MONTHLY SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTS

JANUARY 2008

Ø	OFHEO announced that on March 1, 2008, it will remove the portfolio growth cap that it previously imposed on Fannie Mae.
Ø	Fannie Mae’s Book of Business grew at a compound annualized rate of 9.0 percent in January.
Ø	Fannie Mae MBS and Other Guarantees rose at a compound annualized rate of 11.1 percent during the month.
Ø	Total Fannie Mae MBS Issuances were $49.1 billion in January.
Ø	Net Retained Commitments were $6.3 billion in January.
Ø	The conventional Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rate rose eight basis points in December to 0.98 percent (latest data available). The Multifamily Serious Delinquency Rate remained stable at 0.08 percent in December.
Ø	The Effective Duration Gap on Fannie Mae’s portfolio averaged plus one month in January.

MORTGAGE MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

Ø	According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey, the monthly average level of the conventional refinance applications index surged by 84 percent during January to the highest level recorded since March 2004.

 

 

TABLE 2. PORTFOLIO COMMITMENTS ($ in Millions) ¹

TABLE 3. GROSS MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO ($ in Millions)¹

		Commitments				Commitments				Net Retained
		to Purchase, Net				to Sell				Commitments
January 2007		$	23,208			$	(22,133	)		$	1,075
February 2007			23,233				(13,256	)			9,977
March 2007			27,723				(13,630	)			14,093
April 2007			20,110				(8,420	)			11,689
May 2007			29,600				(12,077	)			17,523
June 2007			33,297				(9,197	)			24,100
July 2007			34,416				(15,896	)			18,520
August 2007			44,259				(43,802	)			457
September 2007			40,214				(26,589	)			13,625
October 2007			26,030				(17,803	)			8,227
November 2007			28,874				(33,423	)			(4,549	)
December 2007			20,759				(9,444	)			11,315
Full Year 2007		$	351,723			$	(225,670	)		$	126,053
January 2008		$	24,652			$	(18,365	)		$	6,287
YTD 2008		$	24,652			$	(18,365	)		$	6,287

																Compounded				Annualized
Purchases 2				Sales				Liquidations				End Balance				Growth Rate				Liquidation Rate
$	9,659			$	(1,927	)		$	(10,690	)		$	721,442				(4.8	%)			(17.71	%)
	10,359				(9,555	)			(10,101	)			712,145				(14.4	%)			(16.80	%)
	16,452				(5,505	)			(10,286	)			712,806				1.1	%			(17.33	%)
	9,964				(2,111	)			(10,073	)			710,586				(3.7	%)			(16.96	%)
	21,776				(3,640	)			(10,466	)			718,257				13.8	%			(17.67	%)
	16,936				(2,341	)			(10,378	)			722,475				7.3	%			(17.34	%)
	21,219				(4,588	)			(9,266	)			729,840				12.9	%			(15.39	%)
	16,429				(7,690	)			(9,692	)			728,886				(1.6	%)			(15.94	%)
	11,926				(7,944	)			(9,055	)			723,813				(8.0	%)			(14.91	%)
	20,957				(3,905	)			(8,574	)3			732,291				17.3	%3			(12.74	%)3
	13,997				(16,279	)			(7,977	)			722,032				(15.6	%)			(13.07	%)
	12,796				(3,550	)			(7,302	)			723,976				3.3	%			(12.14	%)
$	182,471			$	(69,034	)		$	(113,860	)		$	723,976				(0.1	%)			(15.72	%)
$	8,913			$	(4,541	)		$	(7,363	)		$	720,985				(4.8	%)			(12.20	%)
$	8,913			$	(4,541	)		$	(7,363	)		$	720,985				(4.8	%)			(12.20	%)

 

 

 

 

