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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 5, 2009
Federal National Mortgage Association
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
         
Federally chartered corporation   000-50231   52-0883107
(State or other jurisdiction   (Commission   (IRS Employer
of incorporation)   File Number)   Identification Number)
     
3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW   20016
Washington, DC   (Zip Code)
(Address of principal executive offices)    
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: 202-752-7000
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report):                                         
     Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
o   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
o   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
 
 

 


 

     The information in this report, including information in the exhibits submitted herewith, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of Section 18, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any disclosure document relating to Fannie Mae (formally known as the Federal National Mortgage Association), except to the extent, if any, expressly incorporated by specific reference in that document.
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition
     On November 5, 2009, Fannie Mae filed its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 and issued a news release reporting its financial results for the periods covered by the Form 10-Q. The news release, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report, is incorporated herein by reference.
Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure
     On November 5, 2009, Fannie Mae posted to its Web site a Third Quarter Credit Supplement presentation consisting primarily of information about Fannie Mae’s guaranty book of business. The presentation, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this report, is incorporated herein by reference. Fannie Mae’s Web site address is www.fanniemae.com. Information appearing on the company’s Web site is not incorporated into this report.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
     (d) Exhibits. The exhibit index filed herewith is incorporated herein by reference.

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SIGNATURE
     Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, hereunto duly authorized.
         
  FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION
 
 
  By   /s/ David M. Johnson    
    David M. Johnson   
    Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer   
 
Date: November 5, 2009

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EXHIBIT INDEX
The following exhibits are submitted herewith:
     
Exhibit Number   Description of Exhibit
99.1
  News release, dated November 5, 2009
 
   
99.2
  2009 Third Quarter Credit Supplement presentation, dated November 5, 2009

4

exv99w1
Exhibit 99.1
(FANNIEMAE LOGO)
Resource Center: 1-800-732-6643
     
Contact:
  Brian Faith
 
  202-752-6720
 
   
Number:
  4845a
 
   
Date:
  November 5, 2009
Fannie Mae Reports Third-Quarter 2009 Results
WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae (FNM/NYSE) reported a net loss of $18.9 billion in the third quarter of 2009, compared with a loss of $14.8 billion in the second quarter of 2009. Including $883 million of dividends on our senior preferred stock held by the U.S. Department of Treasury, the net loss attributable to common stockholders was $19.8 billion, or ($3.47) per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2009, compared with a loss of $15.2 billion, or ($2.67) per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2009. Third-quarter results were largely due to $22.0 billion of credit-related expenses, reflecting the continued build of the company’s combined loss reserves and fair value losses associated with the increasing number of loans that were acquired from mortgage-backed securities trusts in order to pursue loan modifications.
The loss resulted in a net worth deficit of $15.0 billion as of September 30, 2009, taking into account unrealized gains on available-for-sale securities during the third quarter. As a result, on November 4, 2009, the Acting Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) submitted a request for $15.0 billion from Treasury on the company’s behalf. FHFA has requested that Treasury provide the funds on or prior to December 31, 2009.
The company continued to concentrate on preventing foreclosures and providing liquidity to the mortgage market during the third quarter of 2009, with much of our effort focused on the Making Home Affordable Program. As of September 30, 2009, approximately 189,000 Fannie Mae loans were in a trial period or a completed modification under the Home Affordable Modification Program. In addition, we completed loan workouts outside of the Home Affordable Modification Program, including modifications, HomeSaver AdvancesTM, repayment plans and forbearances, preforeclosure sales, and deeds in lieu of foreclosure, that we describe further in “Other Home-Retention and Foreclosure-Prevention Efforts” below.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Two
Summary of Third-Quarter 2009 Financial Results
                                                 
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)   3Q09     2Q09     Variance     3Q09     3Q08     Variance  
Net interest income
  $ 3,830     $ 3,735     $ 95     $ 3,830     $ 2,355     $ 1,475  
Guaranty fee income
    1,923       1,659       264       1,923       1,475       448  
Trust management income
    12       13       (1 )     12       65       (53 )
Fee and other income
    182       184       (2 )     182       164       18  
 
                                   
Net revenues
    5,947       5,591       356       5,947       4,059       1,888  
Investment gains (losses), net (1)
    785       (45 )     830       785       219       566  
Net other-than-temporary impairments(1)
    (939 )     (753 )     (186 )     (939 )     (1,843 )     904  
Fair value gains (losses), net (2)
    (1,536 )     823       (2,359 )     (1,536 )     (3,947 )     2,411  
Losses from partnership investments
    (520 )     (571 )     51       (520 )     (587 )     67  
Administrative expenses
    (562 )     (510 )     (52 )     (562 )     (401 )     (161 )
Credit-related expenses (3)
    (21,960 )     (18,784 )     (3,176 )     (21,960 )     (9,241 )     (12,719 )
Other non-interest expenses (1)(4)
    (242 )     (508 )     266       (242 )     (172 )     (70 )
 
                                   
Net losses and expenses
    (24,974 )     (20,348 )     (4,626 )     (24,974 )     (15,972 )     (9,002 )
Loss before federal income taxes and extraordinary losses
    (19,027 )     (14,757 )     (4,270 )     (19,027 )     (11,913 )     (7,114 )
Benefit (provision) for federal income taxes
    143       (23 )     166       143       (17,011 )     17,154  
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect
                            (95 )     95  
 
                                   
Net loss
    (18,884 )     (14,780 )     (4,104 )     (18,884 )     (29,019 )     10,135  
 
                                               
Less: Net (income) loss attributable to the noncontrolling interest
    12       26       (14 )     12       25       (13 )
 
                                   
Net loss attributable to Fannie Mae
  $ (18,872 )   $ (14,754 )   $ (4,118 )   $ (18,872 )   $ (28,994 )   $ 10,122  
Preferred stock dividends
    (883 )     (411 )     (472 )     (883 )     (419 )     (464 )
Net loss attributable to common stockholders
  $ (19,755 )   $ (15,165 )     (4,590 )   $ (19,755 )   $ (29,413 )     9,658  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Diluted loss per common share
  $ (3.47 )   $ (2.67 )   $ (0.80 )   $ (3.47 )   $ (13.00 )   $ 9.53  
 
                                   
 
(1)   Prior to the April 2009 change in impairment accounting described in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2009, net other-than-temporary impairments also included the non-credit portion, which in subsequent periods is recorded in other comprehensive income. Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform with the current period presentation in our condensed consolidated statements of operations.
 
(2)   Consists of the following: (a) derivatives fair value gains (losses), net; (b) trading securities gains (losses), net; (c) hedged mortgage assets gains (losses), net; (d) debt foreign exchange gains (losses), net; and (e) debt fair value gains (losses), net.
 
(3)   Consists of provision for credit losses and foreclosed property expense.
 
