further increases in foreclosure
activity.
Any amounts due from mortgage insurance companies on primary
mortgage insurance in excess of the amount of a loan charge-off
and all pool mortgage insurance are recognized as a reduction to
our credit losses when such amounts are collected from insurance
companies. As such, a significant amount of our current year
credit losses will result in a reduction in our credit losses in
subsequent periods as cash collections are received from
mortgage insurance companies, either as a recovery to our
allowance for loan losses or reserve for guaranty losses or as a
reduction of foreclosed property expense.
Home prices have declined in the first nine months of 2007, and
we expect they will continue to decline for the remainder of
2007 and in 2008. As a result, we expect significant increases
in our serious delinquency rates, foreclosure activity, credit
losses and credit-related expenses for 2007 compared with 2006,
and for 2008 compared with 2007. We provide additional detail on
our credit losses and factors affecting our allowance for loan
losses and reserve for guaranty losses in Risk
ManagementCredit Risk ManagementMortgage Credit Risk
Management.
Other
Non-Interest Expenses
We recorded other non-interest expenses of $87 million for
the third quarter of 2007, compared with $29 million for
the third quarter of 2006. We recorded other non-interest
expenses of $242 million and $40 million for the first
nine months of 2007 and 2006, respectively. The increase in
expenses for each period was predominately due to higher credit
enhancement expenses and a reduction in the amount of net gains
recognized on the extinguishment of debt.
24
Federal
Income Taxes
We recorded net tax benefit amounts for the third quarter of
2007 and 2006, which produced an effective tax rate of 29% and
50%, respectively. We recorded a net tax benefit for the first
nine months of 2007 that produced an effective tax rate of
(45)%, compared with a net tax provision and an effective tax
rate of 10% for the first nine months of 2006. The difference
between our federal statutory rate of 35% and our effective tax
rate is primarily due to the tax benefits we receive from our
investments in LIHTC partnerships and other equity investments
that help to support our affordable housing mission. In
calculating our interim provision for income taxes, we use an
estimate of our annual effective tax rate, which we update each
quarter based on actual historical information and
forward-looking estimates. The estimated annual effective tax
rate may fluctuate each period based upon changes in facts and
circumstances, if any, as compared to those forecasted at the
beginning of the year and each interim period thereafter. The
variance in our effective tax rate between periods is primarily
due to the combined effect of fluctuations in our actual pre-tax
income and our estimated annual taxable income, which affects
the relative tax benefit we expect to receive from tax-exempt
income and tax credits, and changes in the actual dollar amount
of these tax benefits.
Results of our three business segments are intended to reflect
each segment as if it were a stand-alone business. We describe
the management reporting and allocation process used to generate
our segment results in our 2006
Form 10-K
in Notes to Consolidated Financial
StatementsNote 15, Segment Reporting. We
summarize our segment results for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 in the tables below and
provide a discussion of these results. We include more detail on
our segment results in Notes to Condensed Consolidated
Financial StatementsNote 13, Segment Reporting.
Single-Family
Business
Our Single-Family business recorded a net loss of
$186 million for the third quarter of 2007, compared with
net income of $529 million for the third quarter of 2006.
Our Single-Family business recorded net income of
$305 million for the first nine months of 2007, a decrease
of $1.3 billion, or 81%, from net income of
$1.6 billion for the first nine months of 2006. Table 8
summarizes the financial results for our Single-Family business
for the periods indicated. The primary source of revenue for our
Single-Family business is guaranty fee income. Other sources of
revenue include trust management income and technology and other
fees. Expenses primarily include credit-related expenses, losses
on certain guaranty contracts and administrative expenses.
Table
8: Single-Family Business Results
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
Quarterly
|
|
|
Year-to-Date
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Income Statement Data:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranty fee income
|
|
$
|
1,424
|
|
|
$
|
1,242
|
|
|
$
|
4,015
|
|
|
$
|
3,406
|
|
|
$
|
182
|
|
|
|
15
|
%
|
|
$
|
609
|
|
|
|
18
|
%
|
Trust management
income(1)
|
|
|
138
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
433
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
138
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
433
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
income(2)
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
|
345
|
|
|
|
476
|
|
|
|
1,030
|
|
|
|
(220
|
)
|
|
|
(64
|
)
|
|
|
(554
|
)
|
|
|
(54
|
)
|
Losses on certain guaranty contracts
|
|
|
(292
|
)
|
|
|
(101
|
)
|
|
|
(1,023
|
)
|
|
|
(175
|
)
|
|
|
(191
|
)
|
|
|
(189
|
)
|
|
|
(848
|
)
|
|
|
(485
|
)
|
Credit-related
expenses(3)
|
|
|
(1,195
|
)
|
|
|
(192
|
)
|
|
|
(2,040
|
)
|
|
|
(450
|
)
|
|
|
(1,003
|
)
|
|
|
(522
|
)
|
|
|
(1,590
|
)
|
|
|
(353
|
)
|
Other
expenses(4)
|
|
|
(484
|
)
|
|
|
(482
|
)
|
|
|
(1,397
|
)
|
|
|
(1,304
|
)
|
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(93
|
)
|
|
|
(7
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (loss) before federal income taxes
|
|
|
(284
|
)
|
|
|
812
|
|
|
|
464
|
|
|
|
2,507
|
|
|
|
(1,096
|
)
|
|
|
(135
|
)
|
|
|
(2,043
|
)
|
|
|
(81
|
)
|
Benefit (provision) for federal income taxes
|
|
|
98
|
|
|
|
(283
|
)
|
|
|
(159
|
)
|
|
|
(871
|
)
|
|
|
381
|
|
|
|
135
|
|
|
|
712
|
|
|
|
82
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(186
|
)
|
|
$
|
529
|
|
|
$
|
305
|
|
|
$
|
1,636
|
|
|
$
|
(715
|
)
|
|
|
(135
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(1,331
|
)
|
|
|
(81
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
Quarterly
|
|
|
Year-to-Date
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Other Key Performance Data:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average single-family guaranty book of
business(5)
|
|
$
|
2,432,904
|
|
|
$
|
2,198,281
|
|
|
$
|
2,359,126
|
|
|
$
|
2,158,428
|
|
|
$
|
234,623
|
|
|
|
11
|
%
|
|
$
|
200,698
|
|
|
|
9
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Effective January 1, 2007, we
began separately reporting our float income as Trust
management income. Float income for 2006 is included in
Other income.
|
|
(2) |
|
Consists of net interest income,
investment gains and losses, and fee and other income.
|
|
(3) |
|
Consists of the provision for
credit losses and foreclosed property expense.
|
|
(4) |
|
Consists of administrative expenses
and other expenses.
|
|
(5) |
|
The single-family guaranty book of
business consists of single-family mortgage loans held in our
portfolio, single-family Fannie Mae MBS held in our portfolio,
single-family Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties, and other
single-family credit enhancements that we provide.
|
Key factors affecting the results of our Single-Family business
for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007,
compared with the three and nine months ended September 30,
2006 included the following.
|
|
|
|
|
Increased guaranty fee income for both the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2007, attributable to an increase in
the average single-family guaranty book of business, coupled
with an increase in the average effective single-family guaranty
fee rate.
|
|
|
|
|
|
The growth in our average single-family guaranty book of
business was due to strong growth in single-family Fannie Mae
MBS issuances and a decrease in the liquidation rate of the
single-family guaranty book of business. Total single-family
Fannie Mae MBS outstanding increased to $2.1 trillion as of
September 30, 2007, from $1.9 trillion as of
December 31, 2006. Our estimated overall market share of
new single-family mortgage-related securities issuances
increased to approximately 41.2% for the third quarter of 2007,
from approximately 24.3% for the third quarter of 2006. Our
market share has increased in the first nine months of 2007, due
to the shift in the product mix of mortgage originations to more
traditional conforming fixed-rate loans and reduced competition
from private-label issuers of mortgage-related securities. These
market share estimates are based on publicly available data and
exclude previously securitized mortgages.
|
|
|
|
The growth in our average effective single-family guaranty fee
rate resulted from targeted pricing increases on new business
due to the increase in the market pricing of mortgage credit
risk, an increase in our acquisition of Alt-A mortgage loans,
which generally have higher guaranty fee rates, and an increase
in the accretion of our guaranty obligation and deferred profit
into income in the first nine months of 2007 as compared with
the same period in 2006.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Significantly higher losses on certain guaranty contracts for
both the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007,
due to the deterioration in home prices and overall housing
market conditions during the first nine months of 2007, which
led to an increase in mortgage credit risk pricing that resulted
in an increase in the estimated fair value of our guaranty
obligations. As a result, we recorded increased losses on
certain guaranty contracts, in conjunction with our MBS
issuances during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007.
|
|
|
|
A substantial increase in credit-related expenses for both the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, reflecting
an increase in both the provision for credit losses and
foreclosed property expense due to the continued impact of weak
economic conditions in the Midwest and the effect of the
national decline in home prices.
|
|
|
|
A net tax benefit for the third quarter of 2007, which produced
an effective tax rate of 35%, and a net tax provision and an
effective tax rate of 34% for the nine months ended
September 30, 2007. In comparison,
|
26
|
|
|
|
|
we recorded a net tax provision for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2006 and an effective tax rate of 35%
for each period.
|
HCD
Business
Net income for our HCD business increased by $8 million, or
9%, to $97 million for the third quarter of 2007, from
$89 million for the third quarter of 2006. Net income for
our HCD business increased by $46 million, or 14%, to
$370 million for the first nine months of 2007, from
$324 million for the first nine months of 2006. Table 9
summarizes the financial results for our HCD business for the
periods indicated. The primary sources of revenue for our HCD
business are guaranty fee income and other income. Expenses
primarily include administrative expenses, credit-related
expenses and net operating losses associated with LIHTC
investments. The losses on our LIHTC investments are offset by
the tax benefits generated from these investments.
Table
9: HCD Business Results
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
Quarterly
|
|
|
Year-to-Date
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Income Statement Data:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranty fee
income(1)
|
|
$
|
115
|
|
|
$
|
120
|
|
|
$
|
326
|
|
|
$
|
381
|
|
|
$
|
(5
|
)
|
|
|
(4
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(55
|
)
|
|
|
(14
|
)%
|
Other
income(1)(2)
|
|
|
78
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
278
|
|
|
|
156
|
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
|
56
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
|
78
|
|
Losses on partnership investments
|
|
|
(147
|
)
|
|
|
(197
|
)
|
|
|
(527
|
)
|
|
|
(579
|
)
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
52
|
|
|
|
9
|
|
Credit-related
expenses(3)
|
|
|
(5
|
)
|
|
|
(5
|
)
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
(7
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8
|
|
|
|
114
|
|
Other
expenses(4)
|
|
|
(245
|
)
|
|
|
(239
|
)
|
|
|
(755
|
)
|
|
|
(672
|
)
|
|
|
(6
|
)
|
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
|
(83
|
)
|
|
|
(12
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss before federal income taxes
|
|
|
(204
|
)
|
|
|
(271
|
)
|
|
|
(677
|
)
|
|
|
(721
|
)
|
|
|
67
|
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
44
|
|
|
|
6
|
|
Benefit for federal income taxes
|
|
|
301
|
|
|
|
360
|
|
|
|
1,047
|
|
|
|
1,045
|
|
|
|
(59
|
)
|
|
|
(16
|
)
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$
|
97
|
|
|
$
|
89
|
|
|
$
|
370
|
|
|
$
|
324
|
|
|
$
|
8
|
|
|
|
9
|
%
|
|
$
|
46
|
|
|
|
14
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Key Performance Data:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average multifamily guaranty book of
business(5)
|
|
$
|
131,643
|
|
|
$
|
117,629
|
|
|
$
|
127,061
|
|
|
$
|
117,845
|
|
|
$
|
14,014
|
|
|
|
12
|
%
|
|
$
|
9,216
|
|
|
|
8
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Certain prior period amounts that
previously were included as a component of Fee and other
income have been reclassified to Guaranty fee
income to conform to the current period presentation.
|
|
(2) |
|
Consists of trust management income
and fee and other income.
|
|
(3) |
|
Consists of the (provision) benefit
for credit losses and foreclosed property income.
|
|
(4) |
|
Consists of net interest expense,
losses on certain guaranty contracts, administrative expenses,
minority interest in earnings of consolidated subsidiaries and
other expenses.
|
|
(5) |
|
The multifamily guaranty book of
business consists of multifamily mortgage loans held in our
portfolio, multifamily Fannie Mae MBS held in our portfolio,
multifamily Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties and other
multifamily credit enhancements that we provide.