		Fannie Mae MBS in Portfolio
		Purchases				Sales				Liquidations				Securitizations 7				End Balance
January 2007		$	1,099			$	(1,927	)		$	(4,018	)		$	1,488			$	295,399
February 2007			350				(9,406	)			(3,682	)			1,531				284,191
March 2007			1,342				(5,496	)			(3,599	)			1,411				277,848
April 2007			588				(2,111	)			(3,591	)			2,519				275,253
May 2007			3,627				(3,640	)			(3,557	)			2,677				274,360
June 2007			3,155				(2,236	)			(3,645	)			2,872				274,507
July 2007			7,796				(4,521	)			(3,499	)			3,185				277,468
August 2007			2,805				(7,646	)			(3,274	)			5,284				274,638
September 2007			202				(7,834	)			(3,221	)			3,612				267,397
October 2007			2,052				(3,822	)			(2,667	)			1,999				264,959
November 2007			1,108				(16,213	)			(2,922	)			11,747				258,679
December 2007			785				(3,550	)			(2,610	)			2,643				255,947
Full Year 2007		$	24,909			$	(68,402	)		$	(40,283	)		$	40,967			$	255,947
January 2008		$	699			$	(3,908	)		$	(2,643	)		$	3,309			$	253,404
YTD 2008		$	699			$	(3,908	)		$	(2,643	)		$	3,309			$	253,404

				Non-Fannie Mae
Mortgage				Mortgage Securities
Loans				Agency				Non-Agency
$	281,524			$	31,730			$	112,789
	282,586				31,230				114,137
	285,304				31,118				118,537
	286,262				30,896				118,176
	291,299				31,084				121,514
	292,997				32,151				122,820
	295,314				33,136				123,922
	298,151				33,088				123,009
	301,289				32,614				122,513
	312,572	6			32,808				121,952
	317,579				33,032				112,742
	323,016				32,983				112,030
$	323,016			$	32,983			$	112,030
$	324,100			$	32,805			$	110,676
$	324,100			$	32,805			$	110,676

Mortgage Portfolio
End Balance
$	721,442
	712,145
	712,806
	710,586
	718,257
	722,475
	729,840
	728,886
	723,813
	732,291
	722,032
	723,976
$	723,976
$	720,985
$	720,985

TABLE 6. LIQUID INVESTMENTS ($ in Millions) ¹

 

		Liquid Investments
		End Balance
January 2007		$	57,484
February 2007			68,959
March 2007			66,830
April 2007			57,355
May 2007			55,650
June 2007			55,244
July 2007			59,231
August 2007			59,813
September 2007			41,918
October 2007			41,462	8
November 2007			35,478
December 2007			89,164
Full Year 2007		$	89,164
January 2008		$	95,249
YTD 2008		$	95,249

TABLE 7. DEBT ACTIVITY ($ in Millions) ⁹

TABLE 8. INTEREST RATE RISK DISCLOSURES

TABLE 9. SERIOUS DELINQUENCY RATES

		Effective				Market Value Sensitivity 12
		Duration Gap				Rate Level				Rate Slope
		(in months) 11				Shock (50 bp)				Shock (25 bp)
January 2007			0				—				—
February 2007			0				—				—
March 2007			(1	)			—				—
April 2007			0				—				—
May 2007			0				—				—
June 2007			1				(1	%)			0	%
July 2007			1				(1	%)			0	%
August 2007			1				(1	%)			0	%
September 2007			0				(1	%)			0	%
October 2007			1				(1	%)			(1	%)
November 2007			1				(2	%)			(1	%)
December 2007			2				(2	%)			(1	%)
January 2008			1				(2	%)			(1	%)

		Conventional Single-Family 13
		Non-Credit				Credit
		Enhanced 14				Enhanced 15				Total 16
January 2007			0.38	%			1.86	%			0.66	%
February 2007			0.38	%			1.84	%			0.66	%
March 2007			0.35	%			1.74	%			0.62	%
April 2007			0.35	%			1.74	%			0.62	%
May 2007			0.34	%			1.75	%			0.62	%
June 2007			0.35	%			1.81	%			0.64	%
July 2007			0.37	%			1.91	%			0.68	%
August 2007			0.39	%			2.00	%			0.71	%
September 2007			0.43	%			2.18	%			0.78	%
October 2007			0.45	%			2.31	%			0.83	%
November 2007			0.49	%			2.51	%			0.90	%
December 2007			0.53	%			2.75	%			0.98	%

Multifamily
Total 17
	0.10	%
	0.10	%
	0.09	%
	0.10	%
	0.11	%
	0.09	%
	0.10	%
	0.06	%
	0.08	%
	0.07	%
	0.08	%
	0.08	%

