Federally chartered corporation (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
000-50231 (Commission File Number) |
52-0883107 (IRS Employer Identification Number) |
||
3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW Washington, DC (Address of principal executive offices) |
20016 (Zip Code) |
o Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) | ||
o Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) | ||
o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) | ||
o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
2
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION | ||||
By | /s/ Stephen M. Swad | |||
Stephen M. Swad | ||||
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer | ||||
3
Exhibit Number | Description of Exhibit | |||
99.1 | News release, dated February 27, 2008 |
|||
99.2 | 2007 10-K Investor Summary Presentation, dated February 27, 2008 |
4
news release Media Hotline : 1-888-326-6694 Consumer Resource Center: 1-800-732-6643 |
Contact :
|
Chuck Greener | Janis Smith | ||
202-752-2616 | 202-752-6673 | |||
Number:
|
4282a | |||
Date:
|
February 27, 2008 |
| Net loss of $2.1 billion, or ($2.63) per diluted share, vs. net income of $4.1 billion, or $3.65 per diluted share in 2006. | |
| Credit-related expenses, including incremental additions to the allowance for loan losses and the reserve for guaranty losses of $5.0 billion, vs. $783 million in 2006. | |
| Guaranty fee income of $5.1 billion in 2007, a 19.3 percent increase, from $4.3 billion in 2006. Fannie Maes single-family guaranty book grew 15 percent to $2.6 trillion. | |
| Net interest income of $4.6 billion in 2007, a $2.2 billion decrease driven by higher relative borrowing costs. | |
| Derivatives fair value losses of $4.1 billion, vs. $1.5 billion in 2006, due to the impact of declining yields on the interest rate swaps used to hedge net assets. | |
| Combined loss allowance of $3.4 billion at Dec. 31, compared with $859 million on Dec. 31, 2006. | |
| Core capital of $45.4 billion at year end, compared with $42.0 billion at the end of 2006. | |
| Completion of the remediation of material weaknesses in accounting systems and controls, and all 81 requirements of the Consent Order. |
| An increase of $2.8 billion in provision for credit losses, excluding the component of the provision attributable to fair value losses recorded in connection with the purchase of delinquent loans from mortgage backed securities (MBS) trusts; |
| An increase of $5.1 billion in market-based valuation losses, including derivatives fair value losses on interest rate swaps, losses on certain guaranty contracts, fair value losses on delinquent loans purchased from MBS trusts, and losses on trading securities; and |
| A decrease of $2.2 billion in net interest income. |
| Derivatives fair value losses were $3.2 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007, compared with $668 million in the fourth quarter of 2006. Total derivatives fair value losses in 2007 were $4.1 billion, compared with $1.5 billion in 2006, and $5.5 billion in the second half of 2007, which was driven by a 131-basis point decline in the five-year swap rate during that period. Fannie Maes interest rate swaps and options, which it uses to protect the fair value of its net assets against fluctuations in short- and long-term interest rates, typically have wide swings in fair value from quarter to quarter as interest rates and other market factors fluctuate. |
| Credit-related expenses were $3.0 billion in the fourth quarter and $5.0 billion for all of 2007, compared with $326 million for the fourth quarter, and $783 million for the full year 2006. Half of the 2007 credit-related expenses, or $2.5 billion, was due to an increase in Fannie Maes combined loss reserves, as both the incidence and severity of loan charge-offs rose in regions of the country experiencing rapid home price declines and/or weak economic conditions. Another significant driver of credit-related expenses, fair value losses on delinquent loans purchased from MBS trusts, increased to $1.4 billion in 2007 from $204 million in 2006. Fourth-quarter 2007 losses for this item were $559 million compared with $51 million in the same period of 2006. These losses, which are included in Fannie Maes credit-related expenses as a component of the provision for loan losses, reflect the difference between the carrying value of these delinquent loans and their estimated fair market value. Fannie Mae purchases the delinquent loans in most cases so that it can modify the loan in an effort to prevent a foreclosure. |
| Losses on certain guaranty contracts increased $1.0 billon in 2007 to $1.4 billion, and fourth quarter losses were $386 million versus $258 million in the same period of 2006. The increase reflects credit spreads widening further than the companys guaranty price increases. Losses on certain guaranty contracts are taken at the origination of the contract, and the loss comes back (or accretes) into guaranty fee income over the life of the guaranty. |
| Net interest income declined 15.5 percent to $1.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007 compared to the fourth quarter of 2006, and by 32.2 percent for the year, from $6.8 billion to $4.6 billion. The decline was driven by higher debt costs and the reclassification of trust management income (or float income) out of interest income to a separate line item on the income statement. |
| Net investment losses were $1.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007, compared to a net investment gain of $75 million in the fourth quarter of 2006, and for the full year 2007 the net investment loss was $1.2 billion. A primary driver of the 2007 loss was a $620 million other-than-temporary impairment loss on certain investments in our mortgage portfolio and liquid investment portfolio. We recognized the impairment because we no longer had the intent to hold these securities until the decline in fair value recovered. We reclassified these investments as trading effective January 1, 2008 with our adoption of SFAS 159. In addition, we recognized $145 million in impairments on subprime mortgage-related securities in the fourth quarter. [See Page 67 of Fannie Maes 10-K for additional information.] |
| The mortgage credit book of business grew 14.3 percent to $2.9 trillion, up from $2.5 trillion as of December 31, 2006, reflecting substantial growth in the companys guaranty business. |
| Market share of single-family mortgagerelated securities issuance increased to 48.5 percent in the fourth quarter, from 24.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2006. Total Fannie Mae MBS outstanding (held in portfolio and by third-parties) increased to $2.3 trillion at the end of 2007, from $2.0 trillion a year earlier. |
| Guaranty fee income grew 19.3 percent to $5.1 billion in 2007, from $4.3 billion in 2006. Guaranty fee income grew 26.4 percent to $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007, compared to $1.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2006. These increases reflect the significant increase in demand for Fannie Maes mortgage credit guaranty as well as higher guaranty fee rates. |
| Multifamily guaranty book grew 22.5 percent to $149 billion. |