|
Key factors affecting the results of our HCD business for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared
with the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006
included the following.
|
|
|
|
|
Decreased guaranty fee income for both the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2007, resulting from a decline in the
average effective multifamily guaranty fee rate, which was
partially offset by an increase in the average multifamily
guaranty book of business. The decline in our average effective
multifamily guaranty fee rate for both the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2007 was due in part to the
amortization and recognition of deferred profits in 2006 related
to a large multifamily transaction that was terminated in
December 2006. In addition, our HCD business continued to
experience competitive fee pressure from private-label issuers
of commercial mortgage-backed securities during the first six
months of 2007. In the third quarter of 2007, this trend began
to reverse as a result of the growing need for credit and
liquidity in the multifamily mortgage market. These market
factors
|
27
|
|
|
|
|
contributed to a higher fee rate on new multifamily business and
to faster growth in our multifamily guaranty book of business
during the third quarter of 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
A decrease in losses on partnership investments for the third
quarter of 2007, due to the recognition of a gain on the sale of
investments in LIHTC partnerships in July 2007, as well as a
lower LIHTC portfolio balance compared to the third quarter of
2006, which resulted in fewer net operating losses. Losses on
partnership investments declined slightly for the first nine
months of 2007 as a result of the recognition of gains on sales
of investments in LIHTC partnerships in March 2007 and July
2007, which was partially offset by increased operating losses
on retained LIHTC partnerships.
|
|
|
|
An increase in other income for the first nine months of 2007,
due to an increase in loan prepayment and yield maintenance fees
resulting from higher liquidations in the first nine months of
2007 relative to the first nine months of 2006.
|
|
|
|
An increase in other expenses for the first nine months of 2007,
primarily resulting from higher net interest expense associated
with an increase in segment assets.
|
Capital
Markets Group
Our Capital Markets group recorded a net loss of
$1.3 billion for the third quarter of 2007, compared with a
net loss of $1.2 billion for the third quarter of 2006. Our
Capital Markets group recorded net income of $834 million
for the first nine months of 2007, a decrease of
$661 million, or 44%, from net income of $1.5 billion
for the first nine months of 2006. Table 10 summarizes the
financial results for our Capital Markets group for the periods
indicated. The primary sources of revenue for our Capital
Markets group are net interest income and fee and other income.
Expenses primarily consist of administrative expenses.
Derivatives fair value gains and losses, investment gains and
losses, and debt extinguishment gains and losses also have a
significant impact on the financial performance of our Capital
Markets group.
Table
10: Capital Markets Business Results
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
Quarterly
|
|
|
Year-to-Date
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Net interest income
|
|
$
|
1,064
|
|
|
$
|
1,352
|
|
|
$
|
3,455
|
|
|
$
|
4,879
|
|
|
$
|
(288
|
)
|
|
|
(21
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(1,424
|
)
|
|
|
(29
|
)%
|
Investment gains (losses), net
|
|
|
183
|
|
|
|
529
|
|
|
|
(56
|
)
|
|
|
(831
|
)
|
|
|
(346
|
)
|
|
|
(65
|
)
|
|
|
775
|
|
|
|
93
|
|
Derivatives fair value losses, net
|
|
|
(2,244
|
)
|
|
|
(3,381
|
)
|
|
|
(891
|
)
|
|
|
(854
|
)
|
|
|
1,137
|
|
|
|
34
|
|
|
|
(37
|
)
|
|
|
(4
|
)
|
Fee and other income (expense)
|
|
|
(66
|
)
|
|
|
117
|
|
|
|
66
|
|
|
|
219
|
|
|
|
(183
|
)
|
|
|
(156
|
)
|
|
|
(153
|
)
|
|
|
(70
|
)
|
Other
expenses(1)
|
|
|
(433
|
)
|
|
|
(430
|
)
|
|
|
(1,317
|
)
|
|
|
(1,375
|
)
|
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
58
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and extraordinary
gains (losses), net of tax effect
|
|
|
(1,496
|
)
|
|
|
(1,813
|
)
|
|
|
1,257
|
|
|
|
2,038
|
|
|
|
317
|
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
|
(781
|
)
|
|
|
(38
|
)
|
Benefit (provision) for federal income taxes
|
|
|
183
|
|
|
|
562
|
|
|
|
(420
|
)
|
|
|
(554
|
)
|
|
|
(379
|
)
|
|
|
(67
|
)
|
|
|
134
|
|
|
|
24
|
|
Extraordinary gains (losses), net of tax effect
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
(3
|
)
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
(25
|
)
|
|
|
(14
|
)
|
|
|
(127
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(1,310
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1,247
|
)
|
|
$
|
834
|
|
|
$
|
1,495
|
|
|
$
|
(63
|
)
|
|
|
(5
|
)%
|
|
$
|
(661
|
)
|
|
|
(44
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes debt extinguishment gains
(losses), guaranty fee expense, administrative expenses and
other expenses.
|
Key factors affecting the results of our Capital Markets group
for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007,
compared with the three and nine months ended September 30,
2006 included the following.
|
|
|
|
|
A significant reduction in net interest income for both the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 due to
continued compression in our net interest yield, largely
attributable to the increase in our
|
28
|
|
|
|
|
short-term and long-term debt costs as we continued to replace,
at higher interest rates, maturing debt that we had issued at
lower interest rates during the past few years.
|
|
|
|
|
|
A reduction in investment gains for the three months ended
September 30, 2007, due to a decrease in unrealized gains
on trading securities, a net loss on Fannie Mae portfolio
securitizations and an increase in other-than-temporary
impairment on investment securities. In addition, a reduction in
investment losses for the nine months ended September 30,
2007, due to a lower level of other-than-temporary impairment on
investment securities and an increase in gains on the sale of
investment securities, which were partially offset by an
increase in unrealized losses on trading securities.
|
|
|
|
|
|
We recognized $81 million and $84 million in
other-than-temporary impairment on investment securities for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2007. The
impairment recognized in the third quarter of 2007 was the
result of credit ratings downgrades and other credit-related
events relating to certain non-mortgage investments that we had
designated as available for sale, which caused the fair value of
these securities to decline below their carrying value, and a
deterioration in the credit quality of some of our mortgage
revenue bond investments. In contrast, we recognized
other-than-temporary impairment on investment securities
totaling $6 million and $852 million for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2006, due to a decline in
fair value below carrying value of certain securities that we
designated for sale.
|
|
|
|
We experienced a decrease in gains on the sale of investment
securities for the three months ended September 30, 2007.
We experienced an increase in gains on the sale of investment
securities for the nine months ended September 30, 2007,
due to the recovery in value of securities we sold that we had
previously written down due to other-than-temporary impairment.
|
|
|
|
We recorded a decreased level of unrealized gains on trading
securities for the three months ended September 30, 2007,
and an increased level of unrealized losses on trading
securities for the nine months ended September 30, 2007,
reflecting the decrease in the fair value of these securities
due to wider mortgage-to-debt spreads.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivatives fair value losses of $2.2 billion and
$3.4 billion for the third quarter of 2007 and 2006,
respectively, which were largely attributable to fair value
losses on our interest rate swaps due to a decline in interest
rates during each period. The derivatives fair value losses
recorded in the third quarter of 2007 and 2006 more than offset
the cumulative derivatives fair value gains for the first six
months of each year.
|
|
|
|
A shift to fee and other expense for the three months ended
September 30, 2007, compared with fee and other income for
the three months ended September 30, 2006. We experienced a
decrease in fee and other income for the nine months ended
September 30, 2007, as compared with the nine months ended
September 30, 2006. The variance between each period was
attributable to an increase in foreign currency exchange losses
on our foreign-denominated debt and a decrease in the
recognition of certain multifamily fees.
|
|
|
|
A net tax benefit for the third quarter of 2007, which produced
an effective tax rate of 12%, and a net tax provision and
effective tax rate of 33% for the nine months ended
September 30, 2007. In comparison, we recorded a net tax
benefit for the third quarter of 2006, which produced an
effective tax rate of 31%, and a net tax provision and effective
tax rate of 27% for the nine months ended September 30,
2006. The variance in the effective tax rate and statutory rate
was primarily due to fluctuations in our pre-tax income and the
relative benefit of tax-exempt income generated from our
investments in mortgage revenue bonds.
|
CONSOLIDATED
BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS
Our total assets of $839.8 billion as of September 30,
2007 decreased by $4.2 billion, or less than 1%, from
December 31, 2006. Our total liabilities of
$799.7 billion as of September 30, 2007 decreased by
$2.6 billion, or less than 1%, from December 31, 2006.
Stockholders equity of $39.9 billion as of
September 30, 2007 reflected a decrease of
$1.6 billion, or 4%, from December 31, 2006. Following
is a discussion of material changes since December 31, 2006
in the major components of our assets and liabilities.
29
Mortgage
Investments
Table 11 shows the composition of our mortgage portfolio by
product type and the carrying value, which reflects the net
impact of our purchases, sales and liquidations, of these
products as of September 30, 2007 and December 31,
2006.
Table
11: Mortgage Portfolio
Composition(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Mortgage
loans:(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single-family:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Government insured or guaranteed
|
|
$
|
23,101
|
|
|
$
|
20,106
|
|
Conventional:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term, fixed-rate
|
|
|
199,200
|
|
|
|
202,339
|
|
Intermediate-term,
fixed-rate(3)
|
|
|
48,358
|
|
|
|
53,438
|
|
Adjustable-rate
|
|
|
51,296
|
|
|
|
46,820
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total conventional single-family
|
|
|
298,854
|
|
|
|
302,597
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total single-family
|
|
|
321,955
|
|
|
|
322,703
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Multifamily:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Government insured or guaranteed
|
|
|
859
|
|
|
|
968
|
|
Conventional:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term, fixed-rate
|
|
|
5,272
|
|
|
|
5,098
|
|
Intermediate-term,
fixed-rate(3)
|
|
|
64,144
|
|
|
|
50,847
|
|
Adjustable-rate
|
|
|
7,190
|
|
|
|
3,429
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total conventional multifamily
|
|
|
76,606
|
|
|
|
59,374
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total multifamily
|
|
|
77,465
|
|
|
|
60,342
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage loans
|
|
|
399,420
|
|
|
|
383,045
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unamortized premiums and other cost basis adjustments, net
|
|
|
679
|
|
|
|
943
|
|
Lower of cost or market adjustments on loans held for sale
|
|
|
(101
|
)
|
|
|
(93
|
)
|
Allowance for loan losses for loans held for investment
|
|
|
(395
|
)
|
|
|
(340
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage loans, net
|
|
|
399,603
|
|
|
|
383,555
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage-related securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae single-class MBS
|
|
|
102,506
|
|
|
|
124,383
|
|
Non-Fannie Mae single-class mortgage securities
|
|
|
28,015
|
|
|
|
27,980
|
|
Fannie Mae structured MBS
|
|
|
72,784
|
|
|
|
75,261
|
|
Non-Fannie Mae structured mortgage
securities(4)
|
|
|
106,217
|
|
|
|
97,399
|
|
Mortgage revenue bonds
|
|
|
16,156
|
|
|
|
16,924
|
|
Other mortgage-related securities
|
|
|
3,480
|
|
|
|
3,940
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage-related securities
|
|
|
329,158
|
|
|
|
345,887
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Market value
adjustments(5)
|
|
|
(3,385
|
)
|
|
|
(1,261
|
)
|
Other-than-temporary impairments
|
|
|
(619
|
)
|
|
|
(1,004
|
)
|
Unamortized premiums (discounts) and other cost basis
adjustments,
net(6)
|
|
|
(990
|
)
|
|
|
(1,083
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage-related securities, net
|
|
|
324,164
|
|
|
|
342,539
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage portfolio,
net(7)
|
|
$
|
723,767
|
|
|
$
|
726,094
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Mortgage loans and mortgage-related
securities are reported at unpaid principal balance.
|
30
|
|
|
(2) |
|
Mortgage loans include unpaid
principal balance totaling $100.0 billion and
$105.5 billion as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively, related to
mortgage-related securities that were consolidated under
Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation
(FIN) No. 46R (revised December 2003),
Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities (an
interpretation of ARB No. 51)
(FIN 46R), and mortgage-related
securities created from securitization transactions that did not
meet the sales criteria under SFAS No. 140,
Accounting for Transfer and Servicing of Financial Assets and
Extinguishments of Liabilities (a replacement of FASB Statement
No. 125) (SFAS 140), which effectively
resulted in mortgage-related securities being accounted for as
loans.
|
|
(3) |
|
Intermediate-term, fixed-rate
consists of mortgage loans with contractual maturities at
purchase equal to or less than 15 years.
|
|
(4) |
|
As of September 30, 2007,
$76.2 billion of this amount consists of private-label
mortgage-related securities backed by subprime or Alt-A mortgage
loans. Refer to Risk ManagementCredit Risk
ManagementMortgage Credit Risk ManagementMortgage
Credit Book of Business for a description of our
investments in subprime and Alt-A securities.
|
|
(5) |
|
Includes unrealized gains and
losses on mortgage-related securities and securities commitments
classified as trading and available-for-sale.
|
|
(6) |
|
Includes the impact of
other-than-temporary impairments of cost basis adjustments.
|
|
(7) |
|
Includes consolidated
mortgage-related assets acquired through the assumption of debt.