ADDlTlONAL INFORMATION

Under Fannie Mae’s consent order issued by its regulator, OFHEO, Fannie Mae may not increase the size of its mortgage portfolio, as measured by unpaid principal balance (UPB), which does not reflect GAAP adjustments, above a specified amount, except under certain circumstances at the discretion of OFHEO. Fannie Mae’s portfolio cap for the third quarter of 2007 was $735 billion. For the fourth quarter of 2007, the portfolio cap increased by 1 percent, and for each subsequent quarter, the portfolio cap increases by 0.5 percent, not to exceed 2 percent per annum. Except as described in the next sentence, compliance with the portfolio cap is determined by comparing the applicable portfolio cap to the cumulative average month-end portfolio balances since July 2007 (until the cumulative average becomes and remains a 12-month moving average). For purposes of this calculation, OFHEO’s interpretation of this requirement sets the July 2007 month-end balance at $725 billion. In addition, any net increase in delinquent loan balances in the retained portfolio after September 30, 2007 will not be counted for purposes of determining Fannie Mae’s compliance with the portfolio cap.

OFHEO announced on February 27, 2008 that it will remove this portfolio cap on March 1, 2008.

The size of our portfolio also may be constrained by market opportunities and regulatory capital requirements.

ENDNOTES

1.		The end balances and business activity in this report represent unpaid principal balances (“UPB”), which do not reflect market valuation adjustments, allowance for loan losses, impairments, unamortized premiums and discounts and the impact of consolidation of variable interest entities. Amounts and rates shown for the periods after September 2007 reflect definitional changes and may, therefore, not be comparable to amounts and rates shown for prior periods. Please see notes 3, 5, 6, 8, and 10 and the Glossary below for more information about these changes.
2.		Includes capitalized interest
3.		For October 2007, liquidations have been increased by $890 million, primarily to exclude from the end balance amounts that Fannie Mae now classifies as advances to lenders. The effect of this adjustment has been excluded in calculating growth and liquidation rates for October 2007.
4.		Includes Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities (“Fannie Mae MBS”) issued from Fannie Mae’s mortgage portfolio. See Table 5 for monthly activity and balances for Fannie Mae MBS held in portfolio.
5.		For October 2007, “Total Fannie Mae MBS Liquidations” have been reduced by $3.2 billion, primarily to reflect Fannie Mae’s reclassification of Ginnie Mae wraps from “Other Fannie Mae Guarantees” to “Fannie Mae MBS.” The effect of this adjustment has been excluded in calculating growth and liquidation rates for October 2007.
6.		For October 2007, “Mortgage Loans” has been reduced by $967 million primarily to exclude from the end balance advances to lenders, which were previously classified as loans.
7.		Represents new Fannie Mae MBS created from mortgage loans or non-Fannie Mae mortgage securities previously held in the mortgage portfolio. These amounts, included in the issuance balance in table 4, have been transferred from mortgage loans or non-Fannie Mae mortgage securities to Fannie Mae securities, and may be included in sales.
8.		Beginning with October 2007, “Liquid Investments” includes federal funds sold. Without this change, the end balance in October 2007 would have been $32.4 billion.
9.		Reported amounts represent the UPB at each reporting period or, in the case of the long-term zero coupon bonds, at maturity. UPB does not reflect the effect of debt basis adjustments, including discounts, premiums, and issuance costs.
10.		Beginning with October 2007, this report reflects current foreign exchange adjustments at the respective rates for the period. In addition, amounts after September 2007 reflect the reclassification of $2.2 billion from “Original Maturity ≤ 1 Year” to “Original Maturity > 1 Year.” The $2.2 billion reclassification is reflected in “Foreign Exchange Adjustments” for October 2007. Also, beginning with October 2007, federal funds purchased are not included in “Original Maturity ≤ 1 Year.” Federal funds purchased totaled $1.5 billion in October 2007.
11.		Beginning with June 2007, the effective duration gap is weighted based on the proportional fair value weightings of Fannie Mae’s assets and liabilities. In prior months, the duration gap was not calculated on a weighted basis.
12.		These measurements show the estimated loss in the pre-tax fair value of Fannie Mae’s assets and liabilities, including debt and derivatives, that would result from an immediate adverse change in the level of LIBOR rates and in the slope of the LIBOR yield curve, expressed in each case as a percentage of the latest available after-tax fair value of Fannie Mae’s net assets, adjusted for capital transactions. These measurements exclude the sensitivity of the guaranty business. For January 2008, the estimated average daily loss that would result from a rate level change was $0.9 billion and the estimated average daily loss that would result from a change in yield curve slope was $0.2 billion.
13.		Includes conventional single-family loans three months or more past due or in foreclosure process as a percent of the total number of conventional single-family loans. These rates are based on conventional single-family mortgage loans and exclude reverse mortgages and non-Fannie Mae mortgage securities held in our portfolio.
14.		Loans without primary mortgage insurance and/or other credit enhancements.
15.		Loans with primary mortgage insurance and/or other credit enhancements.
16.		Total conventional single-family serious delinquency rate includes non-credit enhanced and credit enhanced loans.
17.		Includes multifamily loans and securities 60 days or more past due and is calculated based on the UPB of delinquent multifamily loans owned by Fannie Mae or underlying Fannie Mae guaranteed securities, divided by the UPB of multifamily loans owned by Fannie Mae or underlying Fannie Mae guaranteed securities.