| Administrative expenses in 2007 fell $407 million to $2.7 billion. Beginning in January 2007, the company undertook a thorough review of costs as part of a broad reengineering initiative to increase productivity and lower administrative costs. As a result of this effort, the company reduced total administrative expenses by more than $400 million in 2007 as compared with 2006, primarily through a reduction in employee and contract resources. |
Full Year | Fourth Quarter | |||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | 2007 FY | 2006 FY | 2007 | 2006 | ||||||||||||
Net Interest Income |
$ | 4,581 | $ | 6,752 | $ | 1,136 | 1,345 | |||||||||
Guaranty Fee Income |
5,071 | 4,250 | 1,621 | 1,282 | ||||||||||||
Trust Management Income |
588 | 111 | 128 | 111 | ||||||||||||
Fee and Other Income |
751 | 672 | 205 | 105 | ||||||||||||
Net Revenues |
10,991 | 11,785 | 3,090 | 2,843 | ||||||||||||
Losses on Certain Guaranty Contracts |
(1,424 | ) | (439 | ) | (396 | ) | (258 | ) | ||||||||
Investment Gains (losses), net |
(1,232 | ) | (683 | ) | (1,130 | ) | 75 | |||||||||
Derivatives Fair Value Losses, net |
(4,113 | ) | (1,522 | ) | (3,222 | ) | (668 | ) | ||||||||
Losses from Partnership Investments |
(1,005 | ) | (865 | ) | (478 | ) | (286 | ) | ||||||||
Administrative Expenses |
(2,669 | ) | (3,076 | ) | (651 | ) | (827 | ) | ||||||||
Credit-Related Expenses |
(5,012 | ) | (783 | ) | (2,973 | ) | (326 | ) | ||||||||
Other Non-Interest Expense, net |
(662 | ) | (204 | ) | (420 | ) | (164 | ) | ||||||||
Income (loss) Before Federal Taxes and
Extraordinary Gains (losses) |
(5,126 | ) | 4,213 | (6,170 | ) | 389 | ||||||||||
Benefit (provision) for Federal Income Taxes |
3,091 | (166 | ) | 2,623 | 214 | |||||||||||
Extraordinary Gains (losses), net of tax |
(15 | ) | 12 | (12 | ) | 1 | ||||||||||
Net Income (loss) |
$ | (2,050 | ) | 4,059 | (3,559 | ) | $ | 604 | ||||||||
Diluted Earnings (loss) per common share |
$ | (2.63 | ) | $ | 3.65 | $ | (3.80 | ) | $ | 0.49 | ||||||
2007 | 2006 | |||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||
Net revenues:(1) |
||||||||
Single-Family Credit Guaranty |
$ | 7,039 | $ | 6,073 | ||||
Housing and Community Development |
424 | 510 | ||||||
Capital Markets |
3,528 | 5,202 | ||||||
Total |
$ | 10,991 | $ | 11,785 | ||||
Net income (loss): |
||||||||
Single-Family Credit Guaranty |
$ | (858 | ) | $ | 2,044 | |||
Housing and Community Development |
157 | 338 | ||||||
Capital Markets |
(1,349 | ) | 1,677 | |||||
Total |
$ | (2,050 | ) | $ | 4,059 | |||
(1) | Includes net interest income, guaranty fee income, trust management income and fee and other income. |
For the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
2007 | 2006 | 2005 | ||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||
Provision attributable to guaranty book of business |
$ | 3,200 | $ | 385 | $ | 190 | ||||||
Provision attributable to SOP 03-3 fair value losses |
1,364 | 204 | 251 | |||||||||
Total provision for credit losses |
4,564 | 589 | 441 | |||||||||
Foreclosed property expense (income) |
448 | 194 | (13 | ) | ||||||||
Credit-related expenses |
$ | 5,012 | $ | 783 | $ | 428 | ||||||
For the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2007 | 2006(1) | 2005(1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amount | Ratio(2) | Amount | Ratio(2) | Amount | Ratio(2) | |||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Charge-offs, net of recoveries |
$ | 2,032 | 8.0 | bp | $ | 454 | 2.0 | bp | $ | 462 | 2.1 | bp | ||||||||||||
Foreclosed property expense (income) |
448 | 1.8 | 194 | 0.8 | (13 | ) | (0.1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Less: SOP 03-3 fair value losses(3) |
(1,364 | ) | (5.4 | ) | (204 | ) | (0.9 | ) | (251 | ) | (1.1 | ) | ||||||||||||
Plus: Impact of SOP 03-3 on charge-offs and foreclosed property expense(4) |
223 | 0.9 | 73 | 0.3 | 40 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||||||
Credit losses(5) |
$ | 1,339 | 5.3 | bp | $ | 517 | 2.2 | bp | $ | 238 | 1.1 | bp | ||||||||||||
As of December 31, | ||||||||
2007 | 2006 | |||||||
ASSETS
|
||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents (includes cash equivalents pledged as
collateral that may be sold or repledged of $215 as of
December 31, 2006)
|
$ | 3,941 | $ | 3,239 | ||||
Restricted cash
|
561 | 733 | ||||||
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
49,041 | 12,681 | ||||||
Investments in securities:
|
||||||||
Trading, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of $40,458 and
$11,070 as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively)
|
63,956 | 11,514 | ||||||
Available-for-sale, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of
$138,943 and $185,608 as of December 31, 2007 and 2006,
respectively)
|
293,557 | 378,598 | ||||||
Total investments in securities
|
357,513 | 390,112 | ||||||
Mortgage loans:
|
||||||||
Loans held for sale, at lower of cost or market
|
7,008 | 4,868 | ||||||
Loans held for investment, at amortized cost
|
397,214 | 379,027 | ||||||
Allowance for loan losses
|
(698 | ) | (340 | ) | ||||
Total loans held for investment, net of allowance
|
396,516 | 378,687 | ||||||
Total mortgage loans
|
403,524 | 383,555 | ||||||
Advances to lenders
|
12,377 | 6,163 | ||||||
Accrued interest receivable
|
3,812 | 3,672 | ||||||
Acquired property, net
|
3,602 | 2,141 | ||||||
Derivative assets at fair value
|
2,797 | 4,931 | ||||||
Guaranty assets
|
9,666 | 7,692 | ||||||
Deferred tax assets
|
12,967 | 8,505 | ||||||
Partnership investments
|
11,000 | 10,571 | ||||||
Other assets
|
11,746 | 9,941 | ||||||
Total assets
|
$ | 882,547 | $ | 843,936 | ||||
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY
|
||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||
Accrued interest payable
|
$ | 7,512 | $ | 7,847 | ||||
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
869 | 700 | ||||||
Short-term debt
|
234,160 | 165,810 | ||||||
Long-term debt
|
562,139 | 601,236 | ||||||
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
3,417 | 1,184 | ||||||
Reserve for guaranty losses (includes $211 and $46 as of
December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively, related to Fannie
Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
|
2,693 | 519 | ||||||
Guaranty obligations (includes $661 and $390 as of
December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively, related to Fannie
Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
|
15,393 | 11,145 | ||||||
Partnership liabilities
|
3,824 | 3,695 | ||||||
Other liabilities
|
8,422 | 10,158 | ||||||
Total liabilities
|
838,429 | 802,294 | ||||||
Minority interests in consolidated subsidiaries
|
107 | 136 | ||||||
Commitments and contingencies (see Note 20)
|
| | ||||||
Stockholders Equity:
|
||||||||
Preferred stock, 700,000,000 and 200,000,000 shares
authorized as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively;
466,375,000 and 132,175,000 shares issued and outstanding
as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively
|
16,913 | 9,108 | ||||||
Common stock, no par value, no maximum
authorization1,129,090,420 shares issued as of
December 31, 2007 and 2006; 974,104,578 shares and
972,110,681 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2007
and 2006, respectively
|
593 | 593 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital
|
1,831 | 1,942 | ||||||
Retained earnings
|
33,548 | 37,955 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
|
(1,362 | ) | (445 | ) | ||||
Treasury stock, at cost, 154,985,842 shares and