Also includes $2.3 billion and $448 million as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006,
respectively, of mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities
that we have pledged as collateral and for which counterparties
have the right to sell or repledge.
|
Pursuant to a May 2006 consent order with the Office of Federal
Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), we are
currently subject to a limit on the size of our mortgage
portfolio. For the first two quarters of 2007, we were
restricted from increasing our net mortgage portfolio assets
above $727.75 billion. On September 19, 2007, OFHEO
issued an interpretation of the consent order revising the
existing portfolio cap. The mortgage portfolio cap is no longer
based on the amount of our net mortgage portfolio
assets, which reflects GAAP adjustments, but is now based
on our average monthly mortgage portfolio balance.
Our average monthly mortgage portfolio balance is based on the
unpaid principal balance of our mortgage portfolio as defined
and reported in our Monthly Summary, which is a statistical
measure rather than an amount computed in accordance with GAAP,
and excludes both consolidated mortgage-related assets acquired
through the assumption of debt and the impact on the unpaid
principal balances recorded on our purchases of delinquent loans
from MBS trusts pursuant to Statement of Position
No. 03-3,
Accounting for Certain Loans or Debt Securities Acquired in a
Transfer
(SOP 03-3).
The mortgage portfolio cap was set at $735 billion for the
third quarter of 2007. For the fourth quarter of 2007, the
portfolio cap increased by 1% to $742.35 billion. For each
subsequent quarter, the portfolio cap increases by 0.5%, not to
exceed 2% per year. Except as described below, compliance with
the portfolio cap will be determined by comparing the applicable
portfolio cap to the cumulative average month-end portfolio
balances, measured by unpaid principal balance, since July 2007
(until the cumulative average becomes and remains a
12-month
moving average). For purposes of this calculation, OFHEOs
interpretation sets the July 2007 month-end balance at
$725 billion. In addition, any net increase in delinquent
loan balances in our portfolio after September 30, 2007
will be excluded from the month-end portfolio balance. Our
average monthly mortgage portfolio balance was
$725.9 billion as of September 30, 2007, which was
$9.1 billion below our applicable portfolio limit of
$735 billion. We will be subject to the OFHEO-directed
minimum capital requirement and portfolio cap until the Director
of OFHEO determines that these requirements should be modified
or allowed to expire, taking into account certain specified
factors.
31
Table 12 compares our mortgage portfolio activity for the three
and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006.
Table
12: Mortgage Portfolio
Activity(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
Variance
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
$
|
49,574
|
|
|
$
|
51,576
|
|
|
$
|
(2,002
|
)
|
|
|
(4
|
)%
|
|
$
|
134,407
|
|
|
$
|
150,340
|
|
|
$
|
(15,933
|
)
|
|
|
(11
|
)%
|
Sales
|
|
|
20,222
|
|
|
|
21,415
|
|
|
|
(1,193
|
)
|
|
|
(6
|
)
|
|
|
45,301
|
|
|
|
46,251
|
|
|
|
(950
|
)
|
|
|
(2
|
)
|
Liquidations
|
|
|
28,013
|
|
|
|
35,528
|
|
|
|
(7,515
|
)
|
|
|
(21
|
)
|
|
|
90,007
|
|
|
|
106,110
|
|
|
|
(16,103
|
)
|
|
|
(15
|
)
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
The amounts provided represent the
unpaid principal balances. These unpaid principal balance
amounts, which represent statistical measures of business
activity, do not reflect certain GAAP adjustments, including
market valuation adjustments, allowance for loan losses,
impairments, unamortized premiums and discounts, and the impact
of consolidation of variable interest entities.
|
We selectively identify and purchase mortgage assets that meet
our targeted risk-adjusted return thresholds. We typically are a
more active purchaser when mortgage-to-debt spreads are wider
and the prices of mortgage assets are lower. We generally reduce
our purchases when mortgage-to-debt spreads are narrower and
prices are higher. Our level of portfolio purchases decreased
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007 as compared
with the same period in 2006, due to lower market volumes
resulting from the reduction in mortgage origination activity
and a more limited availability of mortgage assets that met our
risk-adjusted return thresholds for most of the period. Our
level of portfolio purchases for the third quarter of 2007 was
comparable with that of the third quarter of 2006. Beginning in
the third quarter of 2007, there was a significant widening of
mortgage-to-debt spreads due to the reduction in liquidity and
market estimates of slower prepayments. These market conditions
presented more opportunities for us to purchase mortgage assets
at attractive prices and spreads during the quarter. However,
our ability to capitalize on these opportunities was limited by
the OFHEO-directed minimum capital requirement and portfolio cap
imposed by our May 2006 consent order with OFHEO.
While our levels of portfolio sales for the first nine months of
2007 were comparable to the first nine months of 2006, we
experienced a decrease in sales activity during the third
quarter of 2007 due to the widening of mortgage-to-debt spreads.
The decrease in mortgage liquidations for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2007 was largely attributable to
the decline in home prices, which reduced the level of
refinancing activity relative to the same periods in the prior
year.
We continue to manage the size of our mortgage portfolio to meet
the OFHEO-directed portfolio cap. In addition to the portfolio
cap, our investment activities may be constrained by our
regulatory capital requirements, certain operational
limitations, tax classifications and our intent to hold certain
temporarily impaired securities until recovery, as well as risk
parameters applied to the mortgage portfolio.
Liquid
Investments
Our liquid assets consist of non-mortgage investments, cash and
cash equivalents, and funding agreements with our lenders,
including advances to lenders and repurchase agreements. Our
non-mortgage investments, which account for the majority of our
liquid assets, primarily consist of high-quality securities that
are readily marketable or have short-term maturities, such as
commercial paper. Our liquid assets, net of cash equivalents
pledged as collateral, totaled approximately $62.6 billion
and $69.4 billion as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively. Our non-mortgage
investments, which are carried at fair value in our condensed
consolidated balance sheets, totaled $39.5 billion and
$47.6 billion as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively. We provide additional
detail on our non-mortgage investments in Notes to
Condensed Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 5,
Investments in Securities.
32
Trading
Securities
During 2007, we began designating an increasingly large portion
of the securities we purchase as trading securities. This change
in practice was principally driven by our adoption of Statement
of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS)
No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial
Instruments, an amendment of SFAS 133 and
SFAS 140 (SFAS 155), which requires us
to evaluate securities for embedded derivatives unless they are
designated as trading securities. We increased our portfolio of
trading securities during the first nine months of 2007 to
approximately $48.7 billion as of September 30, 2007,
from $11.5 billion as of December 31, 2006.
Available-for-Sale
Securities
Although we report both our trading and available-for-sale
(AFS) securities at fair value in our condensed
consolidated balance sheets, changes in the fair value of our
trading securities are reported in our earnings while changes in
the fair value of our AFS securities are reported as a separate
component of stockholders equity in accumulated other
comprehensive income (AOCI). The estimated fair
value and amortized cost of our AFS securities totaled
$315.0 billion and $318.2 billion, respectively, as of
September 30, 2007, and gross unrealized gains and gross
unrealized losses recorded in AOCI related to these securities
totaled $1.8 billion and $5.0 billion, respectively.
In comparison, the estimated fair value and amortized cost of
our AFS securities totaled $378.6 billion and
$379.5 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2006,
and gross unrealized gains and gross unrealized losses recorded
in AOCI totaled $2.8 billion and $3.7 billion,
respectively.
The fair value of our investment securities, which are primarily
mortgage-backed securities, are affected by changes in interest
rates, credit spreads and other market factors. We generally
view changes in the fair value of our investment securities
caused by movements in interest rates to be temporary, which is
consistent with our experience. While we experienced a
significant decrease in the fair value of our AFS securities at
the end of the third quarter of 2007, we believe that
substantially all of the decline in fair value was due to the
significant widening of credit spreads during the first nine
months of 2007. We have the intent and ability to hold these
securities until the earlier of recovery of the unrealized loss
amounts or maturity. Accordingly, we believe that it is probable
that we will collect the full principal and interest due in
accordance with the contractual terms of the securities,
although we may experience future declines in value as a result
of movements in interest rates.
Debt
Instruments
We issue debt instruments as the primary means to fund our
mortgage investments and manage our interest rate risk exposure.
Table 13 shows the amount of our outstanding short-term
borrowings and long-term debt as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006.
33
Table
13: Outstanding
Debt(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
December 31, 2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest
|
|
|
|
Outstanding
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
Outstanding
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
|
$
|
1,645
|
|
|
|
5.60
|
%
|
|
$
|
700
|
|
|
|
5.36
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term debt:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed-rate
|
|
|
152,469
|
|
|
|
5.06
|
|
|
|
164,686
|
|
|
|
5.16
|
|
From consolidations
|
|
|
677
|
|
|
|
5.35
|
|
|
|
1,124
|
|
|
|
5.32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total short-term debt
|
|
$
|
153,146
|
|
|
|
5.06
|
%
|
|
$
|
165,810
|
|
|
|
5.16
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term debt:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Senior fixed-rate
|
|
$
|
575,346
|
|
|
|
5.20
|
%
|
|
$
|
576,099
|
|
|
|
4.98
|
%
|
Senior floating-rate
|
|
|
15,651
|
|
|
|
5.87
|
|
|
|
5,522
|
|
|
|
5.06
|
|
Subordinated fixed-rate
|
|
|
10,980
|
|
|
|
6.13
|
|
|
|
12,852
|
|
|
|
5.91
|
|
From consolidations
|
|
|
6,642
|
|
|
|
5.84
|
|
|
|
6,763
|
|
|
|
5.98
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total long-term
debt(2)
|
|
$
|
608,619
|
|
|
|
5.25
|
%
|
|
$
|
601,236
|
|
|
|
5.01
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Outstanding debt amounts and
weighted average interest rate reported in this table include
the effect of unamortized discounts, premiums and other cost
basis adjustments. The unpaid principal balance of outstanding
debt, which excludes unamortized discounts, premiums and other
cost basis adjustments, totaled $770.2 billion as of
September 30, 2007, compared with $773.4 billion as of
December 31, 2006.
|
|
(2) |
|
Reported amounts include a net
premium and cost basis adjustments of $12.4 billion and
$11.9 billion as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively.
|
Despite our portfolio limit, we have been an active issuer of
both short- and long-term debt for refunding and rebalancing
purposes. We present our debt activity in Table 18 in
Liquidity and Capital ManagementLiquidityDebt
Funding.
Derivative
Instruments
We supplement our issuance of debt with interest rate-related
derivatives to manage the prepayment and duration risk inherent
in our mortgage investments. We present, by derivative
instrument type, the estimated fair value of derivatives
recorded in our condensed consolidated balance sheets and the
related outstanding notional amount as of September 30,
2007 and December 31, 2006 in Notes to Condensed
Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 9, Derivative
Instruments.
Table 14 provides an analysis of the change in the estimated
fair value of the net derivative asset (liability) amounts,
excluding mortgage commitments, recorded in our condensed
consolidated balance sheets between December 31, 2006 and
September 30, 2007. As indicated in Table 14, we recorded a
net derivative asset of $1.8 billion as of
September 30, 2007 related to our risk management
derivatives, compared with a net derivative asset of
$3.7 billion as of December 31, 2006. The related
outstanding notional amounts totaled $814.4 billion and
$745.4 billion as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively.