  GLOSSARY & OTHER INFORMATION

General

Risk Disclosures. In addition to the interest rate risk disclosures provided in Table 8, Fannie Mae’s most recent available information relating to subordinated debt, liquidity management, corporate risk ratings and credit risks is included in its most recent Form 10-K or Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Compounded Growth Rate. Monthly growth rates are compounded to provide an annualized rate of growth.

Table 1

Total Book of Business. Sum of the Gross Mortgage Portfolio balance and Total Fannie Mae MBS and Other Guarantees balance, less Fannie Mae MBS held in the mortgage portfolio.

New Business Acquisitions. Sum of MBS issuances and Mortgage Portfolio purchases less Fannie Mae MBS purchases and securitizations of mortgage loans previously held in portfolio.

Table 2

Portfolio Commitments. Represents mandatory commitments entered into during the month. Fannie Mae enters into forward commitments to purchase mortgage securities and mortgage loans, or to sell mortgage securities, for the mortgage portfolio. Purchase commitments typically require mandatory delivery and are subject to the payment of pair-off fees for non-delivery.

Commitments to Purchase, Net. Represents mandatory commitments to purchase mortgage loans and mortgage securities, net of mortgage loans for which a cash pair-off has been paid. Paid-offs occur when loans are not delivered against mandatory commitments.

Commitments to Sell. Represents mandatory commitments to sell mortgage securities.

Net Retained Commitments. Represents mandatory commitments to purchase, less commitments to sell, net of mortgage loans for which a cash pair-off has been paid.

Table 3

Gross Mortgage Portfolio. End balance represents the unpaid principal balance (“UPB”) of the mortgage portfolio that Fannie Mae holds for investment and liquidity purposes.

Purchases. Acquisition of mortgage loans and mortgage securities for the mortgage portfolio.

Sales. Sales of mortgage securities from the mortgage portfolio.

Liquidations. Represents the total amount of repayments, curtailments, payoffs, and foreclosures on mortgage loans and mortgages underlying securities held in the mortgage portfolio.

Annualized Liquidation Rate. The liquidation rate is calculated as liquidations divided by the prior period ending balance of the mortgage portfolio, annualized.

Table 4

Fannie Mae Guaranteed Securities and Mortgage Loans. Consists of securities and mortgage loans for which Fannie Mae manages credit risk. This table excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in the mortgage portfolio, which are shown in Table 5.

Total Fannie Mae MBS. Includes Fannie Mae MBS, private label wraps, whole loan REMICs, and for periods after September 2007, Ginnie Mae wraps. Also includes Multifamily discount MBS (DMBS) that Fannie Mae guarantees, regardless of whether those MBS are held in the mortgage portfolio or held by investors other than Fannie Mae. If an MBS has been resecuritized into another MBS, the principal amount is only included once in this total.

Issuances. Represents the total amount of Fannie Mae MBS created during the month, including lender-originated issues and Fannie Mae MBS created from mortgage loans previously held in Fannie Mae’s portfolio. Fannie Mae MBS may be held in portfolio after their creation.