(4)   Consists of the following: (a) debt extinguishment gains (losses), net; and (b) other expenses.
Net revenue was $5.9 billion in the third quarter of 2009, up 6 percent from $5.6 billion in the second quarter of 2009:
  Net interest income was $3.8 billion, up 3 percent from $3.7 billion in the second quarter of 2009, as lower funding costs more than offset a decline in the average yield on our interest-earning assets.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Three
  Guaranty fee income was $1.9 billion, up 16 percent from $1.7 billion in the second quarter of 2009. Our average effective guaranty fee rate increased due to an increase in the fair value of buy-ups and certain guaranty assets. Average outstanding Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities and other guarantees also increased.
Credit-related expenses, which are the total provision for credit losses plus foreclosed property expense, were $22.0 billion, compared with $18.8 billion in the second quarter of 2009. The primary drivers of credit-related expenses were increases in fair value charges related to our acquisition of credit-impaired loans from MBS trusts and the continuing build of our combined loss reserves. The increase in fair value charges in the third quarter accounted for all of the increase in credit-related expenses compared with the second quarter.
Fair value losses associated with acquiring credit-impaired loans from MBS trusts increased $5.5 billion in the third quarter to $7.7 billion due to the rising volume of loan workouts, including modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program. When our acquisition cost of a credit-impaired loan exceeds its estimated fair value, we record a fair value loss at the time we acquire the loan. These charges are recorded as part of our provision for credit losses, which increased to $21.9 billion, compared with $18.2 billion in the second quarter of 2009.
Including the effect of $7.7 billion of fair value losses described above, our provision for credit losses exceeded net charge-offs of $11.1 billion by $10.8 billion, as we continued to build our combined loss reserves, which represent our current estimate of probable losses incurred in our guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2009. The credit performance of loans in our guaranty book of business continued to deteriorate, as high unemployment and cumulative declines in home prices have increased stress on a broad segment of borrowers. In addition, certain states, higher-risk loan product types, and our 2006 and 2007 vintages continued to account for a disproportionate share of delinquencies and credit losses.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Four
The seriously delinquent loans in our single-family book of business, which we define as those loans 90 or more days delinquent or in the process of foreclosure, increased and aged during the third quarter. This was caused by a greater number of loans that transitioned to seriously delinquent status, while the proportion of already seriously delinquent loans that cured or transitioned to completed foreclosures declined. Factors contributing to the increase in serious delinquencies included: high unemployment that hampered the ability of many delinquent borrowers to cure their delinquencies; Home Affordable Modifications in trial periods, which remain classified as delinquent; our directive that servicers delay foreclosure sales until other alternatives, including Home Affordable Modification, have been exhausted; and, the slowdown in the legal process for foreclosures in a number of states. Our proportion of seriously delinquent loans over 180 days past due represented 55 percent of seriously delinquent loans as of September 30, 2009.
We expect that our credit losses and credit loss ratio will continue to increase for the remainder of 2009 and during 2010. However, we also believe that, absent further economic deterioration, our credit-related expenses will be less in 2010 than in 2009.
Combined loss reserves were $65.9 billion on September 30, 2009, up from $55.1 billion on June 30, 2009, and $24.8 billion on December 31, 2008. The combined loss reserves were 2.14 percent of our guaranty book of business on September 30, 2009, compared with 1.80 percent on June 30, 2009, and 0.83 percent on December 31, 2008.
Total nonperforming loans in our guaranty book of business were $198.3 billion, compared with $171.0 billion on June 30, 2009, and $119.2 billion on December 31, 2008. The carrying value of our foreclosed properties was $7.3 billion, compared with $6.2 billion on June 30, 2009, and $6.6 billion on December 31, 2008.
Net fair value losses were $1.5 billion, compared with a net fair value gain of $823 million in the second quarter of 2009. Net gains of $1.7 billion on our trading securities were due primarily to narrowing spreads on commercial mortgage-backed securities, as well as from the decline in interest rates. These gains were more than offset by $3.1 billion in derivatives fair value losses due to a decrease in swap rates, the time decay of our purchased options, and losses on our mortgage commitments.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Five
Net other-than-temporary impairment was $939 million, compared with $753 million in the second quarter of 2009. The impairments were driven by increased loss expectations on our private-label securities, primarily from Alt-A securities.
We provide further discussion of our financial results and condition, credit performance, fair value balance sheets and other matters in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, which was filed today with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Further information about our credit performance, the characteristics of our guaranty book of business, the drivers of our credit losses, our foreclosure-prevention efforts, and other measures is contained in the “2009 Third Quarter Credit Supplement” on Fannie Mae’s Web site, www.fanniemae.com.
Net Worth and U.S. Treasury Funding
We had a net worth deficit of $15.0 billion as of September 30, 2009. As noted above, the Acting Director of FHFA has requested $15.0 billion of funds from Treasury on our behalf under the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement between Fannie Mae and Treasury to eliminate our net worth deficit as of September 30, 2009. On September 30, 2009, Treasury provided to us $10.7 billion under the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement to cure our net worth deficit as of June 30, 2009. As a result of this draw, the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock increased from $35.2 billion to $45.9 billion as of September 30, 2009. It will increase to $60.9 billion upon the receipt of funds from Treasury to eliminate our third-quarter 2009 net worth deficit. We expect to have a net worth deficit in future periods, and therefore will be required to obtain additional funding from Treasury pursuant to the senior preferred stock purchase agreement.
Fair Value Update
Our estimated fair value net asset deficit was $90.4 billion as of September 30, 2009, compared with $102.0 billion as of June 30, 2009. The deficit as of September 30, 2009 reflected the benefit of $10.7 billion of capital received from Treasury in the third quarter under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement. Excluding the benefit of capital received from the Treasury in the third quarter, our estimated fair value net asset deficit remained relatively flat as compared with the second quarter, driven by continued deterioration in the fair value of our guaranty book of business, offset by favorable changes in the spread between mortgage assets and associated debt and derivatives.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Six
Making Home Affordable
During the third quarter of 2009, we continued to focus our home-retention, foreclosure-prevention, and refinance efforts on the Making Home Affordable Program, which has been updated to expand the benefits available through the program to more borrowers.
Home Affordable Modification Program
In August and September 2009, Treasury issued guidance under the Home Affordable Modification Program to address the fact that, in many cases, lenders did not receive the documentation required to complete a modification within the time period initially required, even though the borrowers made payments on their trial modifications. Under the guidance, servicers may offer borrowers a grace period to send in the necessary documents to complete their modifications. In October, Treasury issued additional guidance that streamlined the borrower documentation required for modifying a loan under the program and further extended the grace period.
We recently provided guidance to servicers that, beginning December 1, 2009, a Home Affordable Modification should not be offered on a Fannie Mae loan without our consent if the estimated value of not modifying the loan would exceed the estimated value of modifying the loan by more than $5,000.
Our volumes under the Home Affordable Modification Program increased in the third quarter, with approximately 189,000 Fannie Mae loans, as noted above, either in a trial modification period or having completed modification as of September 30, 2009, as reported by servicers to the system of record for the Home Affordable Modification Program. In the coming months, we expect the pace of new trial modifications being initiated to moderate as servicers focus on converting modifications currently in trial periods into completed modifications.
In addition to participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program, Fannie Mae serves as the program administrator. As of September 30, 2009, over 60 servicers had signed up to offer modifications on non-agency loans under the program.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Seven
On October 8, 2009, Treasury announced that, as of September 30, 2009, approximately 487,000 loans were in a trial period or a completed modification under the Home Affordable Modification Program as a whole. Treasury also said that the goal it set in July 2009 of having 500,000 trial modifications in progress by November 1, 2009 had been achieved. Most of the trial modifications are in a required trial period, or in the grace period for borrowers to submit necessary documentation, and therefore are not yet eligible to convert into completed modifications.
Home Affordable Refinance Program
In July 2009, FHFA announced authorization for us to expand the Home Affordable Refinance Program to permit refinancings of borrowers’ existing mortgage loans that have an unpaid principal balance of up to 125 percent of the current value of the property, an increase from the program’s initial 105 percent limit. We began acquiring these mortgage loans on September 1, 2009.
During the third quarter of 2009, we acquired or guaranteed approximately 626,000 loans that were refinances. Approximately 136,000 loans represented refinances through our Refi PlusTM initiatives, including approximately 46,000 loans that were refinanced under the Home Affordable Refinance Program. Our refinance acquisitions during the third quarter of 2009 reflect the many second quarter loan applications closed and delivered during the third quarter. We believe the most significant factor that will affect the number of borrowers refinancing under the Home Affordable Refinance Program is mortgage interest rates.
Additional information about the Home Affordable Refinance Program and the Home Affordable Modification Program, including a description of eligibility requirements, is available at www.MakingHomeAffordable.gov.
The Making Home Affordable Program will likely have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition, including our net worth. To the extent that the program is successful in reducing foreclosures and keeping borrowers in their homes, however, it may benefit the overall housing market and help in reducing our long-term credit losses as long as other factors, such as continued declines in home prices or continuing high unemployment, do not result in the need for a significant number of new solutions for borrowers.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Eight
Other Home-Retention and Foreclosure-Prevention Efforts
Fannie Mae took a number of other home-retention and foreclosure-prevention actions (including those undertaken in conjunction with our servicing partners) during the third quarter of 2009. The following information does not include trial modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program or repayment and forbearance plans that were initiated but not completed as of September 30, 2009:
  Loan modifications of 27,686, compared with 16,684 in the second quarter of 2009. This figure includes completed modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program, but the increase was due primarily to borrowers who received modifications outside of the program.
 
  HomeSaver Advance™ loans of 4,347, compared with 11,662 in the second quarter of 2009. The number of HomeSaver Advances fell in the third quarter as an increasing number of borrowers were offered trial modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program.
 
  Repayment plans/forbearances completed of 5,398, compared with 4,752 in the second quarter of 2009.
 
  Preforeclosure sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure of 11,827, compared with 8,360 in the second quarter of 2009.
We acquired 40,959 single-family real estate-owned (“REO”) properties through foreclosure in the third quarter of 2009, compared with 32,095 in the second quarter of 2009. As of September 30, 2009, our inventory of single-family REO properties was 72,275, compared with 62,615 at the end of the second quarter of 2009.
Our single-family foreclosure rate, which reflects the annualized number of single-family properties acquired through foreclosure as a percentage of the total number of loans in our conventional single-family mortgage credit book of business, was 0.72 percent on an annualized basis for the third quarter of 2009, compared with 0.63 percent for the second quarter of 2009.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Nine
Business and Liquidity Update
Our mortgage credit book of business increased to $3.23 trillion as of September 30, 2009, from $3.19 trillion as of June 30, 2009, and from $3.11 trillion on December 31, 2008. New business acquisitions — Fannie Mae MBS issuances acquired by others and our mortgage portfolio purchases — were $234.7 billion in the third quarter, compared with $239.8 billion in the second quarter of 2009. Our estimated market share of new single-family mortgage-related securities issuance was 44.0 percent in the third quarter of 2009.
We continue to provide liquidity to the mortgage market through our whole loan conduit activities, early funding program, and dollar-roll transactions.
We experienced strong demand for our debt securities during the first nine months of 2009. We believe that our status as a government-sponsored enterprise and continued federal government support of our business and the financial markets is essential to maintaining our access to debt funding. Demand for our debt securities could decline in the future if the government does not extend or replace the Treasury credit facility, which expires on December 31, 2009, and as the Federal Reserve concludes its agency debt and MBS purchase programs during the first quarter of 2010, or for other reasons. As of the date of this release, however, we have experienced strong demand for our debt securities that mature after the scheduled expirations of the Treasury credit facility and Federal Reserve purchase programs.
Fannie Mae conducts its activities through three complementary businesses: Single-Family Credit Guaranty, Housing and Community Development (HCD), and Capital Markets. Our Single-Family Credit Guaranty business works with our lender customers to securitize single-family mortgage loans into Fannie Mae MBS and to facilitate the purchase of single-family mortgage loans for our mortgage portfolio. HCD works with our lender customers to securitize multifamily mortgage loans into Fannie Mae MBS and to facilitate the purchase of multifamily mortgage loans for our mortgage portfolio. Our HCD business also makes debt and equity investments to increase the supply of affordable housing. Our Capital Markets group manages our investment activity in mortgage loans, mortgage-related securities and other investments.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Ten
Single-Family Credit Guaranty book of business was $2.90 trillion on September 30, 2009, compared with $2.87 trillion on June 30, 2009, and $2.80 trillion on December 31, 2008. Single-family guaranty fee income was $2.1 billion, compared with $1.9 billion in the second quarter of 2009. The Single-Family business lost $19.5 billion in the third quarter of 2009, driven largely by a continued elevated provision for credit losses.
Housing and Community Development’s multifamily guaranty book of business was $183.0 billion on September 30, 2009, compared with $179.6 billion on June 30, 2009, and $173.3 billion on December 31, 2008. HCD recorded $520 million of losses on partnership investments during the quarter. As with the second half of 2008 and first half of 2009, we are currently unable to recognize tax benefits generated from our partnership investments, including tax credits earned on low income housing tax credit partnership investments. HCD’s credit-related expenses were $304 million, compared with $393 million in the second quarter of 2009. The provision for credit losses of $278 million exceeded net charge-offs of $75 million by $203 million, as we continued to build our multifamily loss reserves during the third quarter of 2009 to $1.2 billion as of September 30, 2009. HCD lost $870 million in the third quarter of 2009.
Capital Markets’ net interest income was $3.7 billion in the third quarter of 2009, compared with $3.6 billion in the second quarter of 2009. Fair value losses were $1.5 billion, compared with fair value gains of $823 million in the second quarter of 2009. Net other-than-temporary impairment was $939 million, compared with other-than-temporary impairments of $753 million in the second quarter of 2009. The net mortgage investment portfolio balance was $766.4 billion, compared with $766.2 billion on June 30, 2009, resulting from purchases of $97.7 billion, liquidations of $31.7 billion, and sales of $65.9 billion during the quarter. Capital Markets earned $1.5 billion in the third quarter of 2009.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Eleven
Other Developments
Low Income Housing Tax Credits
Prior to September 30, 2009, we entered into a nonbinding letter of intent to transfer equity interests in our low income housing tax credits investments. Under the terms of the transaction as currently contemplated, we would transfer to unrelated third-party investors approximately one-half of our LIHTC investments for a price that exceeds their current carrying value. Upon completion of the contemplated transfer, the unrelated third-party investors would be entitled to receive substantially all of the tax benefits from our LIHTC investments for a specified period of time. At a specified future date, the percentage of tax benefits the investors would receive would automatically be reduced and the percentage of tax benefits we would receive would be increased by the same amount. In addition, we could have the obligation to reacquire all or a portion of the transferred interests.
We have requested the approval of FHFA, as our conservator, to complete this transaction. FHFA has advised us that it has no objection to this transaction as it is consistent with the conservation of the assets of the corporation and that FHFA has requested Treasury’s approval under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement. As of November 5, 2009, FHFA has not yet received this approval. If in the future we determine we no longer have the intent and ability to sell or otherwise transfer our LIHTC investments for value, we would record additional other-than-temporary impairment to reduce the carrying value of our LIHTC investments to zero. As of September 30, 2009, the carrying value of our LIHTC investments was $5.2 billion.
State and Local Housing Finance Agencies
On October 19, 2009, we entered into a memorandum of understanding with Treasury, FHFA, and Freddie Mac under which we may provide assistance to state and local housing finance agencies to help them continue to meet their mission of providing affordable financing for both single-family and multifamily housing. We would provide assistance through three programs: the temporary credit and liquidity facilities program, the new issue bond program, and the multifamily credit enhancement program. The memorandum is described further in a Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 23, 2009, and will become binding when the parties sign definitive agreements.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Twelve
Consolidation
In June 2009, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued new accounting standards that eliminate the concept of qualifying special-purpose entities and amend the accounting for transfers of financial assets and the consolidation model for variable-interest entities. Based on our current understanding and analysis of the requirements of the new standards and the structure of our outstanding MBS trusts, we expect to initially record the assets, liabilities and noncontrolling interests of the substantial majority of our existing outstanding MBS trusts that we will be required to consolidate on January 1, 2010 based on the unpaid principal balance as of that date. The primary components of the cumulative transition adjustment that we will record on January 1, 2010 include the following: (1) for all of our outstanding MBS trusts that we consolidate, the reversal of the related guaranty assets and guaranty obligations; (2) for all of our investments in single-class Fannie Mae MBS classified as available for sale, the reversal of the related unrealized gains and losses recorded in AOCI; and (3) for all of our investments in single-class Fannie Mae MBS classified as trading, the reversal of the related fair value gains and losses previously recorded in earnings.
These components include items that fluctuate, often significantly, from period to period due, in part to changes in market conditions, such as changes in interest rates and spreads. For example, since the end of 2008, our after-tax net unrealized gains on our investments in Fannie Mae single-class MBS fluctuated from after-tax net unrealized gains of $3.9 billion as of December 31, 2008, to $5.2 billion as of March 31, 2009, $4.5 billion as of June 30, 2009 and $5.6 billion as of September 30, 2009. Because of the significant fluctuations in the items that will affect the transition adjustment, we are not able to estimate the impact the cumulative transition adjustment will have on our net worth when we adopt these new accounting standards on January 1, 2010.
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Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Page Thirteen
# # #
Certain statements in this news release may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including those relating to future market conditions; our future performance, including credit losses and credit-related expenses, and net worth; our receipt of funds from Treasury under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement; our future access to debt funding; our future accounting and its impact; the impact of and activity in and updates to the Making Home Affordable Program; our memorandum of understanding with Treasury of October 19, 2009; our future plans; and our future business activities. Although Fannie Mae believes that the expectations set forth in these statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, future conditions and events may differ materially from what is indicated in any forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual conditions or events to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, legislative or other governmental actions relating to our business or the financial markets; our ability to manage our business to a positive net worth; adverse effects from activities we undertake, such as the Making Home Affordable Program and other federal government initiatives, to support the mortgage market and help borrowers; the investment by Treasury and its effect on our business; future amendments and guidance by the FASB; changes in the structure and regulation of the financial services industry, including government efforts improve economic conditions; our ability to access the debt capital markets; the conservatorship and its effect on our business (including our business strategies and practices); continued weakness in the housing, credit and stock markets; the depth and duration of the housing market weakness, including the extent of home price declines on a national and regional basis; the depth and duration of weak economic conditions, including unemployment rates; the level and volatility of interest rates and credit spreads; the adequacy of our combined loss reserves; pending government investigations and litigation; changes in management; the accuracy of subjective estimates used in critical accounting policies; and other factors described in Fannie Mae’s quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 and its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, including the “Risk Factors” and “Forward-Looking Statements” sections of these reports.
Fannie Mae exists to expand affordable housing and bring global capital to local communities in order to serve the U.S. housing market. Fannie Mae has a federal charter and operates in America’s secondary mortgage market to enhance the liquidity of the mortgage market by providing funds to mortgage bankers and other lenders so that they may lend to home buyers. Our job is to help those who house America.
HomeSaver Advance and Refi Plus are trademarks of Fannie Mae. Unauthorized use of these marks is prohibited.