34
|
|
Table
14:
|
Changes
in Risk Management Derivative Assets (Liabilities) at Fair
Value,
Net(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Net derivative asset as of December 31,
2006(2)
|
|
$
|
3,725
|
|
Effect of cash payments:
|
|
|
|
|
Fair value at inception of contracts entered into during the
period(3)
|
|
|
155
|
|
Fair value at date of termination of contracts settled during
the
period(4)
|
|
|
42
|
|
Periodic net cash contractual interest receipts
|
|
|
(1,191
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total cash receipts, net
|
|
|
(994
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income statement impact of recognized amounts:
|
|
|
|
|
Periodic net contractual interest income on interest rate swaps
|
|
|
193
|
|
Net change in fair value during the period
|
|
|
(1,113
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivatives fair value losses,
net(5)
|
|
|
(920
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net derivative asset as of September 30,
2007(2)
|
|
$
|
1,811
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Excludes mortgage commitments.
|
|
(2) |
|
Represents the net of
Derivative assets at fair value and Derivative
liabilities at fair value recorded in our condensed
consolidated balance sheets, excluding mortgage commitments.
|
|
(3) |
|
Primarily includes upfront premiums
paid on option contracts.
|
|
(4) |
|
Primarily represents cash paid upon
termination of derivative contracts.
|
|
(5) |
|
Reflects net derivatives fair value
losses recognized in our condensed consolidated statements of
income, excluding mortgage commitments.
|
The $1.9 billion decrease in the fair value of the net
derivative asset was largely attributable to the decrease in the
aggregate net fair value of our interest rate swaps due to the
decrease in swap rates between December 31, 2006 and
September 30, 2007. We present, by derivative instrument
type, our risk management derivative activity for the nine
months ended September 30, 2007, along with the stated
maturities of our derivatives outstanding as of
September 30, 2007, in Table 28 in Risk
ManagementInterest Rate Risk Management and Other Market
Risks.
SUPPLEMENTAL NON-GAAP INFORMATIONFAIR VALUE BALANCE
SHEETS
Our assets and liabilities consist predominately of financial
instruments. The balance sheets presented in our condensed
consolidated financial statements reflect some financial assets
measured and reported at fair value while other financial
assets, along with most of our financial liabilities, are
measured and reported at historical cost. Each of the non-GAAP
supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets presented
below in Table 15 reflects all of our assets and liabilities at
estimated fair value. Estimated fair value is the amount at
which an asset or liability could be exchanged between willing
parties, other than in a forced or liquidation sale. The
non-GAAP estimated fair value of our net assets (net of tax
effect) is derived from our non-GAAP fair value balance sheet.
The non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets
and estimated fair value of our net assets are not defined terms
within GAAP and may not be comparable to similarly titled
measures reported by other companies. In addition, they are not
intended as a substitute for amounts reported in our condensed
consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with
GAAP. However, we routinely use fair value measures to make
investment decisions and to measure, monitor and manage our risk
because our assets and liabilities consist predominately of
financial instruments. Management, particularly our Capital
Markets group, uses this information to analyze changes in our
assets and liabilities from period to period and understand how
the overall value of the company is changing from period to
period and to measure the performance of our capital markets
investment activities. Accordingly, we believe that the non-GAAP
supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets and the fair
value of our net assets are useful to investors because they
provide consistency in the measurement and reporting of all of
our assets and liabilities. We believe that the non-GAAP
supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets and the fair
value of our net assets, when used in
35
conjunction with our condensed consolidated financial statements
prepared in accordance with GAAP, can serve as valuable
incremental tools for investors to assess changes in our overall
value over time relative to changes in market conditions.
Cautionary
Language Relating to Supplemental Non-GAAP Financial
Measures
In reviewing our supplemental non-GAAP consolidated fair value
balance sheets, there are a number of important factors and
limitations to consider. The presentation of some of the line
items in our non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets may
differ from the presentation in our consolidated GAAP balance
sheets, as we have disaggregated certain line items and
aggregated certain other line items. We describe these
differences in the notes to the non-GAAP consolidated fair value
balance sheets. We believe this revised presentation, for
purposes of analyzing our non-GAAP consolidated fair value
balance sheets, provides greater transparency into the
components of our balance sheet associated with our guaranty
business activities and the components associated with our
capital markets business activities, which is consistent with
the way we manage risks and allocate revenues and expenses for
segment reporting purposes.
Moreover, as discussed in Critical Accounting
PoliciesFair Value of Financial Instruments, when
quoted market prices or observable market data are not
available, we rely on internally developed models that may
require management judgment and assumptions to estimate fair
value. Differences in assumptions used in our models could
result in significant changes in our estimates of fair value. In
addition, the estimated fair value of our net assets is
calculated as of a particular point in time based on our
existing assets and liabilities and does not incorporate other
factors that may have a significant impact on that value, most
notably any value from future business activities in which we
expect to engage. As a result, the estimated fair value of our
net assets presented in our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated
fair value balance sheets does not represent an estimate of our
net realizable value, liquidation value or our market value as a
whole. Amounts we ultimately realize from the disposition of
assets or settlement of liabilities may vary significantly from
the estimated fair values presented in our non-GAAP supplemental
consolidated fair value balance sheets. Because temporary
changes in market conditions can substantially affect the fair
value of our net assets, we do not believe that short-term
fluctuations in the fair value of our net assets attributable to
mortgage-to-debt option-adjusted spreads (OAS) or
changes in the fair value of our net guaranty assets are
necessarily representative of the effectiveness of our
investment strategy or the long-term underlying value of our
business. We believe the long-term value of our business depends
primarily on our ability to acquire new assets and funding at
attractive prices, to effectively manage the risks of these
assets and liabilities over time and to earn attractive returns
on our guaranty business. However, we believe that assessing the
factors that affect near-term changes in the estimated fair
value of our net assets helps us evaluate our long-term value
and assess whether temporary market factors have caused our net
assets to become overvalued or undervalued relative to the level
of risk and expected long-term fundamentals of our business.
36
Table
15: Non-GAAP Supplemental Consolidated Fair
Value Balance Sheets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of September 30, 2007
|
|
|
As of December 31, 2006
|
|
|
|
GAAP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Carrying
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
Estimated
|
|
|
Carrying
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
Estimated
|
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Adjustment(1)
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Adjustment(1)
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents
|
|
$
|
4,976
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
4,976
|
(2)
|
|
$
|
3,972
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
3,972
|
(2)
|
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
|
|
8,349
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
8,351
|
(2)
|
|
|
12,681
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12,681
|
(2)
|
Trading securities
|
|
|
48,683
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
48,683
|
(2)
|
|
|
11,514
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,514
|
(2)
|
Available-for-sale securities
|
|
|
315,012
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
315,012
|
(2)
|
|
|
378,598
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
378,598
|
(2)
|
Mortgage loans:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage loans held for sale
|
|
|
5,053
|
|
|
|
21
|
|
|
|
5,074
|
(3)
|
|
|
4,868
|
|
|
|
(88
|
)
|
|
|
4,780
|
(3)
|
Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan
losses
|
|
|
394,550
|
|
|
|
(3,601
|
)
|
|
|
390,949
|
(3)
|
|
|
378,687
|
|
|
|
(2,821
|
)
|
|
|
375,866
|
(3)
|
Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,105
|
|
|
|
4,105
|
(3)(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,669
|
|
|
|
3,669
|
(3)(4)
|
Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(5,299
|
)
|
|
|
(5,299
|
)(3)(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2,831
|
)
|
|
|
(2,831
|
)(3)(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage loans
|
|
|
399,603
|
|
|
|
(4,774
|
)
|
|
|
394,829
|
(2)(3)
|
|
|
383,555
|
|
|
|
(2,071
|
)
|
|
|
381,484
|
(2)(3)
|
Advances to lenders
|
|
|
11,738
|
|
|
|
(122
|
)
|
|
|
11,616
|
(2)
|
|
|
6,163
|
|
|
|
(152
|
)
|
|
|
6,011
|
(2)
|
Derivative assets at fair value
|
|
|
3,172
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,172
|
(2)
|
|
|
4,931
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,931
|
(2)
|
Guaranty assets and
buy-ups
|
|
|
10,332
|
|
|
|
4,212
|
|
|
|
14,544
|
(2)(4)
|
|
|
8,523
|
|
|
|
3,737
|
|
|
|
12,260
|
(2)(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total financial assets
|
|
|
801,865
|
|
|
|
(682
|
)
|
|
|
801,183
|
(2)
|
|
|
809,937
|
|
|
|
1,514
|
|
|
|
811,451
|
(2)
|
Master servicing assets and credit enhancements
|
|
|
1,668
|
|
|
|
1,752
|
|
|
|
3,420
|
(4)(5)
|
|
|
1,624
|
|
|
|
1,063
|
|
|
|
2,687
|
(4)(5)
|
Other assets
|
|
|
36,250
|
|
|
|
2,901
|
|
|
|
39,151
|
(5)(6)
|
|
|
32,375
|
|
|
|
(948
|
)
|
|
|
31,427
|
(5)(6)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets
|
|
$
|
839,783
|
|
|
$
|
3,971
|
|
|
$
|
843,754
|
|
|
$
|
843,936
|
|
|
$
|
1,629
|
|
|
$
|
845,565
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
|
$
|
1,645
|
|
|
$
|
2
|
|
|
$
|
1,647
|
(2)
|
|
$
|
700
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
700
|
(2)
|
Short-term debt
|
|
|
153,146
|
|
|
|
199
|
|
|
|
153,345
|
(2)
|
|
|
165,810
|
|
|
|
(63
|
)
|
|
|
165,747
|
(2)
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
608,619
|
|
|
|
10,316
|
|
|
|
618,935
|
(2)
|
|
|
601,236
|
|
|
|
5,358
|
|
|
|
606,594
|
(2)
|
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
|
|
1,336
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,336
|
(2)
|
|
|
1,184
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,184
|
(2)
|
Guaranty obligations
|
|
|
14,322
|
|
|
|
1,771
|
|
|
|
16,093
|
(2)
|
|
|
11,145
|
|
|
|
(2,960
|
)
|
|
|
8,185
|
(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total financial liabilities
|
|
|
779,068
|
|
|
|
12,288
|
|
|
|
791,356
|
(2)
|
|
|
780,075
|
|
|
|
2,335
|
|
|
|
782,410
|
(2)
|
Other liabilities
|
|
|
20,672
|
|
|
|
(2,572
|
)
|
|
|
18,100
|
(7)
|
|
|
22,219
|
|
|
|
(2,101
|
)
|
|
|
20,118
|
(7)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
799,740
|
|
|
|
9,716
|
|
|
|
809,456
|
|
|
|
802,294
|
|
|
|
234
|
|
|
|
802,528
|
|
Minority interests in consolidated subsidiaries
|
|
|
121
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
121
|
|
|
|
136
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
136
|
|
Stockholders Equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Preferred
|
|
|
9,008
|
|
|
|
(287
|
)
|
|
|
8,721
|
(8)
|
|
|
9,108
|
|
|
|
(90
|
)
|
|
|
9,018
|
(8)
|
Common
|
|
|
30,914
|
|
|
|
(5,458
|
)
|
|
|
25,456
|
(9)
|
|
|
32,398
|
|
|
|
1,485
|
|
|
|
33,883
|
(9)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total stockholders equity/non-GAAP fair value of net
assets
|
|
$
|
39,922
|
|
|
$
|
(5,745
|
)
|
|
$
|
34,177
|
|
|
$
|
41,506
|
|
|
$
|
1,395
|
|
|
$
|
42,901
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
|
$
|
839,783
|
|
|
$
|
3,971
|
|
|
$
|
843,754
|
|
|
$
|
843,936
|
|
|
$
|
1,629
|
|
|
$
|
845,565
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37
Explanation and Reconciliation
of Non-GAAP Measures to GAAP Measures
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Each of the amounts listed as a
fair value adjustment represents the difference
between the carrying value included in our GAAP condensed
consolidated balance sheets and our best judgment of the
estimated fair value of the listed asset or liability.
|
|
(2) |
|
We determined the estimated fair
value of these financial instruments in accordance with the fair
value guidelines outlined in SFAS No. 107,
Disclosures about Fair Value of Financial Instruments
(SFAS 107), as described in Notes to
Condensed Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 15,
Fair Value of Financial Instruments. In Note 15, we
also disclose the carrying value and estimated fair value of our
total financial assets and total financial liabilities as well
as discuss the methodologies and assumptions we use in
estimating the fair value of our financial instruments.