156,979,739 shares as of December 31, 2007 and 2006,
respectively
|
(7,512 | ) | (7,647 | ) | ||||
Total stockholders equity
|
44,011 | 41,506 | ||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
$ | 882,547 | $ | 843,936 | ||||
For the Year Ended |
||||||||||||
December 31, | ||||||||||||
2007 | 2006 | 2005 | ||||||||||
Interest income:
|
||||||||||||
Trading securities
|
$ | 2,051 | $ | 688 | $ | 1,244 | ||||||
Available-for-sale securities
|
19,442 | 21,359 | 22,509 | |||||||||
Mortgage loans
|
22,218 | 20,804 | 20,688 | |||||||||
Other
|
1,055 | 776 | 403 | |||||||||
Total interest income
|
44,766 | 43,627 | 44,844 | |||||||||
Interest expense:
|
||||||||||||
Short-term debt
|
8,999 | 7,736 | 6,562 | |||||||||
Long-term debt
|
31,186 | 29,139 | 26,777 | |||||||||
Total interest expense
|
40,185 | 36,875 | 33,339 | |||||||||
Net interest income
|
4,581 | 6,752 | 11,505 | |||||||||
Guaranty fee income (includes imputed interest of $1,278, $1,081
and $803 for 2007, 2006 and 2005, respectively)
|
5,071 | 4,250 | 4,006 | |||||||||
Losses on certain guaranty contracts
|
(1,424 | ) | (439 | ) | (146 | ) | ||||||
Trust management income
|
588 | 111 | | |||||||||
Investment losses, net
|
(1,232 | ) | (683 | ) | (1,334 | ) | ||||||
Derivatives fair value losses, net
|
(4,113 | ) | (1,522 | ) | (4,196 | ) | ||||||
Debt extinguishment gains (losses), net
|
(47 | ) | 201 | (68 | ) | |||||||
Losses from partnership investments
|
(1,005 | ) | (865 | ) | (849 | ) | ||||||
Fee and other income
|
751 | 672 | 1,445 | |||||||||
Non-interest income (loss)
|
(1,411 | ) | 1,725 | (1,142 | ) | |||||||
Administrative expenses:
|
||||||||||||
Salaries and employee benefits
|
1,370 | 1,219 | 959 | |||||||||
Professional services
|
851 | 1,393 | 792 | |||||||||
Occupancy expenses
|
263 | 263 | 221 | |||||||||
Other administrative expenses
|
185 | 201 | 143 | |||||||||
Total administrative expenses
|
2,669 | 3,076 | 2,115 | |||||||||
Minority interest in earnings (losses) of consolidated
subsidiaries
|
(21 | ) | 10 | (2 | ) | |||||||
Provision for credit losses
|
4,564 | 589 | 441 | |||||||||
Foreclosed property expense (income)
|
448 | 194 | (13 | ) | ||||||||
Other expenses
|
636 | 395 | 251 | |||||||||
Total expenses
|
8,296 | 4,264 | 2,792 | |||||||||
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and extraordinary
gains (losses)
|
(5,126 | ) | 4,213 | 7,571 | ||||||||
Provision (benefit) for federal income taxes
|
(3,091 | ) | 166 | 1,277 | ||||||||
Income (loss) before extraordinary gains (losses)
|
(2,035 | ) | 4,047 | 6,294 | ||||||||
Extraordinary gains (losses), net of tax effect
|
(15 | ) | 12 | 53 | ||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
$ | (2,050 | ) | $ | 4,059 | $ | 6,347 | |||||
Preferred stock dividends and issuance costs at redemption
|
(513 | ) | (511 | ) | (486 | ) | ||||||
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders
|
$ | (2,563 | ) | $ | 3,548 | $ | 5,861 | |||||
Basic earnings (loss) per share:
|
||||||||||||
Earnings (losses) before extraordinary gains (losses)
|
$ | (2.62 | ) | $ | 3.64 | $ | 5.99 | |||||
Extraordinary gains (losses), net of tax effect
|
(0.01 | ) | 0.01 | 0.05 | ||||||||
Basic earnings (loss) per share
|
$ | (2.63 | ) | $ | 3.65 | $ | 6.04 | |||||
Diluted earnings (loss) per share:
|
||||||||||||
Earnings (losses) before extraordinary gains (losses)
|
$ | (2.62 | ) | $ | 3.64 | $ | 5.96 | |||||
Extraordinary gains (losses), net of tax effect
|
(0.01 | ) | 0.01 | 0.05 | ||||||||
Diluted earnings (loss) per share
|
$ | (2.63 | ) | $ | 3.65 | $ | 6.01 | |||||
Cash dividends per common share
|
$ | 1.90 | $ | 1.18 | $ | 1.04 | ||||||
Weighted-average common shares outstanding:
|
||||||||||||
Basic
|
973 | 971 | 970 | |||||||||
Diluted
|
973 | 972 | 998 |
For the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
2007 | 2006 | 2005 | ||||||||||
Cash flows provided by operating activities:
|
||||||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
$ | (2,050 | ) | $ | 4,059 | $ | 6,347 | |||||
Reconciliation of net income (loss) to net cash provided by
operating activities:
|
||||||||||||
Amortization of investment cost basis adjustments
|
(391 | ) | (324 | ) | (56 | ) | ||||||
Amortization of debt cost basis adjustments
|
9,775 | 8,587 | 7,179 | |||||||||
Provision for credit losses
|
4,564 | 589 | 441 | |||||||||
Valuation losses
|
612 | 707 | 1,394 | |||||||||
Debt extinguishment (gains) losses, net
|
47 | (201 | ) | 68 | ||||||||
Debt foreign currency transaction (gains) losses, net
|
190 | 230 | (625 | ) | ||||||||
Losses on certain guaranty contracts
|
1,424 | 439 | 146 | |||||||||
Losses from partnership investments
|
1,005 | 865 | 849 | |||||||||
Current and deferred federal income taxes
|
(3,465 | ) | (609 | ) | 79 | |||||||
Extraordinary (gains) losses, net of tax effect
|
15 | (12 | ) | (53 | ) | |||||||
Derivatives fair value adjustments
|
4,289 | 561 | 826 | |||||||||
Purchases of loans held for sale
|
(34,047 | ) | (28,356 | ) | (26,562 | ) | ||||||
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for sale
|
594 | 606 | 1,307 | |||||||||
Proceeds from sales of loans held for sale
|
| | 51 | |||||||||
Net decrease in trading securities, excluding non-cash transfers
|
62,699 | 47,343 | 86,637 | |||||||||
Net change in:
|
||||||||||||
Guaranty assets
|
(5 | ) | (278 | ) | (1,143 | ) | ||||||
Guaranty obligations
|
(630 | ) | (857 | ) | (124 | ) | ||||||
Other, net
|
(1,677 | ) | (1,680 | ) | 1,380 | |||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
42,949 | 31,669 | 78,141 | |||||||||
Cash flows (used in) provided by investing activities:
|
||||||||||||
Purchases of available-for-sale securities
|
(126,200 | ) | (218,620 | ) | (117,826 | ) | ||||||
Proceeds from maturities of available-for-sale securities
|
123,462 | 163,863 | 169,734 | |||||||||
Proceeds from sales of available-for-sale securities
|
76,055 | 84,348 | 117,713 | |||||||||
Purchases of loans held for investment
|
(76,549 | ) | (62,770 | ) | (57,840 | ) | ||||||
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for investment
|
56,617 | 70,548 | 99,943 | |||||||||
Advances to lenders
|
(79,186 | ) | (47,957 | ) | (69,505 | ) | ||||||
Net proceeds from disposition of acquired property
|
1,129 | 2,642 | 3,725 | |||||||||
Contributions to partnership investments
|
(3,059 | ) | (2,341 | ) | (1,829 | ) | ||||||
Proceeds from partnership investments
|
1,043 | 295 | 329 | |||||||||
Net change in federal funds sold and securities purchased under
agreements to resell
|
(38,926 | ) | (3,781 | ) | (5,040 | ) | ||||||
Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities
|
(65,614 | ) | (13,773 | ) | 139,404 | |||||||
Cash flows provided by (used in) financing activities:
|
||||||||||||
Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt
|
1,743,852 | 2,196,078 | 2,578,152 | |||||||||
Payments to redeem short-term debt
|
(1,687,570 | ) | (2,221,719 | ) | (2,750,912 | ) | ||||||
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
|
193,238 | 179,371 | 156,336 | |||||||||
Payments to redeem long-term debt
|
(232,978 | ) | (169,578 | ) | (197,914 | ) | ||||||
Repurchase of common and preferred stock
|
(1,105 | ) | (3 | ) | | |||||||
Proceeds from issuance of common and preferred stock
|
8,846 | 22 | 29 | |||||||||
Payment of cash dividends on common and preferred stock
|
(2,483 | ) | (1,650 | ) | (1,376 | ) | ||||||