 


 

ANNEX I
FANNIE MAE
(In conservatorship)

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Dollars in millions, except share amounts)
(Unaudited)
 
                 
    As of  
    September 30,
    December 31,
 
    2009     2008  
 
ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents (includes cash equivalents pledged as collateral that may be sold or repledged of $5,000 as of September 30, 2009)
  $ 15,382     $ 17,933  
Restricted cash
    483       529  
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell
    34,856       57,418  
Investments in securities:
               
Trading, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of $61,824 and $58,006, respectively)
    97,288       90,806  
Available-for-sale, at fair value (includes Fannie Mae MBS of $164,201 and $176,244, respectively)
    270,557       266,488  
                 
Total investments in securities
    367,845       357,294  
                 
Mortgage loans:
               
Loans held for sale, at lower of cost or fair value
    28,948       13,270  
Loans held for investment, at amortized cost
    388,416       415,065  
Allowance for loan losses
    (8,991 )     (2,923 )
                 
Total loans held for investment, net of allowance
    379,425       412,142  
                 
Total mortgage loans
    408,373       425,412  
Advances to lenders
    4,587       5,766  
Accrued interest receivable
    4,080       3,816  
Acquired property, net
    7,735       6,918  
Derivative assets, at fair value
    766       869  
Guaranty assets
    7,726       7,043  
Deferred tax assets, net
    1,418       3,926  
Partnership investments
    7,756       9,314  
Servicer and MBS trust receivable
    17,722       6,482  
Other assets
    11,546       9,684  
                 
Total assets
  $ 890,275     $ 912,404  
                 
 
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY (DEFICIT)
Liabilities:
               
Accrued interest payable
  $ 5,032     $ 5,947  
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase
    112       77  
Short-term debt (includes debt at fair value of $- and $4,500, respectively)
    240,795       330,991  
Long-term debt (includes debt at fair value of $11,074 and $21,565, respectively)
    562,195       539,402  
Derivative liabilities, at fair value
    1,330       2,715  
Reserve for guaranty losses (includes $4,993 and $1,946, respectively related to Fannie Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
    56,905       21,830  
Guaranty obligations (includes $520 and $755, respectively related to Fannie Mae MBS included in Investments in securities)
    13,169       12,147  
Partnership liabilities
    2,783       3,243  
Servicer and MBS trust payable
    19,343       6,350  
Other liabilities
    3,571       4,859  
                 
Total liabilities
    905,235       927,561  
                 
Commitments and contingencies (Note 19)
           
Equity (Deficit):
               
Fannie Mae stockholders’ equity (deficit):
               
Senior preferred stock, 1,000,000 shares issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008
    45,900       1,000  
Preferred stock, 700,000,000 shares are authorized— 581,915,187 and 597,071,401 shares issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively
    20,457       21,222  
Common stock, no par value, no maximum authorization—1,262,316,235 and 1,238,880,988 shares issued as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 respectively; 1,109,987,342 shares and 1,085,424,213 shares outstanding as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively
    663       650  
Additional paid-in capital
    3,111       3,621  
Accumulated deficit
    (75,063 )     (26,790 )
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
    (2,739 )     (7,673 )
Treasury stock, at cost, 152,328,893 shares and 153,456,775 shares as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 respectively
    (7,394 )     (7,344 )
                 
Total Fannie Mae stockholders’ deficit
    (15,065 )     (15,314 )
                 
Noncontrolling interest
    105       157  
                 
Total deficit
    (14,960 )     (15,157 )
                 
Total liabilities and equity (deficit)
  $ 890,275     $ 912,404  
                 
 
See Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements


 


 

 
FANNIE MAE
(In conservatorship)

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
(Dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)
 
                                 
    For the
       
    Three Months
    For the
 
    Ended
    Nine Months
 
    September 30,     Ended September 30,  
    2009     2008     2009     2008  
 
Interest income:
                               
Trading securities
  $ 862     $ 1,416     $ 2,775     $ 4,529  
Available-for-sale securities
    3,475       3,295       10,503       9,467  
Mortgage loans
    5,290       5,742       16,499       17,173  
Other
    48       310       314       1,000  
                                 
Total interest income
    9,675       10,763       30,091       32,169  
                                 
Interest expense:
                               
Short-term debt
    390       1,680       2,097       5,928  
Long-term debt
    5,455       6,728       17,181       20,139  
                                 
Total interest expense
    5,845       8,408       19,278       26,067  
                                 
Net interest income
    3,830       2,355       10,813       6,102  
                                 
Guaranty fee income (includes imputed interest of $461 and $481, for the three months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008, respectively, and $932 and $1,035 for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008, respectively)
    1,923       1,475       5,334       4,835  
Trust management income
    12       65       36       247  
Investment gains (losses), net
    785       219       963       (213 )
Other-than-temporary impairments
    (1,018 )     (1,843 )     (7,768 )     (2,405 )
Less: Noncredit portion of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in other comprehensive loss
    79             423        
                                 
Net other-than-temporary impairments
    (939 )     (1,843 )     (7,345 )     (2,405 )
Fair value losses, net
    (1,536 )     (3,947 )     (2,173 )     (7,807 )
Debt extinguishment gains (losses), net
    (11 )     23       (280 )     (158 )
Losses from partnership investments
    (520 )     (587 )     (1,448 )     (923 )
Fee and other income
    182       164       547       616  
                                 
Non-interest loss
    (104 )     (4,431 )     (4,366 )     (5,808 )
                                 
Administrative expenses:
                               
Salaries and employee benefits
    293       167       831       757  
Professional services
    178       139       501       389  
Occupancy expenses
    47       52       141       161  
Other administrative expenses
    44       43       122       118  
                                 
Total administrative expenses
    562       401       1,595       1,425  
Provision for credit losses
    21,896       8,763       60,455       16,921  
Foreclosed property expense
    64       478       1,161       912  
Other expenses
    231       195       828       802  
                                 
Total expenses
    22,753       9,837       64,039       20,060  
                                 
Loss before federal income taxes and extraordinary losses
    (19,027 )     (11,913 )     (57,592 )     (19,766 )
Provision (benefit) for federal income taxes
    (143 )     17,011       (743 )     13,607  
                                 
Loss before extraordinary losses
    (18,884 )     (28,924 )     (56,849 )     (33,373 )
Extraordinary losses, net of tax effect
          (95 )           (129 )
                                 
Net loss
    (18,884 )     (29,019 )     (56,849 )     (33,502 )
Less: Net loss attributable to the noncontrolling interest
    12       25       55       22  
                                 