|
|
(3) |
|
We have separately presented the
estimated fair value of Mortgage loans held for
sale, Mortgage loans held for investment, net of
allowance for loan losses, Guaranty assets of
mortgage loans held in portfolio and Guaranty
obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio. These
combined line items together represent total mortgage loans
reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets. This
presentation provides transparency into the components of the
fair value of our mortgage loans associated with our guaranty
business activities and the components of our capital markets
business activities, which is consistent with the way we manage
risks and allocate revenues and expenses for segment reporting
purposes. While the carrying values and estimated fair values of
the individual line items may differ from the amounts presented
in Note 15, the combined amounts together equal the
carrying value and estimated fair value amounts of total
mortgage loans in Note 15.
|
|
(4) |
|
In our GAAP condensed consolidated
balance sheets, we report the guaranty assets associated with
our outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other guaranties as a
separate line item and include
buy-ups,
master servicing assets and credit enhancements associated with
our guaranty assets in Other assets. The GAAP
carrying value of our guaranty assets reflects only those
guaranty arrangements entered into subsequent to our adoption of
FIN No. 45, Guarantors Accounting and
Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect
Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others (an interpretation of FASB
Statements No. 5, 57, and 107 and rescission of
FIN No. 34) (FIN 45), on
January 1, 2003. On a GAAP basis, our guaranty assets
totaled $9.4 billion and $7.7 billion as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006,
respectively. The associated
buy-ups
totaled $894 million and $831 million as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006,
respectively. In our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair
value balance sheets, we also disclose the estimated guaranty
assets and obligations related to mortgage loans held in our
portfolio. The aggregate estimated fair value of the guaranty
asset-related components totaled $16.8 billion as of
September 30, 2007, compared with $15.8 billion as of
December 31, 2006. These components represent the sum of
the following line items in this table: (i) Guaranty assets
of mortgage loans held in portfolio; (ii) Guaranty
obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio,
(iii) Guaranty assets and
buy-ups; and
(iv) Master servicing assets and credit enhancements.
|
|
(5) |
|
The line items Master
servicing assets and credit enhancements and Other
assets together consist of the assets presented on the
following five line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated
balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest receivable;
(ii) Acquired property, net; (iii) Deferred tax
assets; (iv) Partnership investments; and (v) Other
assets. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed
consolidated balance sheets together totaled $38.8 billion
and $34.8 billion as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively. We deduct the carrying
value of the
buy-ups
associated with our guaranty obligation, which totaled
$894 million and $831 million as of September 30,
2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively, from Other
assets reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance
sheets because
buy-ups are
a financial instrument that we combine with guaranty assets in
our SFAS 107 disclosure in Note 15. We have estimated
the fair value of master servicing assets and credit
enhancements based on our fair value methodologies discussed in
Note 15.
|
|
(6) |
|
With the exception of partnership
investments and deferred tax assets, the GAAP carrying values of
other assets generally approximate fair value. While we have
included partnership investments at their carrying value in each
of the non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance
sheets, the fair values of these items are generally different
from their GAAP carrying values, potentially materially. For
example, our LIHTC partnership investments had a carrying value
of $8.0 billion and an estimated fair value of
$9.1 billion as of September 30, 2007. We assume that
other deferred assets, consisting primarily of prepaid expenses,
have no fair value. We adjust the GAAP-basis deferred income
taxes for purposes of each of our non-GAAP supplemental
consolidated fair value balance sheets to include estimated
income taxes on the difference between our non-GAAP supplemental
consolidated fair value balance sheets net assets, including
deferred taxes from the GAAP condensed consolidated balance
sheets, and our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets
stockholders equity. Because our adjusted deferred income
taxes are a net asset in each year, the amounts are included in
our non-GAAP fair value balance sheets as a component of other
assets.
|
|
(7) |
|
The line item Other
liabilities consists of the liabilities presented on the
following four line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated
balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest payable;
(ii) Reserve for guaranty losses; (iii) Partnership
liabilities; and (iv) Other liabilities. The carrying value
of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets
together totaled $20.7 billion and $22.2 billion as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006,
respectively. The GAAP carrying values of these other
liabilities generally approximate fair value. We assume that
deferred liabilities, such as deferred debt issuance costs, have
no fair value.
|
38
|
|
|
(8) |
|
Preferred stockholders
equity is reflected in our non-GAAP supplemental
consolidated fair value balance sheets at the estimated fair
value amount.
|
|
(9) |
|
Common stockholders
equity consists of the stockholders equity
components presented on the following five line items in our
GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Common
stock; (ii) Additional paid-in capital; (iii) Retained
earnings; (iv) Accumulated other comprehensive loss; and
(v) Treasury stock, at cost. Common
stockholders equity is the residual of the excess of
the estimated fair value of total assets over the estimated fair
value of total liabilities, after taking into consideration
preferred stockholders equity and minority interest in
consolidated subsidiaries.
|
Changes
in Non-GAAP Estimated Fair Value of Net Assets
Table 16 summarizes the change in the estimated fair value of
our net assets for the first nine months of 2007.
Table
16: Non-GAAP Estimated Fair Value of Net Assets
(Net of Tax Effect)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Balance as of December 31, 2006
|
|
$
|
42,901
|
|
Capital
transactions:(1)
|
|
|
|
|
Common dividends, common share repurchases and issuances, net
|
|
|
(1,279
|
)
|
Preferred dividends, redemptions and issuances
|
|
|
(472
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital transactions, net
|
|
|
(1,751
|
)
|
Change in estimated fair value of net assets, excluding capital
transactions
|
|
|
(6,973
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Decrease in estimated fair value of net assets, net
|
|
|
(8,724
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance as of September 30,
2007(2)
|
|
$
|
34,177
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Represents net capital
transactions, which are reflected in the condensed consolidated
statements of changes in stockholders equity.
|
|
(2) |
|
Represents estimated fair value of
net assets (net of tax effect) presented in Table 15:
Non-GAAP Supplemental Consolidated Fair Value Balance
Sheets.
|
Summary
of Fair Value Results
The estimated fair value of our net assets decreased by
$8.7 billion to $34.2 billion as of September 30,
2007, from $42.9 billion as of December 31, 2006. The
$8.7 billion decrease included the effect of a reduction of
$1.8 billion attributable to capital transactions,
consisting primarily of payments of $1.1 billion for the
redemption of preferred stock and $1.7 billion for
dividends to holders of our common and preferred stock, which
were partially offset by proceeds of $1.0 billion from the
issuance of preferred stock.
Excluding the effect of capital transactions, we experienced a
$7.0 billion decrease in the estimated fair value of our
net assets for the first nine months of 2007. The primary
factors affecting the fair value of our net assets for the first
nine months of 2007 included the benefit from the economic
income generated by our businesses, which was more than offset
by a decrease in value resulting from the decline in home prices
and wider mortgage-to-debt OAS. We expect periodic fluctuations
in the estimated fair value of our net assets due to our
business activities, as well as due to changes in market
conditions, including changes in interest rates, changes in
relative spreads between our mortgage assets and debt, and
changes in implied volatility. Below we provide selected market
information in Table 17 and discuss how changes in market
conditions have contributed to the significant decrease in the
estimated fair value of our net assets.
39
Table
17: Selected Market
Information(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
Change
|
|
|
10-year U.S.
Treasury note yield
|
|
|
4.59
|
%
|
|
|
4.70
|
%
|
|
|
(0.11
|
)%
|
Implied
volatility(2)
|
|
|
17.20
|
%
|
|
|
15.70
|
%
|
|
|
1.50
|
%
|
30-year
Fannie Mae MBS par coupon rate
|
|
|
5.97
|
%
|
|
|
5.79
|
%
|
|
|
0.18
|
%
|
Lehman U.S. MBS Index OAS (in basis points) over LIBOR yield
curve
|
|
|
21.4
|
bp
|
|
|
(2.7
|
) bp
|
|
|
24.1
|
bp
|
Lehman U.S. Agency Debt Index OAS (in basis points) over LIBOR
yield curve
|
|
|
(18.8
|
) bp
|
|
|
(13.8
|
)bp
|
|
|
(5.0
|
) bp
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Information obtained from Lehman
Live, Lehman POINT and Bloomberg.
|
|
(2) |
|
Implied volatility for an interest
rate swaption with a
3-year
option on a
10-year
final maturity.
|
Estimated
Impact of Changes in Market Conditions on Fair Value
Results
For the first nine months of 2007, we experienced a decrease in
the fair value of our net guaranty assets, including related
deferred tax assets, of $4.5 billion. This fair value
change does not include the impact of the economic earnings of
the guaranty business during the period. The decline is
primarily due to a substantial increase in the estimated fair
value of our guaranty obligations attributable to the decline in
the home prices and the markets expectation of future home
price declines. This increase more than offset an increase in
the fair value of our guaranty assets that resulted from growth
in our guaranty book of business.
We estimate that the significant widening of mortgage-to-debt
spreads during the first nine months of 2007 caused a decline of
approximately $4.5 billion to $5.0 billion in the fair
value of our net portfolio. As displayed in Table 17 above, the
Lehman U.S. MBS index, which primarily includes
30-year and
15-year
mortgages, reflected a significant widening of OAS during the
first nine months of 2007. The OAS on securities held by us that
are not in the index, such as AAA-rated
10-year
commercial mortgage-backed securities and AAA-rated
private-label mortgage-related securities, widened even more
dramatically, resulting in an overall decrease in the fair value
of our mortgage assets. Debt OAS based on the Lehman
U.S. Agency Debt Index to the London Interbank Offered Rate
(LIBOR) tightened by 5 basis points to minus
18.8 basis points as of September 30, 2007, resulting
in an increase in the fair value of our debt. Our economic
earnings from our portfolio investments resulted in an increase
in fair value of our net assets that partially offset the
decrease that resulted from the change in market conditions.
40
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Liquidity
Debt
Funding
Our primary source of cash is proceeds from the issuance of our
debt securities. As a result, we are dependent on our continuing
ability to issue debt securities in the capital markets to meet
our cash requirements. Table 18 summarizes our debt activity for
the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Issued during the
period:(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term:(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount(3)
|
|
$
|
341,033
|
|
|
$
|
432,575
|
|
|
$
|
1,124,200
|
|
|
$
|
1,715,094
|
|
Weighted average interest rate
|
|
|
4.91
|
%
|
|
|
5.16
|
%
|
|
|
5.07
|
%
|
|
|
4.78
|
%
|
Long-term:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount(3)
|
|
$
|
37,462
|
|
|
$
|
40,833
|
|
|
$
|
150,753
|
|
|
$
|
140,046
|
|
Weighted average interest rate
|
|
|
5.58
|
%
|
|
|
5.73
|
%
|
|
|
5.57
|
%
|
|
|
5.52
|
%
|
Total issued:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount(3)
|
|
$
|
378,495
|
|
|
$
|
473,408
|
|
|
$
|
1,274,953
|
|
|
$
|
1,855,140
|
|
Weighted average interest rate
|
|
|
4.98
|
%
|
|
|
5.21
|
%
|
|
|
5.13
|
%
|
|
|
4.84
|
%
|
Redeemed during the
period:(1)(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term:(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount(3)
|
|
$
|
351,130
|
|
|
$
|
455,380
|
|
|
$
|
1,135,352
|
|
|
$
|
1,735,420
|
|
Weighted average interest rate
|
|
|
4.97
|
%
|
|
|
5.08
|
%
|
|
|
5.07
|
%
|
|
|
4.68
|
%
|
Long-term:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount(3)
|
|
$
|
45,725
|
|
|
$
|
43,339
|
|
|
$
|
142,973
|
|
|
$
|
119,899
|
|
Weighted average interest rate
|
|
|
4.68
|
%
|
|
|
4.15
|
%
|
|
|
4.58
|
%
|
|
|
3.73
|
%
|
Total redeemed:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount(3)
|
|
$
|
396,855
|
|
|
$
|
498,719
|
|
|
$
|
1,278,325
|
|
|
$
|
1,855,319
|
|
Weighted average interest rate
|
|
|
4.93
|
%
|
|
|
5.00
|
%
|
|
|
5.02
|
%
|
|
|
4.62
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Excludes debt activity resulting
from consolidations and intraday loans.
|
|
(2) |
|
Includes Federal funds purchased
and securities sold under agreements to repurchase.
|
|
(3) |
|
Represents the face amount at
issuance or redemption.
|
|
(4) |
|
Represents all payments on debt,
including regularly scheduled principal payments, payments at
maturity, payments as the result of a call and payments for any
other repurchases.
|
The amount of our total outstanding debt remained relatively
consistent between December 31, 2006 and September 30,
2007, as we managed the size of our mortgage portfolio to meet
the OFHEO-directed portfolio cap. In addition, the mix between
our outstanding short-term and long-term debt remained
relatively consistent. Despite a lack of portfolio growth for
the first nine months of 2007, we remained an active participant
in the international capital markets to meet our consistent need
for funding and rebalancing our portfolio. Changes in the amount
of our debt issuances and redemptions between periods are
influenced by investor demand for our debt, changes in interest
rates, and the maturity of existing debt. For information on our
outstanding short-term and long-term debt as of
September 30, 2007, refer to Consolidated Balance
Sheet AnalysisDebt Instruments.