Net change in federal funds purchased and securities sold under
agreements to repurchase
|
1,561 | (5 | ) | (1,695 | ) | |||||||
Excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation
|
6 | 7 | | |||||||||
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
|
23,367 | (17,477 | ) | (217,380 | ) | |||||||
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
|
702 | 419 | 165 | |||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
|
3,239 | 2,820 | 2,655 | |||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
|
$ | 3,941 | $ | 3,239 | $ | 2,820 | ||||||
Cash paid during the period for:
|
||||||||||||
Interest
|
$ | 40,645 | $ | 34,488 | $ | 32,491 | ||||||
Income taxes
|
1,888 | 768 | 1,197 | |||||||||
Non-cash activities:
|
||||||||||||
Securitization-related transfers from mortgage loans held for
sale to investments in securities
|
$ | 27,707 | $ | 25,924 | $ | 23,769 | ||||||
Net transfers of loans held for sale to loans held for investment
|
4,271 | 1,961 | 3,208 | |||||||||
Net deconsolidation transfers from mortgage loans held for sale
to investments in securities
|
(260 | ) | 79 | 5,086 | ||||||||
Transfers from advances to lenders to investments in securities
|
71,801 | 45,216 | 69,605 | |||||||||
Net consolidation-related transfers from investments in
securities to mortgage loans held for investment
|
(7,365 | ) | 12,747 | (11,568 | ) | |||||||
Net mortgage loans acquired by assuming debt
|
2,756 | 9,810 | 18,790 | |||||||||
Transfers from mortgage loans to acquired property, net
|
3,025 | 2,962 | 3,699 |
Accumulated |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Additional |
Other |
Total |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shares Outstanding |
Preferred |
Common |
Paid-In |
Retained |
Comprehensive |
Treasury |
Stockholders |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred | Common | Stock | Stock | Capital | Earnings | Income (Loss)(1) | Stock | Equity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of January 1, 2005
|
132 | 969 | $ | 9,108 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,982 | $ | 30,705 | $ | 4,387 | $ | (7,873 | ) | $ | 38,902 | |||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income
|
| | | | | 6,347 | | | 6,347 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities (net of tax
of $2,238)
|
| | | | | | (4,156 | ) | | (4,156 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net income
(net of tax of $233)
|
| | | | | | (432 | ) | | (432 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups (net
of tax of $39)
|
| | | | | | 72 | | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net cash flow hedging losses (net of
tax of $2) |
| | | | | | (4 | ) | | (4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Minimum pension liability (net of
tax of $1) |
| | | | | | 2 | | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive income
|
1,829 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock dividends ($1.04 per share)
|
| | | | | (1,011 | ) | | | (1,011 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock dividends
|
| | | | | (486 | ) | | | (486 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury stock issued for stock options and benefit plans
|
| 2 | | | (69 | ) | | | 137 | 68 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of December 31, 2005
|
132 | 971 | 9,108 | 593 | 1,913 | 35,555 | (131 | ) | (7,736 | ) | 39,302 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income
|
| | | | | 4,059 | | | 4,059 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities (net of tax
of $73)
|
| | | | | | (135 | ) | | (135 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net income
(net of tax of $77)
|
| | | | | | (143 | ) | | (143 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups (net
of tax of $23)
|
| | | | | | 43 | | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net cash flow hedging losses (net of
tax of $2) |
| | | | | | (3 | ) | | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Minimum pension liability (net of
tax of $2) |
| | | | | | 4 | | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive income
|
3,825 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjustment to apply SFAS 158 (net of tax of $55)
|
| | | | | | (80 | ) | | (80 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock dividends ($1.18 per share)
|
| | | | | (1,148 | ) | | | (1,148 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock dividends
|
| | | | | (511 | ) | | | (511 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury stock issued for stock options and benefit plans
|
| 1 | | | 29 | | | 89 | 118 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of December 31, 2006
|
132 | 972 | 9,108 | 593 | 1,942 | 37,955 | (445 | ) | (7,647 | ) | 41,506 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative effect from the adoption of FIN 48, net of tax
|
| | | | | 4 | | | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of January 1, 2007, adjusted
|
132 | 972 | 9,108 | 593 | 1,942 | 37,959 | (445 | ) | (7,647 | ) | 41,510 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive loss:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss
|
| | | | | (2,050 | ) | | | (2,050 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax effect:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities (net of tax
of $293)
|
| | | | | | (544 | ) | | (544 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net income
(net of tax of $282)
|
| | | | | | (523 | ) | | (523 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee
buy-ups (net
of tax of $13)
|
| | | | | | 25 | | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net cash flow hedging losses (net of
tax of $2) |
| | | | | | (3 | ) | | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior service cost and actuarial gains, net of amortization for
defined benefit plans (net of tax of $73)
|
| | | | | | 128 | | 128 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total comprehensive loss
|
(2,967 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock dividends ($1.90 per share)
|
| | | | | (1,858 | ) | | | (1,858 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock dividends
|
| | | | | (503 | ) | | | (503 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock issued
|
356 | | 8,905 | | (94 | ) | | | | 8,811 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred stock redeemed
|
(22 | ) | | (1,100 | ) | | | | | | (1,100 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Treasury stock issued for stock options and benefit plans
|
| 2 | | | (17 | ) | | | 135 | 118 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance as of December 31, 2007
|
466 | 974 | $ | 16,913 | $ | 593 | $ | 1,831 | $ | 33,548 | $ | (1,362 | ) | $ | (7,512 | ) | $ | 44,011 | ||||||||||||||||||
(1) | Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) is comprised of $1,644 million, $577 million and $300 million in net unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities, net of tax, and $282 million, $132 million and $169 million in net unrealized gains on all other components, net of tax, as of December 31, 2007, 2006 and 2005, respectively. |
Non-GAAP Supplemental Consolidated Fair Value Balance Sheets(1) |
As of December 31, 2007 | As of December 31, 2006 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP |
GAAP |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
Carrying |
Fair Value |
Estimated |
Carrying |