Liquidations. Represents the total amount of repayments, curtailments, payoffs, and foreclosures on mortgages underlying Fannie Mae MBS, including Fannie Mae MBS held in the mortgage portfolio.

Other Fannie Mae Guarantees. Outstanding balance of Fannie Mae guarantees, other than Fannie Mae MBS. This primarily consists of credit enhancements we provide on multifamily mortgage assets. Through September 2007, this also included Ginnie Mae wraps.

Annualized Liquidation Rate. The liquidation rate is calculated as liquidations divided by the prior period ending balance of total Fannie Mae MBS, annualized.

Table 5

Mortgage Portfolio Composition. Shows the primary components of Fannie Mae’s mortgage portfolio and activity relating to Fannie Mae MBS held in the mortgage portfolio.

Non-Fannie Mae Agency Securities. Represents mortgage-related securities issued by Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae.

Non-Fannie Mae Non-Agency Securities. These are commonly referred to as “private-label securities.”

Table 6

Liquid Investments. Liquid investments serve as a source of liquidity for Fannie Mae and as an investment vehicle for surplus capital. This balance includes high-quality securities that are short-term or readily marketable, such as commercial paper, asset-backed securities, federal funds sold, and corporate floating rate notes. The balance shown includes cash equivalents but does not Include cash balances or cash equivalents pledged as collateral that may be sold or repledged by the counterparty.

Table 7

Debt Activity. For more information about Fannie Mae’s debt activity, please visit www.fanniemae.com/markets/debt/debt_activity.

Table 8

Effective Duration Gap. The effective duration gap estimates the net sensitivity of the fair value of Fannie Mae’s assets and liabilities to movements in interest rates. This statistic is expressed as a number of months, based on the daily average for the reported month. Beginning with June, the methodology has been updated such that a duration gap of zero implies that the change in the fair value of assets from an interest rate move will be offset by an equal move in the fair value of liabilities, including debt and derivatives, resulting in no change in the fair value of the net assets. The calculation excludes any sensitivity of the guaranty business.

Market Value Sensitivity to Rate Level Shock (50bp). This measurement shows the estimated loss in pre-tax market value of Fannie Mae’s assets and liabilities, expressed as a percentage of the after-tax fair value of Fannie Mae’s net assets (calculated as described in Endnote (12) above), from an immediate adverse 50 basis point shift in the level of LIBOR rates. The measurement excludes any sensitivity of the guaranty business but the after-tax fair value of Fannie Mae’s net assets includes an estimate of the fair value of the guaranty business. Fannie Mae tracks the daily average of this measurement for the reported month.

Market Value Sensitivity to Rate Slope Shock (25bp). This measurement shows the estimated loss in pre-tax market value of Fannie Mae’s assets and liabilities, expressed as a percentage of the after-tax fair value of Fannie Mae’s net assets (calculated as described in Endnote (12) above), from an immediate adverse 25 basis point change in the slope of the LIBOR yield curve. To calculate the “adverse” change in the slope of the LIBOR yield curve, the company calculates the effect of a 25 basis point change in slope that results in a steeper LIBOR yield curve and the effect of a 25 basis point change in slope that results in a flatter LIBOR yield curve, and reports the more adverse of the two results. The measurement excludes any sensitivity of the guaranty business but the after-tax fair value of Fannie Mae’s net assets includes an estimate of the fair value of the guaranty business. Fannie Mae tracks the daily average of this measurement for the reported month.

Table 9

Serious Delinquency Rates. A measure of credit performance and indicator of future defaults for the single-family and multifamily mortgage credit books. We classify single-family loans as seriously delinquent when a borrower has missed three or more consecutive monthly payments, and the loan has not been brought current or extinguished through foreclosure, payoff, or other resolution. A loan referred to foreclosure but not yet foreclosed is also considered seriously delinquent. We include all of the conventional single-family loans that we own and that back Fannie Mae MBS in our single-family delinquency rate, including those with substantial credit enhancement. We classify multifamily loans as seriously delinquent when payment is 60 days or more past due.

For more information about Fannie Mae, please visit www.fanniemae.com or contact our Investor Relations Department at (202) 752-7115.