41
Our sources of liquidity remained adequate to meet both our
short-term and long-term funding needs during the first nine
months of 2007, and we anticipate that they will remain
adequate. Despite the overall reduction in liquidity and funding
sources in the mortgage credit market in recent months, our
ability to issue debt at rates we consider attractive has not
been impaired. In addition, we issued $1.375 billion in
preferred stock in September and October 2007.
Liquidity
Contingency Plan
We maintain a liquidity contingency plan in the event that
factors, whether internal or external to our business,
temporarily compromise our ability to access capital through
normal channels. Our contingency plan provides for alternative
sources of liquidity that would allow us to meet all of our cash
obligations for 90 days without relying upon the issuance
of unsecured debt. In the event of a liquidity crisis in which
our access to the unsecured debt funding market becomes
impaired, our primary source of liquidity is the sale or pledge
of mortgage assets in our unencumbered mortgage portfolio.
Another source of liquidity in the event of a liquidity crisis
is the sale of assets in our liquid investment portfolio.
Pursuant to our September 1, 2005 agreement with OFHEO, we
periodically test our liquidity contingency plan. We believe we
were in compliance with our agreement with OFHEO to maintain and
test our liquidity contingency plan as of March 31, 2007,
June 30, 2007 and September 30, 2007.
Credit
Ratings and Risk Ratings
Our ability to borrow at attractive rates is highly dependent
upon our credit ratings. Our senior unsecured debt (both
long-term and short-term), benchmark subordinated debt and
preferred stock are rated and continuously monitored by
Standard & Poors, a division of The McGraw Hill
Companies (Standard & Poors),
Moodys Investors Service (Moodys), and
Fitch Ratings (Fitch), each of which is a nationally
recognized statistical rating organization. Table 19 below sets
forth the credit ratings issued by each of these rating agencies
of our long-term and short-term senior unsecured debt,
qualifying benchmark subordinated debt and preferred stock as of
November 8, 2007. To date, we have not experienced any
limitations in our ability to access the capital markets due to
a credit ratings downgrade. Table 19 also sets forth our
risk to the government rating and our Bank
Financial Strength Rating as of November 8, 2007.
Table
19: Fannie Mae Debt Credit Ratings and Risk
Ratings
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Senior
|
|
|
Senior
|
|
|
Qualifying
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bank
|
|
|
|
Long-Term
|
|
|
Short-Term
|
|
|
Benchmark
|
|
|
Preferred
|
|
|
Risk to the
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
|
|
Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
Subordinated Debt
|
|
|
Stock
|
|
|
Government(1)
|
|
|
Strength(1)
|
|
|
Standard & Poors
|
|
|
AAA
|
|
|
|
A-1+
|
|
|
|
AA-
|
(2)
|
|
|
AA-
|
(2)
|
|
|
AA-
|
(2)
|
|
|
|
|
Moodys
|
|
|
Aaa
|
|
|
|
P-1
|
|
|
|
Aa2
|
|
|
|
Aa3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
B+
|
|
Fitch
|
|
|
AAA
|
|
|
|
F1+
|
|
|
|
AA-
|
|
|
|
AA-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Pursuant to our September 1,
2005 agreement with OFHEO, we agreed to seek to obtain a rating,
which will be continuously monitored by at least one nationally
recognized statistical rating organization, that assesses, among
other things, the independent financial strength or risk
to the government of Fannie Mae operating under its
authorizing legislation but without assuming a cash infusion or
extraordinary support of the government in the event of a
financial crisis.
|
|
(2) |
|
Negative outlook.
|
Cash
Flows
Our primary sources of funding include proceeds from our
issuance of our debt securities, principal and interest payments
on mortgage assets, and guaranty fees. Our primary uses of funds
include the purchase of mortgage assets, repayment of debt and
interest payments, payment of dividends, administrative expenses
and taxes.
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007. Our
cash and cash equivalents of $4.5 billion as of
September 30, 2007 increased by $1.2 billion from
December 31, 2006. We generated cash flows from operating
activities of
42
$16.9 billion, largely attributable to net cash provided
from trading securities. We also generated cash flows from
investing activities of $746 million, attributable to funds
provided from a reduction in federal funds sold and securities
purchased under agreements to resell. These cash flows were
partially offset by net cash used in financing activities of
$16.5 billion, as amounts paid to extinguish debt exceeded
the proceeds from the issuance of debt.
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006. Our
cash and cash equivalents of $3.1 billion as of
September 30, 2006 increased by $259 million from
December 31, 2005. We generated cash flows from operating
activities of $25.6 billion, largely attributable to net
cash provided from trading securities. These cash flows were
partially offset by net cash used in financing activities of
$20.5 billion, as amounts paid to extinguish debt exceeded
the proceeds from the issuance of debt, and net cash used in
investing activities of $4.9 billion, attributable to an
increase in federal funds sold and securities purchased under
agreements to resell.
Because our cash flows are complex and interrelated and bear
little relationship to our net earnings and net assets, we do
not rely on this traditional cash flow analysis to evaluate our
liquidity position. Instead, we rely on our liquidity
contingency plan described above to ensure that we preserve
stable, reliable and cost effective sources of cash to meet all
obligations from normal operations and maintain sufficient
excess liquidity to withstand both a severe and moderate
liquidity stress environment.
Capital
Management
Regulatory
Capital
Table 20 displays our regulatory capital classification measures
as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, with
the exception of our statutory risk-based capital measure and
related total capital measure, which have been provided as of
June 30, 2007 (the most recent date for which our statutory
risk-based capital measure is available) and December 31,
2006. The regulatory capital classification measures as of
September 30, 2007 provided in the table below represent
amounts that will be resubmitted to OFHEO for its certification
and are subject to its review and approval. They do not
represent OFHEOs announced capital classification measures.
43
Table
20: Regulatory Capital Measures
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2007(1)
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Core
capital(2)
|
|
$
|
41,713
|
|
|
$
|
41,950
|
|
Statutory minimum
capital(3)
|
|
|
30,303
|
|
|
|
29,359
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of core capital over required minimum capital
|
|
$
|
11,410
|
|
|
$
|
12,591
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of core capital percentage over required minimum
capital(4)
|
|
|
37.7
|
%
|
|
|
42.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core
capital(2)
|
|
$
|
41,713
|
|
|
$
|
41,950
|
|
OFHEO-directed minimum
capital(5)
|
|
|
39,393
|
|
|
|
38,166
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of core capital over OFHEO-directed minimum capital
|
|
$
|
2,319
|
|
|
$
|
3,784
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of core capital percentage over OFHEO-directed minimum
capital(6)
|
|
|
5.9
|
%
|
|
|
9.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
capital(7)
|
|
$
|
43,798
|
|
|
$
|
42,703
|
|
Statutory risk-based
capital(8)
|
|
|
10,225
|
|
|
|
26,870
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of total capital over required risk-based capital
|
|
$
|
33,573
|
|
|
$
|
15,833
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of total capital percentage over required risk-based
capital(9)
|
|
|
328.3
|
%
|
|
|
58.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core
capital(2)
|
|
$
|
41,713
|
|
|
$
|
41,950
|
|
Statutory critical
capital(10)
|
|
|
15,682
|
|
|
|
15,149
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of core capital over required critical capital
|
|
$
|
26,031
|
|
|
$
|
26,801
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus of core capital percentage over required critical
capital(11)
|
|
|
166.0
|
%
|
|
|
176.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
|
Statutory risk-based capital and
total capital measures have been provided as of June 30,
2007 (the most recent date for which the statutory risk-based
capital measure is available) and December 31, 2006. The
regulatory capital classification measures as of
September 30, 2007 provided in this table represent
estimates that will be resubmitted to OFHEO for its
certification.
|
|
(2)
|
|
The sum of (a) the stated
value of our outstanding common stock (common stock less
treasury stock); (b) the stated value of our outstanding
non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock; (c) our paid-in
capital; and (d) our retained earnings. Core capital
excludes accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).
|
|
(3)
|
|
Generally, the sum of
(a) 2.50% of on-balance sheet assets; (b) 0.45% of the
unpaid principal balance of outstanding Fannie Mae MBS held by
third parties; and (c) up to 0.45% of other off-balance
sheet obligations, which may be adjusted by the Director of
OFHEO under certain circumstances (See 12 CFR 1750.4 for
existing adjustments made by the Director of OFHEO).
|
|
(4)
|
|
Defined as the surplus of core
capital over statutory minimum capital expressed as a percentage
of statutory minimum capital.
|
|
(5)
|
|
Defined as a 30% surplus over the
statutory minimum capital requirement. We are currently required
to maintain this surplus under the OFHEO consent order until
such time as the Director of OFHEO determines that the
requirement should be modified or allowed to expire, taking into
account certain specified factors.
|
|
(6)
|
|
Defined as the surplus of core
capital over OFHEO-directed minimum capital expressed as a
percentage of OFHEO-directed minimum capital.
|
|
(7)
|
|
The sum of (a) core capital
and (b) the total allowance for loan losses and reserve for
guaranty losses, less (c) the specific loss allowance (that
is, the allowance required on individually impaired loans). The
specific loss allowance totaled $51 million as of
June 30, 2007 and $106 million as of December 31,
2006.
|
|
(8)
|
|
Defined as the amount of total
capital required to be held to absorb projected losses flowing
from future adverse interest rate and credit risk conditions
specified by statute (see 12 CFR 1750.13 for conditions),
plus 30% mandated by statute to cover management and operations
risk.
|
|
(9)
|
|
Defined as the surplus of total
capital over statutory risk-based capital expressed as a
percentage of statutory risk-based capital.
|
44
|
|
|
(10) |
|
Generally, the sum of
(a) 1.25% of on-balance sheet assets; (b) 0.25% of the
unpaid principal balance of outstanding Fannie Mae MBS held by
third parties and (c) up to 0.25% of other off-balance
sheet obligations, which may be adjusted by the Director of
OFHEO under certain circumstances.
|
|
(11) |
|
Defined as the surplus of core
capital over statutory critical capital expressed as a
percentage of statutory critical capital.
|
Based on financial estimates that we provided to OFHEO, on
September 27, 2007, OFHEO announced that we were classified
as adequately capitalized as of June 30, 2007 (the most
recent date for which results have been published by OFHEO).
In September 2007 we issued $1.0 billion in preferred
stock, which was intended to partially replace the
$1.1 billion in preferred stock we redeemed in February and
April 2007. We issued an additional $375 million in
preferred stock in October 2007. Our core capital and our
capital surplus have decreased since September 30, 2007,
due to market trends that have adversely affected our earnings.
If these market trends continue to negatively affect our net
income, they will continue to cause a reduction in our retained
earnings and, as a result, in the amount of our core capital. We
may be required to take actions, or refrain from taking actions,
in order to maintain or increase our statutory and
OFHEO-directed minimum capital surplus. Like the portfolio cap,
our need to maintain capital at specific levels limits our
ability to increase our portfolio investments. In order to
maintain our regulatory capital at required levels, we may forgo
purchase opportunities or sell assets. We also may issue
additional preferred securities. Refer to
Item 1ARisk Factors for a more detailed
discussion of how continued declines in our earnings could
negatively impact our regulatory capital position.
The significant reduction in our statutory risk-based capital
requirement from December 31, 2006 to June 30, 2007
resulted from risk management actions that served to lower our
investment portfolios exposure to extreme interest rate
movements. On October 11, 2007, OFHEO announced a proposed
rule that would change the mortgage loan loss severity formulas
used in the regulatory risk-based capital stress test. If
adopted, the proposed changes would increase our risk-based
capital requirement. Using data from the third and fourth
quarters of 2006, OFHEOs recalculation of the risk-based
capital requirement for those periods using the proposed
formulas showed that our total capital base would continue to
exceed all risk-based capital requirements.