Fair Value |
Estimated |
|||||||||||||||||||
Value | Adjustment(1) | Fair Value | Value | Adjustment(1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assets:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents
|
$ | 4,502 | $ | | $ | 4,502 | (2) | $ | 3,972 | $ | | $ | 3,972 | (2) | ||||||||||
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell
|
49,041 | | 49,041 | (2) | 12,681 | | 12,681 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Trading securities
|
63,956 | | 63,956 | (2) | 11,514 | | 11,514 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Available-for-sale securities
|
293,557 | | 293,557 | (2) | 378,598 | | 378,598 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for sale
|
7,008 | 75 | 7,083 | (3) | 4,868 | 9 | 4,877 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan
losses
|
396,516 | 70 | 396,586 | (3) | 378,687 | (2,918 | ) | 375,769 | (3) | |||||||||||||||
Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
| 3,983 | 3,983 | (3)(4) | | 3,669 | 3,669 | (3)(4) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio
|
| (4,747 | ) | (4,747 | )(3)(4) | | (2,831 | ) | (2,831 | )(3)(4) | ||||||||||||||
Total mortgage loans
|
403,524 | (619 | ) | 402,905 | (2)(3) | 383,555 | (2,071 | ) | 381,484 | (2)(3) | ||||||||||||||
Advances to lenders
|
12,377 | (328 | ) | 12,049 | (2) | 6,163 | (152 | ) | 6,011 | (2) | ||||||||||||||
Derivative assets at fair value
|
2,797 | | 2,797 | (2) | 4,931 | | 4,931 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty assets and
buy-ups
|
10,610 | 3,648 | 14,258 | (2)(4) | 8,523 | 3,737 | 12,260 | (2)(4) | ||||||||||||||||
Total financial assets
|
840,364 | 2,701 | 843,065 | (2) | 809,937 | 1,514 | 811,451 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Master servicing assets and credit enhancements
|
1,783 | 2,844 | 4,627 | (4)(5) | 1,624 | 1,063 | 2,687 | (4)(5) | ||||||||||||||||
Other assets
|
40,400 | 5,418 | 45,818 | (5)(6) | 32,375 | (150 | ) | 32,225 | (5)(6) | |||||||||||||||
Total assets
|
$ | 882,547 | $ | 10,963 | $ | 893,510 | $ | 843,936 | $ | 2,427 | $ | 846,363 | ||||||||||||
Liabilities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to
repurchase
|
$ | 869 | $ | | $ | 869 | (2) | $ | 700 | $ | | $ | 700 | (2) | ||||||||||
Short-term debt
|
234,160 | 208 | 234,368 | (2) | 165,810 | (63 | ) | 165,747 | (2) | |||||||||||||||
Long-term debt
|
562,139 | 18,194 | 580,333 | (2) | 601,236 | 5,358 | 606,594 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities at fair value
|
3,417 | | 3,417 | (2) | 1,184 | | 1,184 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Guaranty obligations
|
15,393 | 5,156 | 20,549 | (2) | 11,145 | (2,960 | ) | 8,185 | (2) | |||||||||||||||
Total financial liabilities
|
815,978 | 23,558 | 839,536 | (2) | 780,075 | 2,335 | 782,410 | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities
|
22,451 | (4,383 | ) | 18,068 | (7) | 22,219 | (2,101 | ) | 20,118 | (7) | ||||||||||||||
Total liabilities
|
838,429 | 19,175 | 857,604 | 802,294 | 234 | 802,528 | ||||||||||||||||||
Minority interests in consolidated subsidiaries
|
107 | | 107 | 136 | | 136 | ||||||||||||||||||
Stockholders Equity:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred
|
16,913 | (1,565 | ) | 15,348 | (8) | 9,108 | (90 | ) | 9,018 | (8) | ||||||||||||||
Common
|
27,098 | (6,647 | ) | 20,451 | (9) | 32,398 | 2,283 | 34,681 | (9) | |||||||||||||||
Total stockholders equity/non-GAAP fair value of net
assets
|
$ | 44,011 | $ | (8,212 | ) | $ | 35,799 | $ | 41,506 | $ | 2,193 | $ | 43,699 | (10) | ||||||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
$ | 882,547 | $ | 10,963 | $ | 893,510 | $ | 843,936 | $ | 2,427 | $ | 846,363 | ||||||||||||
(1) | Each of the amounts listed as a fair value adjustment represents the difference between the carrying value included in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets and our best judgment of the estimated fair value of the listed item. | |
(2) | We determined the estimated fair value of these financial instruments in accordance with the fair value guidelines outlined in SFAS No. 107, Disclosures about Fair Value of Financial Instruments (SFAS 107), as described in Notes to Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 19, Fair Value of Financial Instruments. In Note 19, we also |
disclose the carrying value and estimated fair value of our total financial assets and total financial liabilities as well as discuss the methodologies and assumptions we use in estimating the fair value of our financial instruments. | ||
(3) | We have separately presented the estimated fair value of Mortgage loans held for sale, Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses, Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio and Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio, which, taken together, represent total mortgage loans reported in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets. In order to present the fair value of our guaranties in these non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets, we have separated (i) the embedded fair value of the guaranty assets, based on the terms of our intra-company guaranty fee allocation arrangement, and the embedded fair value of the obligation from (ii) the fair value of the mortgage loans held for sale and the mortgage loans held for investment. We believe this presentation provides transparency into the components of the fair value of the mortgage loans associated with the activities of our guaranty businesses and the components of the activities of our capital markets business, which is consistent with the way we manage risks and allocate revenues and expenses for segment reporting purposes. While the carrying values and estimated fair values of the individual line items may differ from the amounts presented in Note 19 of the Consolidated Financial Statements, the combined amounts together equal the carrying value and estimated fair value amounts of total mortgage loans in Note 19 of the Consolidated Financial Statements. | |
(4) | In our GAAP consolidated balance sheets, we report the guaranty assets associated with our outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other guaranties as a separate line item and include buy-ups, master servicing assets and credit enhancements associated with our guaranty assets in Other assets. The GAAP carrying value of our guaranty assets reflects only those guaranty arrangements entered into subsequent to our adoption of FIN No. 45, Guarantors Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others (an interpretation of FASB Statements No. 5, 57, and 107 and rescission of FIN No. 34) (FIN 45), on January 1, 2003. On a GAAP basis, our guaranty assets totaled $9.7 billion and $7.7 billion as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The associated buy-ups totaled $944 million and $831 million as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. In our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets, we also disclose the estimated guaranty assets and obligations related to mortgage loans held in our portfolio. The aggregate estimated fair value of the guaranty asset-related components totaled $18.1 billion and $15.8 billion as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. These components represent the sum of the following line items in this table: (i) Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio; (ii) Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio, (iii) Guaranty assets and buy-ups; and (iv) Master servicing assets and credit enhancements. | |