Net loss attributable to Fannie Mae
    (18,872 )     (28,994 )     (56,794 )     (33,480 )
Preferred stock dividends
    (883 )     (419 )     (1,323 )     (1,044 )
                                 
Net loss attributable to common stockholders
  $ (19,755 )   $ (29,413 )   $ (58,117 )   $ (34,524 )
                                 
Loss per share:
                               
Basic
  $ (3.47 )   $ (13.00 )   $ (10.24 )   $ (24.24 )
Diluted
    (3.47 )     (13.00 )     (10.24 )     (24.24 )
Cash dividends per common share
  $     $ 0.05     $     $ 0.75  
Weighted-average common shares outstanding:
                               
Basic and Diluted
    5,685       2,262       5,677       1,424  
 
See Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements


 


 

FANNIE MAE
(In conservatorship)

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Dollars in millions)
(Unaudited)
 
                 
    For the
 
    Nine Months
 
    Ended September 30,  
    2009     2008  
 
Cash flows (used in) provided by operating activities:
               
Net loss
  $ (56,849 )   $ (33,502 )
Amortization of debt cost basis adjustments
    2,802       6,497  
Provision for credit losses
    60,455       16,921  
Valuation losses
    2,961       7,303  
Derivatives fair value adjustments
    (708 )     (1,952 )
Current and deferred federal income taxes
    (1,861 )     12,762  
Purchases of loans held for sale
    (91,889 )     (38,351 )
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for sale
    1,991       443  
Net decrease in trading securities
    9,150       71,193  
Other, net
    (4,575 )     (1,184 )
                 
Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities
    (78,523 )     40,130  
Cash flows provided by (used in) investing activities:
               
Purchases of trading securities held for investment
    (27,183 )     (7,625 )
Proceeds from maturities of trading securities held for investment
    9,413       7,318  
Proceeds from sales of trading securities held for investment
    7,395       2,824  
Purchases of available-for-sale securities
    (158,893 )     (102,761 )
Proceeds from maturities of available-for-sale securities
    37,842       25,799  
Proceeds from sales of available-for-sale securities
    270,678       102,044  
Purchases of loans held for investment
    (35,169 )     (48,874 )
Proceeds from repayments of loans held for investment
    45,786       37,169  
Advances to lenders
    (66,017 )     (69,541 )
Proceeds from disposition of acquired property
    15,791       7,013  
Reimbursements to servicers for loan advances
    (19,186 )     (10,389 )
Net change in federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell
    23,101       15,135  
Other, net
    (446 )     (107 )
                 
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities
    103,112       (41,995 )
Cash flows (used in) provided by financing activities:
               
Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt
    1,118,028       1,439,170  
Payments to redeem short-term debt
    (1,210,316 )     (1,398,756 )
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
    232,978       218,052  
Payments to redeem long-term debt
    (211,457 )     (230,081 )
Proceeds from issuance of common stock and preferred stock
          7,211  
Proceeds from senior preferred stock agreement with Treasury
    44,900        
Net change in federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase
    47       403  
Other, net
    (1,320 )     (1,774 )
                 
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities
    (27,140 )     34,225  
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
    (2,551 )     32,360  
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
    17,933       3,941  
                 
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
  $ 15,382     $ 36,301  
                 
Cash paid during the period for:
               
Interest
  $ 21,403     $ 27,464  
Income taxes
    876       845  
Non-cash activities:
               
Securitization-related transfers from mortgage loans held for sale to investments in securities
  $ 102,027     $ 32,609  
Net transfers of mortgage loans held for investment to mortgage loans held for sale
    7,604       (5,819 )
Net consolidation transfers from investment in securities to mortgage loans held for sale
    19,762       (850 )
Net transfers from available-for-sale securities to mortgage loans held for sale
    1,536       1,073  
Transfers from advances to lenders to investments in securities (including transfers to trading securities of $2,032 and $40,660 for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 and 2008, respectively)
    65,218       68,909  
Net consolidation-related transfers from investments in securities to mortgage loans held for investment
    2,217       (16,210 )
Net transfers from mortgage loans to acquired property
    3,744       3,143  
Transfers to trading securities from the effect of adopting the FASB guidance on the fair value option for financial instruments
          56,217  
 
See Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements


 


 

FANNIE MAE
(In conservatorship)

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity (Deficit)
(Dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)
 
                                                                                                 
    Fannie Mae Stockholders’ Equity              
                                              Retained
    Accumulated
                   
    Shares Outstanding                       Additional
    Earnings
    Other
          Non
    Total
 
    Senior
                Senior
    Preferred
    Common
    Paid-In
    (Accumulated
    Comprehensive
    Treasury
    Controlling
    Equity
 
    Preferred     Preferred     Common     Preferred     Stock     Stock     Capital     Deficit)     Loss(1)     Stock     Interest     (Deficit)  
 
Balance as of December 31, 2007
          466       974     $     $ 16,913     $ 593     $ 1,831     $ 33,548     $ (1,362 )   $ (7,512 )   $ 107     $ 44,118  
Cumulative effect from the adoption of the FASB guidance on the fair value option for financial instruments and the FASB guidance on fair value measurement, net of tax
                                              148       (93 )                 55  
                                                                                                 
Balance as of January 1, 2008, adjusted
          466       974             16,913       593       1,831       33,696       (1,455 )     (7,512 )     107       44,173  
Change in Investment in noncontrolling interest
                                                                74       74  
Comprehensive loss:
                                                                                               
Net loss
                                              (33,480 )                 (22 )     (33,502 )
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax effect:
                                                                                               
Changes in net unrealized gains (losses) on available- for-sales securities, net of other-than-temporary impairments (net of tax of $3,629)
                                                    (6,740 )                 (6,740 )
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net loss (net of tax of $35)
                                                    (65 )                 (65 )
Unrealized losses on guaranty assets and guaranty fee buy-ups
                                                    (113 )                 (113 )
Amortization of net cash flow hedging losses
                                                    (5 )                 (5 )
Prior service cost and actuarial gains, net of amortization for defined benefit plans
                                                    9                   9  
                                                                                                 
Total comprehensive loss
                                                                                            (40,416 )
Common stock dividends ($0.75 per share)
                                              (741 )                       (741 )
Common stock issued
                94                   49       2,477                               2,526  
Common stock warrant issued
                                        3,518                               3,518  
Preferred stock dividends declared
                                              (1,038 )                       (1,038 )
Senior preferred stock issued
    1                   1,000                                                 1,000  
Preferred stock issued
          141                       4,812             (127 )                             4,685  
Treasury commitment
                                        (4,518 )                             (4,518 )
Other, employee benefit plans
                2                         (28 )                 200             172  
                                                                                                 
Balance as of September 30, 2008
    1       607       1,070     $ 1,000     $ 21,725     $ 642     $ 3,153     $ (1,563 )   $ (8,369 )   $ (7,312 )   $ 159     $ 9,435  
                                                                                                 
 
See Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements


 


 

 
FANNIE MAE
(In conservatorship)

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity (Deficit)—(Continued)
 
                                                                                                 
    Fannie Mae Stockholders’ Equity              
                                              Retained
    Accumulated
                   
    Shares Outstanding                       Additional
    Earnings
    Other
          Non
    Total
 
    Senior
                Senior
    Preferred
    Common
    Paid-In
    (Accumulated
    Comprehensive
    Treasury
    Controlling
    Equity
 
    Preferred     Preferred     Common     Preferred     Stock     Stock     Capital     Deficit)     Loss(1)     Stock     Interest     (Deficit)  
 
Balance as of January 1, 2009
    1       597       1,085     $ 1,000     $ 21,222     $ 650     $ 3,621     $ (26,790 )   $ (7,673 )   $ (7,344 )   $ 157     $ (15,157 )
Cumulative effect from the adoption of the FASB guidance on the recognition and presentation of the other-than-temporary impairments, net of tax
                                              8,520       (5,556 )                 2,964  
Change in investment in noncontrolling interest
                                                                3       3  
Comprehensive loss:
                                                                                               
Net loss
                                              (56,794 )                 (55 )     (56,849 )
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax effect:
                                                                                               
Changes in net unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sales securities, net of other-than-temporary impairments (net of tax of $4,830)
                                                    8,970                   8,970  
Unrealized other-than-temporary impairment gains (net of tax of $745)
                                                    1,483                   1,483  
Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net loss (net of tax of $102)
                                                    (190 )                 (190 )
Amortization of net cash flow hedging gains
                                                    9                   9  
Unrealized gains on guaranty assets and guaranty fee buy-ups
                                                    196                   196  
Prior service cost and actuarial gains, net of amortization for defined benefit plans
                                                    22                   22  
                                                                                                 
Total comprehensive loss
                                                                                            (46,359 )
Senior preferred stock dividends
                                        (1,320 )                             (1,320 )
Increase to senior preferred liquidation preference
                      44,900                                                 44,900  
Conversion of convertible preferred stock into common stock
          (15 )     24             (765 )     13       752                                
Other, employee benefit plans
                1                         58       1             (50 )           9  
                                                                                                 
Balance as of September 30, 2009
    1       582       1,110     $ 45,900     $ 20,457     $ 663     $ 3,111     $ (75,063 )   $ (2,739 )   $ (7,394 )   $ 105     $ (14,960 )
                                                                                                 
 
 
(1) As of September 30, 2009, accumulated other comprehensive loss is comprised of $4.1 billion in net unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities for which an other-than-temporary impairment was previously recognized, net of tax; $1.5 billion in net unrealized gains on available-for-sale securities for which other-than-temporary impairment has not been previously recognized, net of tax; and $120 million in net unrealized losses on all other components. As of September 30, 2008, accumulated other comprehensive loss is comprised of $8.5 billion in net unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities, net of tax, and $175 million in net unrealized gains on all other components, net of tax.
 
See Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements


 


 

 
Supplemental Non-GAAP Consolidated Fair Value Balance Sheets
 
                                                 
    As of September 30, 2009     As of December 31, 2008  
    GAAP
                GAAP
             
    Carrying
    Fair Value
    Estimated
    Carrying
    Fair Value
    Estimated
 
    Value     Adjustment(1)     Fair Value     Value     Adjustment(1)     Fair Value  
    (Dollars in millions)  
 
Assets:
                                               
Cash and cash equivalents
  $ 15,865     $     $ 15,865 (2)   $ 18,462     $     $ 18,462 (2)
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell
    34,856             34,856 (2)     57,418       2       57,420 (2)
Trading securities
    97,288             97,288 (2)     90,806             90,806 (2)
Available-for-sale securities
    270,557             270,557 (2)     266,488             266,488 (2)
Mortgage loans:
                                               
Mortgage loans held for sale
    28,948       1,545       30,493 (3)     13,270       351       13,621 (3)
Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses
    379,425       12,645       392,070 (3)     412,142       3,069       415,211 (3)
Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio
          2,770       2,770 (3)(4)           2,255       2,255 (3)(4)
Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio
          (20,929 )     (20,929 )(3)(4)           (11,396 )     (11,396 )(3)(4)
                                                 
Total mortgage loans
    408,373       (3,969 )     404,404 (2)(3)     425,412       (5,721 )     419,691 (2)(3)
Advances to lenders
    4,587       (307 )     4,280 (2)     5,766       (354 )     5,412 (2)
Derivative assets at fair value
    766             766 (2)     869             869 (2)
Guaranty assets and buy-ups, net
    8,739       4,154       12,893 (2)(4)     7,688       1,336       9,024 (2)(4)
                                                 
Total financial assets
    841,031       (122 )     840,909 (2)     872,909       (4,737 )     868,172 (2)
Master servicing assets and credit enhancements
    843       5,843       6,686 (4)(5)     1,232       7,035       8,267 (4)(5)
Other assets
    48,401       (16 )     48,385 (5)(6)     38,263       (2 )     38,261 (5)(6)
                                                 
Total assets
  $ 890,275     $ 5,705     $ 895,980     $ 912,404     $ 2,296     $ 914,700  
                                                 
                                                 
Liabilities:
                                               
Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase
  $ 112     $ 1     $ 113 (2)   $ 77     $     $ 77 (2)
Short-term debt
    240,795 (7)     204       240,999 (2)     330,991 (7)     1,299       332,290 (2)
Long-term debt
    562,195 (7)     26,431       588,626 (2)     539,402 (7)     34,879       574,281 (2)
Derivative liabilities at fair value
    1,330             1,330 (2)     2,715             2,715 (2)
Guaranty obligations
    13,169       111,928       125,097 (2)     12,147       78,728       90,875 (2)
                                                 
Total financial liabilities
    817,601       138,564       956,165 (2)     885,332       114,906       1,000,238 (2)
Other liabilities
    87,634       (57,525 )     30,109 (8)     42,229       (22,774 )     19,455 (8)
                                                 
Total liabilities
    905,235       81,039       986,274       927,561       92,132       1,019,693  
Equity (deficit):
                                               
Fannie Mae stockholders’ equity (deficit):
                                               
Senior preferred(9)
    45,900             45,900       1,000             1,000  
Preferred
    20,457       (19,255 )     1,202       21,222       (20,674 )     548  
Common
    (81,422 )     (56,079 )     (137,501 )     (37,536 )     (69,162 )     (106,698 )
                                                 
Total Fannie Mae stockholders’ deficit/non-GAAP fair value of net assets
  $ (15,065 )   $ (75,334 )   $ (90,399 )   $ (15,314 )   $ (89,836 )   $ (105,150 )
Noncontrolling interests
    105             105       157             157  
                                                 
Total deficit
    (14,960 )     (75,334 )     (90,294 )     (15,157 )     (89,836 )     (104,993 )
                                                 
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 890,275     $ 5,705     $ 895,980     $ 912,404     $ 2,296     $ 914,700  
                                                 
 
 
See Explanation and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures to GAAP Measures


 


 

Explanation and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures to GAAP Measures
 
(1) Each of the amounts listed as a “fair value adjustment” represents the difference between the carrying value included in our GAAP consolidated balance sheets and our best judgment of the estimated fair value of the listed item.
 
(2) We determined the estimated fair value of these financial instruments in accordance with the FASB fair value guidance as described in “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements—Note 18, Fair Value of Financial Instruments.”
 
(3) For business segment reporting purposes, we allocate intra-company guaranty fee income to our Single-Family and HCD businesses for managing the credit risk on mortgage loans held in portfolio by our Capital Markets group and charge a corresponding fee to our Capital Markets group. In computing this intra-company allocation, we disaggregate the total mortgage loans reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets, which consists of “Mortgage loans held for sale” and “Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses” into components that separately reflect the value associated with credit risk, which is managed by our guaranty businesses, and the interest rate risk, which is managed by our Capital Markets group. We report the estimated fair value of the credit risk components separately in our supplemental non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets as “Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio” and “Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio.” We report the estimated fair value of the interest rate risk components in our supplemental non-GAAP consolidated fair value balance sheets as “Mortgage loans held for sale” and “Mortgage loans held for investment, net of allowance for loan losses.” Taken together, these four components represent the estimated fair value of the total mortgage loans reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets. We believe this presentation provides transparency into the components of the fair value of the mortgage loans associated with the activities of our guaranty businesses and the components of the activities of our Capital Markets group, which is consistent with the way we manage risks and allocate revenues and expenses for segment reporting purposes. While the carrying values and estimated fair values of the individual line items may differ from the amounts presented in “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements—Note 18, Fair Value of Financial Instruments” of the condensed consolidated financial statements in this report, the combined amounts together equal the carrying value and estimated fair value amounts of total mortgage loans in Note 18.
 
(4) In our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets, we report the guaranty assets associated with our outstanding Fannie Mae MBS and other guarantees as a separate line item and include buy-ups, master servicing assets and credit enhancements associated with our guaranty assets in “Other assets.” On a GAAP basis, our guaranty assets totaled $7.7 billion and $7.0 billion as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. The associated buy-ups totaled $1.0 billion and $645 million as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. In our non-GAAP fair value balance sheets, we also disclose the estimated guaranty assets and obligations related to mortgage loans held in our portfolio. The aggregate estimated fair value of the guaranty asset-related components totaled $1.4 billion and $8.2 billion as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. These components represent the sum of the following line items in this table: (i) Guaranty assets of mortgage loans held in portfolio; (ii) Guaranty obligations of mortgage loans held in portfolio, (iii) Guaranty assets and buy-ups; and (iv) Master servicing assets and credit enhancements. See “Part II—Item 7—MD&A—Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates—Fair Value of Financial Instruments—Fair Value of Guaranty Obligations” of our 2008 Form 10-K.
 
(5) The line items “Master servicing assets and credit enhancements” and “Other assets” together consist of the assets presented on the following six line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest receivable; (ii) Acquired property, net; (iii) Deferred tax assets, net; (iv) Partnership investments; (v) Servicer and MBS trust receivable and (vi) Other assets. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets together totaled $50.3 billion and $40.1 billion as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. We deduct the carrying value of the buy-ups associated with our guaranty obligation, which totaled $1.0 billion and $645 million as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, from “Other assets” reported in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets because buy-ups are a financial instrument that we combine with guaranty assets in our disclosure in Note 18. We have estimated the fair value of master servicing assets and credit enhancements based on our fair value methodologies described in “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements—Note 20, Fair Value of Financial Instruments” of our 2008 Form 10-K.
 
(6) With the exception of LIHTC partnership investments, the GAAP carrying values of other assets generally approximate fair value. Our LIHTC partnership investments, including restricted cash from consolidations, had a carrying value of $5.3 billion and $6.3 billion and an estimated fair value of $5.4 billion and $6.5 billion as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. We assume that certain other assets, consisting primarily of prepaid expenses, have no fair value.
 
(7) Includes certain short-term debt and long-term debt instruments that we elected to report at fair value in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets. We did not elect to report any short-term debt instruments at fair value as of September 30, 2009. Includes long-term debt with a reported fair value of $11.1 billion as of September 30, 2009. Includes short-term and long-term debt instruments with a reported fair value of $4.5 billion and $21.6 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2008.
 
(8) The line item “Other liabilities” consists of the liabilities presented on the following five line items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets: (i) Accrued interest payable; (ii) Reserve for guaranty losses; (iii) Partnership liabilities; (iv) Servicer and MBS trust payable; and (v) Other liabilities. The carrying value of these items in our GAAP condensed consolidated balance sheets together totaled $87.6 billion and $42.2 billion as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. The GAAP carrying values of these other liabilities generally approximate fair value. We assume that certain other liabilities, such as deferred revenues, have no fair value. Although we report the “Reserve for guaranty losses” as a separate line item on our condensed consolidated balance sheets, it is incorporated into and reported as part of the fair value of our guaranty obligations in our non-GAAP supplemental consolidated fair value balance sheets.
 
(9) The estimated fair value of the senior preferred stock is the same as the carrying value, as the fair value is based on the liquidation preference.


 

exv99w2
Exhibit 99.2             
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Exhibit 99.2 Fannie Mae 2009 Third Quarter Credit Supplement November 5, 2009

 


 

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These materials present tables and other information about Fannie Mae, including information contained in Fannie Mae’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, the “2009 Q3 Form 10-Q.” Some of the terms used in these materials are defined and discussed more fully in the 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q and Fannie Mae’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, “2008 Form 10-K.” These materials should be reviewed together with the 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K, copies of which are available in the “Investor Information” section of Fannie Mae’s Web site at www.fanniemae.com. Some of the information in this presentation is based upon information that we received from third-party sources such as sellers and servicers of mortgage loans. Although we generally consider this information reliable, we do not independently verify all reported information. This presentation includes forward-looking statements relating to future home price declines. These statements are based on our opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts and other views on a variety of economic and other information, and changes in the assumptions and other information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The impact of future home price declines on our business, results or financial condition will depend on many other factors.

 


 

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Table of Contents Slide Home Price Growth/Decline Rates in the U.S. 3 Home Price Declines Peak-to-Current (by State) as of 2009 Q3 4 Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Key Product Features 5 Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Vintage and Key Product Features 6 Fannie Mae Single-Family Cumulative Default Rate 7 Fannie Mae Credit Profile by State 8 Fannie Mae Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rates by State and Region 9 Home Price Growth/Decline and Fannie Mae Real Estate Owned (REO) in Selected States 10 Fannie Mae Alt-A Credit Profile by Key Product Features 11 Fannie Mae Alt-A Loans Versus Loans Underlying Private-Label Alt-A Securities 12 Fannie Mae Workouts by Type 13 Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) 14 Fannie Mae Modifications of Single-Family Delinquent Loans 15 Fannie Mae Multifamily Credit Profile by Loan Attributes 16 Fannie Mae Multifamily Credit Profile by Acquisition Year 17

 


 

(GRAPHICS)
Home Price Growth/Decline Rates in the U.S Fannie Mae Home Price Index S&P/Case-Shiller Index 9.8% 7.7% 10.6% 10.7% 14.6% 14.7% -0.3% -8.5% — 18.4% Growth rates are from period-end to period-end. 2009 rate represents forecast. · We expect 2009 home price declines to be up to 6% based upon the Fannie Mae Home Price Index. This estimate of an up to 6% decline in home prices for 2009 compares with a home price decline of approximately 1% to 7% using the S&P/Case-Shiller index method. · We expect peak-to-trough declines in home prices to be in the 17% to 27% range (comparable to a 32% to 40% range using the S&P/Case-Shiller index method). Note: Our estimates differ from the S&P/Case-Shiller index in two principal ways: (1) our estimates weight expectations for each individual property by number of properties, whereas the S&P/Case-Shiller index weights expectations of home price declines based on property value, causing declines in home prices on higher priced homes to have a greater effect on the overall result; and (2) our estimates do not include known sales of foreclosed homes because we believe that differing maintenance practices and the forced nature of the sales make foreclosed home prices less representative of market values, whereas the S&P/Case-Shiller index includes sales of foreclosed homes. The S&P/Case Shiller comparison numbers shown above for 2009 and peak-to-trough forecasts are calculated using our models and assumptions, but modified to use these two factors (weighting of expectations based on property value and the inclusion of foreclosed property sales). In addition to these differences, our estimates are based on our own internally available data combined with publicly available data, and are therefore based on data collected nationwide, whereas the S&P/Case-Shiller index is based only on publicly available data, which may be limited in certain geographic areas of the country. Our comparative calculations to the S&P/Case-Shiller index provided above are not modified to account for this data pool difference.