Capital
Activity
Common
Stock
Shares of common stock outstanding, net of shares held in
treasury, totaled approximately 974 million,
973 million, 973 million and 972 million as of
September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, March 31, 2007
and December 31, 2006, respectively. We issued
0.3 million, 0.3 million and 1.0 million shares
of common stock from treasury for our employee benefit plans
during the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30,
2007 and March 31, 2007, respectively. We did not issue any
common stock during the first three quarters of 2007 other than
in accordance with these plans.
From April 2005 to November 2007, we prohibited all of our
employees from engaging in purchases or sales of our securities
except in limited circumstances relating to financial hardship.
In May 2006, we implemented a stock repurchase program that
authorized the repurchase of up to $100 million of our
shares from our non-officer employees, who are employees below
the level of vice president. From May 31, 2006 to
September 30, 2007, we purchased an aggregate of
approximately 122,000 shares of common stock from our employees
under the program. In November 2007, the prohibition on employee
sales and purchases of our securities was lifted and the
employee stock repurchase program was terminated.
Non-Cumulative
Preferred Stock
On February 28, 2007, we redeemed all of the shares of our
Variable Rate Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series J,
with an aggregate stated value of $700 million.
45
On April 2, 2007, we redeemed all of the shares of our
Variable Rate Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series K,
with an aggregate stated value of $400 million.
On September 28, 2007, we issued 40 million shares of
Variable Rate Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series P,
with an aggregate stated value of $1.0 billion. The
Series P Preferred Stock has a variable dividend rate that
will reset quarterly on each March 31, June 30,
September 30 and December 31, beginning December 31,
2007, at a per annum rate equal to the greater of
(i) 3-Month
LIBOR plus 0.75% and (ii) 4.50%. The Series P
Preferred Stock may be redeemed, at our option, on or after
September 30, 2012. The net proceeds from the issuance of
Series P Preferred Stock were added to our working capital
and will be used for general corporate purposes.
On October 4, 2007, we issued 15 million shares of
6.75% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series Q, with an
aggregate stated value of $375 million. The Series Q
Preferred Stock has a dividend rate of 6.75% per annum. The
Series Q Preferred Stock may be redeemed, at our option, on
or after September 30, 2010. The net proceeds from the
issuance of Series Q Preferred Stock were added to our
working capital and will be used for general corporate purposes.
Subordinated
Debt
Pursuant to our September 1, 2005 agreement with OFHEO, we
agreed to issue qualifying subordinated debt, rated by at least
two nationally recognized statistical rating organizations, in a
quantity such that the sum of our total capital plus the
outstanding balance of our qualifying subordinated debt equals
or exceeds the sum of (1) outstanding Fannie Mae MBS held
by third parties times 0.45% and (2) total on-balance sheet
assets times 4%, which we refer to as our subordinated
debt requirement.
As of March 31, 2007, June 30, 2007 and
September 30, 2007, we were in compliance with our
subordinated debt requirement. As of March 31, 2007, our
total capital plus the outstanding balance of our qualifying
subordinated debt was approximately $49.8 billion and
exceeded our subordinated debt requirement by $7.9 billion.
As of June 30, 2007, our total capital plus the outstanding
balance of our qualifying subordinated debt was approximately
$51.0 billion and exceeded our subordinated debt
requirement by $8.1 billion. Our total capital plus the
outstanding balance of our qualifying subordinated debt was
approximately $49.5 billion and exceeded our subordinated
debt requirement by $6.9 billion as of September 30,
2007.
We have not issued any subordinated debt securities since 2003.
We had qualifying subordinated debt totaling $2.0 billion,
based on redemption value, that matured in January 2007. As of
the date of this filing, we have $9.0 billion in
outstanding qualifying subordinated debt.
Dividends
We paid common stock dividends of $0.40 per share for the first
quarter of 2007 and $0.50 per share for the second and third
quarters of 2007. On October 16, 2007, our Board of
Directors declared common stock dividends of $0.50 per share for
the fourth quarter of 2007, payable on November 26, 2007.
We paid preferred stock dividends of $138 million,
$121 million and $115 million in the first, second and
third quarter of 2007, respectively. On October 16, 2007,
our Board of Directors declared total preferred stock dividends
of $137 million for the fourth quarter of 2007, payable on
December 31, 2007.
OFF-BALANCE
SHEET ARRANGEMENTS AND VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITIES
We enter into certain business arrangements that are not
recorded in our condensed consolidated balance sheets or may be
recorded in amounts that are different from the full contract or
notional amount of the transaction. These arrangements are
commonly referred to as off-balance sheet
arrangements, and expose us to potential losses in excess
of the amounts recorded in the condensed consolidated balance
sheets. The most significant off-balance sheet arrangements that
we engage in result from the mortgage loan securitization and
resecuritization transactions that we routinely enter into as
part of the normal course of our business operations. We also
hold limited partnership interests in LIHTC partnerships that
are established to finance the
46
construction or development of low-income affordable multifamily
housing and other limited partnerships. LIHTC and other limited
partnerships may involve off-balance sheet entities, some of
which are consolidated on our balance sheets and some of which
are accounted for under the equity method.
Fannie
Mae MBS Transactions and Other Financial Guaranties
Table 21 presents a summary of our on- and off-balance sheet
Fannie Mae MBS and other guaranties as of September 30,
2007 and December 31, 2006.
Table
21: On- and Off-Balance Sheet MBS and Other Guaranty
Arrangements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
Fannie Mae MBS and other guaranties
outstanding(1)
|
|
$
|
2,214,180
|
|
|
$
|
1,996,941
|
|
Less: Fannie Mae MBS held in
portfolio(2)
|
|
|
175,290
|
|
|
|
199,644
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties and other guaranties
|
|
$
|
2,038,890
|
|
|
$
|
1,797,297
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Includes $35.5 billion and
$19.7 billion in unpaid principal balance of other
guaranties as of September 30, 2007 and December 31,
2006, respectively. Excludes $99.1 billion and
$105.6 billion in unpaid principal balance of consolidated
Fannie Mae MBS as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006, respectively.
|
|
(2) |
|
Amounts represent unpaid principal
balance and are recorded in Investments in
securities in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
|
LIHTC
Partnership Interests
As of September 30, 2007, we had a recorded investment in
LIHTC partnerships of $8.0 billion, compared with
$8.8 billion as of December 31, 2006. In March 2007,
we sold a portfolio of investments in LIHTC partnerships
reflecting approximately $676 million in future LIHTC tax
credits and the release of future capital obligations relating
to the investments. In July 2007, we sold a portfolio of
investments in LIHTC partnerships reflecting approximately
$254 million in future LIHTC tax credits and the release of
future capital obligations relating to the investments. For
additional information regarding our holdings in off-balance
sheet limited partnerships, refer to Notes to Condensed
Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 2,
Consolidations.
Credit
Risk Management
Mortgage
Credit Risk Management
Mortgage credit risk is the risk that a borrower will fail to
make required mortgage payments. We are exposed to credit risk
on our mortgage credit book of business because we either hold
the mortgage assets or have issued a guaranty in connection with
the creation of Fannie Mae MBS backed by mortgage assets.
Mortgage
Credit Book of Business
Table 22 displays the composition of our entire mortgage credit
book of business, which consists of both on- and off-balance
sheet arrangements, as of September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006. Our single-family mortgage credit book
of business accounted for approximately 94% of our entire
mortgage credit book of business as of both September 30,
2007 and December 31, 2006.
47
Table
22: Composition of Mortgage Credit Book of
Business
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single-Family(1)
|
|
|
Multifamily(2)
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conventional(3)
|
|
|
Government(4)
|
|
|
Conventional(3)
|
|
|
Government(4)
|
|
|
Conventional(3)
|
|
|
Government(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage
portfolio:(5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage
loans(6)
|
|
$
|
298,854
|
|
|
$
|
23,101
|
|
|
$
|
76,606
|
|
|
$
|
859
|
|
|
$
|
375,460
|
|
|
$
|
23,960
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae MBS
|
|
|
172,518
|
|
|
|
2,246
|
|
|
|
312
|
|
|
|
214
|
|
|
|
172,830
|
|
|
|
2,460
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency mortgage-related
securities(7)
|
|
|
30,898
|
|
|
|
1,723
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
30,898
|
|
|
|
1,773
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage revenue bonds
|
|
|
3,186
|
|
|
|
2,896
|
|
|
|
7,616
|
|
|
|
2,458
|
|
|
|
10,802
|
|
|
|
5,354
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other mortgage-related
securities(8)
|
|
|
80,692
|
|
|
|
968
|
|
|
|
23,350
|
|
|
|
31
|
|
|
|
104,042
|
|
|
|
999
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage portfolio
|
|
|
586,148
|
|
|
|
30,934
|
|
|
|
107,884
|
|
|
|
3,612
|
|
|
|
694,032
|
|
|
|
34,546
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae MBS held by third
parties(9)
|
|
|
1,948,986
|
|
|
|
15,467
|
|
|
|
37,780
|
|
|
|
1,149
|
|
|
|
1,986,766
|
|
|
|
16,616
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other credit
guaranties(10)
|
|
|
18,638
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16,810
|
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
35,448
|
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage credit book of business
|
|
$
|
2,553,772
|
|
|
$
|
46,401
|
|
|
$
|
162,474
|
|
|
$
|
4,821
|
|
|
$
|
2,716,246
|
|
|
$
|
51,222
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranty book of
business(11)
|
|
$
|
2,438,996
|
|
|
$
|
40,814
|
|
|
$
|
131,508
|
|
|
$
|
2,282
|
|
|
$
|
2,570,504
|
|
|
$
|
43,096
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of December 31, 2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single-Family(1)
|
|
|
Multifamily(2)
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conventional(3)
|
|
|
Government(4)
|
|
|
Conventional(3)
|
|
|
Government(4)
|
|
|
Conventional(3)
|
|
|
Government(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage
portfolio:(5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage
loans(6)
|
|
$
|
302,597
|
|
|
$
|
20,106
|
|
|
$
|
59,374
|
|
|
$
|
968
|
|
|
$
|
361,971
|
|
|
$
|
21,074
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae MBS
|
|
|
198,335
|
|
|
|
709
|
|
|
|
277
|
|
|
|
323
|
|
|
|
198,612
|
|
|
|
1,032
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency mortgage-related
securities(7)
|
|
|
29,987
|
|
|
|
1,995
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
56
|
|
|
|
29,987
|
|
|
|
2,051
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage revenue bonds
|
|
|
3,394
|
|
|
|
3,284
|
|
|
|
7,897
|
|
|
|
2,349
|
|
|
|
11,291
|
|
|
|
5,633
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other mortgage-related
securities(8)
|
|
|
85,339
|
|
|
|
2,084
|
|
|
|
9,681
|
|
|
|
177
|
|
|
|
95,020
|
|
|
|
2,261
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total mortgage portfolio
|
|
|
619,652
|
|
|
|
28,178
|
|
|
|
77,229
|
|
|
|
3,873
|
|
|
|
696,881
|
|
|
|
32,051
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae MBS held by third
parties(9)
|
|
|
1,714,815
|
|
|
|
19,069
|
|
|
|
42,184
|
|
|
|
1,482
|
|
|
|
1,756,999
|
|
|
|
20,551
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other credit
guaranties(10)
|
|
|
3,049
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16,602
|
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
|
19,651
|
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage credit book of business
|
|
$
|
2,337,516
|
|
|
$
|
47,247
|
|
|
$
|
136,015
|
|
|
$
|
5,451
|
|
|
$
|
2,473,531
|
|
|
$
|
52,698
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranty book of
business(11)
|
|
$
|
2,218,796
|
|
|
$
|
39,884
|
|
|
$
|
118,437
|
|
|
$
|
2,869
|
|
|
$
|
2,337,233
|
|
|
$
|
42,753
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
The amounts reported reflect our
total single-family mortgage credit book of business. Of these
amounts, the portion of our conventional single-family mortgage
credit book of business for which we have access to detailed
loan-level information represented approximately 95% of our
total conventional single-family mortgage credit book of
business as of both September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006. Unless otherwise noted, the credit
statistics we provide in the Mortgage Credit Risk
Management discussion that follows relate only to this
specific portion of our conventional single-family mortgage
credit book of business. The remaining portion of our
single-family mortgage credit book of business consists of
non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities backed by
single-family mortgage loans, credit enhancements that we
provide on single-family mortgage assets and all other
single-family government related loans and securities.
Non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities held in our portfolio
include Freddie Mac securities, Ginnie Mae securities,
private-label mortgage-related securities, Fannie Mae MBS backed
by private-label mortgage-
|
48
|
|
|
|
|
related securities, and
housing-related municipal revenue bonds. Our Capital Markets
group prices and manages credit risk related to this specific
portion of our single-family mortgage credit book of business.