(5) | The line items Master servicing assets and credit enhancements and Other assets together consist of the assets presented on the following five line items in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest receivable; (ii) Acquired property, net; (iii) Deferred tax assets; (iv) Partnership investments; and (v) Other assets. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets together totaled $43.1 billion and $34.8 billion as of December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. We deduct the carrying value of the buy-ups associated with our guaranty obligation, which totaled $944 million and $831 million as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively, from Other assets reported in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets because buy-ups are a financial instrument that we combine with guaranty assets in our SFAS 107 disclosure in Note 19. We have estimated the fair value of master servicing assets and credit enhancements based on our fair value methodologies discussed in Note 19. | |
(6) |
With the exception of partnership
investments and deferred tax assets, the GAAP carrying values of
other assets generally approximate fair value. While we have
included partnership investments at their carrying value in each
of the non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance
sheets, the fair values of these items are generally different
from their GAAP carrying values, potentially materially. Our
LIHTC partnership investments included in partnership
investments had a carrying value of $8.1 billion and
$8.8 billion and an estimated fair value of
$9.3 billion and $10.0 billion as of December 31,
2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. We assume that
certain other assets, consisting primarily of prepaid expenses,
have no fair value. Our GAAP-basis deferred tax assets are described in Notes to Consolidated Financial StatementsNote 11, Income Taxes. We adjust the GAAP-basis deferred income taxes for purposes of each of our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets to include estimated income taxes on the difference between our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets net assets, including deferred taxes from the GAAP consolidated balance sheets, and our GAAP consolidated balance sheets stockholders equity. Because our adjusted deferred income taxes are a net asset in each year, the amounts are included in our non-GAAP fair value balance sheets as a component of other assets. |
|
(7) | The line item Other liabilities consists of the liabilities presented on the following four line items in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest payable; (ii) Reserve for guaranty losses; (iii) Partnership liabilities; and (iv) Other liabilities. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets together totaled $22.5 billion and $22.2 billion as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The GAAP carrying values of these other liabilities generally approximate fair value. We assume that certain other liabilities, such as deferred revenues, have no fair value. | |
(8) | Preferred stockholders equity is reflected in our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets at the estimated fair value amount. | |
(9) | Common stockholders equity consists of the stockholders equity components presented on the following five line items in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets: (i) Common stock; (ii) Additional paid-in capital; (iii) Retained earnings; (iv) Accumulated other comprehensive loss; and (v) Treasury stock, at cost. Common stockholders equity is the residual of the excess of the estimated fair value of total assets over the estimated fair value of total liabilities, after taking into consideration preferred stockholders equity and minority interest in consolidated subsidiaries. | |
(10) | The previously reported fair value of our net assets was $42.9 billion as of December 31, 2006. This amount reflected our LIHTC partnership investments based on the carrying amount of these investments. We revised the previously reported fair value of our net assets as of December 31, 2006 to reflect the estimated fair value of these investments. This revision increased the fair value of our net assets by $798 million to $43.7 billion as of December 31, 2006. |
February 27, 2008 Fannie Mae 2007 10-K Investor Summary Exhibit 99.2 |
These materials present tables and other information about Fannie Mae, including information contained in Fannie Mae's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. These materials should be reviewed together with the 2007 10-K, copies of which are available on the company's Web site at www.fanniemae.com under the "Investor Relations" section of the Web site. More complete information about Fannie Mae, its business, business segments, financial condition and results of operations is contained in its 2007 Forms 10-K, which also includes more detailed explanations and additional information relating to the information contained in this presentation. Footnotes to the included tables have been omitted. |
Disclaimer/Safe Harbor This presentation includes forward-looking statements, including statements relating to our future capital position, financial performance and condition, ability to take advantage of business opportunities, market share and credit losses; our strategy; the fair value of our net assets; and our expectations regarding the housing, credit and mortgage markets and our future credit loss ratio. Future results may differ materially from what is indicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to, greater than expected delinquencies and credit losses on the mortgages we hold or guaranty; impairments, delinquencies and losses on subprime and Alt-A mortgage loans that back our private-label mortgage-related securities investments; further declines in home prices in excess of our current expectations; a recession or other economic downturn; a default by one or more of our significant institutional counterparties on its obligations to us; the loss of business volume from any of our key lender customers; widening of credit spreads; and changes in interest rates, as well as others described in the "Risk Factors" sections in Fannie Mae's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, and in its reports on SEC Form 8-K. Other terms used but not defined in this presentation may be defined in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. |
2007 results accurately reflect the most severe housing dislocation in decades. The market did provide opportunities for Fannie Mae, particularly in our guaranty business. Our primary focus is protecting our capital, mitigating losses and taking steps to emerge from the crisis on solid footing. We are well-positioned to continue our vital role and mission, but expect another very tough year. Despite market challenges, have continued to meet key milestones. Met all obligations under Consent Agreement. 1 |
Consolidated Financial Results 2 |