 

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Home Price Declines Peak-to-Current (by State) as of 2009 Q3 United States -15.6% Mountain AK -2.2% - -24.7% West North Central 0.2% 9.0% -5.0% East North Central New England WA 5.2% -13.8% -13.2% - -15.7% NH 3.4% 12.7% -17.8% 5.8% MT 0.5% VT ME -3.0% ND -3.0% -7.1% 0.3% -0.3% OR 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% - -17.3% MN 1.7% ID -13.8% MA 1.9% WI -16.9% SD -15.2% -5.7% NY 0.5% -1.4% 3.0% 1.7% -7.8% WY 0.2% MI 5.2% RI -4.7% -29.1% -24.1% 0.2% 2.8% IA 0.4% NE PA CT NV 0.0% NJ -1.8% -3.3% -13.9% -52.5% 0.6% OH - -18.2% Middle Atlantic 0.4% 3.0% 1.4% 1.3% UT IL IN -8.7% 3.9% -14.5% -3.9% 2.6% -7.7% Pacific CA - -14.2% DE CO 4.4% 1.3% -11.3% -41.2% 1.0% WV DC 12.1% -34.1% -6.9% KS 0.4% 17.0% MO -3.9% VA -13.9% 2.5% -1.2% -5.5% 23.1% KY 0.2% -16.5% MD 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% -0.6% -21.1% 0.6% 2.8% NC AZ TN -4.0% - -43.9% OK -4.7% 2.6% NM 2.8% -7.7% -0.4% 1.4% AR SC 0.6% 0.6% -1.9% -6.5% South Atlantic 0.5% 1.3% AL GA MS -22.2% State Home Price Change -2.8% -11.7% -3.9% 1.1% 3.0% 21.1% LA 0.5% In excess of - -15% TX -1.5% -0.4% 0.9% -15% to -10% HI 4.9% -10% to -5% -20.8% -5% to 0% 0.8% FL -44.7% West South Central East South Central 7.1% -0.5% -3.0% — Top %: State/Region Home Price Decline Rate % from applicable peak in that state through September 30, 2009 6.9% 3.6% -Bottom %: % of Fannie Mae single-family conventional guaranty book of business by unpaid principal balance as of September 30, 2009 Note: Regional home price decline percentages are a housing stock unit-weighted average of home price decline percentages of states within each region. Source: Fannie Mae. Initial estimate based on purchase transactions in Fannie-Freddie acquisition and public deed data available through the end of September 2009. Including subsequently available data may lead to materially different results.

 


 

(GRAPHICS)
Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business Categories Not Mutually Exclusive (1) Loans with Loans with Negative- Loans with            Loans with            FICO < 620 Sub-total of Interest-Only            Original LTV            Alt-A            Subprime            Overall As of September 30, 2009 Amortizing            FICO = 620 and Original            Key Product Loans            Ratio            Loans            Loans            Book (3) and < 660(3) LTV Ratio > Features(1) 90% (3)(6) Unpaid Principal Balance (billions) (2) $ 14.6 $ 189.3 $ 112.3 $ 236.5 $ 264.3 $ 24.6 $ 258.8 $ 7.6 $ 857.9 $2,795.9
Share of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book 0.5% 6.8% 4.0% 8.5% 9.5% 0.9% 9.3% 0.3% 30.7% 100.0% Average Unpaid Principal Balance $134,843 $242,557 $124,543 $139,863 $142,735 $ 118,249 $167,984 $149,419 $152,614 $152,636 Serious Delinquency Rate 9.53% 17.94% 16.08% 11.32% 11.56% 25.32% 13.97% 26.41% 11.36% 4.72% Origination Years 2005-2007 60.9% 80.1% 55.5% 53.6% 55.1% 69.3% 73.4% 80.7% 59.7% 37.9% Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 71.3% 75.8% 76.6% 77.3% 97.2% 98.1% 73.0% 77.2% 79.5% 71.4% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90% 0.3% 9.3% 21.9% 20.8% 100.0% 100.0% 5.4% 6.9% 30.8% 9.5% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 98.5% 104.4% 80.7% 82.5% 102.1% 102.1% 90.1% 95.0% 89.2% 73.8% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 100% and <= 125% 14.6% 22.2% 13.2% 13.6% 28.3% 30.3% 14.5% 16.8% 17.1% 8.5% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 125% 33.8% 23.7% 7.1% 8.6% 13.3% 12.8% 16.3% 15.4% 12.0% 5.4% Weighted Average FICO (3) 703 724 588 641 697 592 718 622 686 729 FICO < 620 (3) 8.3% 1.3% 100.0% 0.0% 9.3% 100.0% 0.7% 48.3% 13.1% 4.0% Fixed-rate 0.2% 39.5% 93.2% 92.1% 94.2% 94.9% 72.1% 77.1% 81.0% 91.4% Primary Residence 69.5% 84.8% 96.7% 94.3% 97.2% 99.4% 77.3% 96.6% 89.4% 89.9% Condo/Co-op 14.0% 16.5% 5.0% 6.7% 9.9% 6.1% 10.9% 4.5% 9.7% 9.3% Credit Enhanced (4) 73.7% 33.7% 32.9% 34.3% 88.9% 92.2% 36.9% 62.9% 42.9% 18.5% % of 2007 Credit Losses (5) 0.9% 15.0% 18.8% 21.9% 17.4% 6.4% 27.8% 1.0% 72.3% 100.0% % of 2008 Credit Losses (5) 2.9% 34.2% 11.8% 17.4% 21.3% 5.4% 45.6% 2.0% 81.3% 100.0% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (5) 3.8% 36.2% 11.3% 16.8% 21.5% 5.4% 47.6% 2.1% 82.4% 100.0% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (5) 2.2% 33.1% 11.5% 17.2% 23.1% 5.2% 43.2% 2.0% 81.0% 100.0% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (5) 1.8% 34.2% 10.7% 16.0% 22.5% 4.9% 39.2% 2.0% 77.7% 100.0% % of 2009 Q2 Credit Losses (5) 2.2% 32.2% 9.2% 16.0% 19.7% 3.5% 41.2% 1.1% 76.0% 100.0% % of 2009 Q3 Credit Losses (5) 1.8% 31.8% 8.6% 15.3% 18.9% 3.2% 39.1% 1.6% 74.4% 100.0% (1) Loans with multiple product features are included in all applicable categories. The subtotal is calculated by counting a loan only once even if it is included in multiple categories. (2) Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and those Alt-A and subprime wraps for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae had access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 99% of its single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2009. (3) FICO Credit scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. (4) Unpaid principal balance of loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of single-family conventional guaranty book of business for which Fannie Mae had access to detailed loan-level information within each specified category. Includes primary mortgage insurance, pool insurance, lender recourse and other credit enhancement. (5) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family guaranty book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Mae’s 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. (6) Percentages of credit losses for the first and second quarters of 2009 have been revised from prior reports, in which loans with FICO scores equal to 620 were inadvertently included.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Credit Profile by Vintage and Key Product Features Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business by Vintage Overall 2004 and As of September 30, 2009 Book            Earlier
Unpaid Principal Balance (billions) (1) $2,795.9 $ 499.6 $ 378.9 $ 446.2 $ 308.1 $ 304.7 $ 858.3 Share of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book 100.0% 17.9% 13.6% 16.0% 11.0% 10.9% 30.7% Average Unpaid Principal Balance(1) $152,636 $217,906 $199,492 $186,070 $170,412 $158,937 $107,265 Serious Delinquency Rate 4.72% 0.02% 2.93% 11.80% 11.11% 6.25% 2.57% Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 71.4% 66.3% 73.0% 77.3% 74.6% 72.1% 69.1% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90% 9.5% 3.2% 10.2% 19.1% 11.3% 8.2% 7.5% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 73.8% 66.2% 78.5% 94.5% 95.0% 82.9% 54.5% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 100% and <= 125% 8.5% 0.5% 9.3% 20.1% 16.4% 12.0% 2.6% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 125% 5.4% 0.0% 1.9% 12.9% 16.3% 9.6% 0.9% Weighted Average FICO(2) 729 762 738 711 713 721 723 FICO < 620 (2) 4.0% 0.3% 2.4% 7.0% 5.8% 4.4% 4.6% Interest Only 6.8% 0.6% 5.3% 15.2% 17.1% 10.2% 1.7% Negative-Amortizing 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1.3% 1.5% 0.7% Fixed-rate 91.4% 98.5% 93.2% 90.7% 85.9% 83.6% 91.6% Primary Residence 89.9% 93.3% 88.6% 88.3% 86.5% 87.6% 91.4% Condo/Co-op 9.3% 7.7% 11.2% 11.3% 11.6% 10.3% 7.2% Credit Enhanced (3) 18.5% 6.7% 23.0% 32.3% 28.3% 20.2% 12.0% % of 2007 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 1.9% 21.3% 23.6% 53.2% % of 2008 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 0.5% 27.9% 34.9% 19.3% 17.3% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 0.4% 31.3% 35.2% 18.3% 14.9% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 1.3% 32.0% 34.2% 17.7% 14.9% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 0.0% 2.6% 34.0% 31.7% 17.6% 14.1% % of 2009 Q2 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 0.0% 4.3% 34.6% 31.7% 16.6% 12.7% % of 2009 Q3 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 0.0% 5.4% 37.5% 30.3% 15.8% 11.1% Cumulative Default Rate (5) 0.00% 0.23% 1.96% 2.66% 1.76% (1) Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and those Alt-A and subprime wraps for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae had access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 99% of its single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2009. (2) FICO Credit scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. (3) Unpaid principal balance of loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of single-family conventional guaranty book of business for which Fannie Mae had access to detailed loan-level information within each specified category. Includes primary mortgage insurance, pool insurance, lender recourse and other credit enhancement. (4) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family guaranty book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Mae’s 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. (5) Defaults include loan liquidations other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and includes loan foreclosures, preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. Cumulative Default Rate is the total number of single-family conventional loans in the guaranty book of business originated in the identified year that have defaulted, divided by the total number of single- family conventional loans in the guaranty book of business originated in the identified year. As of September 30, 2009, 2004 vintage cumulative default rate was 1.18% and 2003 vintage cumulative default rate was 0.70%.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Single-Family Cumulative Default Rate Cumulative Default Rate of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business by Vintage Overall Originations from 2000 through 2009 Q3 2.80% 2.60% 2006 2.40% 2.20% 2000 2.00% 2001 Rate 2007 1.80% 2002 Default 2005 2003 1.60% 2004 1.40% 2000 2004 2005 Cumulative 1.20% 2001 2006 1.00% 2007 2002 2008 0.80% 2003 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 2008 0.00% Yr1-Q1 Yr1-Q2 Yr1-Q3 Yr1-Q4 Yr2-Q1 Yr2-Q2 Yr2-Q3 Yr2-Q4 Yr3-Q1 Yr3-Q2 Yr3-Q3 Yr3-Q4 Yr4-Q1 Yr4-Q2 Yr4-Q3 Yr4-Q4 Yr5-Q1 Yr5-Q2 Yr5-Q3 Yr5-Q4 Yr6-Q1 Yr6-Q2 Yr6-Q3 Yr6-Q4 Yr7-Q1 Yr7-Q2 Yr7-Q3 Yr7-Q4 Yr8-Q1 Yr8-Q2 Yr8-Q3 Yr8-Q4 Yr9-Q1 Yr9-Q2 Yr9-Q3 Yr9-Q4 Yr10-Q1 Yr10-Q2 Yr10-Q3 Time Since Beginning of Origination Year Note: Defaults include loan liquidations other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and include loan foreclosures, preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. Cumulative Default Rate is the total number of single-family conventional loans in the guaranty book of business originated in the identified year that have defaulted, divided by the total number of single-family conventional loans in the guaranty book of business originated in the identified year. Data as of September 30, 2009 are not necessarily indicative of the ultimate performance of the loans and performance is likely to change, perhaps materially, in future periods.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Credit Profile by State Credit Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business by State Select Overall As of September 30, 2009 AZ            CA            FL            NV            Midwest Book (5) States Unpaid Principal Balance (billions) (1) $2,795.9 $ 77.2 $ 475.1 $ 197.7 $ 35.2 $ 307.2 Share of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book 100.0% 2.8% 17.0% 7.1% 1.3% 11.0% Average Unpaid Principal Balance (1) $152,636 $159,793 $210,892 $144,955 $177,229 $123,529 Serious Delinquency Rate 4.72% 7.87% 5.06% 11.31% 11.16% 4.98% Origination Years 2005-2007 37.9% 53.8% 33.4% 55.1% 55.6% 34.6% Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 71.4% 73.7% 63.3% 73.2% 74.5% 74.6% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90% 9.5% 9.7% 2.9% 10.4% 9.3% 12.0% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 73.8% 99.3% 76.9% 98.6% 117.4% 75.4% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio >100% and <=125% 8.5% 20.1% 12.2% 20.1% 19.1% 10.6% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio >125% 5.4% 23.8% 11.4% 24.9% 43.7% 2.2% Weighted Average FICO (2) 729 729 737 720 726 724
FICO < 620 (2) 4.0% 3.3% 2.4% 5.1% 3.0% 4.9% Interest Only 6.8% 14.1% 11.0% 11.0% 19.3% 3.9% Negative Amortizing 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 1.1% 1.7% 0.1% Fixed-rate 91.4% 86.4% 86.6% 87.7% 78.9% 91.9% Primary Residence 89.9% 83.5% 88.7% 81.9% 80.4% 93.7% Condo/Co-op 9.3% 5.3% 11.9% 15.4% 7.5% 10.6% Credit Enhanced (3) 18.5% 20.2% 10.2% 21.6% 24.3% 21.3% % of 2007 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 1.8% 7.2% 4.7% 1.2% 46.6% % of 2008 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 8.0% 25.2% 10.9% 4.9% 21.1% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 8.6% 31.1% 10.2% 4.8% 18.4% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 9.9% 19.5% 15.0% 5.8% 18.5% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 12.2% 26.3% 12.0% 7.2% 13.8% % of 2009 Q2 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 11.0% 24.7% 14.6% 6.3% 16.2% % of 2009 Q3 Credit Losses (4) 100.0% 9.3% 23.9% 16.7% 6.9% 14.9% (1) Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and those Alt-A and subprime wraps for which Fannie Mae does not have loan-level information. Fannie Mae had access to detailed loan-level information on approximately 99% of its single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2009. (2) FICO Credit scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. (3) Unpaid principal balance of loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of single-family conventional guaranty book of business for which Fannie Mae had access to detailed loan-level information within each specified category. Includes primary mortgage insurance, pool insurance, lender recourse and other credit enhancement.
(4) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family guaranty book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Mae’s 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. (5) Select Midwest states are Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rates by State and Region (1) State            September 30, 2008 December 31, 2008 March 31, 2009 June 30, 2009 September 30, 2009
Arizona 2.14% 3.41% 5.00% 6.54% 7.87% California 1.44% 2.30% 3.33% 4.23% 5.06% Florida 4.37% 6.14% 8.07% 9.71% 11.31% Nevada 3.08% 4.74% 7.05% 9.33% 11.16% Select Midwest States (2) 2.05% 2.70% 3.36% 4.16% 4.98% All conventional single-family 1.72% 2.42% 3.15% 3.94% 4.72% loans Region (3) Midwest 1.86% 2.44% 3.02% 3.71% 4.42% Northeast 1.47% 1.97% 2.53% 3.20% 3.91% Southeast 2.34% 3.27% 4.24% 5.21% 6.18% Southwest 1.35% 1.98% 2.45% 3.07% 3.71% West 1.33% 2.10% 3.06% 3.96% 4.77% All conventional single-family 1.72% 2.42% 3.15% 3.94% 4.72% loans (1) Calculated based on the number of loans in Fannie Mae’s single-family conventional guaranty book of business within each specified category. (2) Select Midwest states are Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio. (3) For information on which states are included in each region, refer to Fannie Mae’s 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q.