We may not have access to detailed loan-level data on these
particular mortgage-related assets and therefore may not manage
the credit performance of individual loans. However, a
substantial majority of these securities benefit from
significant forms of credit enhancement, including guaranties
from Ginnie Mae or Freddie Mac, insurance policies, structured
subordination and similar sources of credit protection. All
non-Fannie Mae agency securities held in our portfolio as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 were rated
AAA/Aaa by Standard & Poors and Moodys.
Over 90% of non-agency mortgage-related securities held in our
portfolio as of both September 30, 2007 and
December 31, 2006 were rated AAA/Aaa by
Standard & Poors and Moodys.
|
|
(2) |
|
The amounts reported reflect our
total multifamily mortgage credit book of business. Of these
amounts, the portion of our multifamily mortgage credit book of
business for which we have access to detailed loan-level
information represented approximately 78% and 84% of our total
multifamily mortgage credit book as of September 30, 2007
and December 31, 2006, respectively. Unless otherwise
noted, the credit statistics we provide in the Mortgage
Credit Risk Management discussion that follows relate only
to this specific portion of our multifamily mortgage credit book
of business.
|
|
(3) |
|
Refers to mortgage loans and
mortgage-related securities that are not guaranteed or insured
by the U.S. government or any of its agencies.
|
|
(4) |
|
Refers to mortgage loans and
mortgage-related securities guaranteed or insured by the U.S.
government or one of its agencies.
|
|
(5) |
|
Mortgage portfolio data is reported
based on unpaid principal balance.
|
|
(6) |
|
Includes unpaid principal totaling
$100.0 billion and $105.5 billion as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006,
respectively, related to mortgage-related securities that were
consolidated under FIN 46R and mortgage-related securities
created from securitization transactions that did not meet the
sales criteria under SFAS 140, which effectively resulted
in mortgage-related securities being accounted for as loans.
|
|
(7) |
|
Consists of mortgage-related
securities issued by Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae.
|
|
(8) |
|
Consists of mortgage-related
securities issued by entities other than Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac
or Ginnie Mae.
|
|
(9) |
|
Consists of Fannie Mae MBS held by
third-party investors. The principal balance of resecuritized
Fannie Mae MBS is included only once in the reported amount.
|
|
(10) |
|
Includes single-family and
multifamily credit enhancements that we have provided and that
are not otherwise reflected in the table.
|
|
(11) |
|
Consists of mortgage loans held in
our portfolio, Fannie Mae MBS held in our portfolio, Fannie Mae
MBS held by third parties and other credit guaranties. Excludes
agency mortgage-related securities, mortgage revenue bonds and
other mortgage-related securities held in our portfolio for
which we do not provide a guaranty.
|
49
Single-Family
Table 23 provides information on the product distribution of our
conventional single-family business volumes for the three months
ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, and our conventional
single-family mortgage credit book of business as of
September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006.
|
|
Table
23:
|
Product
Distribution of Conventional Single-Family Business Volume and
Mortgage Credit Book of
Business(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percent of
|
|
|
Percent of
|
|
|
|
Business
Volume(2)
|
|
|
Book of
Business(3)
|
|
|
|
For the
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ended
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
As of
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2006
|
|
|
Fixed-rate:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term
|
|
|
74
|
%
|
|
|
69
|
%
|
|
|
70
|
%
|
|
|
68
|
%
|
Intermediate-term
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
18
|
|
Interest-only
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total fixed-rate
|
|
|
88
|
|
|
|
82
|
|
|
|
88
|
|
|
|
87
|
|
Adjustable-rate:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest-only
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
Negative-amortizing
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
Other ARMs
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total adjustable-rate
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
18
|
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100
|
%
|
|
|
100
|
%
|
|
|
100
|
%
|
|
|
100
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
As noted in Table 22 above, we
generally have access to detailed loan-level statistics only on
conventional single-family mortgage loans held in our portfolio
and backing Fannie Mae MBS (whether held in our portfolio or
held by third parties).
|
|
(2) |
|
Percentages calculated based on
unpaid principal balance of loans at time of acquisition.
Single-family business volume refers to both single-family
mortgage loans we purchase for our mortgage portfolio and
single-family mortgage loans we securitize into Fannie Mae MBS.
|
|
(3) |
|
Percentages calculated based on
unpaid principal balance of loans as of the end of each period.
|
Fixed-Rate and ARM Loans: As presented in
Table 23 above, our conventional single-family mortgage credit
book of business continues to consist mostly of long-term
fixed-rate mortgage loans. In addition, a greater proportion of
our conventional single-family business volumes consisted of
fixed-rate loans for the third quarter of 2007, as compared with
the third quarter of 2006.
Alt-A Loans: An Alt-A mortgage loan generally
refers to a loan that can be underwritten with lower or
alternative documentation than a full documentation mortgage
loan but that may also include other alternative product
features. Alt-A mortgage loans generally have a higher risk of
default than non-Alt-A mortgage loans. In reporting our Alt-A
exposure, we have classified mortgage loans as Alt-A if the
lenders that deliver the mortgage loans to us have classified
the loans as Alt-A based on documentation or other product
features. As of September 30, 2007, we estimate that
approximately 12% of our total single-family mortgage credit
book of business consisted of Alt-A mortgage loans or Fannie Mae
MBS backed by Alt-A mortgage loans. During 2007, we restricted
our eligibility standards for Alt-A mortgage loans eligible for
delivery to us. Our acquisitions of Alt-A mortgage loans have a
combination of credit enhancement and pricing that we believe
adequately reflects the higher credit risk posed by these
mortgages. We will determine the timing and level of our
acquisition of Alt-A mortgage loans in the future based on our
assessment of the availability and cost of credit enhancement
with adequate levels of pricing to compensate for the risks.
50
Subprime Loans: A subprime mortgage loan
generally refers to a mortgage loan made to a borrower with a
weaker credit profile than that of a prime borrower. As a result
of the weaker credit profile, subprime borrowers have a higher
likelihood of default than prime borrowers. Subprime mortgage
loans are typically originated by lenders specializing in this
type of business or by subprime divisions of large lenders,
using processes unique to subprime loans. In reporting our
subprime exposure, we have classified mortgage loans as subprime
if the mortgage loans are originated by one of these specialty
lenders or a subprime division of a large lender. Approximately
0.3% of our total single-family mortgage credit book of business
as of September 30, 2007 consisted of subprime mortgage
loans or Fannie Mae MBS backed by subprime mortgage loans. Less
than 1% of our single-family business volume for the nine months
ended September 30, 2007 consisted of subprime mortgage
loans or Fannie Mae MBS backed by subprime mortgage loans. Our
acquisitions of subprime mortgage loans have a combination of
credit enhancement and pricing that we believe adequately
reflects the higher credit risk posed by these mortgages. In
order to respond to the current subprime mortgage crisis and
provide liquidity to the market, we intend to increase our
purchase of subprime mortgages. We will determine the timing and
level of our acquisition of subprime mortgage loans in the
future based on our assessment of the availability and cost of
credit enhancement with adequate levels of pricing to compensate
for the risks.
Alt-A and Subprime Securities: We held
approximately $106.2 billion in non-Fannie Mae structured
mortgage-related securities in our investment portfolio as of
September 30, 2007. Of this amount, $76.2 billion
consisted of private-label mortgage-related securities backed by
subprime or Alt-A mortgage loans. As of September 30, 2007,
we held in our investment portfolio approximately
$33.8 billion in private-label mortgage-related securities
backed by Alt-A mortgage loans and approximately
$42.4 billion in private-label mortgage-related securities
backed by subprime mortgage loans. We also guaranteed
approximately $6.2 billion in resecuritized subprime
mortgage-related securities as of September 30, 2007.
Approximately $18.6 billion of these Alt-A- and
subprime-backed private-label mortgage-related securities were
classified as trading securities in our condensed consolidated
balance sheets as of September 30, 2007. In reporting our
Alt-A and subprime exposure, we have classified private-label
mortgage-related securities as Alt-A or subprime if the
securities were labeled as such when issued.
To date, we generally have focused our purchases of
private-label mortgage-related securities backed by subprime or
Alt-A loans on the highest-rated tranches of these securities
available at the time of acquisition. For our private-label
mortgage-related securities backed by subprime loans that were
rated AAA at acquisition, the weighted average credit
enhancement, which is predominantly in the form of
subordination, is 32%. In 2007, we began to acquire a limited
amount of subprime-backed private-label mortgage-related
securities of investment grades below AAA. As of
September 30, 2007, approximately $441 million in
unpaid principal balance, or 1%, of the subprime-backed
private-label mortgage-related securities in our portfolio had a
credit rating of less than AAA. All of these subprime-backed
mortgage-related securities with a credit rating of less than
AAA were classified as trading securities in our condensed
consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2007.
In October 2007, the credit ratings of nine subprime
private-label mortgage-related securities held in our portfolio,
with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $263 million
as of September 30, 2007, were downgraded by
Standard & Poors. One of these downgraded
securities, with an unpaid principal balance of
$178 million as of September 30, 2007, classified as
available-for-sale, was downgraded from AAA to AA. The other
eight downgraded securities, with an aggregate unpaid principal
balance of $85 million as of September 30, 2007, are
classified as trading. Prior to these downgrades, these eight
securities had credit ratings that were less than AAA. During
October 2007 and through November 8, 2007, seven of our
AAA-rated subprime private-label mortgage-related securities,
with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of approximately
$1.3 billion, have been put under review for possible
credit rating downgrade or on negative watch. As of
November 8, 2007, all of these securities continue to be
rated AAA. Of these securities, one security with an unpaid
principal balance of $255 million is classified as trading,
while the remaining six securities, with an aggregate unpaid
principal balance of $1.0 billion, are classified as
available-for-sale.
We have not recorded any impairment of the securities classified
as available-for-sale, as they continue to be rated investment
grade and we have the intent and ability to hold these
securities until the earlier of recovery
51
of the unrealized amounts or maturity. As of November 8,
2007, all of our private-label mortgage-related securities
backed by Alt-A mortgage loans were rated AAA and none had been
downgraded or placed under review for possible downgrade.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, we estimate
that the fair value of the subprime private-label
mortgage-related securities held in our portfolio decreased by
$896 million. Of this decrease, $285 million related
to securities classified as trading and is therefore reflected
in our earnings as losses on trading securities, which are
recorded as a component of Investment gains (losses),
net, for the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
The remaining $611 million of this decrease related to
securities classified as available-for-sale and is therefore
reflected after-tax in AOCI. In addition, we estimate that the
fair value of the Alt-A private-label mortgage-related
securities held in our portfolio decreased by $344 million
for the nine months ended September 30, 2007. Of this
decrease, $91 million was reflected in our earnings as
losses on trading securities.
Credit Characteristics: The weighted average
credit score, the weighted average original loan-to-value ratio
and the weighted average estimated mark-to-market loan-to-value
ratio for our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of
business were 721, 71% and 59%, respectively, as of
September 30, 2007, as compared with 721, 70% and 55% ,
respectively, as of December 31, 2006. Approximately 16% of
our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business
had an estimated mark-to-market loan-to-value ratio greater than
80% as of September 30, 2007, up from 10% as of
December 31, 2006.
Multifamily
As of September 30, 2007, the weighted average original
loan-to-value ratio for our multifamily mortgage credit book of
business remained at 68%, and the percentage of our multifamily
mortgage credit book of business with an original loan-to-value
ratio greater than 80% remained at 6%.
Serious
Delinquency
The serious delinquency rate is an indicator of potential future
foreclosures, although most loans that become seriously
delinquent do not result in foreclosure. Table 24 below compares
the serious delinquency rates for all conventional single-family
loans and multifamily loans with credit enhancements and without
credit enhancements.
52
Table
24: Serious Delinquency Rates
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September 30, 2007
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December 31, 2006
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September 30, 2006
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Serious
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Serious
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Serious
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Book
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Delinquency
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Book
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Delinquency
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Book
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Delinquency
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Outstanding(1)
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Rate(2)
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Outstanding(1)
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Rate(2)
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Outstanding(1)
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Rate(2)
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Conventional single-family delinquency rates by geographic
region:(3)
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Midwest
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17
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%
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1.14
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%
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17
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%
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1.01
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%
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17
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%
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0.94
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%
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Northeast
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19
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0.79
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19
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0.67
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19
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0.62
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Southeast
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25
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0.88
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24
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0.68
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