Net Interest Income/Yield Net interest income significantly lower as net interest yield declines. Net interest yield increased modestly in Q4 2007 due to lower debt costs. Reclassification of float income to trust management income beginning in November 2006, reduced net interest yield by 7 bps in 2007. Full Year Sequential Quarters 85 bps 57 bps 52 bps 3 58 bps Net Interest Income ($mm) $6,752 $4,581 $1,058 $1,136 |
Guaranty Fee Income Certain prior period amounts previously included as a component of "fee and other income" have been reclassified to "guaranty fee income" to conform to the current period presentation Accretion of previously recognized losses on certain guaranty contracts increased guaranty fee income by $603 million in 2007 and $329 million in 2006 Growth in guaranty fee income driven primarily by growth in outstanding MBS and an increase in average effective guaranty fee rate. Price increases go into effect on March 1, 2008 - expected to have approximately 10 bps positive impact on new business. 22.2 bps 23.7 bps 22.8 bps Full Year Sequential Quarters 4 28.5 bps Guaranty Fee Income ($mm) $4,250 $5,071 $1,232 $1,621 |
Net impact of losses on certain guaranty contracts increased to $821 million from $110 million, due to wider market credit spreads. In Q4, 2007, accretion of prior losses on certain guaranty contracts increased, substantially offsetting the impact of new losses on certain guaranty contracts. We expect these trends to continue in 2008. (1) Does not factor in amortization of credit enhancement expense recorded in other expenses Losses on Certain Guaranty Contracts 5 |
Investment Gains/(Losses), Net 6 Transaction related gains/losses effectively offset in 2007. Increase in losses on trading securities driven by credit spread widening, more than offsetting the positive effects of declining yields. Investment losses, net, increased in 2007. Key drivers included: |
Security Impairments At December 31, 2007, the company changed its intent to hold LIP and certain agency securities until they recovered, and accordingly recognized impairment of $620 million. These securities were transferred from available for sale (AFS) to trading on January 1, 2008 with our adoption of the fair value option. We recorded $160 million of other-than-temporary impairment on $1.7 billion of unpaid principal balance of subprime private-label securities classified as AFS because we concluded that we did not have the intent to hold to recovery or it was no longer probable that we would collect all of the contractual principal and interest amounts due. 7 |
Effect on Earnings of Significant Market-Based Valuation Adjustments Declines in interest rates Credit spreads widening and reduced levels of liquidity in the mortgage and credit markets, causing significant losses Developed work-out option not requiring the purchase of loans from trusts and working on other options Increasing guaranty fee pricing Moving selected agency MBS to trading accounts Evaluating hedge accounting Fair Value Items 8 Principal reasons for fair value declines: Actions to reduce volatility associated with these items: |
Credit-Related Expenses/Credit Loss Performance Metrics Credit loss ratio (excluding the impact of SOP 03-3) increased to 5.3 bps from 2.2 bps A key driver of the increase in credit losses and expenses was weakness in the housing markets The company now expects a credit loss ratio in 2008 of 11 to 15 basis points, factoring in a significant increase in loan default and severity rates, and a significant increase in acquisitions of foreclosed properties, as well as a 5 to 7 percent nationwide decline in home prices. The company further expects there may also be significant regional differences in the rate of home price declines in 2008. 9 |
Losses on Loans Purchased from Trusts/Cure Rates Losses on loans purchased from trusts driven by an increase in number of loans purchased and a decrease in the fair value of loans. Cure rates may decline compared with 2006 rates. Re-performance Rates of Delinquent Single- Family Loans Purchased from MBS Trusts Full Year Sequential Quarter 95% 77% 72% 70% 10 (1) Includes value of primary mortgage insurance |
Management Actions on Credit 11 Tightening underwriting standards / reduced participation in riskier segments Tightened eligibility requirements on riskier business Increasing FICOs, lowering LTVs and increasing documentation requirements Limiting maximum financing available in declining markets Significant reduction in Alt-A acquisitions Increased loss mitigation efforts Increased focus on work-outs Encourage servicers to ramp up workouts and outreach programs to delinquent borrowers We purchased credit enhancement on riskier loans We actively monitor our counterparties. Have enhanced collateral requirements. Credit enhancement providers Servicers |
Change in Estimated Fair Value of Net Assets (Non-GAAP) 12 Fair value of net assets, excluding capital transactions, declined by $13.4 billion. Key drivers included: $6.5 billion decline in fair value of net guaranty assets, including tax-related assets, driven primarily by the market's anticipation of further deterioration of mortgage credit. Widening of mortgage-to-debt spreads caused a decline of approximately $9.4 billion in the fair value of our net portfolio. Economic earnings of the company and changes in fair value of other assets The estimated fair value of our net assets (non-GAAP) represents the estimated fair value of total assets less the estimated fair value of total liabilities. We reconcile the estimated fair value of our net assets (non-GAAP) to total stockholders' equity (GAAP) in Appendix II (pg 35). (1) We revised the previously reported fair value of our net assets as of December 31, 2006 to conform to the current presentation, in which LIHTC partnership investments are reflected at fair value. The previously reported fair value of our net assets as of December 31, 2006 reflected the carrying amount of these investments. (Dollars in Millions) |
2007 Q4 Capital Surplus - Sources and Uses of Excess Capital 13 At year-end 2007, Fannie Mae had a $3.9 billion capital surplus relative to the OFHEO-directed minimum capital requirement. Fannie Mae increased investment in our liquid investments and mortgage portfolio in Q4, consuming some of our capital surplus. Fannie Mae has the ability to manage the size of its liquid investment portfolio (LIP) or mortgage portfolio for additional capital flexibility. Return of Capital Investment Note: Q4 2007 capital surplus is a Fannie Mae estimate, and has not been certified by OFHEO |
Capital Position 14 Note: YE 2007 core capital is a Fannie Mae estimate, and has not been certified by OFHEO |
APPENDIX I - Credit |
Home Price Growth Rate in the U.S. - Fannie Mae Index 15 - -5% to -7% Forecast Based upon the Fannie Mae home price index. Growth rates are from period-end to period-end. 2006 H1 and H2 growth rates are not annualized. Note: Using the Case Shiller weighting method, our forecasted home price decline would be 7-9% (vs. 5-7%). |
16 Source: Fannie Mae |
New Business - reduced eligibility and increased price Credit loss mitigation Increased focus on workouts Fannie Mae employees on site with most major servicers National REO Disposition Center in Dallas, built during California mid-90's housing recession, continues to use its experience to manage servicer relationships and facilitates workouts Manage counterparty risk positions Strengthening contractual protections Requiring additional collateral from some counterparties New limits on business with some counterparties Increased depth and frequency of monitoring Focus on Minimizing Credit Losses Credit Risk Management 17 |