 


 

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Home Price Growth/Decline and Fannie Mae Real Estate Owned (REO) in Selected States 5-Year REO Acquisitions (Number of Properties) 1-Year HP REO REO Annualized HP Growth Inventory Inventory Growth October 2008 State as of as of October 2004 to 2007 2008 2009 Q1(1) 2009 Q2(1) 2009 Q3(1) September September to September 30, 2008 30, 2009 September 2009(2) 2009(2) Arizona 751 5,532 2,526 2,879 3,172 3,289 4,586 -18.0% -2.8% California 1,681 10,624 3,719 4,444 5,304 7,957 8,954 - -12.3% -5.8% Florida 1,714 6,159 1,680 2,876 4,053 3,785 5,537 -15.3% -4.2% Nevada 530 2,906 1,210 1,337 1,885 1,902 2,659 -25.6% -10.3% Select Midwest States (3) 16,678 23,668 4,643 6,930 7,834 19,412 18,680 -4.8% -2.1% All other States 27,767 45,763 11,596 13,629 18,711 31,174 31,859 -3.0% 1.7% Total 49,121 94,652 25,374 32,095 40,959 67,519 72,275 -5.6% -0.2% (1) Fannie Mae’s REO acquisitions and REO reflect the impact of Fannie Mae’s foreclosure moratoriums in late 2008 and early 2009 and its directive to loan servicers to delay foreclosure sales until the servicers have exhausted foreclosure prevention alternatives. (2) Initial estimate based on purchase transactions in Fannie-Freddie acquisition and public deed data available through the end of September 2009. Including subsequently available data may lead to materially different results. (3) Select Midwest states are Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio. On a national basis, REO net sales prices compared with unpaid principal balances of mortgage loans were as follows, driving loss severities: 70% in 2008 Q3 61% in 2008 Q4 57% in 2009 Q1 54% in 2009 Q2 54% in 2009 Q3

 


 