Counterparty Exposure 18 |
Credit Loss Rate/Delinquency Rates Higher credit loss ratio primarily due to worsening decline in home prices, particularly in the Midwest, California, Florida, Nevada, and Arizona, and economic weakness in the Midwest. Our credit loss ratio excludes the impact of SOP 03-3 Fannie Mae expects credit losses to rise to 11-15 bps in 2008, factoring in a significant increase in loan default and severity rates, and a significant increase in acquisitions of foreclosed properties, as well as a 5 to 7 percent nationwide decline in home prices * Note: Credit loss ratio is defined as [Net charge-offs (excluding impact of SOP 03-3) + Foreclosed Property Expense]/Average Guaranty Book of Business 19 |
Characteristics of Fannie Mae Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business Product Types* Occupancy* * Data as of December 31, 2007 December 31, 2007 December 31, 2007 Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business $2.5 Trillion Weighted Average FICO 721 Weighted Average Original LTV 72% Weighted Average MTM LTV 61% 90% Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 95 percent of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. 20 Long Term and Intermediate Term Fixed Rate 86% Other ARMs 5% IO ARM 5% IO Fixed 3% Negam 1% Primary Residence 90% Second/Vacation Home 4% Investor 6% |
Fannie Mae Subprime and Alt-A Exposure Total Exposure of $54.1 Billion Total Exposure of $350.6 Billion * Data as of December 31, 2007 Subprime $324.7B Alt-A 21 PLS Portfolio Investment $32.0 B PLS Wrap $13.8 B Purchased or Guaranteed Loans $8.3 B Purchased or Guaranteed Loans $317.5 B PLS Portfolio Investment $32.5 B PLS Wrap $0.6 B ($9.4 B Held in Portfolio) (None Held in Portfolio) |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Key Product Features Note: Categories are not mutually exclusive, so numbers are not additive across columns Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business 22 Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 95 percent of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. |
Single-Family delinquency rates by State and region 23 |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Vintage and Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business by Vintage 24 Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 95 percent of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. |
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by State Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Credit Book of Business by State 25 Certain data contained in this presentation are based upon information that Fannie Mae receives from third-party sources. Although Fannie Mae generally considers this information reliable, it does not guarantee that it is accurate or suitable for any particular purpose. Fannie Mae has access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 95 percent of our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business. |
Fannie Mae Subprime and Alt-A Exposure - Securities/Wraps As of February 22, 2008, all of our private-label mortgage-related securities backed by Alt-A mortgage loans were rated AAA and none had been downgraded. However, since the end of 2007 through February 22, 2008, approximately $1.3 billion of our Alt-A private label mortgage-related securities had been placed under review for possible credit downgrade or on negative watch. As of February 22, 2008, the credit ratings of several subprime private-label mortgage-related securities held in our portfolio with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $8.4 billion as of December 31, 2007 were downgraded below AAA of which $63 million or 0.2% of our total subprime securities had ratings below investment grade. Of the $8.4 billion that have been downgraded, $6.2 billion are on negative watch for further downgrade. In addition, approximately $10.2 billion or 32% of our subprime private-label mortgage-related securities had been placed under review for possible credit downgrade or are on negative watch as of February 22, 2008. 26 |
Home Price Growth/Decline and Fannie Mae Real Estate Owned (REO) in Key States On a national basis, REO net sales price compared with unpaid principal balance of mortgage loan has decreased from 93% in 2005 to 89% in 2006 to 78% in 2007, driving an increase in loss severity. Single-family REO and Home Price Statistics for Selected States 1 Based on Fannie Mae Internal HP Index 27 1 |
APPENDIX II - Other |
2007 Income Statement by Segment 28 (Dollars in Millions) (Dollars in Millions) |
2007 Net Revenues/Income by Segment 29 (Dollars in Millions) |
Changes in Risk Management Derivative Assets (Liabilities) at Fair Value, Net 30 (2) Reflects net of derivatives assets at fair value and derivative liabilities at fair value, as recorded in our condensed consolidated statement of operations, excluding mortgage commitments. (1) The original fair value at termination and related weighted average life in years at termination for those contracts with original scheduled maturities during or after 2007 and 2006 were $12.5 billion and 15.2 years and $13.9 billion and 9.7 years, respectively. Money spent to purchase option Money spent to terminate swaps Swap Accruals |
Fee and Other Income 31 Foreign currency translation losses are offset by corresponding net gains on foreign currency swaps, which are recognized in "Derivatives fair value gains (losses), net". |
Note: Credit loss ratio for all periods excludes the impact of SOP 03-3, which requires that loans purchased out of MBS trusts be marked to fair value at the time of acquisition. Selected Financial and Operating Statistics 32 Refer to 2007 10-K, Item 6 for definitions of ratios in above table |
Mortgage Securities - Held For Trading *$ amounts in billions **gains/(losses) pre-tax Product UPB 12.31.2007 Fair Value Adoption 01.01.2008 Total Spread Sensitivity (OAS +1 bp) Rate Sensitivity (+ 1 bp) Fixed Rate MBS 21.5 18.3 39.8 (0.014) (0.012) ARM MBS 7.4 0.0 7.4 (0.002) (0.001) Agency CMO 14.2 0.0 14.2 (0.005) (0.003) PLS 10.0 0.0 10.0 (0.002) (0.001) CMBS 11.0 0.0 11.0 (0.007) (0.007) Muni 0.8 0.0 0.8 (0.001) (0.001) Total Assets 64.8 18.3 83.1 (0.031) (0.025) Derivatives 881.0 - 881.0 - 0.048 Net (0.031) 0.023 33 |
Option Adjusted Spreads (OAS) - Lehman 34 +260 bps YOY Change +82 bps +27 bps +26 bps Source: LehmanLive(r) |
35 The following sets forth a reconciliation of the estimated fair value of our net assets (non-GAAP) to total stockholders' equity (GAAP). A more detailed reconciliation is contained in Table 33 of the 2007 Form 10-K. (1) Represents fair value increase of $11.0 billion to total assets of $893.5 billion less a fair value increase of $19.2 billion to total liabilities of $857.6 billion. (2) Represents fair value increase of $2.4 billion to total assets of $846.4 billion, plus a fair value increase of $0.2 billion to total liabilities of $802.5 billion. (Dollars in millions) Estimated Fair Value of Net Assets, net of tax effect (non-GAAP)............................... Fair value adjustments................................. Total Stockholders' Equity (GAAP)...................... As of December 31, 2007 2006 $ 35,799 8,212 $ 44,011 $ 43,699 (2,193) $ 41,506 (1) (2) |