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Fannie Mae Alt-A Credit Profile by Key Product Features
Credit Characteristics of Alt-A Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business by Vintage (1) 2004 and As of September 30, 2009 Alt-A 2008 2007 2006 2005 Earlier Unpaid principal balance (billions) (2) $ 258.8 $ 6.6 $ 67.8 $ 73.2 $ 49.0 $ 62.2 Share of Alt-A 100.0% 2.5% 26.2% 28.3% 18.9% 24.0% Weighted Average Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 73.0% 67.2% 75.1% 74.2% 72.7% 70.0% Original Loan-to-Value Ratio > 90% 5.4% 2.4% 8.8% 4.7% 3.2% 4.4% Weighted Average Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio 90.1% 76.1% 100.9% 103.4% 93.6% 61.2% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 100% and <=125% 14.5% 9.9% 20.2% 17.2% 15.4% 4.7% Mark-to-Market Loan-to-Value Ratio > 125% 16.3% 3.0% 20.3% 24.4% 18.1% 2.4% Weighted Average FICO (3) 718 727 712 714 724 722 FICO < 620 (3) 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% Adjustable-rate 27.9% 10.6% 22.6% 30.4% 40.2% 22.8% Interest Only 29.9% 7.2% 38.6% 39.1% 30.0% 12.1% Negative Amortizing 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 6.8% 2.0% Investor 17.7% 18.4% 19.7% 17.2% 19.8% 14.5% Condo/Co-op 10.9% 7.0% 10.0% 11.9% 13.2% 9.4% California 22.0% 20.2% 22.4% 20.1% 20.9% 25.0% Florida 11.4% 9.1% 12.1% 13.1% 12.7% 8.1% Credit Enhanced (4) 36.9% 14.0% 35.5% 50.0% 42.4% 21.3% 2008 Q3 Serious Delinquency Rate 4.92% 0.94% 6.29% 7.27% 4.79% 2.30% 2008 Q4 Serious Delinquency Rate 7.03% 2.14% 9.61% 10.24% 6.64% 3.06% 2009 Q1 Serious Delinquency Rate 9.54% 4.20% 13.51% 13.67% 8.86% 3.97% 2009 Q2 Serious Delinquency Rate 11.91% 6.52% 17.05% 16.78% 10.97% 5.02% 2009 Q3 Serious Delinquency Rate 13.97% 8.72% 20.19% 19.43% 12.72% 5.95% % of 2007 Credit Losses (5) 27.8% 0.7% 9.8% 9.7% 7.7% % of 2008 Credit Losses (5) 45.6% 0.0% 12.4% 20.2% 9.7% 3.4% % of 2008 Q3 Credit Losses (5) 47.6% 0.0% 14.0% 20.9% 9.7% 3.1% % of 2008 Q4 Credit Losses (5) 43.2% 0.1% 13.1% 18.8% 8.2% 2.9% % of 2009 Q1 Credit Losses (5) 39.2% 0.2% 12.2% 16.2% 7.7% 2.9% % of 2009 Q2 Credit Losses (5) 41.2% 0.3% 13.5% 16.9% 7.7% 2.8% % of 2009 Q3 Credit Losses (5) 39.1% 0.5% 13.7% 15.3% 7.2% 2.5% Cumulative Default Rate (6) 0.85% 4.43% 5.39% 3.65% (1) “Alt-A mortgage loan” generally refers to a mortgage loan that can be underwritten with reduced or alternative documentation than that required for a full documentation mortgage loan but may also include other alternative product features. In reporting our Alt-A exposure, we have classified mortgage loans as Alt-A if the lenders that deliver the mortgage loans to us have classified the loans as Alt- A based on documentation or other product features. We are not providing a 2009 vintage column due to our decision to discontinue the purchase of newly originated Alt-A mortgage loans. (2) Excludes non-Fannie Mae securities held in portfolio and those Alt-A wraps for which Fannie Mae does not have detailed loan-level information. (3) FICO Credit scores reported in the table are those provided by the sellers of the mortgage loans at time of delivery. (4) Unpaid principal balance of Alt-A loans with credit enhancement as a percentage of unpaid principal balance of Alt-A loans within each specified category. At September 30, 2009, 8.8% of unpaid principal balance of Alt-A loans carried only primary mortgage insurance (no deductible), 24.7% had only pool insurance (which is generally subject to a deductible), 3.0% had primary mortgage insurance and pool insurance, and 0.06% carried other credit enhancement such as lender recourse. (5) Expressed as a percentage of credit losses for the single-family guaranty book of business. For information on total credit losses, refer to Fannie Mae’s 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q and 2008 Form 10-K. (6) Defaults include loan liquidations other than through voluntary pay-off or repurchase by lenders and includes loan foreclosures, preforeclosure sales, sales to third parties an d deeds in lieu of foreclosure. Cumulative Default Rate is the total number of single-family conventional loans in the guaranty book of business originated in the identified year that have defaulted, divided by the total number of single- family conventional loans in the guaranty book of business originated in the identified year.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Alt-A Loans Versus Loans Underlying Private-Label Alt-A Securities Fannie Mae Alt-A Versus Private-Label Security Conforming Alt-A Cumulative Default Rates For Fannie Mae Alt-A And Private-Label Alt-A Fannie Mae Alt-A Private-Label Alt-A For 2005, 2006 and 2007 Cohorts (2)(3) 12% Outstanding Alt-A loans Outstanding loans 2006 PLS in Fannie Mae’s Single- backing non-agency Family Guaranty Book of Conforming Alt-A MBS 10% Business as of August 2009 as of August 2009 Rates 8% 2007 PLS FICO 718 708 2005 PLS Default Original Loan-to-Value Ratio 73% 76% 6% Combined Loan-to-Value Cumulative 2006 FNM Ratio at Origination (1) 77% 81% 2007 FNM 4% Geography California 22% 27% 2005 FNM Florida 11% 14% 2% Product Type Fixed Rate 72% 50% 0% Adjustable-Rate 28% 50% Interest-Only 20% 25% Months Since Origination Negative-Amortizing 3% 21% 2005PLS 2005 FNM 2006 PLS 2006FNM 2007 PLS 2007 FNM Investor 18% 21% (1) Includes first liens and any subordinate liens present at origination. (2) Fannie Mae’s cumulative default rates reflect the impact of Fannie Mae’s foreclosure moratoriums in late 2008 and early 2009 and its directive to loan servicers to delay foreclosure sales until the servicers have exhausted foreclosure prevention alternatives. (3) The Cumulative Default Rate is based upon the number of months between the loan origination month/year and default month/year. Data as of August 2009 are not necessarily indicative of the ultimate performance of the loans and performance is likely to change, perhaps materially, in future periods. Note: Private-label securities data source: First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance data, which estimates it captures 97% of Alt-A private-label securities.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Workouts by Type 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 of Loans 25,000 Number 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 Modifications Repayment Plans Completed Forbearances Completed Deeds-in-Lieu Preforeclosure Sales HomeSaver AdvanceTM Modifications involve changes to the original mortgage loan terms, which may include a change to the product type, interest rate, amortization term, maturity date and/or unpaid principal balance. Modifications include completed modifications made under the Administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program, which was implemented beginning in March 2009, but do not reflect loans currently in trial modifications under that program. Information on the Home Affordable Modification Program is provided on Slide 14. Repayment plans involve plans to repay past due principal and interest over a reasonable period of time through temporarily higher monthly payments. Loans with completed repayment plans are included for loans that were at least 60 days delinquent at initiation. Forbearances involve an agreement to suspend or reduce borrower payments for a period of time. Loans with forbearance plans are included for loans that were at least 90 days delinquent at initiation. Deeds in lieu of foreclosure involve the borrower’s voluntarily signing over title to the property without the added expense of a foreclosure proceeding. In a preforeclosure sale, the borrower, working with the servicer, sells the home and pays off all or part of the outstanding loan, accrued interest and other expenses from the sale proceeds. HomeSaver Advance TM are unsecured, personal loans designed to help qualified borrowers bring their delinquent mortgage loans current after a temporary financial difficulty.

 


 

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Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) Details first announced in March 2009. Applies to loans owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, and non-agency loans meeting the HAMP eligibility requirements. Aimed at helping borrowers either currently delinquent or at imminent risk of default. Borrowers who are at risk of foreclosure must be evaluated for eligibility under the HAMP before any other workout alternatives are considered. Borrowers must satisfy the terms of a trial modification plan for a trial period of at least three months before a modification under the program becomes effective. Treasury has granted certain trial period extensions. For more information, refer to Fannie Mae’s 2009 Q3 Form 10-Q. As of September 30, 2009, approximately 189,000 Fannie Mae loans were in a trial period or a completed modification under the Home Affordable Modification Program, as reported by servicers to the system of record for the Home Affordable Modification Program.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Modifications of Single-Family Delinquent Loans Change in Monthly Principal and Interest Payment of Modified Single Family Loans(1)(2) Re-performance Rates of Modified Single Family Loans(1)(3) 100% 90% % Current and 80% Performing Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 70% 3 Months post 60% modification 48% 45% 55% 62% 63% 50% 40% 6 months post modification 33% 35% 41% 46% n/a 30% 20% 9 months post modification 29% 28% 32% n/a n/a 10% 0% Q108 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q3 2009 Decrease greater than 20% of Principal and Interest Payment Decrease of less than or equal to 20% in Principal and Interest Payment No Change in Principal and Interest Increase in Principal and Interest Payment (1) Excludes loans that were classified as subprime adjustable rate mortgages that were modified into fixed rate mortgages and were current at the time of modification. Modifications include completed modifications made under the Administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program, which was implemented beginning in March 2009, but do not reflect loans currently in trial modifications under that program. Information on the Home Affordable Modification Program is provided on Slide 14. (2) Represents the change in the monthly principal and interest payment at the effective date of the modification. The monthly principal and interest payment on modified loans may vary, and may increase, during the remaining life of the loan. (3) Includes loans that paid off.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Multifamily Credit Profile by Loan Attributes Unpaid Principal Balance Share of Multifamily Guaranty Book As of September 30, 2009 (Billions) of Business % Seriously Delinquent (3) Total Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business (1) (2) $180.26 100% 0.62% Originating loan-to-value ratio: Less than or equal to 80% $170.76 95% 0.64% Greater than 80% $9.50 5% 0.29% Loan Size Distribution: Less than or equal to $750K $4.40 2% 0.92% Greater than $750K and less than or equal to $3M $23.21 13% 0.97% Greater than $3M and less than or equal to $5M $17.05 9% 1.02% Greater than $5M and less than or equal to $25M $72.99 41% 0.59% Greater than $25M $62.62 35% 0.40% Credit Enhanced Loans: Credit Enhanced $161.77 90% 0.50% Non-Credit Enhanced $18.49 10% 1.68% Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (DUS ®) Loans: (4) DUS ® $142.03 79% 0.38% Remaining Book $38.23 21% 1.53% Maturity Dates: Loans maturing in 2009 (5) $8.71 5% 0.73% Loans maturing in 2010 (5) $4.48 2% 1.60% Loans maturing in 2011 $8.46 5% 0.30% Loans maturing in 2012 $16.00 9% 1.57% Loans maturing in 2013 $19.34 11% 0.23% Loans maturing in 2014 and Beyond $123.27 68% 0.54% (1 ) Excludes loans that have been defeased. Defeasance is prepayment of a loan through substitution of collateral, such as Treasury securities. (2 ) Consists of the portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business for which we have access to detailed loan level information, which constitutes approximately 99% of our total multifamily guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2009. (3 ) Multifamily loans and securities that are 60 days or more past due. (4 ) Under the Delegated Underwriting and Servicing, or DUS ®, product line, Fannie Mae purchases individual, newly originated mortgages from specially approved DUS lenders using DUS underwriting standards and/or DUS loan documents. Because DUS lenders generally share the risk of loss with Fannie Mae, they are able to originate, underwrite, close and service most loans without our pre-review. (5 ) Includes loans backing Discount Mortgage Backed Securities (DMBS), which are securities with maturities between three and nine months. While the DMBS securities are short-term, the loans backing them have maturities typical of other multifamily mortgages. Approximately $6.2 billion of the volume for loans maturing in 2009 is based on DMBS securities rather than the underlying loans. DMBS loans account for less than $0.2 billion of the loans maturing in 2010.

 


 

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Fannie Mae Multifamily Credit Profile by Acquisition Year MF Serious Delinquency Rates (SDQ) by Acquisition Year Cumulative Default Rates by Acquisition Year 0.40% 0.35% 1.40% Rate 0.30% 1.20% 2007 Default 0.25% 2005 1.00% 2006 Rate 0.20% 2007 0.80% Cumulative 0.15% SDQ 0.60% 2008 0.10% 0.40% 2006 2008 0.20% 2009 2005 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 Unpaid Principal Balance Share of Multifamily As of September 30, 2009 (Billions) Guaranty Book of Business % Seriously Delinquent (3) Total Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business (1) (2) $180.26 100% 0.62% By Acquisition Year: 2009 (4) $15.69 9% 0.19% 2008 $34.41 19% 0.46% 2007 $44.31 25% 1.20% 2006 $19.77 11% 0.36% 2005 $18.18 10% 0.28% Prior to 2005 $47.91 26% 0.58% (1 ) Excludes loans that have been defeased. Defeasance is prepayment of a loan through substitution of collateral, such as Treasury securities. (2 ) Consists of the portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business for which we have access to detailed loan level information, which constitutes approximately 99% of our total multifamily guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2009. (3 ) Multifamily loans and securities that are 60 days or more past due. (4 ) Does not include loans backing Discount Mortgage Backed Securities (DMBS), which are securities with maturities between three and nine months. While the DMBS securities are short-term, the loans backing them have maturities typical of other multifamily mortgages. DMBS are accounted for in their original acquisition year. In the 2009 Second Quarter Credit Supplement, loans backing DMBS were included in the acquisition volume for 2009.